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Bills must prepare to face Rosen AND Fitz


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17 hours ago, Ennjay said:

The only way for the Bills to lose this game is mentally -- screw up pre-game prep, don't focus, don't take it seriously,  dog your assignments, don't game plan at all, get too cute with play calls, rest the starters too much and too early, all that sort of thing.  The Bills have a superior roster, it's a home game with our rabid fans, and I can't think of a matchup in this game that doesn't favor the Bills (except maybe punter?).

 

That being said, sometimes better teams do a collective brain cramp (any Georgia fans reading this post?) and games DO get lost mentally.  So it's not a sure thing.  But I believe McD and the team leadership (Gore, Alexander, etc.) WILL keep everyone's heads on straight, so I expect a comfortable win.

 

Still  . . .

 

I have been a loyal Bills fan since the AFL and it is the games they are SUPPOSED to win that scare me the most. I expect they will win Sunday, but there is always that little bit of doubt in the corner of my mind. 

 

This is the week I hope that the offense puts a up BIG points, supported by their stingy defense!

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52 minutes ago, Bills2ref said:

You could combine them this year and still not make a competent QB. 

Who would be good on that team? Fitz was pretty good on TB last year (100 qb rating).  Rosen has been in the worst situations in the nfl his first 2 years. Their defense is awful, traded Fitzpatrick, traded their LT, have no receiver talent.  It is one of the worst situations in a long time.  

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6 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

Who would be good on that team? Fitz was pretty good on TB last year (100 qb rating).  Rosen has been in the worst situations in the nfl his first 2 years. Their defense is awful, traded Fitzpatrick, traded their LT, have no receiver talent.  It is one of the worst situations in a long time.  

Probably the worst NFL team I’ve ever personally witnessed. 

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21 minutes ago, rockpile said:

 

I have been a loyal Bills fan since the AFL and it is the games they are SUPPOSED to win that scare me the most. I expect they will win Sunday, but there is always that little bit of doubt in the corner of my mind. 

 

This is the week I hope that the offense puts a up BIG points, supported by their stingy defense!

These type of games don't scare me at all. I fully expect to dominate Sunday. We are a very good team, the Dolphins a very poor team. I like that matchup.

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1 hour ago, JR in Pittsburgh said:

 

As I am sure you know, Fitz has hugely inconsistent swings in his play-- he can put up 400 yards one week, and look like garbage the next week. I would never underestimate him, especially if he is extra motivated against his former team. I don't want to see him out there on Sunday. 

 

But even when he does put up 400 yards, he still throws that same INT on the final drive to seal the defeat.

 

 

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13 hours ago, billsfan89 said:

But the Chargers seem like a good fit based on need and who their starter is. 

 

 

Wait...don't the Chargers have Tyrod Taylor as their backup?! ? He will lead them for the next decade. LOL!

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15 minutes ago, egd said:

 

Wait...don't the Chargers have Tyrod Taylor as their backup?! ? He will lead them for the next decade. LOL!

Yup, let’s make fun of a good dude who won more games than he lost here.  Why are some fans so petty?

26 minutes ago, DrDawkinstein said:

 

But even when he does put up 400 yards, he still throws that same INT on the final drive to seal the defeat.

 

 

Sadly, that is so true.  Fitz still had a career better than 80% of quarterbacks.  He just always comes up short. Phil Rivers is like the franchise qb version of Fitz now.

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2 hours ago, BillsFan17 said:

Watching the over confidence in this thread. Did the Cowboys not teach anyone, anything this past Sunday? Yeah, Darnold is vastly better than Rosen/Fitz, but the fact remains... dont take anyone lightly.

Fans can be overconfident all they want. I doubt the Bills players will be. 

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14 hours ago, billsfan89 said:

I feel bad for Rosen, dude went from a bad situation to an even worse situation. I don't know if he is a bad or good QB because he has never played for an even decent team nor had a chance to have a team built around him. 

Not picking on you in particular, but I hate this argument

 

The Bills are a good team with Allen. The Jets are a good team with Darnold. The Packers are a good team with Rodgers. Sometimes those players can elevate the players around him and some guys just cant. Rosen may be a good QB, but apparently he needs the perfect scenario to be "good". That makes him a backup at best. 

