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Zach Ertz about to be traded? [Edit: or Not]


Rubes

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5 minutes ago, Coach Tuesday said:

 

Well, I think it's kind of the opposite, innit?  If they signed Samuel they'd be less locked in to WR at 30.  

 

Perhaps they want a stud young WR on a rookie contract to learn behind Diggs, Beasley, & Sanders for 1 year vs. signing a top young guy, which would lock them into having two $10M+ receivers for the next 3 seasons? 

 

 

(Personally I don't think it's either scenario, but it's just a thought exercise)

Edited by junior12thman92
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Just now, glazeduck said:

It better be or it's a massive overpay.


I don't disagree that a 3rd is a steep price, but...

I'm just curious who, with the 30th pick in the third round, is likely to improve the Bills more (and more instantly) than Zach Ertz. 

Moss, Singletary, Knox, Phillips. Those are our most recent third round picks.

I dunno, man...I just don't know.

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3 minutes ago, Coach Tuesday said:

 

Well, I think it's kind of the opposite, innit?  If they signed Samuel they'd be less locked in to WR at 30.  

What I'm saying is that WR is an option at 30 now still.  Whereas if they had Samuel there they would be a lot less likely to take one.  

 

WRs can be expensive in the open market, it's great if you can have them home grown.  If a value falls you want to be able to take it.  IMO, it leaves Toney as an option if he falls.

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If it's true that we are the only team in on a trade and others are just waiting for him to be released, then we are getting robbed if we give anything more than a 2022 4th round pick. 

 

5th round would be better.

 

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1 minute ago, Logic said:


I don't disagree that a 3rd is a steep price, but...

I'm just curious who, with the 30th pick in the third round, is likely to improve the Bills more (and more instantly) than Zach Ertz. 

Moss, Singletary, Knox, Phillips. Those are our most recent third round picks.

I dunno, man...I just don't know.

While your point is not wrong, I think this is looking at it the wrong way (from my point, anyway)... 

 

It's one thing to offer a 3rd if we're competing against other teams for Ertz. I would still argue that's an overpay, but that's because I think his best football is very uch behind him. But if we're competing for him, sure, you throw out your best price.

 

If we're the only one negotiating for him now that the Chargers signed Cook, there's absolutely no reason to keep the price the same. Lower the offer to a 5th and call Howie's bluff. If we miss out, it's not like we're missing out on an otherworldly player anymore -- this isn't Aaron Donald we're trading for here. 

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55 minutes ago, thenorthremembers said:

You have a tight end on the roster currently who may be entering that exact window.   Otherwise go get Rudolph because Ertz at 31 is not worth anything more than a 4th.

We will see on knox, and I hope it works out. Ertz has let's say 3 years left in the tank, gets us a chance to develop another. Typically teams with a franchise QB, build in 3 to 4 year cycles and we are now on our first. I have zero issue with trading a very late 3rd (basically early 4th) or later this year for his services the next 3 to 4 years and snagging a developmental guy this year or next...

 

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6 minutes ago, glazeduck said:

While your point is not wrong, I think this is looking at it the wrong way (from my point, anyway)... 

 

It's one thing to offer a 3rd if we're competing against other teams for Ertz. I would still argue that's an overpay, but that's because I think his best football is very uch behind him. But if we're competing for him, sure, you throw out your best price.

 

If we're the only one negotiating for him now that the Chargers signed Cook, there's absolutely no reason to keep the price the same. Lower the offer to a 5th and call Howie's bluff. If we miss out, it's not like we're missing out on an otherworldly player anymore -- this isn't Aaron Donald we're trading for here. 

He’s not going to lower the offer. That’s not how we do business with Philly. 

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13 minutes ago, Logic said:


I don't disagree that a 3rd is a steep price, but...

I'm just curious who, with the 30th pick in the third round, is likely to improve the Bills more (and more instantly) than Zach Ertz. 

Moss, Singletary, Knox, Phillips. Those are our most recent third round picks.

I dunno, man...I just don't know.

 

Shaun Wade, Haseem Nasirildeen, Trill Williams, Tyler Shelvin, Alim McNeil, plenty of quality OL still left in the rd. A big nickel, CB2 or a quality 1 tech would be an instant upgrade. 

 

Edited by ndirish1978
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6 minutes ago, Reed83HOF said:

We will see on knox, and I hope it works out. Ertz has let's say 3 years left in the tank, gets us a chance to develop another. Typically teams with a franchise QB, build in 3 to 4 year cycles and we are now on our first. I have zero issue with trading a very late 3rd (basically early 4th) or later this year for his services the next 3 to 4 years and snagging a developmental guy this year or next...

 

The decision isn't just "Ertz or no Ertz" in a vacuum though. We could sign Rudolph who's arguably going to contribute just or nearly as much as Ertz. Njoku looks very available, Darren Fells just got cut as will others... This is not a situation where we need to get bent over backwards, especially given Ertz' contract will need to be restructured and there's no guarantee (until he agrees to it) of what that number will be...

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1 minute ago, 4merper4mer said:

Is Dan Arnold still available?  I can’t find anything indicating otherwise.  He is younger and cheaper than Ertz; and probably better at this point given Ertz age, injuries and attitude.

Ertz is only 30.

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11 minutes ago, Logic said:


I don't disagree that a 3rd is a steep price, but...

I'm just curious who, with the 30th pick in the third round, is likely to improve the Bills more (and more instantly) than Zach Ertz. 

Moss, Singletary, Knox, Phillips. Those are our most recent third round picks.

I dunno, man...I just don't know.

