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I don't believe in the 3 year plan happening in '19


PUNT750

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9 hours ago, ScottLaw said:

I'll have better faith in McDermott when he stops getting his ass handed to him game in and game out by BB.

 

 

 

Sure, I get that. When you can out-wit and trounce the best NFL coach of all time, you can give him some amount of respect. Very fair evaluation. 

 

Happy New Year!  

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8 hours ago, pop gun said:

My bad, I didn't realize McBeane was capable of going 8-8 hitting 8 homeruns this off season.

 

I guess we'll see how much of a power hitter McBeane is because his last off season was more bunts, singles with maybe a double or 2, throw in a bunch of outs as well.

Taron Johnson looks like a triple considering his draft slot. Star was a GIDP. McKittrick looks like a sac fly that could potentially extend the inning.

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1 hour ago, Scott7975 said:

They don't need great players at every position.  They need a couple great players on offense, a few good players, and the rest average NFL talent.  Its not as hard as you think.  No, they wont get everyone they want in one more year, but they should be able to get good enough people to compete for a playoff position at least.

Couple is 2 and a few is 3? 4? 5? So where do they find these guys this off season to step right in and be good and great?

 

If it's not so hard let us know where they are coming from and what they will cost.

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1 hour ago, LSHMEAB said:

Taron Johnson looks like a triple considering his draft slot. Star was a GIDP. McKittrick looks like a sac fly that could potentially extend the inning.

I like it. Particularly the part where we’re still discussing the mythical “McKittrick.” 

I like both Allen and.Edmunds. But they’re both projects, and I have questions about drafting projects under the current CBA. Edmunds was 19 when drafted. If he peaks as a MLB from ages 25-28, what good does that do us?  He’s getting paid free agency dollars by age 25.

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2 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said:

I like it. Particularly the part where we’re still discussing the mythical “McKittrick.” 

I like both Allen and.Edmunds. But they’re both projects, and I have questions about drafting projects under the current CBA. Edmunds was 19 when drafted. If he peaks as a MLB from ages 25-28, what good does that do us?  He’s getting paid free agency dollars by age 25.

I took Fergy seriously for awhile until I caught on. Dude is a genius.

 

I agree with the take on Edmunds. His age is actually a detriment to the Bills if he pans out. By the time he hits FA'cy, his value would theoretically be sky high presuming he developed into a stud. At THAT point, his youth would drive his price tag through the roof. Obviously that would mean we got solid production, but it's silly to think his youth somehow makes him a better draft prospect. As an aside, I don't think he's a MLB. If the regime is smart, they'll move him outside where he can be even more valuable and fill the MLB position in free agency. Decent run stuffing MLB's with ADEQUATE coverage skills are not difficult to find. 

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23 minutes ago, LSHMEAB said:

I took Fergy seriously for awhile until I caught on. Dude is a genius.

 

I agree with the take on Edmunds. His age is actually a detriment to the Bills if he pans out. By the time he hits FA'cy, his value would theoretically be sky high presuming he developed into a stud. At THAT point, his youth would drive his price tag through the roof. Obviously that would mean we got solid production, but it's silly to think his youth somehow makes him a better draft prospect. As an aside, I don't think he's a MLB. If the regime is smart, they'll move him outside where he can be even more valuable and fill the MLB position in free agency. Decent run stuffing MLB's with ADEQUATE coverage skills are not difficult to find. 

Agreed. Edmunds to me is kind of a Super Kiko. Remember Kiko started out in the middle. Unfortunately injuries kind of slowed him down by the time he came back and was moved outside. I think Edmunds will be a special player if he stays healthy. I also think he’ll start reaching his potential right as he reaches free agency. And you’re right - a young/in his prime free agent will take home a huge contract. It’s kind of the situation Bryce Harper is in in MLB - a 7 year, $200 million contract doesn’t sound that awful when Year 7 is your 32 year old season, not your 38 year old season. 

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29 minutes ago, LSHMEAB said:

I took Fergy seriously for awhile until I caught on. Dude is a genius.