 

JA hardly walked into an ideal situation here. Two starting pro bowl offensive lineman were lost. His number 1 and 2 WRS are out of the league and recently traded for a 5th rounder two years from now. His RB was on the decline and had his worst season in his career. Despite all of that, Allen found a way to make some plays and win 4 of his last 6 starts and averaged 286 total yards and ~2 TDs a game

 

Baker Mayfield came to a team that had averaged HALF A WIN the previous two years. His HC and OC were fired mid season and he finished with 3700 yards passing and 27TDs

 

Darnold. Horrible O line, lame duck HC no running game. 2800 yards and 17Tds

 

Rosen had David Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk and a bad oline. Id argue not much worse than Buffalo's

 

2300 yards and 11Tds. His last 6 games he accounted for 2 Tds and averaged 158 total yards per game in his final 6 games. He failed to elevate those around him and the fact the Cards had to wait until draft night to declare they were moving on was a joke. Rosen is bad. He hasnt been able to translate his college game to the pros. Its such a common tale but its not his fault ?

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2 hours ago, MR8 said:

Lots of arrogance in this thread from fans, that's why these are called "trap games"... Hopefully the players and coaches are taking this game a lot more seriously than the fans.  

If you subscribe to the theory of “ trap games” or if you don’t ( pretty sure it’s been debunked statistically) , the Bills matchup vs the Dolphins this week doesn’t fit the classic definition. A trap game is vs a non division opponent - probably with a lesser record- sandwiched between two division games or after consecutive division games. For those who do think that trap games are a thing, the Bills opponent the following week ( Eagles) will be coming off a division game vs Dallas and in the midst of a 3 game NFC run. Sounds like it might be a trap game for the Eagles if you’re a believer. 

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13 hours ago, Buffalo Timmy said:

you are correct- but they are still human and can happen

I didn’t say it couldn’t happen, but it’s not something I would assume will happen or point to if they lose -simply because there are no signs of it. If they lose I will assume they just didn’t play well enough to win. That’s more likely based on everything we’ve seen - especially the stretches they have had of not playing winning football- than that they “overlooked” the opponent. 

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13 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said:

If you subscribe to the theory of “ trap games” or if you don’t ( pretty sure it’s been debunked statistically) , the Bills matchup vs the Dolphins this week doesn’t fit the classic definition. A trap game is vs a non division opponent - probably with a lesser record- sandwiched between two division games or after consecutive division games. For those who do think that trap games are a thing, the Bills opponent the following week ( Eagles) will be coming off a division game vs Dallas and in the midst of a 3 game NFC run. Sounds like it might be a trap game for the Eagles if you’re a believer. 

 

I don't agree with your definition, and that's your subjective way of looking at "trap games. It doesn't hold with others. 

 

According to an ESPN article from a few years ago "An appropriate assessment since, in the jargon, there are certain matchups that have come to be known as "trap" games. There is no set definition for precisely what constitutes a "trap" game. But here's a loose explanation: A game in which a playoff contender faces a losing team, but one that still has some motivation for playing hard, and possesses some matchup advantages." - http://a.espncdn.com/nfl/columns/pasquarelli_len/1467816.html

 

Urban Dictionary (written by fans) - trap game
A trap game is a game played against an opponent generally deemed to be easy to defeat. As a result a person or team may not prepare as thoroughly as they would for a formidable opponent. Often this attitude and its attendant lack of preparation lead to a loss.
"Seattle should be able to defeat Cleveland easily this Sunday, but they need to be careful that this does not become a trap game for them." - https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.urbandictionary.com/define.php%3fterm=trap%2bgame&amp=true

 

Another take from In Game Trap - "What is a Trap Game?
A trap game is when a stronger opponent overlooks a weaker opponent and the weaker opponent overcomes adversity potentially winning the game. This especially happens when the stronger team is on their home turf with their fans behind their backs. They get too comfortable!" - https://ingametrap.com/what-is-a-trap-game

 

Football Outsiders - "Giving this supposition as wide a berth as possible, we'll define a trap game as any game against a sub-.500 opponent slotted between two games against opponents who, on the season, posted records above .500." - https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2010/pfp-2007-trap-games

 

Soooo none of these are the exact same and none match yours, but all are entirely valid. 

