cv05 Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 This site is pretty cool - updated already with the 1 o'clock games. http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/billsstandings.html Here are the probabilities of who we'll match up against: (5)Dolphins 10 5 0 43% 43% X (8)Colts 10 5 0 27% 27% X (6)Ravens 10 5 0 17% 17% X (7)Browns 10 5 0 8% 8% X (4)Titans 10 4 0 6% 6% X After the Browns, I honestly can't decide who my first choice is. Dolphins probably, but division games are tough and they have been giving us a challenge. I might rather have the Colts. Regardless, It's looking like a 70% chance its one of those two. I want nothing to do with the Titans or the Ravens. 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALLEN1QB Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 21 minutes ago, cv05 said: This site is pretty cool - updated already with the 1 o'clock games. http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/billsstandings.html Here are the probabilities of who we'll match up against: (5)Dolphins 10 5 0 43% 43% X (8)Colts 10 5 0 27% 27% X (6)Ravens 10 5 0 17% 17% X (7)Browns 10 5 0 8% 8% X (4)Titans 10 4 0 6% 6% X After the Browns, I honestly can't decide who my first choice is. Dolphins probably, but division games are tough and they have been giving us a challenge. I might rather have the Colts. Regardless, It's looking like a 70% chance its one of those two. I want nothing to do with the Titans or the Ravens. I'm with you! Lets hope for a blustery day Fish or Colts will be in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 9 minutes ago, ALLEN1QB said: I'm with you! Lets hope for a blustery day Fish or Colts will be in trouble. could you imagine Tua throwing more than 8 or 9 yards downfield on a cold, windy day in Orchard Park? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Red King Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 After the early games the AFC wild card situation is an absolute mess with four teams tied at 10-5. It's not only a toss up as to who makes it in, but also where. Week 17 just got a lot more fun to watch. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cv05 Posted December 27, 2020 Author Share Posted December 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, The Red King said: After the early games the AFC wild card situation is an absolute mess with four teams tied at 10-5. It's not only a toss up as to who makes it in, but also where. Week 17 just got a lot more fun to watch. Yeah, it's pretty wild how it's all shaping up. The AFC is a shark tank. Lots of good, solid teams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dma0034 Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 How they are listed: Dolphins, Colts, Ravens, Browns, Titans is exactly the order of who I want the Bills to play in the first round 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 1 hour ago, cv05 said: This site is pretty cool - updated already with the 1 o'clock games. http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/billsstandings.html Here are the probabilities of who we'll match up against: (5)Dolphins 10 5 0 43% 43% X (8)Colts 10 5 0 27% 27% X (6)Ravens 10 5 0 17% 17% X (7)Browns 10 5 0 8% 8% X (4)Titans 10 4 0 6% 6% X After the Browns, I honestly can't decide who my first choice is. Dolphins probably, but division games are tough and they have been giving us a challenge. I might rather have the Colts. Regardless, It's looking like a 70% chance its one of those two. I want nothing to do with the Titans or the Ravens. this is interesting, but ultimately unreliable given how many week 17 games are total toss-ups. I could see titans/Texans, bills/dolphins, and Steelers/browns going either way. All division games. that said, I believe a browns win will provide a clear path to us likely playing them or the Colts in the 2-7 game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cv05 Posted December 27, 2020 Author Share Posted December 27, 2020 5 minutes ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said: this is interesting, but ultimately unreliable given how many week 17 games are total toss-ups. I could see titans/Texans, bills/dolphins, and Steelers/browns going either way. All division games. that said, I believe a browns win will provide a clear path to us likely playing them or the Colts in the 2-7 game. Well, it's not unreliable. There are just lots of possible outcomes. The Browns are the 2nd least likely outcome. 13 minutes ago, dma0034 said: How they are listed: Dolphins, Colts, Ravens, Browns, Titans is exactly the order of who I want the Bills to play in the first round Agreed mostly. It's shaping up pretty good for the bills if you ask me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 Anyone but the Ravens and Titans. Those two are a cut above the others. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 Hopefully packers win, we clinch at least the 3 seed with a win tomorrow, can rest starters week 17 and let the rest fall into place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan130 Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 1 minute ago, Process said: Hopefully packers win, we clinch at least the 3 seed with a win tomorrow, can rest starters week 17 and let the rest fall into place. You would rest the starters with a 2 seed on the line? Im not sure I would. I know it’s not the same as the past with the bye week/packed stadium, but it’s still potentially an extra game at home. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