 

I agree with the take on Edmunds. His age is actually a detriment to the Bills if he pans out. By the time he hits FA'cy, his value would theoretically be sky high presuming he developed into a stud. At THAT point, his youth would drive his price tag through the roof. Obviously that would mean we got solid production, but it's silly to think his youth somehow makes him a better draft prospect. As an aside, I don't think he's a MLB. If the regime is smart, they'll move him outside where he can be even more valuable and fill the MLB position in free agency. Decent run stuffing MLB's with ADEQUATE coverage skills are not difficult to find

There were 2 of those guys here and both were shipped out. :doh:

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Just now, The Frankish Reich said:

Agreed. Edmunds to me is kind of a Super Kiko. Remember Kiko started out in the middle. Unfortunately injuries kind of slowed him down by the time he came back and was moved outside. I think Edmunds will be a special player if he stays healthy. I also think he’ll start reaching his potential right as he reaches free agency. And you’re right - a young/in his prime free agent will take home a huge contract. It’s kind of the situation Bryce Harper is in in MLB - a 7 year, $200 million contract doesn’t sound that awful when Year 7 is your 32 year old season, not your 38 year old season. 

I love the comparison to Harper. I'm a Tigers fan and at this point, they're paying Cabrera 30 mil annually to play 20 games and hit a few singles. Sad state of affairs with that team, but that's rather beside the point. Just a silly move by an old man doing his damndest to win a ring before he died.(Sadly, he failed). Teams are far less likely to pay such players since the Cabrera and ARod fiascos. I think Harper will be vastly overpaid for unrelated reasons, but his youth drives up his price tag big time.

 

Bottom line is Edmunds will be judged based on how he performs and they don't get any points because he was 19. Super Kiko would be awesome.

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On 12/24/2018 at 7:51 PM, jahnyc said:

I think how competitive we will be next year (and the years that follow) will depend in large part on whether and how much Allen develops.  He is still raw in many aspects of his game, so it may not be reasonable to expect that the Bills will be competitive (i.e., in the hunt for a playoff spot) next year, particularly since they also have a lot of holes to fill.

Well, that would be a problem if Allen does not show major progress next year.  The Bills only have a four-year window with Allen on a rookie contract.  Personally, I see him taking a big step forward next year (like Trubisky did this year) but if he doesn’t, that would be a big concern.

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2 hours ago, LSHMEAB said:

Taron Johnson looks like a triple considering his draft slot. Star was a GIDP. McKittrick looks like a sac fly that could potentially extend the inning.

I hate to say it, but sac flies don’t “extend the inning.” ?

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On 12/25/2018 at 6:40 AM, LSHMEAB said:

The only truly significant losses were two offensive lineman. Not quite sure why they regressed so much. You'd think with a better QB and a year in McDermott's defensive system, they'd improve enough in other areas to make up for those losses and even build on that modicum of success.

Tough 1st half schedule  (We played 6 of the 8 games on the road).  Our 1st half had several Playoff teams

Tough going at the QB position with Peterman,  Anderson and not yet ready Allen.   The 2nd half showed the promise. 

Defense was atrocious in the 1st half in the Red Zone  They gave away way too many TDs.

Horrible Special Teams through the year. 

No Offensive support...Shady had his worst season; no running game; no WRs to catch balls.

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On 12/25/2018 at 12:32 AM, BillsFan130 said:

Sounds about right. The question is though, if the Bills aren't competitive next year do they bring Mcbeane back for 2020... I would say no as they need to show vast improvement next year

There is a difference between being a "contender" and "not competetive"

 

The bills could easily make the playoffs next year and not make it to the Super Bowl....which would definately keep Beane and McD in their positions.....giving them a chance to fine tune the team for seriously consecutive playoff contention

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5 hours ago, LSHMEAB said:

 

I agree with the take on Edmunds. His age is actually a detriment to the Bills if he pans out. By the time he hits FA'cy, his value would theoretically be sky high presuming he developed into a stud. At THAT point, his youth would drive his price tag through the roof. Obviously that would mean we got solid production, but it's silly to think his youth somehow makes him a better draft prospect. 

 

 

 

This might come as a shock, but some players don't reach free agency because they sign second contracts with the team that drafted them.

 

If that happens here, getting him young will absolutely have made him a better draft prospect.

 

5 hours ago, LSHMEAB said:

 

 Decent run stuffing MLB's with ADEQUATE coverage skills are not difficult to find. 

 

 

 

True, but they are also not what McDermott needs to run his defense. 

 

Kuechly is an example of what McDermott is looking for, and he is not a "decent run stuffing MLB with ADEQUATE coverage skills."

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12 hours ago, BlueandRed said:

This FO better get their ***** together.   2019 is the year. No more wasting time.  I would hate to start another rebuild in 2020. 

Still no reason for such a decline. We were supposed to improve on last year and we didn’t. 

 

McD is failing...bad 

 

He gets one more year to right the ship. 

 

 

Kid yourself if you must, but this year was always going to be a bad one. Some fans like you felt we "were supposed to improve on last year," but nearly everyone else knew that in rebuilds you generally decline before you make progress.

