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Josh Allen month - star potential


rayray808

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12/8 - vs Ravens and Lamar Jackson the front runner for MVP

12/15 - vs Steelers on NBC Sunday Night Football

12/21 - vs Patriots moved to Saturday game and possibly for the division, #1 seed, and home field through the playoffs

12/29 - vs Jets in the season finale vs Darnold and crew - this game will have either 0 meaning or could decide our playoff fate should we drop 3 in a row

 

Lots of eyes in meaningful games = the potential for a star to be born.

 

What I am most excited about is that Josh Allen doesnʻt have to throw for 300+ yards and 3+ TDʻs but rather keep his completion % high, and minimize the INTʻs and fumbles. With our defense playing the way they are, the Wʻs will be the result.

 

2 reasons why this is HUGE for us:

1) Locking in a playoff spot, and gaining momentum as the post season begins. This was supposed to be the developmental year, however we now have the chance to actually make a nice run. For a sophomore QB to be in this position it definitely helps him progress along to be a potential franchise QB. 

2) Free agency commercial appeal. That 4th and 1 play when Josh did what he did vs Dallas it sent a message to the league that he has the grit to lead a team a win. If he can replicate moments like that over this final stretch, win or lose, there will be many around the league who will no longer SETTLE to come and play in Buffalo but rather REQUEST to come and play with this team.

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I am excited and nervous. He's coming off a three game stretch that is by far his best ever, and is downright elite (and has happened against teams that are decent-great defensively): 

 

672 yards, 67%, 6:1 ratio, 155 rushing yards with 2 td's, no fumbles (unless you want to count the snap, which he recovered). 28 PPG, 3-0. 

 

Across 16 games that looks like this: 

 

3,584, 67%, 32:5, 827rush, 10td's. 

 

 

All that to say, I'm interested to see if this is his emergence as the Guy we've all dreamed he can be, if this is just a flash in the pan and he'll regress, or if he'll settle somewhere in the middle... I personally think we're going to see an above average QB the rest of the way. 

 

 

Edited by whatdrought
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2 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

I am excited and nervous. He's coming off a three game stretch that is by far his best ever, and is downright elite (and has happened against teams that are decent-great defensively): 

 

672 yards, 67%, 6:1 ratio, 155 rushing yards with 2 td's, no fumbles (unless you want to count the snap, which he recovered). 28 PPG, 3-0. 

 

Across 16 games that looks like this: 

 

3,584, 67%, 32:5, 827rush, 10td's. 

 

 

All that to say, I'm interested to see if this is his emergence as the Guy we've all dreamed he can be, if this is just a flash in the pan and he'll regress, or if he'll settle somewhere in the middle... I personally think we're going to see an above average QB the rest of the way. 

 

 

Stats are one thing, but he looks comfortable and in control. There was only one time I felt he missed a pressure the Cowboys threw at him. How refreshing was it to hear Romo say if this guy comes on the blitz the ball should be out quick. Allen did it exactly as Romo said he threw it to Singletary instead of Beasley, but ball came out hot and on time. 

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5 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

I am excited and nervous. He's coming off a three game stretch that is by far his best ever, and is downright elite (and has happened against teams that are decent-great defensively): 

 

672 yards, 67%, 6:1 ratio, 155 rushing yards with 2 td's, no fumbles (unless you want to count the snap, which he recovered). 28 PPG, 3-0. 

 

Across 16 games that looks like this: 

 

3,584, 67%, 32:5, 827rush, 10td's. 

 

 

All that to say, I'm interested to see if this is his emergence as the Guy we've all dreamed he can be, if this is just a flash in the pan and he'll regress, or if he'll settle somewhere in the middle... I personally think we're going to see an above average QB the rest of the way. 

 

 

All this and the deep ball hasn't still been there much except 1 or 2 times. Once he learns to get some air under those balls, look out.

