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Texans releasing JJ Watt


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19 hours ago, NewEra said:

We don’t have to get younger.  We are going to be signing 2-4 players every year that are one year rentals.  It doesn’t matter which position and how old those players are.  They just have to be able to help us win a super bowl.  When the window is open and ours may never be more open that right now, the only thing a team has to do is bet better, hopefully enough to win the super bowl.  We can get younger pass rushers next year, or in 2-3 years.  As long as we sign pass rushers that can get the job done. 

 

I think the danger of having 3 primary pass rushers aged 32 or older is that they all regresse in the same season and you are left with no pass rush.

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Just now, FireChans said:

I'm assuming Eddy and Tremaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaine who is still a toddler.

I mean everybody is entitled to their opinion but

 

- The only DL there is Ed Oliver

- Edmunds hasnt played like a pro bowler....he has however wond defensive player of the week more then a few times

 

I also want to add to the DL....but lets not hyperbole people

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14 minutes ago, Dukestreetking said:

Per espn advanced stats offered other thread by @DCOrange, he was 8th in Edge win rate this year (JH was 2nd). So there's that, agree or not re metric.

 

As aside, I am not a huge JJ fan at this point in career.

 

[Sorry if this stat noted already; normally don't comment until I read all pages, but doing cross-thread reading today to catch up]

Yes his pass rush win rate was very high according to ESPN, I'd like him as a rotational player. He certainly could make a difference where we need it.

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1 minute ago, John from Riverside said:

I mean everybody is entitled to their opinion but

 

- The only DL there is Ed Oliver

- Edmunds hasnt played like a pro bowler....he has however wond defensive player of the week more then a few times

 

I also want to add to the DL....but lets not hyperbole people

What does this mean?

 

Both have been underwhelming.  It is what it is.

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40 minutes ago, par73 said:

Bills did a poor job of replacing players lost on the DL last year. It doesn't help that two 1st round picks on the front seven have been under-performers.

 

I had higher hopes for Addison.  He wasn't really a factor all year (even though I think he was our leading sacker w/ 5)....

 

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3 minutes ago, FireChans said:

"It doesn't help that two 1st round picks on the front seven"

 

They both play in the front 7 my dude.

Yeah I guess I read that sentence wrong.

3 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

Yeah I guess I read that sentence wrong.

Well Chan its good to know that banning has changed you at all

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1 hour ago, Pokebball said:

I don't know.  None of us do.  That's part of the puzzle and process that management has got to work. Watt's also got to be thinking about what he wants and what is important to him and his family at this stage in his career.

I realize that you don’t know what he’ll cost.... what do you THINK he costs?

 

I’m thinking it’ll be around 13-15M aav

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31 minutes ago, NewEra said:

I realize that you don’t know what he’ll cost.... what do you THINK he costs?

 

I’m thinking it’ll be around 13-15M aav

I think 15 is what he'd like  Not sure about term.  Not sure about guarantee or signing bonus.  I think the latter terms are where the issues will be, whether or not something can be contracted/settled.

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13 minutes ago, Success said:

 

I had higher hopes for Addison.  He wasn't really a factor all year (even though I think he was our leading sacker w/ 5)....

 

 

I was against that from the start. His pressures and hits were down in 2019, he turned an unsustainable number of his pressures into sacks. He actually continued that this year in a sense... it is just that the pressures reduced again. When Addison gets a chance he converts usually. It is just he doesn't win at a very high rate. Kinda the direct opposite of Jerry.

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1 minute ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I was against that from the start. His pressures and hits were down in 2019, he turned an unsustainable number of his pressures into sacks. He actually continued that this year in a sense... it is just that the pressures reduced again. When Addison gets a chance he converts usually. It is just he doesn't win at a very high rate. Kinda the direct opposite of Jerry.

It was like when LorAx was in the top of sacks with the lowest pressure/sack ratio in the NFL.  Completely unsustainable.

 

But I liked the Addison signing so ***** me .

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4 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I was against that from the start. His pressures and hits were down in 2019, he turned an unsustainable number of his pressures into sacks. He actually continued that this year in a sense... it is just that the pressures reduced again. When Addison gets a chance he converts usually. It is just he doesn't win at a very high rate. Kinda the direct opposite of Jerry.

I'm really hoping McDermott and Beane just cut their losses with Addison, Jefferson, and Butler. They can find capable replacement with $20 million in savings. I really don't think either player makes a difference for the roster. 

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Just now, Buffalo_Stampede said:

I'm really hoping McDermott and Beane just cut their losses with Addison, Jefferson, and Butler. They can find capable replacement with $20 million in savings. I really don't think either player makes a difference for the roster. 

Agreed.  I liked the Jefferson signing the most and I feel he can still be a nice rotational player, but his salary suggests he should be more

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It’s weird...

 

I am generally in the “we’ve already tried giving big contracts to old guys at EDGE, what we need is youth and juice and to find, draft, and grow our OWN stars there” camp, and yet...

 

I find myself hoping that Watt sings with the Bills. He seems like a perfect culture fit, an instant jolt of leadership, and a mentor for Epenesa and hopefully another youngster yet to be drafted. 
 