It’s not just a third round pick, though.  It’s a third round pick AND $8,250,000.  For that level of assets, I think I could get something better than a 31 year old TE coming off a terrible season who will be a FA in a year.

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2 minutes ago, 4merper4mer said:

Is Dan Arnold still available?  I can’t find anything indicating otherwise.  He is younger and cheaper than Ertz; and probably better at this point given Ertz age, injuries and attitude.

He is, I also saw the Texans just cut Darren Fells who isn't a horrible TE2 that we could sign and not count against comp formula. 

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1 minute ago, ndirish1978 said:

 

Shaun Wade, Haseem Nasirildeen, Trill Williams, Tyler Shelvin, Alim McNeil, plenty of quality OL still left in the rd. A big nickel, CB2 or a quality 1 tech would be an instant upgrade. 

 

It's basically an early 4th, very few can step in and make a difference in yr 1

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3 minutes ago, 4merper4mer said:

Is Dan Arnold still available?  I can’t find anything indicating otherwise.  He is younger and cheaper than Ertz; and probably better at this point given Ertz age, injuries and attitude.

He was great on the Wonder Years 

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2 minutes ago, The Governor said:

He’s not going to lower the offer. That’s not how we do business with Philly. 

We'll never know, so it's kinda moot in the end. 

 

I know Beane values relationships across the league, but GMs also know the game, they know how this all works. I can tell you if the situation were reversed, Howie wouldn't hesitate to lower the offer -- again -- IF we're truly the only team still in talks for Ertz -- another thing we'll likely never know for sure...

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2 minutes ago, ndirish1978 said:

 

Shaun Wade, Haseem Nasirildeen, Trill Williams, Tyler Shelvin, Alim McNeil, plenty of quality OL still left in the rd. A big nickel, CB2 or a quality 1 tech would be an instant upgrade. 

 

0 chance Nas or McNeil are there at the end of the 3rd...

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2 minutes ago, glazeduck said:

The decision isn't just "Ertz or no Ertz" in a vacuum though. We could sign Rudolph who's arguably going to contribute just or nearly as much as Ertz. Njoku looks very available, Darren Fells just got cut as will others... This is not a situation where we need to get bent over backwards, especially given Ertz' contract will need to be restructured and there's no guarantee (until he agrees to it) of what that number will be...

Ertz is better and more reliable and has won an SB. Last year in philly, does not constitute a decline, it is a still very good player on a ***** team that was falling apart week by week with awful qb play

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3 minutes ago, ndirish1978 said:

 

Shaun Wade, Haseem Nasirildeen, Trill Williams, Tyler Shelvin, Alim McNeil, plenty of quality OL still left in the rd. A big nickel, CB2 or a quality 1 tech would be an instant upgrade. 

 

Not sold on Wade yet (need to watch more of his tape), but you've crushed this list. Would love any of those dudes in the third!

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3 minutes ago, ndirish1978 said:

 

Shaun Wade, Haseem Nasirildeen, Trill Williams, Tyler Shelvin, Alim McNeil, plenty of quality OL still left in the rd. A big nickel, CB2 or a quality 1 tech would be an instant upgrade. 

 


All the players you just listed would help, sure, but they’d all be rotational players at best. They also all have the POTENTIAL to be good players in the NFL.

 

Meanwhile, Zach Ertz would be a full time starter, and we already KNOW he’s a good player in the NFL.

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40 minutes ago, DCOrange said:

Presumably Cam Brate and or OJ Howard are available from the Bucs as potential trade/cut candidates. I might prefer either of them over Ertz but if Ertz comes relatively cheap I will be pretty happy about it.

 

The Bucs just extended Brate so I'm assuming that means they want to keep him.

 

I'm not seeing the Howard love...as a former pick #19 overall, has he lived up to that?  and he's coming back from an Achilles, which is always worrisome.

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Just now, Reed83HOF said:

Ertz is better and more reliable and has won an SB. Last year in philly, does not constitute a decline, it is a still very good player on a ***** team that was falling apart week by week with awful qb play

As I've said in other threads, go watch Ertz' tape from last year. He can't run anymore (not that he was ever a + athlete to begin with). Super Bowl rings and past stats don't mean anything when you can't bring what you once did to a team. 

 

This is looking more and more likely, so I would love to be wrong, but I just do not see an impact player in Ertz anymore, and I'd suspect our FO is not expecting that either. Just my 2 cents...

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3 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:


But who are the Bills bidding against?

Oh it should be lower imo, just saying normally our 3rds are late seconds or an actual 3rd. All of our picks this year are at the top of the following round, there is no talent sliding down to us this year. Rd1 is the only pick worth a crap, maybe rd 2, maybe...

 

A 5th should get this done imo

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2 minutes ago, Logic said:


All the players you just listed would help, sure, but they’d all be rotational players at best. They also all have the POTENTIAL to be good players in the NFL.

 

Meanwhile, Zach Ertz would be a full time starter, and we already KNOW he’s a good player in the NFL.

Which is what we want now in 2021...

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1 minute ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

This.  Especially as we are very short on cap.

Meh, see the saints and chiefs, we have lots of expiring contracts the next couple years. 2024 we only have Dawkins Tre and Milano signed. This is easy to do....

 

Push the chips in, an SB winner is very helpful too for this young team

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14 minutes ago, Johnny3410 said:

What does everybody think of Jesse James as a free agent?  Last 2 years in Detroit his numbers were not very good at all.  However he was decent in Pittsburgh.

 

I kinda like the thought of having Wild West Outlaws on the team...

 

Maybe we can get Doc Holliday and Wyatt Earp too...

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