Lost Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 (edited) https://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine This will update seeding based on your picks for remaining games. Based on my picks the Bills could lose to both to Eagles and KC and still squeak in as 6th or 7th seed and play at Jacksonville or Baltimore. If they win all their games from here out they would most likely grab the 3rd or 4th seed and host either Miami or Houston. Edited November 22, 2023 by Lost 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick_Cheney Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 Big if true. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaBillsJunkie Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 We have to beat either Philly or KC and win out to get in. Just picking favorites for the other teams leaves us on the outside looking in. This is losing both games to Phi and KC and winning out. We don't get in. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticaclub Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 (edited) Heres two scenarios where the Bills win out and still miss Edited November 22, 2023 by uticaclub 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheektowaga Chad Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 The bills best opportunity will be to win the division, need the dolphins to lose 1 of the next 4 then they run into the cowboys ravens and bills With the amount of wins other wild card teams already have coupled with the ease of their schedules and kind of chaos with with QB injuries the bills are too far behind for a wild card unless they win 2 of the next 3 then win out 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo03 Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 1 hour ago, Lost said: https://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine This will updated seeding based on your picks for remaining games. Based on my picks the Bills could lose to both to Eagles and KC and still squeak in as 6th or 7th seed and play at Jacksonville or Baltimore. If they win all there games from here out they would most likely grab the 3rd or 4th seed and host either Miami or Houston. We are better than any of the 3 or 4 teams ahead of us for a Wild Card. I would take us over Pittsburgh, Cleveland or Houston especially. The dream scenario would be to somehow win the division. A home playoff matchup against the Texans would be a dream matchup in my opinion 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jkeerie Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 It seems we really have to root against Pittsburgh especially if we don't win the division. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bills!Win! Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 Let’s go Tim Boyle on friday! (That is his name, right?) 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boyst Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 I'm not against a top 15 pick, though. 2 1 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
transplantbillsfan Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 58 minutes ago, TampaBillsJunkie said: We have to beat either Philly or KC and win out to get in. Just picking favorites for the other teams leaves us on the outside looking in. This is losing both games to Phi and KC and winning out. We don't get in. I think that "picking favorites" strategy is massively flawed for the AFC North. Your scenario only sees Cincinnati winning one more game and Cleveland only losing one more game. I think both scenarios are pretty far fetched. By the way, if we're rooting for any team on a weekly basis to win in the AFC, it's Baltimore. They're the only other AFC team (that matters) with a bye remaining. That means 1 less game for them and smaller chance to match them. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strive_for_five_guy Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 Just win, baby! If we can’t beat Philly or KC, we’re just pretenders anyway. 9 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 (edited) Yea the more I look at their schedules there is almost no way the WC aren’t going to be Cleveland Houston Pittsburgh If we get to 10-7 I’m not sure how we have a tiebreaker with any of those 3. None of them are going to be worse than 10-7. The path in is win the division. I'm not convinced the Dolphins don’t find a way to lose 3 more - 1 of them being to us. We can’t afford to lose more then 1 more game. 10-7 won’t get in. We could realistically be 10-6 or 9-7 going into the last game with Miami. I can see Miami losing to the Jets once, Dallas, Baltimore. Edited November 22, 2023 by Big Blitz 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lost Posted November 22, 2023 Author Share Posted November 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, Big Blitz said: Yea the more I look at their schedules there is almost no way the WC aren’t going to be Cleveland Houston Pittsburgh If we get to 10-7 I’m not sure how we have a tiebreaker with any of those 3. None of them are going to be worse than 10-7. The path in is win the division. I'm not convinced the Dolphins don’t find a way to lose 3 more - 1 of them being to us. We can’t afford to lose more then 1 more game. 10-7 won’t get in. We could realistically be 10-6 going into the last game with Miami. I can see Miami losing to the Jets once, Dallas, Baltimore. I have the Steelers losing 3 of thier last 4 to drop out of the playoffs in which case the Bills get in. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBills Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 8 minutes ago, Big Blitz said: Yea the more I look at their schedules there is almost no way the WC aren’t going to be Cleveland Houston Pittsburgh If we get to 10-7 I’m not sure how we have a tiebreaker with any of those 3. None of them are going to be worse than 10-7. The path in is win the division. I'm not convinced the Dolphins don’t find a way to lose 3 more - 1 of them being to us. We can’t afford to lose more then 1 more game. 10-7 won’t get in. We could realistically be 10-6 or 9-7 going into the last game with Miami. I can see Miami losing to the Jets once, Dallas, Baltimore. Steelers have 4 losses and I could easily see them losing to Arizona, splitting with Cinci and then dropping Seattle and Bal to end the season. Texans, also 4 losses. It’s trickier to find 4 more losses, but they are a young team that could hit the skids and no one would be surprised. Browns have 3 losses, but when their QB is a rookie backup, who knows. On the flip side… I’d throw the Broncos in the mix too … which gets tricky because they play some of the above teams…and the way Russ looks, they could make a run. Obviously they are yet another team we’d lose tie-breakers to. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 Texans play the Jags, Broncos, Jets, Browns, Titans (twice), and at Indy to end the season. I see 3 losses there max. I don’t see the Browns losing more than 3 games. They freaking won at Baltimore. The Steelers are a joke. I don’t see a WC path at 10-7. The Steelers have 3 conference losses. They play the Bengals twice, New England, Indy, and at Baltimore. Where are 3 losses here? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 36 minutes ago, transplantbillsfan said: I think that "picking favorites" strategy is massively flawed for the AFC North. Your scenario only sees Cincinnati winning one more game and Cleveland only losing one more game. I think both scenarios are pretty far fetched. By the way, if we're rooting for any team on a weekly basis to win in the AFC, it's Baltimore. They're the only other AFC team (that matters) with a bye remaining. That means 1 less game for them and smaller chance to match them. Cincy lost Burrow, though. How many more games are they realistically going to win, do you think? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zow2 Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, Cheektowaga Chad said: The bills best opportunity will be to win the division, need the dolphins to lose 1 of the next 4 then they run into the cowboys ravens and bills With the amount of wins other wild card teams already have coupled with the ease of their schedules and kind of chaos with with QB injuries the bills are too far behind for a wild card unless they win 2 of the next 3 then win out Miami won’t win every game they are supposed to win. I could see a surprise loss to Jets, Wash or Tenn. Heck, Buffalo has 3 such losses already. Jets defense will be in a salty mood too, the way they played last week and with their offense failing them. They might break Tua in half if they can get a hold of him. Edited November 22, 2023 by zow2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 31 minutes ago, Big Blitz said: I don’t see a WC path at 10-7. The Steelers have 3 conference losses. They play the Bengals twice, New England, Indy, and at Baltimore. Where are 3 losses here? When your starter is Kenny Pickett none of those games are gimmes. I can easily see them going 2-5 or 3-4. 2 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBills Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 36 minutes ago, Big Blitz said: Texans play the Jags, Broncos, Jets, Browns, Titans (twice), and at Indy to end the season. I see 3 losses there max. I don’t see the Browns losing more than 3 games. They freaking won at Baltimore. The Steelers are a joke. I don’t see a WC path at 10-7. The Steelers have 3 conference losses. They play the Bengals twice, New England, Indy, and at Baltimore. Where are 3 losses here? I think the Bills need to go 6-1 to get in, but there are paths (hypothetically) at 5-2. I just posted who the Steelers could take 4 L’s from .. and when you have one of the worst offenses in football, no game is guaranteed. Texans, if they play like they have all season, will make the playoffs. If Stroud hits a rookie wall and/or starts getting figured out, they could fall off… fast. Browns are looking good, but have a rookie backup… If Cleveland loses to Denver this week, they could be a candidate to start dropping some games … and then we can root for that, while also being worried about a 6-5 Denver that we might want to get to 7-5 over the Texans before facing the Chargers and Lions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
transplantbillsfan Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 1 hour ago, MJS said: Cincy lost Burrow, though. How many more games are they realistically going to win, do you think? More than 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelius Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 I had more hope that the AFC North would cannibalize itself when Burrow was healthy but Pittsburgh is still going to fall apart and disrupt everything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bookie Man Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 Honestly if we can't beat Philly, KC or Dallas what's the point of the post season? 2 6 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott7975 Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 17 minutes ago, Alpo Chino said: Honestly if we can't beat Philly, KC or Dallas what's the point of the post season? Because different things can happen in different games. We beat KC in the regular season the last two years. Did it matter in the post season? I get your point but the playoffs are just a different beast. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 22 minutes ago, Alpo Chino said: Honestly if we can't beat Philly, KC or Dallas what's the point of the post season? We lost to the Jets week 1. We just blew them out last week. It is a week to week league. Get in and give yourself a shot. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherMan Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 4 hours ago, strive_for_five_guy said: Just win, baby! If we can’t beat Philly or KC, we’re just pretenders anyway. We lost to the Jets, Patriots, Jags, Broncos and 3 feet away from losing to the Giants. We are bonafide pretenders my guy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Darragh Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 (edited) I played with this and wasn't able to get the Bills into the playoffs in any reasonable scenario that doesn't have us @KC for the first playoff game in which case I'd rather have a higher draft pick Edited November 22, 2023 by Dan Darragh 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freddie's Dead Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 If we don't beat the Iggles, we're just about done. WWII games for the next few weeks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridgewaycynic2013 Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 Bills believers calculating odds of Bills making playoffs: Might have to run a few more simulations. Also, buy a prayer rug, worry beads, a mezuzah, and a rosary, 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strive_for_five_guy Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 4 hours ago, TheWeatherMan said: We lost to the Jets, Patriots, Jags, Broncos and 3 feet away from losing to the Giants. We are bonafide pretenders my guy. So if we went and beat the Eagles and Chiefs in their buildings, you wouldn’t think we’re as dangerous as any team in the league? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridgewaycynic2013 Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 9 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said: So if we went and beat the Eagles and Chiefs in their buildings, you wouldn’t think we’re as dangerous as any team in the league? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrb1979 Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 5 hours ago, MJS said: We lost to the Jets week 1. We just blew them out last week. It is a week to week league. Get in and give yourself a shot. It's also hard to win in this league. Either way if they don't 2 of the next 3 games seasons over. Even then it's going to be tough to make it at 10-7. That lose to the Pats is going to come back go haunt them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lost Posted November 22, 2023 Author Share Posted November 22, 2023 We need to be Bengals fans the rest of the season. They play the Steelers twice and the Browns once. If they split against the Steelers and beat the Browns our chances go up dramatically. Yeah they don't have Burrow but that's probably good for us because if they did it would probably be the Bengals knocking us out of the playoffs. Still think they can win 1 or two of those games without a starting QB. Pittsburgh has one of the lowest scoring offenses in the league and they seem most likely to drop out of the playoffs of the teams that are fighting for a spot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridgewaycynic2013 Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 18 minutes ago, Jrb1979 said: It's also hard to win in this league. Jrb1979 = Dick Jauron? 🤔 Glad to have you aboard, Coach. * 😉😁 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrb1979 Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, Ridgewaycynic2013 said: Jrb1979 = Dick Jauron? 🤔 Glad to have you aboard, Coach. * 😉😁 To be fair there is been posters here who say the same thing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pine Barrens Mafia Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 9 hours ago, Big Blitz said: Yea the more I look at their schedules there is almost no way the WC aren’t going to be Cleveland Houston Pittsburgh If we get to 10-7 I’m not sure how we have a tiebreaker with any of those 3. None of them are going to be worse than 10-7. The path in is win the division. I'm not convinced the Dolphins don’t find a way to lose 3 more - 1 of them being to us. We can’t afford to lose more then 1 more game. 10-7 won’t get in. We could realistically be 10-6 or 9-7 going into the last game with Miami. I can see Miami losing to the Jets once, Dallas, Baltimore. Pittsburgh is done. That team is cooked Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrb1979 Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 Just now, Pine Barrens Mafia said: Pittsburgh is done. That team is cooked I did the simulator a few times and they get in most times. It's due to their remaining schedule. They play some weak teams left and that defense will win them some games. Same goes for Cleveland. Both play the Bengals with no Burrow. It's going to come down to the last few weeks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drew21PA Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 Picked games I see us winning and others winning 10-7 and the 7th seed ill take it but that includes a win over Dallas KC or Philly winning all else personally I feel this week is perfect for the Bills to ***** a win and if Philly beats us they are hands down the best in the nfl tbey play KC and won would play us then Dallas in a row That is brutal could benefit from both Philly and cowboys schedules and beat them both becuase of their schedules tough games 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCal Deek Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Jrb1979 said: I did the simulator a few times and they get in most times. It's due to their remaining schedule. They play some weak teams left and that defense will win them some games. Same goes for Cleveland. Both play the Bengals with no Burrow. It's going to come down to the last few weeks. Where’s Andy Dalton when we REALLY need him? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drew21PA Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 1 hour ago, strive_for_five_guy said: So if we went and beat the Eagles and Chiefs in their buildings, you wouldn’t think we’re as dangerous as any team in the league? Given their schedules I’m hoping we are each teams let down game and we beat both Dallas and eagles becuase of where they are playing previous and future weeks im not impressed with the chiefs at all - way too Kelce reliant and not scoring points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prissythecat Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 8 hours ago, Doc Brown said: When your starter is Kenny Pickett none of those games are gimmes. I can easily see them going 2-5 or 3-4. wait, isn’t there a thread saying the Steelers will likely be the AFC Top seed? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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