Seeing JPP play a crucial role in TB’s Super Bowl run has me caring a little less about the age factor. Besides, it seems unlikely that the Bills can find a blue chip EDGE picking at 30.

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1 minute ago, Logic said:

It’s weird...

 

I am generally in the “we’ve already tried giving big contracts to old guys at EDGE, what we need is youth and juice and to find, draft, and grow our OWN stars there” camp, and yet...

 

I find myself hoping that Watt sings with the Bills. He seems like a perfect culture fit, an instant jolt of leadership, and a mentor for Epenesa and hopefully another youngster yet to be drafted. 
 

Seeing JPP play a crucial role in TB’s Super Bowl run has me caring a little less about the age factor. Besides, it seems unlikely that the Bills can find a blue chip EDGE picking at 30.

 

We already have enough singers

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2 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

That wasn't a bad decision IMO. Not like they dumped him straight away. He was on the roster the first two years here and got on the field ocassionally and was bang average. He then went to Detroit and didn't stick too. You don't just keep dedicating a roster spot to a QB to TE conversion project for four years hoping the light finally comes on when he is 29 year old. I am pleased for Logan but I attach no wrong doing to the Bills in that scenario. 

 

 

Of course the team switch might have delayed his emergence but even so Thomas was better with Detroit than Tyler Kroft was with Buffalo.   Obviously the Bills offense in 2017/2018 was an abortion so not a great place to develop young talent but he looked notably better in Detroit in limited opportunity in 2019.   But he wasn't likely to get the time that a Murphy got because he was inherited from Rex/Whaley.   TE is a tough position to evaluate and project.......but it's a tough game for tough people right?  Bottom line results........team would pay thru the nose for him now.

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1 minute ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

Of course the team switch might have delayed his emergence but even so Thomas was better with Detroit than Tyler Kroft was with Buffalo.   Obviously the Bills offense in 2017/2018 was an abortion so not a great place to develop young talent but he looked notably better in Detroit in limited opportunity in 2019.   But he wasn't likely to get the time that a Murphy got because he was inherited from Rex/Whaley.   TE is a tough position to evaluate and project.......but it's a tough game for tough people right?  Bottom line results........team would pay thru the nose for him now.

They would be chasing fool's gold.

 

He has a paltry 6.1 yards per target, which ranks 127th in the NFL, tied with Eric Ebron, who is making $3M AAV.

 

His catch percentage is 125th in the NFL. 

 

Kelce, Waller, Gesicki and Andrews had 9.8, 8.2, 8.3, and 8.0 YPT.

 

LT had a nice season, but he's a product of receiving a boat load of targets, with QB's that struggle to attack outside defenses (Smith/Allen).

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14 minutes ago, Logic said:

It’s weird...

 

I am generally in the “we’ve already tried giving big contracts to old guys at EDGE, what we need is youth and juice and to find, draft, and grow our OWN stars there” camp, and yet...

 

I find myself hoping that Watt sings with the Bills. He seems like a perfect culture fit, an instant jolt of leadership, and a mentor for Epenesa and hopefully another youngster yet to be drafted. 
 

Seeing JPP play a crucial role in TB’s Super Bowl run has me caring a little less about the age factor. Besides, it seems unlikely that the Bills can find a blue chip EDGE picking at 30.

I agree with this, but you should dive into some of the DEs that are pegged to be drafted around 30.  I think you’ll 

be surprised.  I think this class of pass rushers, while lacking the elite talent, has several guys that can be effective getting pressure on the QB

12 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

Of course the team switch might have delayed his emergence but even so Thomas was better with Detroit than Tyler Kroft was with Buffalo.   Obviously the Bills offense in 2017/2018 was an abortion so not a great place to develop young talent but he looked notably better in Detroit in limited opportunity in 2019.   But he wasn't likely to get the time that a Murphy got because he was inherited from Rex/Whaley.   TE is a tough position to evaluate and project.......but it's a tough game for tough people right?  Bottom line results........team would pay thru the nose for him now.

Overreaction Saturday a thing?

 

he’s a decent TE.  In hindsight, we should have kept him.  Were you upset when we cut him?  

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2 hours ago, FireChans said:

Yes, we've never seen pass-rushers fall off a cliff!

 

Some people have the hardest time.

He's talking about Denver.


What he has in the tank is a completely different conversation than those that argue that he wouldn’t be a scheme fit going from a B gap player to a C gap player when he’s a phenomenal rusher from the B. Moving further out will likely only increase his efficacy, like Calais Campbell.
 

Which is the real context of the tweet and my response that went right over your head.

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24 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

Of course the team switch might have delayed his emergence but even so Thomas was better with Detroit than Tyler Kroft was with Buffalo.   Obviously the Bills offense in 2017/2018 was an abortion so not a great place to develop young talent but he looked notably better in Detroit in limited opportunity in 2019.   But he wasn't likely to get the time that a Murphy got because he was inherited from Rex/Whaley.   TE is a tough position to evaluate and project.......but it's a tough game for tough people right?  Bottom line results........team would pay thru the nose for him now.

