Mr. WEO Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Just now, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I wouldn't touch that one. Bills are going to try and not put Josh in harms way as much. They'll try and run it more with the backs closer to the goal line. I expect and hope his rushing numbers are down a lot this year. He should not be rushing for 700 yards on a season like last year. Moe like 400 -450. Take away most of the called runs. They've yet to show any inclination to limit his running attempts (granted many are not planned runs). Either way, any 3 TDs for +1200! He had 4 vs the #8 D in points allowed (KC). Rams were #7 last year--Miller's on the other side now... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fleezoid Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 "How are people betting Bills vs. Rams" Cash or credit card. ......... No checks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ddaryl Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 13 hours ago, That's No Moon said: Gun to my head I'm taking the Rams with the points. I have removed the gun pressed against your temple, who are you taking? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2020 Our Year For Sure Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 14 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I wouldn't touch that one. Bills are going to try and not put Josh in harms way as much. They'll try and run it more with the backs closer to the goal line. I expect and hope his rushing numbers are down a lot this year. He should not be rushing for 700 yards on a season like last year. Moe like 400 -450. Take away most of the called runs. Not sure about straight up bet but +2.5 is the perfect number to tease. Tease up +1.5 to +2.5 and tease down -7.5 to -8.5 I may well play the Rams in a teaser. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 The Bills were underdogs when betting opened Now they are favored. Doesn’t that say where the $ was going? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 11 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I wouldn't touch that one. Bills are going to try and not put Josh in harms way as much. They'll try and run it more with the backs closer to the goal line. I expect and hope his rushing numbers are down a lot this year. He should not be rushing for 700 yards on a season like last year. Moe like 400 -450. Take away most of the called runs. Not sure about straight up bet but +2.5 is the perfect number to tease. Tease up +1.5 to +2.5 and tease down -7.5 to -8.5 Most teasers are +6, but can be modified. You would either tease to rams to around +8.5 or the Bills around +3.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
julian Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I got a simple Bills to win it all 250$ at +650 nets 1625 not sure if that’s good as I’m not a gambler, but I like looking at it 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, NewEra said: Most teasers are +6, but can be modified. You would either tease to rams to around +8.5 or the Bills around +3.5 Yep. Goal with teasers is to tease through 3, 4 and 7. The three most common spreads when a game is final. And typically it is considered a poor choice to tease through zero which you would have to do if teasing the Bills. I've had comically bad luck with Super Teasers in the past when moving the line 13 points. 2 minutes ago, julian said: I got a simple Bills to win it all 250$ at +650 nets 1625 not sure if that’s good as I’m not a gambler, but I like looking at it Bovada currently lists the Bills at +550 so getting them at +650 was even better. 17 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said: They've yet to show any inclination to limit his running attempts (granted many are not planned runs). Either way, any 3 TDs for +1200! He had 4 vs the #8 D in points allowed (KC). Rams were #7 last year--Miller's on the other side now... Are you sure it is any 3TD's? Usually any TD's means rushing and receiving only. Passing TD's are typically counted separately. If it includes passing TD's then yes that is a steal. But i highly doubt it does. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
julian Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: Yep. Goal with teasers is to tease through 3, 4 and 7. The three most common spreads when a game is final. And typically it is considered a poor choice to tease through zero which you would have to do if teasing the Bills. I've had comically bad luck with Super Teasers in the past when moving the line 13 points. Bovada currently lists the Bills at +550 so getting them at +650 was even better. Lol nice, Getting it 6 weeks ago looks smart Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Josh Allen is -105 for over 2TD's on Bovada. So he has to throw for 3TD's to win -105 He is currently listed at +1000 for 2 or more TD's which is rushing or receiving only. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bookie Man Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Rams opened up -1 iirc. So I’d imagine most action is on Buffalo leading up to now, which kind of makes me weary. