corta765 Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 (edited) The AFC is pretty wild this year as all of the division winners from last year are 1-1, the Broncos and Raiders are 2-0 (wtf), and the only 0-2 teams are the Jags, Jets (no surprise), and Colts (partial surprise). Given the power the #1 seed has now in the playoff picture and the ability to get especially KC on the road and not home for any contender, this year is shaping up to be a dog fight for whoever does get the #1 seed. So with that said if you look across the board at Bills opponents schedules, the Bills schedule itself, and just some basic guessing a few thinks shake out: The Ravens win opened the AFC big time to the #1 seed. KC's division is improved and even if they win it they are going to lose a game if not two. With a AFC conference loss already in the books a Bills or Titans win could really hurt KC further in the battle for 1 The Ravens themselves are a threat for the top seed, but their division is a buzz saw and attrition will play a factor. 12-5 will probably take the division, but they need to hope KC can get there too This is without a doubt KC's toughest schedule since Mahomes started and isn't super hard to get them to 12-5 as they have BUF, TEN, GB, DAL, PIT and their full gambit of division games. Going 7-4 in those games is nothing to slouch at and those are all quality opponents. If KC does go 12-5 the whole tie breaking procedure will probably be wild The Bills do not need to necessarily win both KC/TEN, but they have to beat one if they want to be in the dance for the #1 seed. Win both and your in the front seat. The Bills schedule is heavy early on, but after the bye the only tough games are NOLA, TB, & NE. They really need to clean up wins quick against their lesser opponents and if they do they will have a good look. The loss to PIT hurts more in the sense that 13-4 which probably takes the cake only allows 3 more losses. They have KC/TEN/NOLA/TB all on the road and somehow have to go 2-2 minimum so they can afford one loss somewhere else. The Titans may be the biggest threat to the Bills as they have BUF, KC, SF, & LAR but otherwise a probably soft schedule especially considering the Jags & Texans being weak and the Colts current implosion. Truthfully beating the Titans might be more important then KC just given the fact they have a similar amount of soft opponents as Buffalo Cleveland's schedule is no joke like Baltimore and they also need to hope that 12-5 is the mark to get the top seed. Between the division and the quality of opponents they have its tough sledding I do not think the Raiders are a contender (they are a playoff team though), but they already are 2-0 with two big AFC wins including a tiebreaker with Baltimore. If they can go 4-2 division wise they could be a sneaky contender to get to 13 wins as they play the NFC East which is a dog plus weaker looking teams like IND, CHI, & Cincy. Who knows with Gruden they have started hot before, but Carr does look good and the longer they keep winning the bigger a threat they become. Overall for the AFC I think if someone gets to 13 wins it will take the #1 seed. The level of competition is vastly higher in the AFC already and personally I think it would be really fun if 12 wins took the #1 seed and the chaos of the tiebreakers. Edited September 22, 2021 by corta765 9 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msw2112 Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 What he said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mushypeaches Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 We need to be 5-1 in the division at minimum. I get that we want the #1 seed, but the first focus needs to be defending our crown there and securing at least one home playoff game We're set up to face a lot of young and/or mediocre QB's as well. Probably need to go undefeated in those matchups, then see how things shake out from there 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBills Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, mushypeaches said: We need to be 5-1 in the division at minimum. I get that we want the #1 seed, but the first focus needs to be defending our crown there and securing at least one home playoff game We're set up to face a lot of young and/or mediocre QB's as well. Probably need to go undefeated in those matchups, then see how things shake out from there I know it’s difficult to sweep the division, but there’s really no reason we shouldn’t. We just saw what we did to Miami, and the Offense isn’t even remotely clicking. The Jets are a dumpster fire. The Pats could give us a game, but comparing our 1-1 start to their 1-1 start - the two teams really aren’t close in terms of talent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CuseBill Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 Corta, which of these scenarios allows us to go to the airport again? 