 

And whether you or any other fan feels he gets another year or not matters very little. It's what the Pegulas think and they love the guy. If there's any progress at all he's very likely to see a fourth year at least.

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15 hours ago, LSHMEAB said:

 

This entire post implies Beane gives a flying bleep about the organization beyond his tenure. He does not. Unless Pegula has foolishly given him some kind of blessing beyond 2019, he goes ALL IN this offseason. This may be his one and only chance to be a GM and the clock is presumably ticking.

 

 

No reason whatsoever to think so. why would he feel it necessary to go all in this year? He's made it clear from minute one that his main goals are long-term. His goal is to turn the team into one that challenges for a championship every year. And that it would take time.

 

It's still extremely early in Beane's tenure. GMs take longer to evaluate than coaches. Beane'll be here a while. Probably three more seasons at a minimum unless the team absolutely self-destructs. There's no reason to think they will do so. 

 

Fair enough that this may be his only chance to be a GM. Of course, he might have more, he's a very young guy, but it's certainly possible this could be his last if he doesn't do well. But he's not going to give up the team's long-term good for next year. Partly because he is likely to be around for the next few years and will be judged much more on years when he's had three or four drafts and we can see how he puts together a team. 

 

17 hours ago, Straight Hucklebuck said:

Which is why I say - McD and Beane have a pile of cash and draft picks in 2019, along with their hand picked QB to get some results. 

 

They earned the opportunity based on the 2017 Playoff appearance. But the 2018 season has used up that goodwill. In 2019 the mantra about watching tape and culture need to stop and winning needs to start happening. 

 

Fine 2018 was about learning and seeing what you have. 2019 can not be the same story. 

 

 

2018 wasn't about learning and seeing what you have. It was about rebuilding.

 

The Pegulas know rebuilding, as we can see from the Sabres this year. They know that some rebuilds work and that others don't, but that the most important thing about a rebuild is coming out of it with a QB who shows the possibility of being a real franchise guy. Allen so far looks like he has that possibility.

 

If they don't show any improvement, McDermott might well be on the hot seat for 2020. I expect improvement, myself. They had a ton of holes this year. Next year they'll have far fewer.

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On 12/25/2018 at 4:12 AM, BillsFan1988 said:

Does anyone here really respect Cam Newton as an elite franchise QB. I think he's a teir 2 QB maybe from 11-15 best in league.

That is what I questioned when I read that statement. The next Cam Newton isn’t exactly a ringing endorsement. Cam is good but he isn’t mentioned in the top tier group of quarterbacks. 

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7 hours ago, John from Riverside said:

There is a difference between being a "contender" and "not competetive"

 

The bills could easily make the playoffs next year and not make it to the Super Bowl....which would definately keep Beane and McD in their positions.....giving them a chance to fine tune the team for seriously consecutive playoff contention

Fair enough 

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On 12/24/2018 at 7:30 PM, PUNT750 said:

I really can’t believe the 3 year re-build plan for the Bills will have much success in 2019.  Regardless of 10 draft picks and $90 mil in cap space it doesn’t make sense.

 

 

Realistically we need new, quality;   O Lineman (3), WR (3), RB (2), LB (1), TE (1), DB (1), DL (1) 

 

 

That’s 12 total to be competitive!!

 

 

 

We’re going to have to over-pay for quality, top tier free-agents to come to Buffalo.  We all know the risks with drafts picks in their rookie seasons (Zay Jones, Teller, McCloud and even Edmunds).  It just doesn’t happen.

 

 

I love believing in the PROCESS but with a young, raw QB who is still unproven while trying to blend a plethora of new players into a competent NFL team seems unrealistic.  It may sell tickets but not win a lot of games.

 

 

GO BILLS!

Seems to me like you are looking for a dynasty type lineup, which is what we all want, but not necessarily what we need, in order to put out a competitive playoff type caliber lineup. Basically every team in the NFL has warts that we can pick on, or places they need serious upgrades here or there. Having a couple of difference makers on the field, starting at QB as the most important one, will still get us where we need to be in year 3 of the process, IMHO. In terms of needs, at least 2 changes on the line (center, guard), 1-2 solid WR options (Foster's emergence as a bona fide deep threat already helps), 1 RB I think basically would do the job of significant improvement, even if we just hold serve on D, as that unit for the most part this year, showed it can hang if the offense has a pulse.  

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6 hours ago, Thurman#1 said:

 

 

No reason whatsoever to think so. why would he feel it necessary to go all in this year? He's made it clear from minute one that his main goals are long-term. His goal is to turn the team into one that challenges for a championship every year. And that it would take time.