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2 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

Stats are one thing, but he looks comfortable and in control. There was only one time I felt he missed a pressure the Cowboys threw at him. How refreshing was it to hear Romo say if this guy comes on the blitz the ball should be out quick. Allen did it exactly as Romo said he threw it to Singletary instead of Beasley, but ball came out hot and on time. 

 

So true. He looks as elite as his stats show. We're winning these games because Josh is carrying our team, not the other way around. 

 

2 minutes ago, Bferra13 said:

All this and the deep ball hasn't still been there much except 1 or 2 times. Once he learns to get some air under those balls, look out.

 

It more less has been... The shot to Brown vs. Miami was sorta a deep ball, but was a lazer, and the shot to Brown against Denver was textbook. That being said, I think he's only missed one deep shot these three weeks? I think that's something that will start cooking as the season goes on. 

Edited by whatdrought
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No pressure Josh.  He's still a 2nd year starter and he's going to go through ups and downs as these next three defenses will be the best he faces all year.  Especially at Pittsburgh and New England.  Any possible free agent that has their doubts about his ability though watched the Cowboys game and those doubts should've been removed.

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4 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

 

So true. He looks as elite as his stats show. We're winning these games because Josh is carrying our team, not the other way around. 

 

 

It more less has been... The shot to Brown vs. Miami was sorta a deep ball, but was a lazer, and the shot to Brown against Denver was textbook. That being said, I think he's only missed one deep shot these three weeks? I think that's something that will start cooking as the season goes on. 

Yeah, but watch Watson some time. I know that guy has better suited receivers for the deep ball, but man he puts them in there nicely. That's what I'm talking about. Josh is not there yet.

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1 minute ago, Bferra13 said:

Yeah, but watch Watson some time. I know that guy has better suited receivers for the deep ball, but man he puts them in there nicely. That's what I'm talking about. Josh is not there yet.

 

No, he isn't. Watson is one of maybe 3 QB's who hit deep balls that consistently well (Mahomes, Wilson) as the other two. Josh can do it, as he's shown, and I think he'll continue to improve. It's pretty low on the list of "necessary skills" for a QB. 

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1 minute ago, whatdrought said:

 

No, he isn't. Watson is one of maybe 3 QB's who hit deep balls that consistently well (Mahomes, Wilson) as the other two. Josh can do it, as he's shown, and I think he'll continue to improve. It's pretty low on the list of "necessary skills" for a QB. 

Agreed, I honestly think it's more of a trajectory thing and pretty easily fixable.put a little more touch on em. Itll come. That's how those guys pad their stats.

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Just now, Bferra13 said:

Agreed, I honestly think it's more of a trajectory thing and pretty easily fixable.put a little more touch on em. Itll come. That's how those guys pad their stats.

 

Yep. It'll also help to have someone who can go down field and compete for the football- not just run by guys. Josh might not be as good at putting it in a 1 yard window, over the shoulder, leading the WR perfectly. But he can put it in the range of a big receiver with a wide catch radius,  which we don't have now. 

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Allen's stats look even better when you look at the entire month of november:

 

62% completion | 259 total yards a game | 2.4 TD's a game | .2 Turnovers a game | 24.6 PPG | 4-1 record

 

 

4 minutes ago, thenorthremembers said:

A couple weeks ago looked at him compared with the rest of the quarterbacks in the league and thought he was playing top 15.   After the last two games he is creeping into the top ten.   That said, the focus is winning one game and getting into the playoffs.  Just win one game.

 

After that, win one game.

 

After that, win one game.

 

After that, win one game. 

 

After that, win one game. 

 

After that, win one game.

 

After that, win one game.

 

After that, win one game. 

Edited by whatdrought
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4 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

Allen's stats look even better when you look at the entire month of november:

 

62% completion | 259 total yards a game | 2.4 TD's a game | .2 Turnovers a game | 24.6 PPG | 4-1 record

 

 

Wow... I went to look at Lamar's stats for the past five games as well, just for fun- not to take anything away from Josh, but damn:

 

75% completion | 257 total yards a game | 3.6 TD's a game | .2 Turnovers a game | 38.4 PPG | 5-0 record

 

It's worth noting that I know the Defense has scored some of those points, whereas the Bills offense has scored all of ours. 