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: Yep. Goal with teasers is to tease through 3, 4 and 7. The three most common spreads when a game is final. And typically it is considered a poor choice to tease through zero which you would have to do if teasing the Bills. I've had comically bad luck with Super Teasers in the past when moving the line 13 points. Bovada currently lists the Bills at +550 so getting them at +650 was even better. Are you sure it is any 3TD's? Usually any TD's means rushing and receiving only. Passing TD's are typically counted separately. If it includes passing TD's then yes that is a steal. But i highly doubt it does. yeah true Passing TD O/U is 1.5--jump on that too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said: yeah true Passing TD O/U is 1.5--jump on that too I'm seeing O/U of 2 passing for Allen. If it were 1.5 that would be a no brainer as well. I see 2+ TD for Bills listed at Diggs +8000 Allen +1000 Davis +1000 Knox +1400 I'd sprinkle a little on both Davis and Knox. Decent chance one of the two hits. Edited September 3, 2022 by Sammy Watkins' Rib Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Estro Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I see the Bills pulling away in the 2nd half courtesy of a Staford turnover or 2. BILLS 41 RAMS 22 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I'm seeing O/U of 2 passing for Allen. If it were 1.5 that would be a no brainer as well. I see 2+ TD for Bills listed at Diggs +8000 Allen +1000 Davis +1000 Knox +1400 I'd sprinkle a little on both Davis and Knox. Decent chance one of the two hits. Fanduel, Draftkings, Caesars had him 1.5 as of 9/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tanoros Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 9 hours ago, Utah John said: As good as the Bills look to be, they are facing the Rams offense with two rookie cornerbacks. The only way to protect them is with a monster pass rush, and as a matter of fact that might very well happen. If the O line can contain Donald, the Bills should score score score. I never bet but if I did I'd give the points and take the Bills. Don’t know if you meant it to sound that way, but we will NOT be starting two rookie cb’s (baring injury). Only 1 will be starting opposite Dane, and I’m sure they will be rotated early and the better will get the majority of snaps (which is even better than having just 1). Besides the one rookie cb starting, we have Poyer, Hyde, Johnson, and Dane. That’s not a bad secondary by any means, and statements like yours greatly over exaggerate the status of our secondary. 41 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said: They've yet to show any inclination to limit his running attempts (granted many are not planned runs). Either way, any 3 TDs for +1200! He had 4 vs the #8 D in points allowed (KC). Rams were #7 last year--Miller's on the other side now... I’m sure Josh’s planned runs will be limited this year, but I also don’t think they will dial it back while in the redzone during meaningful parts of games (so not when we are blowing a team out). Josh’s running (both called and scrambles) in the redzone is a such a weapon making our redzone offense so potent. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perk71 Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 46 minutes ago, julian said: I got a simple Bills to win it all 250$ at +650 nets 1625 not sure if that’s good as I’m not a gambler, but I like looking at it I put $100 at +700. We are gonna be in good shape. Go Bills!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdomdbomb Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Nearly every team gets better every year. You have draft picks, sign free agents, and have last year's early picks with a year under their belt. We have Elam and Groot from last year and signed Von Miller. The Rams did sign Robinson but they lost Miller and don't have the first round influx like the Bills. They peaked this last year and won the Super Bowl but they mortgaged the future for the here and now(over the last couple of years). I hope the Rams enjoyed the last couple of years because this train may be starting from the top but it is on the decline. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 14 hours ago, Chaos said: I cannot figure out how to do this parlay. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 52 minutes ago, ßookie_tech said: Rams opened up -1 iirc. So I’d imagine most action is on Buffalo leading up to now, which kind of makes me weary. home teams are 3 pt favorites by default so, to me - 1 is indicative of the Bills being the favored all along Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaos Posted September 3, 2022 Author Share Posted September 3, 2022 (edited) 3 hours ago, Gugny said: I cannot figure out how to do this parlay. In FanDuel? Look other wagers > anytime touchdown scorer > Pick your guys Edited September 3, 2022 by Chaos 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albany,n.y. Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 5 hours ago, julian said: I got a simple Bills to win it all 250$ at +650 nets 1625 not sure if that’s good as I’m not a gambler, but I like looking at it I bet the Bills to win the AFC at +425 back in February. They're now + 300. I didn't bet them to win the Super Bowl because my goal was to create a Super Bowl ticket fund. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
julian Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Albany,n.y. said: I bet the Bills to win the AFC at +425 back in February. They're now + 300. I didn't bet them to win the Super Bowl because my goal was to create a Super Bowl ticket fund. Lol very forward thinking, I like it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HardyBoy Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 17 hours ago, Forlorn hope said: Been seeing the writing on the wall for months. This is a 89 49ers, *98 broncos, 96 Packers, 94 49ers type team. An all time team for one year. Screen name/post combo... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boater Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 18 hours ago, billybrew1 said: LOL! I can’t Billieve that we’re the fav? Wtf is that? Vs. The Super Bowl champs? On the f-fen road? Across the whole freakin’ country? Seems surreal to me…. Still missing Tre and starting a rookie and Dane Jackson? A rookie in his first game on a Thursday night vs. the SB champs? What an outrageous start! Kaiir Elam is going to make a name for himself one way or another. Is Cam going to play? You about summed my concerns up right there. Cooper Kupp v. a rookie and Dane Jackson? 