 

It's still extremely early in Beane's tenure. GMs take longer to evaluate than coaches. Beane'll be here a while. 

What happens next season if they go 7-9 or even 8-8? Beane stays and McDermott goes?

 

Something tells me these guys are tied at the hip. It irks the hell out of me that two guys who've never done the job have more job security than GM's/Coaches in the league who've achieved serious success. I actually like McDermott more than I like Beane. Be a damn shame if McDermott were to get the ax because of Beane's blunders.

 

Only in Buffalo is this acceptable.

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On 12/25/2018 at 11:02 AM, NewDayBills said:

Depends. Our defense started out really strong and gradually we have fallen apart. After all the resources spent there I feel like we should have gotten more for our money. If Daboll/Allen continue to grow with each other I could see McD eventually getting ***** canned and Daboll takes over. Defense better play elite football next year and we better make the playoffs otherwise cya later. Daboll is a hot name around the league, hopefully he stays on another year and we can groom him for that potential HC vacancy.  

Daboll has been a career mediocrity at BEST in every other stop as an OC, current stop included ... I have NO idea how some are trumpeting him as a hot HC candidate

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On 12/24/2018 at 4:30 PM, PUNT750 said:

I really can’t believe the 3 year re-build plan for the Bills will have much success in 2019.  Regardless of 10 draft picks and $90 mil in cap space it doesn’t make sense.

 

 

Realistically we need new, quality;   O Lineman (3), WR (3), RB (2), LB (1), TE (1), DB (1), DL (1) 

 

 

That’s 12 total to be competitive!!

 

 

 

We’re going to have to over-pay for quality, top tier free-agents to come to Buffalo.  We all know the risks with drafts picks in their rookie seasons (Zay Jones, Teller, McCloud and even Edmunds).  It just doesn’t happen.

 

 

I love believing in the PROCESS but with a young, raw QB who is still unproven while trying to blend a plethora of new players into a competent NFL team seems unrealistic.  It may sell tickets but not win a lot of games.

 

 

GO BILLS!

 

Well lucky for us then that next year is only year TWO of the 3 year plan.  This will only be Beanes second draft.  McD first year he was stuck with Rex and Whaleys roster.  This was the first actual year of the rebuild where they tore out the pieces the were getting us no where and fixed the cap.  

 

Its amazing how out of touch some of you are with the realities and facts of this team.  

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2 hours ago, LSHMEAB said:

What happens next season if they go 7-9 or even 8-8? Beane stays and McDermott goes?

 

Something tells me these guys are tied at the hip. It irks the hell out of me that two guys who've never done the job have more job security than GM's/Coaches in the league who've achieved serious success. I actually like McDermott more than I like Beane. Be a damn shame if McDermott were to get the ax because of Beane's blunders.

 

Only in Buffalo is this acceptable.

Those final win counts would get them fired in my opinion

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9 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

Those final win counts would get them fired in my opinion

THANK YOU!!!

 

I'm skeptical as hell of the process, but they deserve next season to put it together. Not a Superbowl, but a SERIOUS run at the playoffs. First time GM/HC's should not be given longer than 3 years to build at least a playoff contender regardless of the teardown they initiated.

 

 

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1 hour ago, Alphadawg7 said:

 

Well lucky for us then that next year is only year TWO of the 3 year plan.  This will only be Beanes second draft.  McD first year he was stuck with Rex and Whaleys roster.  This was the first actual year of the rebuild where they tore out the pieces the were getting us no where and fixed the cap.  

 

Its amazing how out of touch some of you are with the realities and facts of this team.  

Admittance that McClown made the playoffs with Rex and Whaleys guys and has done squat with the guys they had picked? Doesn't look like it is going to get a whole lot better next year either.

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8 minutes ago, pop gun said:

Admittance that McClown made the playoffs with Rex and Whaleys guys and has done squat with the guys they had picked? Doesn't look like it is going to get a whole lot better next year either.

 

Are you suggesting the team we fielded this year was their attempt at being a good team?  LOL

 

Some of you guys need to understand how to separate fielding a team and building a team.  The team on the field this year, especially the offense, is not even close to the finished product.  I mean its literally the beginning of rebuilding and what they FIELDED under the circumstances, not what they BUILT..  Some of you act like this was their best effort at building a contender.  

 

They were in cap hell, Beane fixed it a year faster than he predicted.  They had guys they got rid of after having been around them in McD's first year.  They had 2 OL retire they had thought would be here.  They went out and got a rookie QB and a second first rounder in Edmunds to groom into being the QB of the defense for years too.  

