Tolstoy Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 (edited) My apologies if this is in another thread somewhere, but it occurred to me that Daboll may have a mandate to develop Josh Allen as a QB at virtually all costs, even if it means possibly risking wins this season. The reasoning would be that we are very unlikely to win without more talent and experience anyhow, and we will need a top flight QB to win in future years. We are better off developing an elite QB, instead of squeaking out every victory we can, only to never win the big prize because we lack the QB we need. This would explain why we opened the season with 18 straight passes, as if Daboll was intentionally trying to get Allen into a rhythm regardless of what might be more likely to succeed. It explains why the Bills are so reluctant to become a running team, even though it seems like running the ball more might lead to more wins. It even explains why Allen has played more conservatively of late--because not playing hero-ball and becoming more turnover free is essential to a top flight QB. I expect that now that he has (arguably) gone too far towards playing conservatively, they will try to nudge him back towards playing more aggressively. In short, I am suggesting that Beane, McDermott and Daboll are all on the same page here--a long game strategy of developing an elite NFL QB . The wins and losses this season are secondary. Part of me has doubts about this perspective, because so many careers depend upon winning and losing right now--both players and coaches. It is hard for me to believe that they are not doing whatever they can to win right now. But when I see what they are doing with Allen and the running game etc., I can't help but think I am right. Edited November 14, 2019 by Tolstoy 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
elijah Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 The theories not too far off, however the wording and title is going to get you eaten alive by some of the members on the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BringBackOrton Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 If that’s the case, they are doing it exactly right. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dablitzkrieg Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 8 minutes ago, Tolstoy said: My apologies if this is in another thread somewhere, but it occurred to me that Daboll may have a mandate to develop Josh Allen as a QB at virtually all costs, even if it means possibly risking wins this season. The reasoning would be that we are very unlikely to win without more talent and experience anyhow, and we will need a top flight QB to win in future years. We are better off developing an elite QB, instead of squeaking out every victory we can, only to never with the big prize because we lack the QB we need. This would explain why we opened the season with 18 straight passes, as if Daboll was intentionally trying to get Allen into a rhythm regardless of what might be more likely to succeed. It explains why the Bills are so reluctant to become a running team, even though it seems like running the ball more might lead to more wins. It even explains why Allen has played more conservatively of late--because not playing hero-ball and becoming more turnover free is essential to a top flight QB. I expect that now that he has (arguably) gone too far towards playing conservatively, they will try to nudge him back towards playing more aggressively. In short, I am suggesting that Beane, McDermott and Daboll are all on the same page here--a long game strategy of developing an elite NFL QB . The wins and losses this season are secondary. Part of me has doubts about this perspective, because so many careers depend upon winning and losing right now--both players and coaches. It is hard for me to believe that they are not doing whatever they can to win right now. But when I see what they are doing with Allen and the running game etc., I can't help but think I am right. Absolutely not what is happening 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sven233 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 (edited) It's a passing league. You pass to score points. I have no problem with them passing the ball a lot and trying to win that way. It's time for the Buffalo Bills to step out of the dark ages and try and compete in a league that is passing them by......literally. Now, does that mean they are using all these throws correctly? NO!!!! Most every pass is being designed for WRs to hook up, square in or square out to the sidelines, and come back to the ball. They are hardly running enough plays that are designed to get run after the catch which is how a lot of offenses put up big passing numbers. Now, I don't know if this is because they have determined Allen can't throw slants, crossers, etc. effectively enough on a regular basis or if this is just the general scheme of our offense in general. But whatever. We have a long way to go on offense whichever way you want to put it. But, I have absolutely no problem with trying to light up the scoreboard throwing the ball all over the place. We've had 20 years of ground and pound and it has gotten us nothing. But, with the offense the way it is designed, and the lack of overall talent on the offensive side of the ball outside a few guys, I'm not sure our version of this passing offense will work. But, I have no problems with them trying to build an offense around the passing game in general. Edited November 13, 2019 by sven233 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaos Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Another equally likely theory is that Daboll is just not very good as an OC. Again, only a theory. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bangarang Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 You should call WGR and float this theory by Schopp 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