 

 

As for it being "debunked" what's been done is a statistical analysis ... Football outsiders did one in the link I sent. And while the favorite team wins most, they don't win all and the point is it's a trap but you don't HAVE TO fall for it... 

 

This is a trap game

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Just now, MR8 said:

 

I don't agree with your definition, and that's your subjective way of looking at "trap games. It doesn't hold with others. 

 

According to an ESPN article from a few years ago "An appropriate assessment since, in the jargon, there are certain matchups that have come to be known as "trap" games. There is no set definition for precisely what constitutes a "trap" game. But here's a loose explanation: A game in which a playoff contender faces a losing team, but one that still has some motivation for playing hard, and possesses some matchup advantages." - http://a.espncdn.com/nfl/columns/pasquarelli_len/1467816.html

 

Urban Dictionary (written by fans) - trap game
A trap game is a game played against an opponent generally deemed to be easy to defeat. As a result a person or team may not prepare as thoroughly as they would for a formidable opponent. Often this attitude and its attendant lack of preparation lead to a loss.
"Seattle should be able to defeat Cleveland easily this Sunday, but they need to be careful that this does not become a trap game for them." - https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.urbandictionary.com/define.php%3fterm=trap%2bgame&amp=true

 

Another take from In Game Trap - "What is a Trap Game?
A trap game is when a stronger opponent overlooks a weaker opponent and the weaker opponent overcomes adversity potentially winning the game. This especially happens when the stronger team is on their home turf with their fans behind their backs. They get too comfortable!" - https://ingametrap.com/what-is-a-trap-game

 

Football Outsiders - "Giving this supposition as wide a berth as possible, we'll define a trap game as any game against a sub-.500 opponent slotted between two games against opponents who, on the season, posted records above .500." - https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2010/pfp-2007-trap-games

 

Soooo none of these are the exact same and none match yours, but all are entirely valid. 

 

 

As for it being "debunked" what's been done is a statistical analysis ... Football outsiders did one in the link I sent. And while the favorite team wins most, they don't win all and the point is it's a trap but you don't HAVE TO fall for it... 

 

This is a trap game

It appears the “ definition” has been expanded since what was generally accepted amongst football analysts/ fans etc in the 80’s and 90’s. At that time, it was understood to be a non-division or out of conference opponent. Probably because there isn’t a ton of statistical evidence to support it, it’s now being said that just a losing record qualifies as a “ trap”. All in good fun, whether you subscribe to the theory of a trap game or not. 

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3 hours ago, MR8 said:

Lots of arrogance in this thread from fans, that's why these are called "trap games"... Hopefully the players and coaches are taking this game a lot more seriously than the fans.  

Of course they are. They're studying film and practicing all week to prepare for the game. The fans aren't.

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35 minutes ago, klos63 said:

Of course they are. They're studying film and practicing all week to prepare for the game. The fans aren't.

 

Easy to say that but doesn't always play like that... 

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2 hours ago, rockpile said:

 

I have been a loyal Bills fan since the AFL and it is the games they are SUPPOSED to win that scare me the most. I expect they will win Sunday, but there is always that little bit of doubt in the corner of my mind. 

 

I hear you.  Remember the home game vs. the Jets back in the Super Bowl years, the week after Dennis Byrd was paralyzed?  Those Jets weren't as bad as these Dolphins, but still the Bills had a superior roster and a home game.  So of course they lost 24-17 to a Jets team that finished 4-12.

 

FWIW I just looked it up -- it was 1992.  Had the Bills won and the rest of the season's results stayed the same they would have won the division at 12-4.  Instead Miami won on a tiebreaker at 11-5 and the Bills played Houston in the Comeback wild card game.  Considering how they ran out of gas at halftime vs. Dallas in the Super Bowl, maybe that one loss made all the difference because it forced them to play the extra game.