singlezero Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 2 hours ago, Process said: Hopefully packers win, we clinch at least the 3 seed with a win tomorrow, can rest starters week 17 and let the rest fall into place. yes i think the best thing is to make sure we knock the dolphins out . we let them win with resting our starters and it might bite us in the rear in the first round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punching Bag Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 6 minutes ago, MJS said: Anyone but the Ravens and Titans. Those two are a cut above the others. They are like Black Plague rats - rodents carrying diseases. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTbills Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 1 hour ago, RiotAct said: could you imagine Tua throwing more than 8 or 9 yards downfield on a cold, windy day in Orchard Park? No, but I could imagine Fitz doing so... and Flores has shown multiple times he has no problem yanking Tua for Fitz. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Fischer Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 I’m pretty sure If the Bills win out, they will not play the Ravens nor Titans in the 1st round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dkollidas Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 16 minutes ago, Max Fischer said: I’m pretty sure If the Bills win out, they will not play the Ravens nor Titans in the 1st round. That would be optimal... and hopefully the Titans and Ravens would play each other... get at least one of them out of the way. Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Miami and Indianapolis do not scare me much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Fischer Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 22 minutes ago, Dkollidas said: That would be optimal... and hopefully the Titans and Ravens would play each other... get at least one of them out of the way. Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Miami and Indianapolis do not scare me much. I should have added, this assumes Ravens beat Cincy and Titans win either at GB or Hou. On second thought, there are too many variables but still think it’s best Bills win out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buffaloboyinATL Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 2 hours ago, RiotAct said: could you imagine Tua throwing more than 8 or 9 yards downfield on a cold, windy day in Orchard Park? You know we would see Fitzy at some point if that was the case. They seem willing to pull Tua if needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Da webster guy Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 hour ago, BillsFan130 said: You would rest the starters with a 2 seed on the line? Im not sure I would. I know it’s not the same as the past with the bye week/packed stadium, but it’s still potentially an extra game at home. Wish the league wld Flex us vs Miami to late game in case Pitt loses we would clinch 2 seed before kickoff assuming we beat Pats tmrw. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steptide Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 My brain can't handle anymore "scenarios" today. Just go out and win buffalo and let it take care of itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bferra13 Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 12 minutes ago, Steptide said: My brain can't handle anymore "scenarios" today. Just go out and win buffalo and let it take care of itself Exactly, just win tomorrow and go from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshAllin Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 (edited) Looks like ravens are guaranteed a 5th or 6th spot with a win, so bills want that 2 spot as well Edited December 28, 2020 by motorj 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giuseppe Tognarelli Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 This is pretty crazy. Soooooo if we lose both, likely play MIA. Win both, likely play IND. Lose to NE only, likely play IND. Lose to MIA only, likely play CLE. It appears that losing both might give us best matchup! In that scenario, 6-BAL probably beats 3-TEN, meaning we play PIT in Divisional just the same as other scenarios except game is in PIT. Of course, I want to win both. It's just crazy that losing both COULD be more favorable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Royale with Cheese Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Why are people saying the Steelers will probably rest their starters? They are still playing for the #2 seed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 (edited) 14 minutes ago, Royale with Cheese said: Why are people saying the Steelers will probably rest their starters? They are still playing for the #2 seed. Because the 2 seed doesn't matter. TBD is obsessed with it, and can't grasp the idea, but it does not matter. At least as far as being worth risking the health of your starters. Bills will do the same if they win tomorrow. Edited December 28, 2020 by Process Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Royale with Cheese Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 10 minutes ago, Process said: Because the 2 seed doesn't matter. TBD is obsessed with it, but it does not matter. At least as far as being worth risking the health of your starters. Bills will do the same if they win tomorrow. The #2 seed means two home playoff games I believe....have to win of course. There is some matter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeGOATski Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 11 minutes ago, Process said: Why? Because its looking more likely that they'll rest starters? 1 minute ago, Royale with Cheese said: The #2 seed means two home playoff games I believe....have to win of course. There is some matter. And playing a lower seeded/theoretically worse team 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Just now, LeGOATski said: Why? Because its looking more likely that they'll rest starters? Yes. Obviously if starters are playing the line is not -1.