US Egg Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Where’s a moderator when you need one ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolstoy Posted November 14, 2019 Author Share Posted November 14, 2019 34 minutes ago, sven233 said: It's a passing league. You pass to score points. I have no problem with them passing the ball a lot and trying to win that way. It's time for the Buffalo Bills to step out of the dark ages and try and compete in a league that is passing them by......literally. Now, does that mean they are using all these throws correctly? NO!!!! Most every pass is being designed for WRs to hook up, square in or square out to the sidelines, and come back to the ball. They are hardly running enough plays that are designed to get run after the catch which is how a lot of offenses put up big passing numbers. Now, I don't know if this is because they have determined Allen can't throw slants, crossers, etc. effectively enough on a regular basis or if this is just the general scheme of our offense in general. But whatever. We have a long way to go on offense whichever way you want to put it. But, I have absolutely no problem with trying to light up the scoreboard throwing the ball all over the place. We've had 20 years of ground and pound and it has gotten us nothing. But, with the offense the way it is designed, and the lack of overall talent on the offensive side of the ball outside a few guys, I'm not sure our version of this passing offense will work. But, I have no problems with them trying to build an offense around the passing game in general. I agree with this. But Allen may not be good enough yet to win with this approach. I think they know that but want to develop him anyhow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ramza86 Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Honestly I thought that was the plan since preseason. Once i saw how much the short pass was emphasized...it looked like getting Allen better was the reason for the season. We just happened to go on a roll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 44 minutes ago, Dablitzkrieg said: Absolutely not what is happening These conspiracy theories get more and more interesting every day... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steptide Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 May be true, but I don't think you have to be so conservative on offense. If you're playing to develop Allen, open it up a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 7 minutes ago, Steptide said: May be true, but I don't think you have to be so conservative on offense. If you're playing to develop Allen, open it up a little What do you mean by “open it up”? He passed 41 times, and handed off 14 times. What do you want? I really don’t understand, not trying to be a jerk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolstoy Posted November 14, 2019 Author Share Posted November 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, Augie said: What do you mean by “open it up”? He passed 41 times, and handed off 14 times. What do you want? I really don’t understand, not trying to be a jerk. It is strange, but despite throwing 41 passes the offense still seems a bit conservative. I am no expert, but the majority of the passes are short or mid-range, and many of them seem to wait until the receiver shows himself open. There are very few high risk throws. The long balls (as pointed out in another thread) seem to be too long as if to prevent against possible underthrown and intercepted balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Tolstoy said: It is strange, but despite throwing 41 passes the offense still seems a bit conservative. I am no expert, but the majority of the passes are short or mid-range, and many of them seem to wait until the receiver shows himself open. There are very few high risk throws. The long balls (as pointed out in another thread) seem to be too long as if to prevent against possible underthrown and intercepted balls. Yes, I think that perception is indeed very strange. They throw short, intermediate and far too often, far too long (like 5-10 yards too long!). A balanced attack playing like a real NFL QB would, IMO, be the best thing to develop Allen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steptide Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 17 minutes ago, Augie said: What do you mean by “open it up”? He passed 41 times, and handed off 14 times. What do you want? I really don’t understand, not trying to be a jerk. More play action maybe. More screens maybe. The passing game seems to be pretty one dimensional. I'm just thinking if you're trying to develop Allen, let him learn how to do everything. Maybe take more deep shots, more than 1 or 2 times a game anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOUSE Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, matter2003 said: These conspiracy theories get more and more interesting every day... Somebody was stealing an extra dish of strawberrys and I can prove it.. 4 Edited November 14, 2019 by HOUSE 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolstoy Posted November 14, 2019 Author Share Posted November 14, 2019 10 minutes ago, Augie said: Yes, I think that perception is indeed very strange. They throw short, intermediate and far too often, far too long (like 5-10 yards too long!). A balanced attack playing like a real NFL QB would, IMO, be the best thing to develop Allen. Ha! I get your sarcasm. But you have to agree that our offense is not anywhere near explosive. Would you blame that simply on execution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, Steptide said: More play action maybe. More screens maybe. The passing game seems to be pretty one dimensional. I'm just thinking if you're trying to develop Allen, let him learn how to do everything. Maybe take more deep shots, more than 1 or 2 times a game anyway I agree on more play action, but that works better if you actually run the ball. I’d love more screens, not sure why that is so hard for us. But it’s great when it works. I don’t need any greater frequency on the deep shots until we get the rest worked out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 1 hour ago, Tolstoy said: My apologies if this is in another thread somewhere, but it occurred to me that Daboll may have a mandate to develop Josh Allen as a QB at virtually all costs, even if it means possibly risking wins this season. The reasoning would be that we are very unlikely to win without more talent and experience anyhow, and we will need a top flight QB to win in future years. We are better off developing an elite QB, instead of squeaking out every victory we can, only to never win the big prize because we lack the QB we need. This would explain why we opened the season with 18 straight passes, as if Daboll was intentionally trying to get Allen into a rhythm regardless of what might be more likely to succeed. It explains why the Bills are so reluctant to become a running team, even though it seems like running the ball more might lead to more wins. It even explains why Allen has played more conservatively of late--because not playing hero-ball and becoming more turnover free is essential to a top flight QB. I expect that now that he has (arguably) gone