 

He didn't show enough to be worth hanging onto. Right decision at the time to let go. This is a classic case of a decision that ONLY looks bad in hindsight. It wasn't even arguable at the time IMO.

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3 minutes ago, whatdrought said:


What he has in the tank is a completely different conversation than those that argue that he wouldn’t be a scheme fit going from a B gap player to a C gap player when he’s a phenomenal rusher from the B. Moving further out will likely only increase his efficacy, like Calais Campbell.
 

Which is the real context of the tweet and my response that went right over your head.

Yeah bro. "Calais Campbell did it!" is not an argument because every player is different.  Hence my response, which went right over YOUR head.

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52 minutes ago, FireChans said:

It was like when LorAx was in the top of sacks with the lowest pressure/sack ratio in the NFL.  Completely unsustainable.

 

But I liked the Addison signing so ***** me .

me too. Very complimentary player i still think.

Rough season overall for  front seven in my opinion

 

JJWatt goes to Pittsburgh to play with his Brothers and we get Bud Dupree

 everyone wins

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17 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

He didn't show enough to be worth hanging onto. Right decision at the time to let go. This is a classic case of a decision that ONLY looks bad in hindsight. It wasn't even arguable at the time IMO.

 

 

And you were adamant that Josh Allen wasn't worth selecting and that it was the wrong decision at the time to select him.  

 

A classic case of something that only looks good to you(and many others with similarly self-assured opinions) in hindsight.

 

Not comparing Allen to Thomas directly but it's just one of those deals, like Teller and a pile of bad free agent signings, that did not work out and are part of Beane's resume regardless of opinions of those moves at the time.

 

Ultimately, if you get credited for things that work out........you also get credited for those that don't work out.

 

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23 minutes ago, FireChans said:

Yeah bro. "Calais Campbell did it!" is not an argument because every player is different.  Hence my response, which went right over YOUR head.


Nothing went over my head. Your response was entirely based on his overall performance and didn’t even engage with the conversation regarding position change. You aren’t talking at all about what I was posting about, but you’re trying to fit it into your idea that Watt is washed, which in of itself is a stupid argument. 

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1 hour ago, NewEra said:

Agreed.  I liked the Jefferson signing the most and I feel he can still be a nice rotational player, but his salary suggests he should be more

Draft pick and salary always affect opinion for nearly everyone.
I too was hoping for more from Addison and Butler. But i was hoping to see more from Oliver and Espinosa (sp)

as well.
 

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49 minutes ago, FireChans said:

They would be chasing fool's gold.

 

He has a paltry 6.1 yards per target, which ranks 127th in the NFL, tied with Eric Ebron, who is making $3M AAV.

 

His catch percentage is 125th in the NFL. 

 

Kelce, Waller, Gesicki and Andrews had 9.8, 8.2, 8.3, and 8.0 YPT.

 

LT had a nice season, but he's a product of receiving a boat load of targets, with QB's that struggle to attack outside defenses (Smith/Allen).

 

 

You and @GunnerBill and @NewEra can claim he's just a scrub on a bad team.........but you guys are wrong.........he's become a very good receiving TE.   Watch the games guys.  

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12 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

And you were adamant that Josh Allen wasn't worth selecting and that it was the wrong decision at the time to select him.  

 

A classic case of something that only looks good to you(and many others with similarly self-assured opinions) in hindsight.

 

Not comparing Allen to Thomas directly but it's just one of those deals, like Teller and a pile of bad free agent signings, that did not work out and are part of Beane's resume regardless of opinions of those moves at the time.

 

Ultimately, if you get credited for things that work out........you also get credited for those that don't work out.

 

 

I wouldn't have picked Allen, true. But the two situations are totally incomparable. And I wasn't disputing any of the other examples you cited. Just Logan Thomas. You don't hold onto guys who show nothing for 4 years.... just in case.

4 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

You and @GunnerBill and @NewEra can claim he's just a scrub on a bad team.........but you guys are wrong.........he's become a very good receiving TE.   Watch the games guys.  

 

Whoa that is NOT what I claimed. 

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38 minutes ago, 3rdand12 said:

me too. Very complimentary player i still think.

Rough season overall for  front seven in my opinion

 

JJWatt goes to Pittsburgh to play with his Brothers and we get Bud Dupree

 everyone wins

Pittsburgh is like 35m over the cap so they might not be a threat. I’d be more worried about greenbay. They’re just as much a SB contender as us and Watt is from Wisconsin. I’m not sure about they’re cap situation, probably similar to us

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40 minutes ago, 3rdand12 said:

me too. Very complimentary player i still think.

Rough season overall for  front seven in my opinion

 

JJWatt goes to Pittsburgh to play with his Brothers and we get Bud Dupree

 everyone wins

So you want the Bills to sign a guy for more money than what Watt will get paid and is coming off of an ACL tear and that’s somehow a win for Buffalo?

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8 minutes ago, Turbo44 said:

Pittsburgh is like 35m over the cap so they might not be a threat. I’d be more worried about greenbay. They’re just as much a SB contender as us and Watt is from Wisconsin. I’m not sure about they’re cap situation, probably similar to us

GB is $30M + over the cap according to OTC.  Not likely they are spending big this off season.  

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