Bookie Man Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Maybe on 3rd/4th and long they might be ranked lower. Overall 3rd down D is pretty solid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cgg716 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, FireChans said: If Josh has 2 picks and 3 fumbles, one of them for 6, I will blame him for it. Incredible that 2 picks and 3 fumbles are handwaved and 4/16 is handwaved. It's fun living in an alternative reality, huh Nobody is waving it off, we do know both INT weren’t on him, and we know how much is on his shoulders because of the D/coaching 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, ßookie_tech said: Maybe on 3rd/4th and long they might be ranked lower. Overall 3rd down D is pretty solid. Maybe. Haven’t been able to find this exact breakdown but perhaps someone will. It’s the NFL so those stats have to exist somewhere. Would be interesting to see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Generic_Bills_Fan Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 50 minutes ago, Ramza86 said: I swear man...I feel like this whole year 3rd and long is about as easy as it gets for opposing offenses. Am I crazy for thinking we are awful on 3rd down? I think it’s a context thing…we think our team gives up more without really knowing how other teams are doing in that regard. the bengals converted a bunch of 3rd and longs against the ravens last night Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solomon Grundy Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 hour ago, Ramza86 said: I swear man...I feel like this whole year 3rd and long is about as easy as it gets for opposing offenses. Am I crazy for thinking we are awful on 3rd down? The 3rd and longs are quite disturbing!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireChans Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 7 minutes ago, cgg716 said: Nobody is waving it off, we do know both INT weren’t on him, and we know how much is on his shoulders because of the D/coaching How many of the 3 fumbles were "on him?" Lmao. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnBonhamRocks Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 46 minutes ago, Yobogoya! said: This^ As pointed out, the Bills are statistically pretty good on third downs. But it feels like at least once a game we give up a third and 10 or more that just feels deflating. I'd be curious to know what percentage of our third downs surrendered are third and ten or more. I think as fans it's just cumulative fatigue from seeing that a lot this year. I should not have a pit in my stomach in those situations. Having Miller would really help. Maybe start making Milano a “D-lineman” for pass rush situations given how well he’s been blitzing. I’d be interesting in that stat too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
somnus00 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 hour ago, HOUSE said: We are not good on critical down and distance. Personally, I think it has a lot to do with no Micha Hyde He's one of the best in the league at defending the deep ball. I'd love to have him back there against the Bengals. Also, why isn't elam starting again? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo_Stampede Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 The 3rd and 19 play was hilarious. Dane Jackson was so far off Hill and then when he caught it Jackson wasn’t even on the screen. Talk about scared to death. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 10 minutes ago, FireChans said: How many of the 3 fumbles were "on him?" Lmao. At least 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cgg716 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 10 minutes ago, FireChans said: How many of the 3 fumbles were "on him?" Lmao. 2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigduke6 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 i always get worried when its 3rd and long for this defense. they give up waaaay tooooo many of them. its usually zone that causes it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunnerBill Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 42 minutes ago, stevestojan said: Ugh, was that Rex Ryan? Yep. Yes it was. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sierra Foothills Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 8 minutes ago, somnus00 said: Also, why isn't elam starting again? He will be very soon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 12 minutes ago, JohnBonhamRocks said: I should not have a pit in my stomach in those situations. Having Miller would really help. Maybe start making Milano a “D-lineman” for pass rush situations given how well he’s been blitzing. I’d be interesting in that stat too. I think this is what it boils down to. They’re playing very good defense overall, but doing it short handed. They lack an elite rusher that can get home when a longer pass is required. If they rush 4 ( as they love to do) the QB has too much time; when they blitz the coverage is suspect and the ball comes out faster. It’s a personnel issue and one they probably can’t solve this postseason. Just have to play sound defense and realize that the occasional 3rd and long will get converted when an offense absolutely needs to make a play. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianmoorman4jesus Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Our defense sucks. We are way too soft. Watch the way the Ravens played the Bengals last night. They have zero fear. They set the tone. They don’t sit back on their heels and hope the QB makes a bad throw. We have the pieces. We have so much talent on defense. The lack of aggression from Fraizer is the biggest issue with this team. We need to blitz. We are not getting there with 4. Every good qb has all day to stand there and make throws uncontested. It’s been that way since this guys been here. There’s no way a QB should even have time to hit a developed route on 3rd and long. 3rd and 15, that ball should be out before they can even get to the sticks. Make the qb uncomfortable 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyBills Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 I know live it seems we're giving it up alot and I was furious at the 3rd & 18 to Hill but then I look at our 3rd down offense and feel better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhoTom Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 hour ago, Epstein's Mother said: 4 for 16 is the new "always". 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigduke6 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 the defense should be better. Frazier is trying to cover up many problems at the moment though. missing Hyde is huge. Tre isnt nearly 100% yet. appears Elam isnt good enough to play? yet makes plays when hes in there. i dont think Frazier trusts Elam in zone coverage. Poyer is a soldier, been playing banged up all year. Dane is passable but not really elite. its tough to do much with a back end this underwhelming right now. ill admit the D isnt playing all that great right now, people want Frazier gone, be careful of what you wish for. his D has been more than good enough for many seasons straight, even with all the injuries. 13-3 with loses by less than a total of 10 points. the Offense hasnt been great in alot of games. D is still top 5 in most categories. Frazier is pushing this D along with scheme and ductape, making the best of a bad situation. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 28 minutes ago, Brianmoorman4jesus said: Our defense sucks. We are way too soft. Watch the way the Ravens played the Bengals last night. They have zero fear. They set the tone. They don’t sit back on their heels and hope the QB makes a bad throw. We have the pieces. We have so much talent on defense. The lack of aggression from Fraizer is the biggest issue with this team. We need to blitz. We are not getting there with 4. Every good qb has all day to stand there and make throws uncontested. It’s been that way since this guys been here. There’s no way a QB should even have time to hit a developed route on 3rd and long. 3rd and 15, that ball should be out before they can even get to the sticks. Make the qb uncomfortable The Bills don’t have the corners that BAL does. When ( if ) White is close to 100% they’ll be improved. They’re not built to play the Ravens style and would probably get burned quite a bit if they tried. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillMafia716ix Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Von Miller the closer. Losing him has hurt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrivefourfive Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 It’s the most frustrating thing, so we notice it every time. 2020, I liked the third down defense. The last time I really felt GREAT about the third down defense was the Schwartz defense. I was so confident in how that defense played — complete bullies. Wish that’d come back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianmoorman4jesus Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 13 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said: The Bills don’t have the corners that BAL does. When ( if ) White is close to 100% they’ll be improved. They’re not built to play the Ravens style and would probably get burned quite a bit if they tried. I like White an Elam together. Got to get Dane off the field Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ngbills Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 2 hours ago, strive_for_five_guy said: Third down in general, our defense is 6th in the league. https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-third-down-conversion-pct Was going to post this. It does seem like we give up quite a few 3rd and longs though. Would be interesting to see that stat comparison. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kwai San Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 2 hours ago, Ramza86 said: I swear man...I feel like this whole year 3rd and long is about as easy as it gets for opposing offenses. Am I crazy for thinking we are awful on 3rd down? Methinks you need to go and look at the stats......at one point in the Fins game they were only 3 for 9 or 10 on 3rd down conversions.......I could be wrong but I do not believe so.. . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALLEN1QB Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 2 hours ago, HOUSE said: We are not good on critical down and distance. Personally, I think it has a lot to do with no Micha Hyde Oh ok makes me feel better. I just thought it was because we play 10-12 yds off the opposing receivers and let them do whatever the hell they want too!! Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloBillsGospel2014 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 2 hours ago, strive_for_five_guy said: Third down in general, our defense is 6th in the league. https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-third-down-conversion-pct Why would anyone check actual facts? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 It seems like fans are demanding perfection. Teams are going to get plays against our team sometimes. The rules are designed to allow offenses to make plays against defenses. It's just how it is. Go watch other teams play and pretend you are a fan of either team. You'll see the same type of stuff regardless of what team you watch, although most are worse than the Bills. 2 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 (edited) Probably just you since the Bills finished 7th in the NFL on 3rd down percentage. Also the Fins were 4 of 16 on 3rd downs so I am not sure why you would post this after one of the worst 3rd down performances by an opponent of the year. Edited January 16, 2023 by Big Turk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Low Positive Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, MJS said: It seems like fans are demanding perfection. Teams are going to get plays against our team sometimes. The rules are designed to allow offenses to make plays against defenses. It's just how it is. Go watch other teams play and pretend you are a fan of either team. You'll see the same type of stuff regardless of what team you watch, although most are worse than the Bills. Exactly. Imagine being a Vikings fan yesterday. So many missed tackles. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ngbills Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Interesting. So we are decent vs 3rd and short, very good at 3rd and mid, and in the bottom quarter in 3rd and long or very long. 3rd and 0-3 - Give up first 59.6% (16th) 3rd and 4-6 - 38.6% (3rd best) 3rd and 7-9 - 38.9% (8th worst) 3rd and 10+ - 23.2% (8th worst) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 (edited) 5 minutes ago, ngbills said: Interesting. So we are decent vs 3rd and short, very good at 3rd and mid, and in the bottom quarter in 3rd and long or very long. 3rd and 0-3 - Give up first 59.6% (16th) 3rd and 4-6 - 38.6% (3rd best) 3rd and 7-9 - 38.9% (8th worst) 3rd and 10+ - 23.2% (8th worst) This doesn't add up. The Bills finished 7th in the NFL on 3rd down defense this year. Opponents converted 37.5% against them. It's seems hard to be 7th in the NFL based on the splits you gave. Unless opponents were in 3rd and 4-6 a lot more often than the other distances. Do you have the number of times for each? Edited January 16, 2023 by Big Turk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goin Breakdown Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 At first OP said 3rd and long. I'd have to agree a bit and say I get nervous as well. then the OP goes on and says the bills are awful in 3rd downs. I disagree with that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sunshynman Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 It seems like we give up the long plays on 3rd. Most if the time, it's blown coverage. Or the fact that Milano and Poyer are the only pure tacklers on this team. Everyone else seems to try and strip the ball, or take terrible angles, instead of tackling. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, Goin Breakdown said: At first OP said 3rd and long. I'd have to agree a bit and say I get nervous as well. then the OP goes on and says the bills are awful in 3rd downs. I disagree with that. If awful means 7th best in the NFL(6th if you include the playoff game), then yeah, I guess we are awful. What it says more tho is that OP likely doesn't watch very many other games so he has no comparison point Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ngbills Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, Big Turk said: This doesn't add up. The Bills finished 7th in the NFL on 3rd down defense this year. Opponents converted 37.5% against them. It's seems hard to be 7th in the NFL based on the splits you gave. Unless opponents were in 3rd and 4-6 a lot more often than the other distances. Do you have the number of times for each? 3rd & 1-3 = 57 4-6 = 44 7-9 = 36 10+ = 82 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ngbills Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Other nuggets: Bills have 11 sacks on 3rd downs - 4th fewest. Eagles have 32. Bills have 3 int on 3rd downs - 5th fewest. Pats have 11. Bills have given up 7 TD on 3rd downs - 2nd least. Indy has given up 15. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goin Breakdown Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 19 minutes ago, Big Turk said: If awful means 7th best in the NFL(6th if you include the playoff game), then yeah, I guess we are awful. What it says more tho is that OP likely doesn't watch very many other games so he has no comparison point Could be for sure. Cant blame a dude for only watching buffalo games. I know it's tough for me most Sundays with kids and a wife that doesn't like football lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ngbills Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Goin Breakdown said: Could be for sure. Cant blame a dude for only watching buffalo games. I know it's tough for me most Sundays with kids and a wife that doesn't like football lol. Are you saying some peoples wives dont want to sit around watching football all day Sunday? While refilling your beer and cooking wings? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goin Breakdown Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Just now, ngbills said: Are you saying some peoples wives dont want to sit around watching football all day Sunday? While refilling your beer and cooking wings? Nope. Some guys have priorities to kids and wives who don't like football. So when the game is done they hang with them and do stuff they like to. It's called compromise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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