too far towards playing conservatively, they will try to nudge him back towards playing more aggressively. In short, I am suggesting that Beane, McDermott and Daboll are all on the same page here--a long game strategy of developing an elite NFL QB . The wins and losses this season are secondary. Part of me has doubts about this perspective, because so many careers depend upon winning and losing right now--both players and coaches. It is hard for me to believe that they are not doing whatever they can to win right now. But when I see what they are doing with Allen and the running game etc., I can't help but think I am right. So the Bills catching staff has developed a new way to "develop an elite QB" that doesn't need or consider winning games? Anyway, the Bills are 21st in pass attempts and 11th in rushing attempts. Wouldn't it be better to surround the developing QB with adequate Offensive skill position players? This thread is mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOUSE Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 1 hour ago, Mr. WEO said: So the Bills catching staff has developed a new way to "develop an elite QB" that doesn't need or consider winning games? Anyway, the Bills are 21st in pass attempts and 11th in rushing attempts. Wouldn't it be better to surround the developing QB with adequate Offensive skill position players? This thread is mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billever76 Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 2 hours ago, Augie said: What do you mean by “open it up”? He passed 41 times, and handed off 14 times. What do you want? I really don’t understand, not trying to be a jerk. I think he would mean to allow allen to play his natural ways..allen seems a sec off both running and passing this year..he has been coached to not turn it over,dont be quick to run,slide before contact,stay in the pocket dont roll out etc....he is being turned into a system qb amd the system he has been playing seems broken..now im aware we have critics who will bring up the deep ball,the missing wide recievers,failing to diagnose where the pressure is etc..but its allens 2nd year and its dabolls 6 or 7th as an nfl coordinator..he owns the #20 offense as his best..has two 32 ranked..a 29th ranked and the nfls lowest scoring offense with the 12 chiefs....let allen be allen not what dumbell is turning him into Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, Billever76 said: I think he would mean to allow allen to play his natural ways..allen seems a sec off both running and passing this year..he has been coached to not turn it over,dont be quick to run,slide before contact,stay in the pocket dont roll out etc....he is being turned into a system qb amd the system he has been playing seems broken..now im aware we have critics who will bring up the deep ball,the missing wide recievers,failing to diagnose where the pressure is etc..but its allens 2nd year and its dabolls 6 or 7th as an nfl coordinator..he owns the #20 offense as his best..has two 32 ranked..a 29th ranked and the nfls lowest scoring offense with the 12 chiefs....let allen be allen not what dumbell is turning him into WHAT does that mean? I said “What do you mean by “open it up”?” You zig-zagged around, but never answered. You want “better”? Don’t we all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarleyNY Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 3 hours ago, Tolstoy said: My apologies if this is in another thread somewhere, but it occurred to me that Daboll may have a mandate to develop Josh Allen as a QB at virtually all costs, even if it means possibly risking wins this season. The reasoning would be that we are very unlikely to win without more talent and experience anyhow, and we will need a top flight QB to win in future years. We are better off developing an elite QB, instead of squeaking out every victory we can, only to never win the big prize because we lack the QB we need. This would explain why we opened the season with 18 straight passes, as if Daboll was intentionally trying to get Allen into a rhythm regardless of what might be more likely to succeed. It explains why the Bills are so reluctant to become a running team, even though it seems like running the ball more might lead to more wins. It even explains why Allen has played more conservatively of late--because not playing hero-ball and becoming more turnover free is essential to a top flight QB. I expect that now that he has (arguably) gone too far towards playing conservatively, they will try to nudge him back towards playing more aggressively. In short, I am suggesting that Beane, McDermott and Daboll are all on the same page here--a long game strategy of developing an elite NFL QB . The wins and losses this season are secondary. Part of me has doubts about this perspective, because so many careers depend upon winning and losing right now--both players and coaches. It is hard for me to believe that they are not doing whatever they can to win right now. But when I see what they are doing with Allen and the running game etc., I can't help but think I am right. I had a long post recently that basically said that the Bills are doing this and that it’s the right thing. They have to see if Allen can be a quality QB or not. What they asked of him in the Cleveland game wasn’t all that much for a quality NFL QB. He didn’t deliver, but they should hold that course and find out if he can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lurker Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 4 hours ago, Tolstoy said: Part of me has doubts I suggest the other part of you get onboard with those feelings... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr.Sack Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 (edited) A good QB should be able to win throwing the ball 50-60 times per game and having zero help in the run game. Allen throws for 35/60 and 375 yards 5TDs 2INTs vs Miami. Edited November 14, 2019 by Dr.Sack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iinii Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Try not to over think this please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillnutinHouston Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 This as McDermott implores his players to play fearlessly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nextmanup Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 (edited) 10 hours ago, Tolstoy said: My apologies if this is in another thread somewhere, but it occurred to me that Daboll may have a mandate to develop Josh Allen as a QB at virtually all costs, even if it means possibly risking wins this season. The reasoning would be that we are very unlikely to win without more talent and experience anyhow, and we will need a top flight QB to win in future years. We are better off developing an elite QB, instead of squeaking out every victory we can, only to never win the big prize because we lack the QB we need. This would explain why we opened the season with 18 straight passes, as if Daboll was intentionally trying to get Allen into a rhythm regardless of what might be more likely to succeed. It explains why the Bills are so reluctant to become a running team, even though it seems like running the ball more might lead to more wins. It even explains why Allen has played more conservatively of late--because not playing hero-ball and becoming more turnover free is essential to a top flight QB. I expect that now that he has (arguably) gone too far towards playing conservatively, they will try to nudge him back towards playing more aggressively. In short, I am suggesting that Beane, McDermott and Daboll are all on the same page here--a long game strategy of developing an elite NFL QB . The wins and losses this season are secondary. Part of me has doubts about this perspective, because so many careers depend upon winning and losing right now--both players and coaches. It is hard for me to believe that they are not doing whatever they can to win right now. But when I see what they are doing with Allen and the running game etc., I can't help but think I am right. You answered your own question. They are trying to win now because they know they may well not be around for the future if they do not win now. Stick to your literary career, Leo. 9 hours ago, elijah said: The theories not too far off, however the wording and title is going to get you eaten alive by some of the members on the board *theory's* Edited November 14, 2019 by Nextmanup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nextmanup Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 9 hours ago, Chaos said: Another equally likely theory is that Daboll is just not very good as an OC. Again, only a theory. We have a QB who missed a wide open WR for an easy TD and 6 points by 5-7 YARDS and has done this almost every game this season and you point your finger in the direction of the OC? I'll give you a hint: have a look a the QB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keukasmallies Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 1 hour ago, Nextmanup said: We have a QB who missed a wide open WR for an easy TD and 6 points by 5-7 YARDS and has done this almost every game this season and you point your finger in the direction of the OC? I'll give you a hint: have a look a the QB. This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4BillsintheBurgh Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 I agree the bills seem to be trying to change ja's game this year as a priority, and its the right thing to do. I didn't agree with the game plan against cleveland though, kind of needed that game as a cushion given the rest of the schedule. But as McDermott said, we have to see if we can find the sweet spot between conservative and explosive with ja. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dickleyjones Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 13 hours ago, Chaos said: Another equally likely theory is that Daboll is just not very good as an OC. Again, only a theory. That's a poor theory considering the talent required to coach in the NFL at all. 13 hours ago, Tolstoy said: I agree. However, winning is something to be learned as well so they try to keep games close while teaching Josh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JinxedBill Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Questionable Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 16 hours ago, Tolstoy said: My apologies if this is in another thread somewhere, but it occurred to me that Daboll may have a mandate to develop Josh Allen as a QB at virtually all costs, even if it means possibly risking wins this season. The reasoning would be that we are very unlikely to win without more talent and experience anyhow, and we will need a top flight QB to win in future years. We are better off developing an elite QB, instead of squeaking out every victory we can, only to never win the big prize because we lack the QB we need. This would explain why we opened the season with 18 straight passes, as if Daboll was intentionally trying to get Allen into a rhythm regardless of what might be more likely to succeed. It explains why the Bills are so reluctant to become a running team, even though it seems like running the ball more might lead to more wins. It even explains why Allen has played more conservatively of late--because not playing hero-ball and becoming more turnover free is essential to a top flight QB. I expect that now that he has (arguably) gone too far towards playing conservatively, they will try to nudge him back towards playing more aggressively. In short, I am suggesting that Beane, McDermott and Daboll are all on the same page here--a long game strategy of developing an elite NFL QB . The wins and losses this season are secondary. Part of me has doubts about this perspective, because so many careers depend upon winning and losing right now--both players and coaches. It is hard for me to believe that they are not doing whatever they can to win right now. But when I see what they are doing with Allen and the running game etc., I can't help but think I am right. Allen just isn't making the throws. Guys were open all day. Scheme was great, preparation was great, execution was terrible. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.buffalorumblings.com/platform/amp/2019/11/13/20962181/all-22-analysis-buffalo-bills-quarterback-josh-allen-struggles-against-the-cleveland-browns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Putin Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 16 hours ago, elijah said: The theories not too far off, however the wording and title is going to get you eaten alive by some of the members on the board I agree can you pass the salt ? please!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 I don't see why those things are mutually exclusive. Develop Allen, get him experience, and try your best to win games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malazan Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 You know how you develop a QB...by not having one of the worst offenses in the league. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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