1 12 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scribo Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 20 minutes ago, CuseBill said: Corta, which of these scenarios allows us to go to the airport again? Or tear down the goalposts when they clinch at home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78thealltimegreat Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 If the Bills bring their A game they win the Super Bowl If the Bills bring their B game they go deep into the playoffs If the Bills bring their C game they are fringe wildcard team If they bring their D game they miss out on the playoffs by end of December Moral of the story…this season is about the talent the Bills have then it is breaks for the teams their competing against Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
corta765 Posted September 22, 2021 Author Share Posted September 22, 2021 17 minutes ago, scribo said: Or tear down the goalposts when they clinch at home! I am all for tearing down goal posts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheFunPolice Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 Chiefs can score on any play. That's the killer. You can shut Hill down 45/46 plays. Then, late in the game he gets you on that 46th play for a 75 yard TD. Good news? Their defense is so bad you can also score on any play! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
corta765 Posted September 22, 2021 Author Share Posted September 22, 2021 10 minutes ago, TheFunPolice said: Chiefs can score on any play. That's the killer. You can shut Hill down 45/46 plays. Then, late in the game he gets you on that 46th play for a 75 yard TD. Good news? Their defense is so bad you can also score on any play! It is why for the entire AFC in general anyone not named KC getting the #1 seed is huge to everyone's chances 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strive_for_five_guy Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 19 minutes ago, corta765 said: I am all for tearing down goal posts Only special occasions though? 😎 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
corta765 Posted September 22, 2021 Author Share Posted September 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said: Only special occasions though? 😎 The specialist of special! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ProcessAccepted Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 For us to be #1 in the AFC we have to beat the Titans. Looking at how weak the Chiefs have been against the run and the way Henry ran last week I don't see the Chiefs winning that game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 Beat the Chiefs in three weeks. Pretty simple ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billybrew1 Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 2 hours ago, corta765 said: The AFC is pretty wild this year as all of the division winners from last year are 1-1, the Broncos and Raiders are 2-0 (wtf), and the only 0-2 teams are the Jags, Jets (no surprise), and Colts (partial surprise). Given the power the #1 seed has now in the playoff picture and the ability to get especially KC on the road and not home for any contender, this year is shaping up to be a dog fight for whoever does get the #1 seed. So with that said if you look across the board at Bills opponents schedules, the Bills schedule itself, and just some basic guessing a few thinks shake out: The Ravens win opened the AFC big time to the #1 seed. KC's division is improved and even if they win it they are going to lose a game if not two. With a AFC conference loss already in the books a Bills or Titans win could really hurt KC further in the battle for 1 The Ravens themselves are a threat for the top seed, but their division is a buzz saw and attrition will play a factor. 12-5 will probably take the division, but they need to hope KC can get there too This is without a doubt KC's toughest schedule since Mahomes started and isn't super hard to get them to 12-5 as they have BUF, TEN, GB, DAL, PIT and their full gambit of division games. Going 7-4 in those games is nothing to slouch at and those are all quality opponents. If KC does go 12-5 the whole tie breaking procedure will probably be wild The Bills do not need to necessarily win both KC/TEN, but they have to beat one if they want to be in the dance for the #1 seed. Win both and your in the front seat. The Bills schedule is heavy early on, but after the bye the only tough games are NOLA, TB, & NE. They really need to clean up wins quick against their lesser opponents and if they do they will have a good look. The loss to PIT hurts more in the sense that 13-4 which probably takes the cake only allows 3 more losses. They have KC/TEN/NOLA/TB all on the road and somehow have to go 2-2 minimum so they can afford one loss somewhere else. The Titans may be the biggest threat to the Bills as they have BUF, KC, SF, & LAR but otherwise a probably soft schedule especially