 

Sorry for going off topic.

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I do not see this as a trap game.  Buffalo hasnt played a great game on offense or defense yet.  I have faith in the coaching staff.  McDermott has shown to have his teams play with effort.  I don't see where a matchup favors Miami.  Basically, Buffalo will have to sleep walk for this to be a game.  

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1 hour ago, klos63 said:

What do you think they'll do during the week?

 

This garbage is lowest common denominator posting, youre putting forward nothing of value to end a discussion because you don't like it.

 

OF COURSE THEY'RE PRACTICING AND LOOKING AT FILM.

 

Doesn't mean guys can't ride too high and think they're better than they are. Doesn't mean they can't be counting wins and take a game for granted.  

 

Your over simplification adds no value to a discussion hence why I gave an equally simple response.

 

It does happen where good teams lose to inferior teams. Sometimes it's because the inferior team played great and other times it's because the good team screwed themselves thinking they were the #### of the walk but they go so busy reading their press clippings and Patti f themselves on the back for being 4-1 they lost. 

 

It does happen and pretending teams can't lose focus, especially after being on a bye and away from the team for a full week is just silly.

 

Byes are great, gives the guys a chance to relax an heal up, but it also can be bad as it gives time to lose focus.  It's the coaches job to get them back at it, but it's possible they don't...

 

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47 minutes ago, Captain Hindsight said:

Not picking on you in particular, but I hate this argument

 

The Bills are a good team with Allen. The Jets are a good team with Darnold. The Packers are a good team with Rodgers. Sometimes those players can elevate the players around him and some guys just cant. Rosen may be a good QB, but apparently he needs the perfect scenario to be "good". That makes him a backup at best. 

 

JA hardly walked into an ideal situation here. Two starting pro bowl offensive lineman were lost. His number 1 and 2 WRS are out of the league and recently traded for a 5th rounder two years from now. His RB was on the decline and had his worst season in his career. Despite all of that, Allen found a way to make some plays and win 4 of his last 6 starts and averaged 286 total yards and ~2 TDs a game

 

Baker Mayfield came to a team that had averaged HALF A WIN the previous two years. His HC and OC were fired mid season and he finished with 3700 yards passing and 27TDs

 

Darnold. Horrible O line, lame duck HC no running game. 2800 yards and 17Tds

 

Rosen had David Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk and a bad oline. Id argue not much worse than Buffalo's

 

2300 yards and 11Tds. His last 6 games he accounted for 2 Tds and averaged 158 total yards per game in his final 6 games. He failed to elevate those around him and the fact the Cards had to wait until draft night to declare they were moving on was a joke. Rosen is bad. He hasnt been able to translate his college game to the pros. Its such a common tale but its not his fault ?

 

I agree that Rosen's 2018 situation was not much better or worse than Darnold's and Josh Allen's. But the Bills and Jets respectively rebuilt their offensive talent around both of them and had their QB's return for a second season. 

 

Rosen in my opinion looked like a rookie QB in Arizona up and down but certainly not someone who was worthy to give up on given the circumstances. Now granted they gave up on him for various reasons. They had an opportunity to draft a QB that their new coach liked better so these things happen. 

 

But where Rosen's misfortune happened is that he went to Miami where his supporting cast downgraded. In most QB's second year after being drafted the team begins to invest in supporting pieces to at least give a QB a chance to have success. But Rosen downgraded in offensive supporting cast from year one to two. 

 

I hope that he lands in a better situation where he can sit for a year or two and get his confidence back. Look at how the Saints resurrected Bridgewaters prospects as a pro-QB. I think Rosen is better off served in that kind of situation as opposed to just being thrown onto two bad teams. 

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34 minutes ago, MR8 said:

 

This garbage is lowest common denominator posting, youre putting forward nothing of value to end a discussion because you don't like it.

 

OF COURSE THEY'RE PRACTICING AND LOOKING AT FILM.

 

Doesn't mean guys can't ride too high and think they're better than they are. Doesn't mean they can't be counting wins and take a game for granted.  

 

Your over simplification adds no value to a discussion hence why I gave an equally simple response.