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giuseppe Tognarelli Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 (edited) 11 minutes ago, ScottLaw said: Good news... so no way we play Baltimore. There is still a way: Bills beat NE, lose to MIA, and PIT beats CLE 18 minutes ago, Process said: Because the 2 seed doesn't matter. TBD is obsessed with it, and can't grasp the idea, but it does not matter. At least as far as being worth risking the health of your starters. Bills will do the same if they win tomorrow. What are you smoking? Get #2 and you have 0% chance of playing Baltimore, and you're hosting the Steelers in the Divisional instead of going on the road. Sorry @Royale with Cheese, accidentally quoted you Edited December 28, 2020 by Giuseppe Tognarelli 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bills6969 Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 (edited) It’s crazy how we could potentially have an 11-5 team miss the playoffs. When was the last time that has happened. Meanwhile, we could have a 6-10 team make playoffs (NFC East champ). regardless of who we play in first round, it will be a tough game. I would prefer that we don’t play Miami because divisional games are always tough in playoffs. Edited December 28, 2020 by bills6969 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 19 minutes ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said: There is still a way: Bills beat NE, lose to MIA, and PIT beats CLE What are you smoking? Get #2 and you have 0% chance of playing Baltimore, and you're hosting the Steelers in the Divisional instead of going on the road. Sorry @Royale with Cheese, accidentally quoted you 🤦♂️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Penfield45 Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 33 minutes ago, ScottLaw said: Good news... so no way we play Baltimore. not true at all if we split the next two games and Pittsburg wins we play the ravens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 47 minutes ago, Process said: Because the 2 seed doesn't matter. TBD is obsessed with it, and can't grasp the idea, but it does not matter. At least as far as being worth risking the health of your starters. Bills will do the same if they win tomorrow. I am curious why you say that. The Pittsburgh newspapers are making the same point, suggesting that the Steelers will rest their starters next week. i would think with re-seeding, the 2 seed guarantees not seeing the chiefs until the AFC championship. That would seem like one reason to play for the 2 seed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubes Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 29 minutes ago, bills6969 said: It’s crazy how we could potentially have an 11-5 team miss the playoffs. When was the last time that has happened. I seem to recall the last time the Pats**** were without Brady, they went 11-5 and missed the playoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
syhuang Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said: i would think with re-seeding, the 2 seed guarantees not seeing the chiefs until the AFC championship. That would seem like one reason to play for the 2 seed. Doesn’t 3 seed also guarantee not seeing Chiefs until AFC championship game? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubes Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said: i would think with re-seeding, the 2 seed guarantees not seeing the chiefs until the AFC championship. That would seem like one reason to play for the 2 seed. The other benefit is, if someone happens to knock off the Chiefs, we would have home field throughout. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 (edited) The Browns loss changes everything. If we win out we're the 2 seed. The Colts will beat the Jags. Tennessee will beat Houston. Baltimore is going to win. So the big game is Cleveland at Pittsburgh. If Pittsburgh wins and those games go as predicted: 1. Chiefs 2. Bills 3. Steelers 4. Titans 5. Ravens 6. Dolphins 7. Colts If the Browns win the Colts are out and the Wild Cards would be: EDIT: Dolphins would be out if we beat them, forgot that. 5. Ravens 6. Browns 7. Colts Edited December 28, 2020 by Big Blitz 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said: I am curious why you say that. The Pittsburgh newspapers are making the same point, suggesting that the Steelers will rest their starters next week. i would think with re-seeding, the 2 seed guarantees not seeing the chiefs until the AFC championship. That would seem like one reason to play for the 2 seed. The 3 seed is also guaranteed not to see the chiefs until the afccg. That's why locking up at least the 3 seed is important. 2 seed is not (this year because no home field advantage). Both bills and steelers are locked into 2 or 3 seeds assuming we win tomorrow. 1 minute ago, syhuang said: Doesn’t 3 seed also guarantee not seeing Chiefs until AFC championship game? Yes Edited December 28, 2020 by Process Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, Process said: The 3 seed is also guaranteed not to see the chiefs until the afccg. That's why locking up at least the 3 seed is important. 2 seed is not (this year because no home field advantage). Both bills and steelers are locked into 2 or 3 seeds assuming we win tomorrow. Yes Doh! You’re right! Interesting. Given no fans, it seems like possible home field in the AFC championship probably is largely worthless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Do The Reich Thing Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 21 minutes ago, Big Blitz said: The Browns loss changes everything. If we win out we're the 2 seed. The Colts will beat the Jags. Tennessee will beat Houston. Baltimore is going to win. So the big game is Cleveland at Pittsburgh. If Pittsburgh wins and those games go as predicted: 1. Chiefs 2. Bills 3. Steelers 4. Titans 5. Ravens 6. Dolphins 7. Colts If the Browns win the Colts are out and the Wild Cards would be: 5. Ravens 6. Browns 7. Dolphins This is wrong. If we win out and scenario two happens the Dolphins are out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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