considering the Jags & Texans being weak and the Colts current implosion. Truthfully beating the Titans might be more important then KC just given the fact they have a similar amount of soft opponents as Buffalo Cleveland's schedule is no joke like Baltimore and they also need to hope that 12-5 is the mark to get the top seed. Between the division and the quality of opponents they have its tough sledding I do not think the Raiders are a contender (they are a playoff team though), but they already are 2-0 with two big AFC wins including a tiebreaker with Baltimore. If they can go 4-2 division wise they could be a sneaky contender to get to 13 wins as they play the NFC East which is a dog plus weaker looking teams like IND, CHI, & Cincy. Who knows with Gruden they have started hot before, but Carr does look good and the longer they keep winning the bigger a threat they become. Overall for the AFC I think if someone gets to 13 wins it will take the #1 seed. The level of competition is vastly higher in the AFC already and personally I think it would be really fun if 12 wins took the #1 seed and the chaos of the tiebreakers. That week five matchup looms soooo large. It will be very difficult to have a better record than KC if they beat us in week five. I think that bye week is just huge to have in the playoffs. A week to to get all healed up vs. completely trashing your body playing vs. a good football team. The weird thing is.... I think if 2020 Josh Allen shows up, I think we can beat them. The way our defense has looked so far? We look freakin' fantastic! I think our OL bounced back vs. the fish and I think it will continue to improve as they continue to adjust with Feliciano and Ford in new positions. Hopefully, Daboll continues to work on our run game and our pass blocking continues to improve and then we just need Josh to play like it's 2020. I think he can do that. With our four current receivers we should be unstoppable. We really should. We have the four receivers plus our duo at RB who has played great this year and then Dawson Knox who has played great. Allen Just has to feel it, fellas. We can do this, guys. We need that bye week..... Go Bills! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABILLBACKER Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 1 hour ago, corta765 said: I am all for tearing down goal posts I say we tear down a goal post over a table. We'll need 13 to get that #1 seed. I miss the days when the top 2 teams got a bye week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billybrew1 Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 What do you think the odds are that the Bills could lose in week five yet win homefield? Maybe they can do this? Im telling you, KC is going to have trouble with San Diego this weekend.... Then we could beat a tired KC team at the Ralph...... I'd rather beat them twice fair and square though.... C'mon Josh, kick their ass. Go Bills! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffBillsForLife Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 It takes beating the chiefs and then winning out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sharky7337 Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 2 hours ago, TheFunPolice said: Chiefs can score on any play. That's the killer. You can shut Hill down 45/46 plays. Then, late in the game he gets you on that 46th play for a 75 yard TD. Good news? Their defense is so bad you can also score on any play! Not when we played them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jobot Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 I just want more defensive line reps to keep feeding my addiction! I don't care about anything else right now.. It's a legit problem for any team that hopes to have a healthy qb1 following an evening with our beloved Bills! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
freddyjj Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 Bills get to 13 -4 if they: Go 1-1 vs Other AFC 1st place teams not from AFCS - KC and Pitt - need to beat KC now. Go 5-1 in division - 1-0 so far. Sweep Jest and Fins, split with Pats? Go 3-1 vs NFCS ATl, CAR, NO wins, lose to TB? go 3-1 vs AFCS - Jags, Indy, HOU wins, Tenn loss? Win extra game vs WFT this weekend, let's start there!!! 1-0 in 17th games! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Peace Frog Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 5 hours ago, 78thealltimegreat said: If the Bills bring their A game they win the Super Bowl If the Bills bring their B game they go deep into the playoffs If the Bills bring their C game they are fringe wildcard team If they bring their D game they miss out on the playoffs by end of December Moral of the story…this season is about the talent the Bills have then it is breaks for the teams their competing against Moral of the story...a grade of A is much better than a grade of D. Stating the obvious, for a friend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ProcessTruster Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 Bills will need a heckuva lotta help to have home field throughout. Honestly don't think the roster is strong enough to get there. Love Josh, but Mahomes is in another category. Sweeping the Pats won't be easy in itself. That will be a dogfight. Go Bills. Don't try to figure it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78thealltimegreat Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 3 hours ago, Peace Frog said: Moral of the story...a grade of A is much better than a grade of D. Stating the obvious, for a friend. Exactly if the Bills bring their A game no one beats them this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan619 Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 9 hours ago, corta765 said: The AFC is pretty wild this year as all of the division winners from last year are 1-1, the Broncos and Raiders are 2-0 (wtf), and the only 0-2 teams are the Jags, Jets (no surprise), and Colts (partial surprise). Given the power the #1 seed has now in the playoff picture and the ability to get especially KC on the road and not home for any contender, this year is shaping up to be a dog fight for whoever does get the #1 seed. So with that said if you look across the board at Bills opponents schedules, the Bills schedule itself, and just some basic guessing a few thinks shake out: The Ravens win opened the AFC big time to the #1 seed. KC's division is improved and even if they win it they are going to lose a game if not two. With a AFC conference loss already in the books a Bills or Titans win could really hurt KC further in the battle for 1 The Ravens themselves are a threat for the top seed, but their division is a buzz saw and attrition will play a factor. 12-5 will probably take the division, but they need to hope KC can get there too This is without a doubt KC's toughest schedule since Mahomes started and isn't super hard to get them to 12-5 as they have BUF, TEN, GB, DAL, PIT and their full gambit of division games. Going 7-4 in those games is nothing to slouch at and those are all quality opponents. If KC does go 12-5 the whole tie breaking procedure will probably be wild The Bills do not need to necessarily win both KC/TEN, but they have to beat one if they want to be in the dance for the #1 seed. Win both and your in the front seat. The Bills schedule is heavy early on, but after the bye the only tough games are NOLA, TB, & NE. They really need to clean up wins quick against their lesser opponents and if they do they will have a good look. The loss to PIT hurts more in the sense that 13-4 which probably takes the cake only allows 3 more losses. They have KC/TEN/NOLA/TB all on the road and somehow have to go 2-2 minimum so they can afford one loss somewhere else. The Titans may be the biggest threat to the Bills as they have BUF, KC, SF, & LAR but otherwise a probably soft schedule especially considering the Jags & Texans being weak and the Colts current implosion. Truthfully beating the Titans might be more important then KC just given the fact they have a similar amount of soft opponents as Buffalo Cleveland's schedule is no joke like Baltimore and they also need to hope that 12-5 is the mark to get the top seed. Between the division and the quality of opponents they have its tough sledding I do not think the Raiders are a contender (they are a playoff team though), but they already are 2-0 with two big AFC wins including a tiebreaker with Baltimore. If they can go 4-2 division wise they could be a sneaky contender to get to 13 wins as they play the NFC East which is a dog plus weaker looking teams like IND, CHI, & Cincy. Who knows with Gruden they have started hot before, but Carr does look good and the longer they keep winning the bigger a threat they become. Overall for the AFC I think if someone gets to 13 wins it will take the #1 seed. The level of competition is vastly higher in the AFC already and personally I think it would be really fun if 12 wins took the #1 seed and the chaos of the tiebreakers. Hey Corta! Thanks for bringing this topic up and breaking it down. I really do feel that the Bills have a shot at getting the number one seed even with the Pittsburgh loss. One of the main reasons for that is because KC does have such a tougher schedule this year along with playing their division. The Chargers played them really well last year and I believe they lost to the Raiders last year who are sticking around this year as well. Let’s hope that somehow buffalo can get to 13-4 and that they can avenge the week one loss to Pittsburgh so that it doesn’t come back to bite them in the end. Go Bills! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NickelCity Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 It takes consistently strong execution, game plans, and a big dose of luck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SinceThe70s Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 The ESPN Playoff Machine doesn't come out for awhile. I hope/expect that when it does we'll have a legit shot at the #1 seed. I'm more focused on getting to the (almost) quarter pole at 3-1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 Just win the division. Go 6-0 in the division. We'll get 1, probably 2 home games and I can live with this ridiculous playoff setup that rewards only the 1 seed. Updated: Division winners: Buffalo Cleveland Tennessee KC WC: Chargers, Baltimore, Raiders Just missing: Denver, Pittsburgh, Colts If our D is playing like this in January bring on anybody anywhere. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Generic_Bills_Fan Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 10 hours ago, SCBills said: I know it’s difficult to sweep the division, but there’s really no reason we shouldn’t. We just saw what we did to Miami, and the Offense isn’t even remotely clicking. The Jets are a dumpster fire. The Pats could give us a game, but comparing our 1-1 start to their 1-1 start - the two teams really aren’t close in terms of talent. I still cannot believe Flores finally cooked up a decent defensive game plan and still got absolutely blown out against us...so weird to not see them blitzing and playing man all game lol 11 hours ago, corta765 said: The AFC is pretty wild this year as all of the division winners from last year are 1-1, the Broncos and Raiders are 2-0 (wtf), and the only 0-2 teams are the Jags, Jets (no surprise), and Colts (partial surprise). Given the power the #1 seed has now in the playoff picture and the ability to get especially KC on the road and not home for any contender, this year is shaping up to be a dog fight for whoever does get the #1 seed. So with that said if you look across the board at Bills opponents schedules, the Bills schedule itself, and just some basic guessing a few thinks shake out: The Ravens win opened the AFC big time to the #1 seed. KC's division is improved and even if they win it they are going to lose a game if not two. With a AFC conference loss already in the books a Bills or Titans win could really hurt KC further in the battle for 1 The Ravens themselves are a threat for the top seed, but their division is a buzz saw and attrition will play a factor. 12-5 will probably take the division, but they need to hope KC can get there too This is without a doubt KC's toughest schedule since Mahomes started and isn't super hard to get them to 12-5 as they have BUF, TEN, GB, DAL, PIT and their full gambit of division games. Going 7-4 in those games is nothing to slouch at and those are all quality opponents. If KC does go 12-5 the whole tie breaking procedure will probably be wild The Bills do not need to necessarily win both KC/TEN, but they have to beat one if they want to be in the dance for the #1 seed. Win both and your in the front seat. The Bills schedule is heavy early on, but after the bye the only tough games are NOLA, TB, & NE. They really need to clean up wins quick against their lesser opponents and if they do they will have a good look. The loss to PIT hurts more in the sense that 13-4 which probably takes the cake only allows 3 more losses. They have KC/TEN/NOLA/TB all on the road and somehow have to go 2-2 minimum so they can afford one loss somewhere else. The Titans may be the biggest threat to the Bills as they have BUF, KC, SF, & LAR but otherwise a probably soft schedule especially considering the Jags & Texans being weak and the Colts current implosion. Truthfully beating the Titans might be more important then KC just given the fact they have a similar amount of soft opponents as Buffalo Cleveland's schedule is no joke like Baltimore and they also need to hope that 12-5 is the mark to get the top seed. Between the division and the quality of opponents they have its tough sledding I do not think the Raiders are a contender (they are a playoff team though), but they already are 2-0 with two big AFC wins including a tiebreaker with Baltimore. If they can go 4-2 division wise they could be a sneaky contender to get to 13 wins as they play the NFC East which is a dog plus weaker looking teams like IND, CHI, & Cincy. Who knows with Gruden they have started hot before, but Carr does look good and the longer they keep winning the bigger a threat they become. Overall for the AFC I think if someone gets to 13 wins it will take the #1 seed. The level of competition is vastly higher in the AFC already and personally I think it would be really fun if 12 wins took the #1 seed and the chaos of the tiebreakers. Get to 4-1 with a win over kc then we'll talk lol AFC west and North are getting very competitive though so for the second time in a long time looks like we are the ones in an unfairly easy division 🤣 nothing against NE though they will still be a tough out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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