 

It does happen where good teams lose to inferior teams. Sometimes it's because the inferior team played great and other times it's because the good team screwed themselves thinking they were the #### of the walk but they go so busy reading their press clippings and Patti f themselves on the back for being 4-1 they lost. 

 

It does happen and pretending teams can't lose focus, especially after being on a bye and away from the team for a full week is just silly.

 

Byes are great, gives the guys a chance to relax an heal up, but it also can be bad as it gives time to lose focus.  It's the coaches job to get them back at it, but it's possible they don't...

 

here's some oversimplification - don't be stupid.   Maybe garbage is the only way to respond to a made up crisis. Yeah 53 players plus coaches are going to lose focus this week.

 

They are approaching this week like any other week, you have no basis of fact around this team and staff to have any expectation that they'll look past this opponent. It's a manufactured issue just to find a reason to post something during the week.

 

And regards to losing focus over a bye week, as far as the Bills are concerned, they are 4-1 after byes in the last 5 seasons. 2/3 of the league are .500 or above after a bye week.

 

You're looking for reasons they may lose that don't really exist.

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1 minute ago, klos63 said:

here's some oversimplification - don't be stupid.   Maybe garbage is the only way to respond to a made up crisis. Yeah 53 players plus coaches are going to lose focus this week.

 

They are approaching this week like any other week, you have no basis of fact around this team and staff to have any expectation that they'll look past this opponent. It's a manufactured issue just to find a reason to post something during the week.

 

And regards to losing focus over a bye week, as far as the Bills are concerned, they are 4-1 after byes in the last 5 seasons. 2/3 of the league are .500 or above after a bye week.

 

You're looking for reasons they may lose that don't really exist.

 

 

And you're telling me how it is like you're in the room to know what's being done and said and what the players are thinking but you have no more or a clue than I do... 

 

tenor.gif?itemid=5394065

 

I mean God forbid on a discussion board people ... EEEEKKKKK discuss things ... 

 

I'll be sure to run all my thoughts by you first via PM before posting in the future since you're obviously the Czar of what is allowed or not allowed to be talked about.... 

 

What a jamoke... 

 

 

 

 

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3 minutes ago, MR8 said:

 

 

And you're telling me how it is like you're in the room to know what's being done and said and what the players are thinking but you have no more or a clue than I do... 

 

tenor.gif?itemid=5394065

 

I mean God forbid on a discussion board people ... EEEEKKKKK discuss things ... 

 

I'll be sure to run all my thoughts by you first via PM before posting in the future since you're obviously the Czar of what is allowed or not allowed to be talked about.... 

 

What a jamoke... 

 

 

 

 

Drama Queen.   Friends? Really?

 

I think it's safe to say that I do have a clue as to what's going on in the locker room, since from forever, we are told the routine. I'm not there, but I bet i'm correct.

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46 minutes ago, billsfan89 said:

 

I agree that Rosen's 2018 situation was not much better or worse than Darnold's and Josh Allen's. But the Bills and Jets respectively rebuilt their offensive talent around both of them and had their QB's return for a second season. 

 

Rosen in my opinion looked like a rookie QB in Arizona up and down but certainly not someone who was worthy to give up on given the circumstances. Now granted they gave up on him for various reasons. They had an opportunity to draft a QB that their new coach liked better so these things happen. 

 

But where Rosen's misfortune happened is that he went to Miami where his supporting cast downgraded. In most QB's second year after being drafted the team begins to invest in supporting pieces to at least give a QB a chance to have success. But Rosen downgraded in offensive supporting cast from year one to two. 

 

I hope that he lands in a better situation where he can sit for a year or two and get his confidence back. Look at how the Saints resurrected Bridgewaters prospects as a pro-QB. I think Rosen is better off served in that kind of situation as opposed to just being thrown onto two bad teams. 

Blah blah blah more excuses for the Chosen one. Want to know what Rosen's real problem is? It has absolutely nothing to do with his circumstances. Its that he isn't willing to take a risk. Take a look at his passing chart from last week when he completed 15 passes for 85 yards against an 0-5 team that just fired their HC.