17 better score some points, we're going to need them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott7975 Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I'm not a gambler but if I was I would stay away from this game. Both SB contenders. Week 1's are crazy. Too many unknowns. Good luck to those that do bet. I hope you win a lot! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dean Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 3 hours ago, boater said: You about summed my concerns up right there. Cooper Kupp v. a rookie and Dane Jackson? 17 better score some points, we're going to need them. You do know the Bills don't typically plan man coverage, right? And since Kupp typically lines up in the slot, wouldn't Taron be the primary cover CB if they WERE in man coverage? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Caveman Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 IMO I'd go with Gabe Davis any time TD scorer (was at +145 last I checked.) I think by week 4 that number is going to be consistently right around 100 or even less. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigAl2526 Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 I'm a retired pastor in a denomination that frowns on gambling. Not betting relieves me of any personal pressure. In yahoo pickem, I'll pick the Bills. That's enough for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wppete Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Bills money line. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plenzmd1 Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 (edited) On 9/2/2022 at 9:30 PM, Beast said: Money making season starts in October. i would disagree with wholeheartedly. its known as overreaction week 2 for a reason. I am strictly a dog ML bettor, September is typically my best month, followed by October. 23 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said: I’m seeing a lot of people betting Allen over rushing props. He’s run a lot, and effectively, in big games. This is a big game. But last year he really did not start running until the last 6/7 games of the season it seemed to me. His running props get me nervous. 21 hours ago, NewEra said: You should always bet the NFL home team if the line is +2.5. According to my best friend and meticulous sports bettor, it’s the magic number. That said, I bet Bills money line. As mentioned above, i only bet moneyline dogs. And really love it when most of the money is on the favorite and its a home dog! I have a small bet on the Jets +250 ML as my favorite bet this week.Will see what happens with that line and may bet a bit more later in the week. 85% of the money on the Ravens as of today.Also have them in a 3 team parley bet like 2 months ago...Jets/Panthers/Dolphins. And using that logic would normally be looking at the Rams moneyline play, so i aint betting the Bills /Rams game...have only bet the Bill like 3 times last couple of years. I may play Gabe over 57.5 yards, although think that may be a premium based on all his buzz and the KC game. James Cook has some juice to his numbers, but man McD hates to play rooks all that much if he has a trusted vet, especially at RB...brutal watching the first several games of the 19 season and see an old/ slow Gore getting most of the carries over Motor. Tough game to bet. BTW, for folks that live in legal states with lots of apps, make sure you are using something like Action Network or Oddshark to shop lines before betting. Jets game above goes from +235 to +250 on the sites i can bet on...some still have jets + 6 1/2 instead of 7. If you are betting the line, that's a massive difference. Edited September 4, 2022 by plenzmd1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 14 hours ago, Scott7975 said: I'm not a gambler but if I was I would stay away from this game. Both SB contenders. Week 1's are crazy. Too many unknowns. Good luck to those that do bet. I hope you win a lot! spot on. but 😈 maybe one or two would lose $5000. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nosejob Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 3 hours ago, plenzmd1 said: i would disagree with wholeheartedly. its known as overreaction week 2 for a reason. I am strictly a dog ML bettor, September is typically my best month, followed by October. But last year he really did not start running until the last 6/7 games of the season it seemed to me. His running props get me nervous. As mentioned above, i only bet moneyline dogs. And really love it when most of the money is on the favorite and its a home dog! I have a small bet on the Jets +250 ML as my favorite bet this week.Will see what happens with that line and may bet a bit more later in the week. 85% of the money on the Ravens as of today.Also have them in a 3 team parley bet like 2 months ago...Jets/Panthers/Dolphins. And using that logic would normally be looking at the Rams moneyline play, so i aint betting the Bills /Rams game...have only bet the Bill like 3 times last couple of years. I may play Gabe over 57.5 yards, although think that may be a premium based on all his buzz and the KC game. James Cook has some juice to his numbers, but man McD hates to play rooks all that much if he has a trusted vet, especially at RB...brutal watching the first several games of the 19 season and see an old/ slow Gore getting most of the carries over Motor. Tough game to bet. BTW, for folks that live in legal states with lots of apps, make sure you are using something like Action Network or Oddshark to shop lines before betting. Jets game above goes from +235 to +250 on the sites i can bet on...some still have jets + 6 1/2 instead of 7. If you are betting the line, that's a massive difference. I'm a betting newbie...or would like to check it out. Is Fan Duel or Draft Kings the better choice? Are both good? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILBillsfan Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 I think the play on this game is the under as both teams have good efenses..... But i am staying away from this game for sure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 4 minutes ago, nosejob said: I'm a betting newbie...or would like to check it out. Is Fan Duel or Draft Kings the better choice? Are both good? They are both good. Betting is like making a purchase, need to shop around for the best price. Make accounts on both. When you decide what you want to bet on, see which site is offering better odds and go with that one. Fanduel has a much better app and is more user friendly. Draftkings better with withdrawals. When I request a withdrawal, the money is usually in my bank account within minutes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nosejob Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Just now, Process said: They are both good. Betting is like making a purchase, need to shop around for the best price. Make accounts on both. When you decide what you want to bet on, see which site is offering better odds and go with that one. Fanduel has a much better app and is more user friendly. Draftkings better with withdrawals. When I request a withdrawal, the money is usually in my bank account within minutes. Thank you! Hope I can do this on my laptop. I usually have a personal rule not to bet on the Bills....lest I jinx them, but the same game parlay thing does seem attractive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plenzmd1 Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 Just now, nosejob said: I'm a betting newbie...or would like to check it out. Is Fan Duel or Draft Kings the better choice? Are both good? Both good sites. As a newbie, make sure you go to something like Action Network and click current promotions for the state you in. I preferred the promotions that gave me free bets as opposed to risk free bets. So i think for instance Fanduel in VA is offering today , for new players only, bet $5 on the Fla State game tonight and get $150 in free bets instantly credited to your account. That cash cannot be taken out, it must be used in bets, and usually one has 7 days to place the bets. If you win, you get the winnings, but not the original "free stake". The promos may even get better starting Wednesday of this week cause of the NFL. Fanduel and Draftkings usually operate this way. OTOH, most of the others run "risk free bets" as a promotion. So you could say bet $150 first bet, and if it loses they will credit your account with $150 to be used in more bets. Do these second if you still have winnings from the first free bets and want to continue to bet. Best way to run the promotions game with little risk. And dont forget on those free bet accounts...you can open up accounts in your wifes name, your kids name if they are 21 etc. But open them in subsequent weeks unless ya love a game and want to all the free bets in week 1. You will be asked for proof of residency and ID so dont freak about that stuff, and different states have different rules. For instance, in VA i cannot bet on any college game the involves a college based in VA. PM me with any questions, always willing to help Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 I always bet the Bills with imaginary 💵 💸 Too many variables with points and pushes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nosejob Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, plenzmd1 said: Both good sites. As a newbie, make sure you go to something like Action Network and click current promotions for the state you in. I preferred the promotions that gave me free bets as opposed to risk free bets. So i think for instance Fanduel in VA is offering today , for new players only, bet $5 on the Fla State game tonight and get $150 in free bets instantly credited to your account. That cash cannot be taken out, it must be used in bets, and usually one has 7 days to place the bets. If you win, you get the winnings, but not the original "free stake". The promos may even get better starting Wednesday of this week cause of the NFL. Fanduel and Draftkings usually operate this way. OTOH, most of the others run "risk free bets" as a promotion. So you could say bet $150 first bet, and if it loses they will credit your account with $150 to be used in more bets. Do these second if you still have winnings from the first free bets and want to continue to bet. Best way to run the promotions game with little risk. And dont forget on those free bet accounts...you can open up accounts in your wifes name, your kids name if they are 21 etc. But open them in subsequent weeks unless ya love a game and want to all the free bets in week 1. You will be asked for proof of residency and ID so dont freak about that stuff, and different states have different rules. For instance, in VA i cannot bet on any college game the involves a college based in VA. PM me with any questions, always willing to help Awesome! Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted September 4, 2022 Share Posted September 4, 2022 (edited) I once had a bet with a co-worker Colts fan in the Bills heyday a standing $10 friendly bet. The Bills against the point spread every week because he thought they were overrated After 5 years neither one of us was down more than 20 each season Edited September 4, 2022 by SlimShady'sSpaceForce Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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