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Week 7 expert picks


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1 minute ago, Albwan said:

If I was a gambler I would take fins with that point spread as well.

I think Bills win, I don't think Bills blow them out.

 

Blowing people out has not been our style, to date. I’d take the Phins with those points if I were a gambler. 

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2 minutes ago, Pokebball said:

Is this with the points or straight up?  Unless I'm missing it, this is straight up.

 

I think it’s straight, but I’m just saying that’s boatload of points.

 

Something funky happened when I hit the first link, so I’m not going there again. 

Just now, prissythecat said:

 

Do you recommend that  guys bet $5k  taking the points and then not tell their wife and family about it?  ?

 

Oh no, I recommend telling the wife......so she can kill you and try to get the money back!  

 

Wait, maybe not......(maybe)

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7 minutes ago, Augie said:

 

Blowing people out has not been our style, to date. I’d take the Phins with those points if I were a gambler. 

...agree Augie......17 is fake drool......even if at home......seven point "W" works just fine for me....

10 minutes ago, prissythecat said:

 

Do you recommend that  guys bet $5k  taking the points and then not tell their wife and family about it?  ?

 

 

....anybody know if his wife is a "person of interest" in his TBD disappearance?......

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3 minutes ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said:

...agree Augie......17 is fake drool......even if at home......seven point "W" works just fine for me....

 

Yeah, don’t get me wrong - I’d love a blowout win where I can relax by halftime, but we’ve not done that against other weak teams. Maybe the new offensive parts start to gel this week.....

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1 minute ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said:

...agree Augie......17 is fake drool......even if at home......seven point "W" works just fine for me....

 

 

....anybody know if his wife is a "person of interest" in his TBD disappearance?......

 

 

Hehe.  He didn't disappear.  If you voted in some polls recently,  you may have seen one of his re-incarnations.

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52 minutes ago, Augie said:

 

I think it’s straight, but I’m just saying that’s boatload of points.

I'd take the points too if I was putting some $$s down.  Picking the phins straight up seems crazy to me.  The guy's a phins fan and is picking this one from his heart.  He's gotta be.

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55 minutes ago, Augie said:

 

Blowing people out has not been our style, to date. I’d take the Phins with those points if I were a gambler. 

I'm taking the Bills I think. I believe over the last 10 Phins/Bills games, we would have covered a 17pt spread 3 times iirc...which is pretty amazing. Miami isn't going to score a lot of points against this defense and this season they would be 1-4 ATS if they were getting 17 points every single game thus far which includes 3 home games...the line is pretty good if you ask me. OK just talked myself into it I'm taking Buffalo happily here lol

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5 minutes ago, Pokebball said:

I'd take the points too if I was putting some $$s down.  Picking the phins straight up seems crazy to me.  The guy's a phins fan and is picking this one from his heart.  He's gotta be.

 

OR....as someone else pointed out he may be so far behind in his picks that he needs some serious underdogs to catch up to the more capable pickers. They have a word for that.........”desperation”. Or, possibly “tequila”, but probably one or the other. 

 

 

No jinx disclaimer here*

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2 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

I'm taking the Bills I think. I believe over the last 10 Phins/Bills games, we would have covered a 17pt spread 3 times iirc...which is pretty amazing. Miami isn't going to score a lot of points against this defense and this season they would be 1-4 ATS if they were getting 17 points every single game thus far which includes 3 home games...the line is pretty good if you ask me. OK just talked myself into it I'm taking Buffalo happily here lol

 

Good for you! I’ll settle for 10% of the winnings, payable in Meadcoin. I’m a fair man. 

 

Losses? That’s all on you! 

 

?

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1 hour ago, Pokebball said:

Is this with the points or straight up?  Unless I'm missing it, this is straight up.


cbs lists both 

1 hour ago, prissythecat said:

 

Do you recommend that  guys bet $5k  taking the points and then not tell their wife and family about it?  ?


he lasted a week and disappeared ? 

 

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1 hour ago, Albwan said:

If I was a gambler I would take fins with that point spread as well.

I think Bills win, I don't think Bills blow them out.

 

Fitz can be a bit of a wildcard, but I've watched Miami twice now, it's like they're playing short 2 guys on defense.  I swear it's actually kind of sad to watch if it weren't the loathsome Dolphins.

We scored 28 on the Giants on the road, we score at least 35 on these guys at home.

 

At least 35.

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1 hour ago, Augie said:

 

OR....as someone else pointed out he may be so far behind in his picks that he needs some serious underdogs to catch up to the more capable pickers. They have a word for that.........”desperation”. Or, possibly “tequila”, but probably one or the other. 

 

 

No jinx disclaimer here*

Actually he is leading the other people picking  but took denver and dolphins and cincinnati    think he made 3 mistakes there.

 

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3 hours ago, Albwan said:

If I was a gambler I would take fins with that point spread as well.

I think Bills win, I don't think Bills blow them out.

I think the Bills cover. This D causes problems for everyone. It will give Fitz fits and the offense should be productive with a week to prepare against a bottom feeder. Throw in a rowdy home crowd and you can bet this game like it has already been played! 
All opinions are mine and for entertainment purposes only. My attorney said to put that in. 

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3 hours ago, Augie said:

 

Blowing people out has not been our style, to date. I’d take the Phins with those points if I were a gambler. 

I can almost guarantee if the Bills do blow out the phins, you'll see a ton of press talking about the Bills like they knew all along the Bills were a top 3 team

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46 minutes ago, Hatszel said:

Actually he is leading the other people picking  but took denver and dolphins and cincinnati    think he made 3 mistakes there.

 

So maybe he’s trying to keep it close to make it interesting?  ?

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I'm feeling the same way I felt about every game the Bills have played so far this year excepting the Pats.  I think we can win, and we probably should win, but there are just too many echoes of Buffalo Bills Past that I still feel anxious about the outcome of this game.  The Phish always play us hard, Fitz plays well against us too. I'd feel better if Rosen were back there for them.  I'm not counting my chickens...

 

I don't give a damn about a blow out, I don't care if we win by one point in overtime, as long as we win.

 

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Saying Buffalo wins by two TDs and a field goal is not unreasonable. 

 

With Singletary back, Kroft in the lineup, and the emergence of the Duke, we should absolutely win this game by that much. 

 

Miami is bad....just bad. 

 

We coming off a bye at home to face the worst team in football. 

 

Buffalo 31  Miami 6

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3 hours ago, Albwan said:

If I was a gambler I would take fins with that point spread as well.

I think Bills win, I don't think Bills blow them out.

 

You're getting +17 points against a team that only scores, on average, 18 points?

 

If I still gambled, I'd be all over that.

 

(And I would lose. Which is why I stopped gambling.)

 

 

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Once we get up by 20+ we will go into conservative ground and pound (yawn) mode and eventually either Miami will cover the line or Fitz will throw a bunch of picks. The odds are probably close to what the final gap will be. 

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4 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:


http://www.espn.com/nfl/picks

 

All but 1 picked Buffalo 

 

http://mweb.cbssports.com/nfl/expert-picks

2 pick a Miami to cover 

 

 

 

Fortunately the same guy on ESPN who picked the Broncos to beat the Chiefs is the same one who picked the Dolphins to beat the Bills.

 

He's also one of only two people to pick the Bengals to get their first win & beat the Jags.

But hey, he also has the 2nd best overall record, so maybe he knows something we don't.

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