 

https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/charts/list/pass/team/season/week/josh-rosen/ROS357433/2018/5/pass

 

Throw the ball down the field Josh. Until he learns to do that, he will continue to be a terrible starter. He is Trent Edwards with a better arm. We know how that story ends

 

Every QB gets a pass rusher in their face. Every QB has to fit a ball into a tight window. Every QB faces adversity. Some can handle it, some can't. Rosen continues to show he can't.

 

If Rosen ever starts 16 games in a season, I will be shocked

 

As to your point about Bridgewater, he was a playoff QB before his knee exploded. He just needed to get healthy. That is not a good example. I expect Rosen to have a career more like Blaine Gabbert (if he is lucky)

 

 

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4 hours ago, Captain Hindsight said:

Blah blah blah more excuses for the Chosen one. Want to know what Rosen's real problem is? It has absolutely nothing to do with his circumstances. Its that he isn't willing to take a risk. Take a look at his passing chart from last week when he completed 15 passes for 85 yards against an 0-5 team that just fired their HC.

 

https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/charts/list/pass/team/season/week/josh-rosen/ROS357433/2018/5/pass

 

Throw the ball down the field Josh. Until he learns to do that, he will continue to be a terrible starter. He is Trent Edwards with a better arm. We know how that story ends

 

Every QB gets a pass rusher in their face. Every QB has to fit a ball into a tight window. Every QB faces adversity. Some can handle it, some can't. Rosen continues to show he can't.

 

If Rosen ever starts 16 games in a season, I will be shocked

 

As to your point about Bridgewater, he was a playoff QB before his knee exploded. He just needed to get healthy. That is not a good example. I expect Rosen to have a career more like Blaine Gabbert (if he is lucky)

 

 

 

Circumstances play a huge factor in QB play. Goff was looking like a bust under Jeff Fisher but quickly turned it around once the O-line, WR talent, and offensive scheme were upgraded. I am not sure why it is so hard to say that a QB was not put in a position to have success which might have negatively impacted their career. Rosen might have been a bust even in a good situation but it is fair to say that he hasn't been in a good situation ever. 

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11 hours ago, billsfan89 said:

 

Circumstances play a huge factor in QB play. Goff was looking like a bust under Jeff Fisher but quickly turned it around once the O-line, WR talent, and offensive scheme were upgraded. I am not sure why it is so hard to say that a QB was not put in a position to have success which might have negatively impacted their career. Rosen might have been a bust even in a good situation but it is fair to say that he hasn't been in a good situation ever. 

It is fair to say he hasn't been in a good situation, but he has also done nothing to make the players around him better.

 

To me, he is a backup at best and I'm not even sure hes a good one

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17 hours ago, klos63 said:

Drama Queen.   Friends? Really?

 

I think it's safe to say that I do have a clue as to what's going on in the locker room, since from forever, we are told the routine. I'm not there, but I bet i'm correct.

The last 2 times the Bills were favored by 16.5+ was 1992 and 1991.... We lost both games. 

Last year against the Vikings we were 16.5 point underdogs and we won.

Just saying it happens. That's why this is a trap game.

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5 hours ago, Freddie's Dead said:

Not anymore....

 

However if they were preparing for both, they have a head start. Would be terrible to have to walk in Thursday and start studying a whole different QB. Im sure our guys will be ready. Fitz has proven he will pick apart an unprepared team.

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11 hours ago, MR8 said:

The last 2 times the Bills were favored by 16.5+ was 1992 and 1991.... We lost both games. 

Last year against the Vikings we were 16.5 point underdogs and we won.

Just saying it happens. That's why this is a trap game.


Anything can happen, of course. But I don’t believe it’s a trap game.  To be honest, Buffalo hasn’t earned the right to be -16.5 over anyone.  The Bills barely beat the Jets, Cincinnati and Tennessee.  Those are not powerhouse teams.  I think the Bills O has a lot to improve upon and hopefully this is the game. If they throw INTs and fumble over to Miami, that’s the great equalizer.  Let’s hope the Bills play a clean game, win the turnover battle and they will get a nice Win here.

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