 

Interesting that the Turnovers are the same, and that the yards per game are actually lower.... That TD number is insane though.

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I feel like the dude really thrives in high pressure situations and as we move into December and look ahead to January, the pressure is only gonna increase. I don't wanna crown him and say he's arrived as he still has things to improve, but the last three games definitely make it difficult NOT to believe he can be the guy. Just keep it rollin'. 

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47 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

I am excited and nervous. He's coming off a three game stretch that is by far his best ever, and is downright elite (and has happened against teams that are decent-great defensively): 

 

672 yards, 67%, 6:1 ratio, 155 rushing yards with 2 td's, no fumbles (unless you want to count the snap, which he recovered). 28 PPG, 3-0. 

 

Across 16 games that looks like this: 

 

3,584, 67%, 32:5, 827rush, 10td's. 

 

 

All that to say, I'm interested to see if this is his emergence as the Guy we've all dreamed he can be, if this is just a flash in the pan and he'll regress, or if he'll settle somewhere in the middle... I personally think we're going to see an above average QB the rest of the way. 

 

 


I’m with you there! I thought this was going to be about NOVEMBER, not December. Please just keep this up! 

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1 hour ago, rayray808 said:

2) Free agency commercial appeal. That 4th and 1 play when Josh did what he did vs Dallas it sent a message to the league that he has the grit to lead a team a win. If he can replicate moments like that over this final stretch, win or lose, there will be many around the league who will no longer SETTLE to come and play in Buffalo but rather REQUEST to come and play with this team.

 

SIGN BIG STUFF JORDAN PHILLIPS TO A MULTI YEAR DEAL. He's a frickin monster and he's the funniest damn player!

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1 hour ago, rayray808 said:

12/8 - vs Ravens and Lamar Jackson the front runner for MVP

12/15 - vs Steelers on NBC Sunday Night Football

12/21 - vs Patriots moved to Saturday game and possibly for the division, #1 seed, and home field through the playoffs

12/29 - vs Jets in the season finale vs Darnold and crew - this game will have either 0 meaning or could decide our playoff fate should we drop 3 in a row

 

Lots of eyes in meaningful games = the potential for a star to be born.

 

What I am most excited about is that Josh Allen doesnʻt have to throw for 300+ yards and 3+ TDʻs but rather keep his completion % high, and minimize the INTʻs and fumbles. With our defense playing the way they are, the Wʻs will be the result.

 

2 reasons why this is HUGE for us:

1) Locking in a playoff spot, and gaining momentum as the post season begins. This was supposed to be the developmental year, however we now have the chance to actually make a nice run. For a sophomore QB to be in this position it definitely helps him progress along to be a potential franchise QB. 

2) Free agency commercial appeal. That 4th and 1 play when Josh did what he did vs Dallas it sent a message to the league that he has the grit to lead a team a win. If he can replicate moments like that over this final stretch, win or lose, there will be many around the league who will no longer SETTLE to come and play in Buffalo but rather REQUEST to come and play with this team.

Don't rush it man!

 

You know I'm the biggest JA fan on the board.  Too much too soon can kill it too.  I'm gong to manage my expectations so as not to create disappointment for me.  Cautious optimism...

1 hour ago, TPS said:

I think the Bills and Josh are going to have crack 30 points to beat the Ravens...

Six long and sustained drives.  Three TDs, three FGs, no punts, winning the TOS.  I like it.

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20 minutes ago, Pokebball said:

 

Six long and sustained drives.  Three TDs, three FGs, no punts, winning the TOS.  I like it.

Yeah, I was thinking about this, the Belichick method for stopping the Bills in the first Super Bowl.

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2 hours ago, rayray808 said:

12/8 - vs Ravens and Lamar Jackson the front runner for MVP

12/15 - vs Steelers on NBC Sunday Night Football

12/21 - vs Patriots moved to Saturday game and possibly for the division, #1 seed, and home field through the playoffs

12/29 - vs Jets in the season finale vs Darnold and crew - this game will have either 0 meaning or could decide our playoff fate should we drop 3 in a row

 

Lots of eyes in meaningful games = the potential for a star to be born.

 

What I am most excited about is that Josh Allen doesnʻt have to throw for 300+ yards and 3+ TDʻs but rather keep his completion % high, and minimize the INTʻs and fumbles. With our defense playing the way they are, the Wʻs will be the result.

 

2 reasons why this is HUGE for us:

1) Locking in a playoff spot, and gaining momentum as the post season begins. This was supposed to be the developmental year, however we now have the chance to actually make a nice run. For a sophomore QB to be in this position it definitely helps him progress along to be a potential franchise QB. 

2) Free agency commercial appeal. That 4th and 1 play when Josh did what he did vs Dallas it sent a message to the league that he has the grit to lead a team a win. If he can replicate moments like that over this final stretch, win or lose, there will be many around the league who will no longer SETTLE to come and play in Buffalo but rather REQUEST to come and play with this team.

Great Points OP:

 

Toss in the fact that not only do we have a talented QB, but our injury report is typically one of the shortest in the league week in and week out. That current FA signees like Brown and Beasley, have raved about the training/medical facilities at OBD, being the best in the league. Not only keeping them on the field but also extending their careers.

 

all arrows pointing up for JA and the organization. If it's a year early so be it. Everything that transpires the rest of this season will carry over to other seasons in the future.

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5 hours ago, blacklabel said:

I feel like the dude really thrives in high pressure situations and as we move into December and look ahead to January, the pressure is only gonna increase. I don't wanna crown him and say he's arrived as he still has things to improve, but the last three games definitely make it difficult NOT to believe he can be the guy. Just keep it rollin'. 

   Not picking on you but remember a few short years ago when there were multiple 30 page long threads about how TT was/wasn’t a potential long term starter? The fights on those threads as posters vehemently defended him?

    JA is clearly a starting level QB if TT was?

    Crown him! 
    He absolutely lost his mind and crapped the bed in the first NE game. The coaches reeled him in and made him go back to square one. He made a few “ Hero ball” throws in those next few games and then those disappeared.

    He, the Offense itself, Daboll up in the booth, it’s all finally coming together at just the right time in the season. And, nobody nationally is buying it which I love. 
    This whole league is schizophrenic in terms of multiple teams up and down play and our steady growth is able to hide within it.

    I said in another thread, his growth won’t be linear and he could have another bad game but he’s got the “ Want to”, the tools and the “ It” factor which he demonstrated Thursday.

    I’m not expecting a win next week but neither am I sure of a loss against one of the two or three best teams in this league. It’s been DECADES since I felt this way.

Edited by Buffalo Boy
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Some ups and downs are still to be expected.  He's been playing great the last three games.  I hope it continues, of course.

 

Either way, this stretch has (I hope) convinced Beane he does actually have the QB he needs.  No need to spend a high pick on another QB in case Allen doesn't work out, which at the beginning of the season was a possibility.  Allen could just as easily have gone south as north -- we've seen that happen a lot.  Not this time.

 

So, getting FAs to Buffalo will get easier, WRs will be fighting each other to come catch his passes, and the draft can be used to continue the building process.  Happy days.

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Every four games have star potential, really. Or maybe more like "the very first little fragment of a star being born" potential, anyway.

 

Allen has to play well. Same as always. Maybe more people will become aware of it if more are watching.

 

Bottom line, though, is that it takes consistency over a long period of time to become a star. Remember how Derek Carr was a star and then wasn't. Remember how Matt Schaub was a star and then wasn't. Neither did it for long enough or consistently enough. Four games is an eyeblink in a football career. It might be when people notice progress but that's only a big deal to people desperate to be noticed.

 

 

 

Oh, and free agents will come here for the same reason 95% of those decisions are made ... money.

Edited by Thurman#1
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