 

I just dont understand how so many fans are so out of touch with reality this season.  This was NEVER the end product this year, EVERYTHING they did was to build on for the future to build a real contender, not some 9 win team hoping to make playoffs again on tie breaker for the next 5 years.  This next year is now about building this franchise to contend regularly.  They have a playoff caliber defense and a young rookie QB.  They will begin adding pieces around Allen to help build his success, and judging by McD and Beane actions thus far, I expect a heavy investment in FA/Draft/both on the OL to help protect the kid and get the run game going again to help take pressure off Josh.  Additionally some more weapons are certainly coming in at WR and probably TE and maybe RB too.  

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On ‎12‎/‎24‎/‎2018 at 9:20 PM, klos63 said:

If we have an equally poor line and WR group, then yes, it would be a good reason that they might fail again in 2019, why wouldn't it be?

I agree 100% with the above!!!

 

The Bills have all this money in free agency and that is great, but if we continue to ignore key positions such as the Offensive Line in the draft, chances are that we will not get out of the miserable rut in the foreseeable future. Blockers, especially OTs are hard to get in trades or free agency, unless you are dealing with the Bills. We all know that Allen is talented. Fine thanks, but he needs protection and he needs weapons.

 

I am well aware that teams cannot click on every draft pick, but if we could just find good players to surround our QB with, why shouldn't we win?

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On 12/25/2018 at 12:30 AM, BullBuchanan said:

It's unrealistic to expect 2019 rookies to have an immediate impact that can turn it all around at positions like WR, late round RBs, OLine, Dline.

 

Why?

 

The Cowboys in 1975 went to the Super Bowl with 12 rookies.  2 of them were offensive lineman.  

 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dirty_Dozen_(American_football)

 

This the kind of draft performance  coupled with really good FA signing we need if "THE PROCESS" has any chance of success.

 

We've had McDermott and Beane's first year and mulligan tank year.  2019 is time to put up or shut up. No more excuses.

 

My bottom line for next year is we better be at least "in the hunt" going into week 17.

 

 

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On 12/25/2018 at 12:42 AM, Tsaikotic said:

 

Im going to say Castillo and  Dennison were the other major problems...they came in and totally changed the scheme...if you look back to Millers first year, he actually looked somewhat decent, now everyone wants him gone...Dennison is gone but Castillo is still here

 

I'm not convinced the lack of a run game should be placed on the OLine's doorstep.  I think coaching and scheme also play a large role.

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On 12/25/2018 at 7:18 AM, billsfan1959 said:

They haven't made those draft picks yet. They haven't used any of that cap space for free agents yet. So how can they have eveything they need? Why don't we just wait and see what happens.

 

Honestly, your posts are nonsensical.

 

Didn't they make all those trades and dump all those guys in order to have everything they need to build a champion?

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1 hour ago, Bill from NYC said:

I agree 100% with the above!!!

 

The Bills have all this money in free agency and that is great, but if we continue to ignore key positions such as the Offensive Line in the draft, chances are that we will not get out of the miserable rut in the foreseeable future. Blockers, especially OTs are hard to get in trades or free agency, unless you are dealing with the Bills. We all know that Allen is talented. Fine thanks, but he needs protection and he needs weapons.

 

I am well aware that teams cannot click on every draft pick, but if we could just find good players to surround our QB with, why shouldn't we win?

Not to nitpick, but if you include Miller three starters were drafted in the last three years.

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1 hour ago, Alphadawg7 said:

 

Are you suggesting the team we fielded this year was their attempt at being a good team?  LOL

 

Some of you guys need to understand how to separate fielding a team and building a team.  The team on the field this year, especially the offense, is not even close to the finished product.  I mean its literally the beginning of rebuilding and what they FIELDED under the circumstances, not what they BUILT..  Some of you act like this was their best effort at building a contender.  

 

They were in cap hell, Beane fixed it a year faster than he predicted.  They had guys they got rid of after having been around them in McD's first year.  They had 2 OL retire they had thought would be here.  They went out and got a rookie QB and a second first rounder in Edmunds to groom into being the QB of the defense for years too.  

 

I just dont understand how so many fans are so out of touch with reality this season.  This was NEVER the end product this year, EVERYTHING they did was to build on for the future to build a real contender, not some 9 win team hoping to make playoffs again on tie breaker for the next 5 years.  This next year is now about building this franchise to contend regularly.  They have a playoff caliber defense and a young rookie QB.  They will begin adding pieces around Allen to help build his success, and judging by McD and Beane actions thus far, I expect a heavy investment in FA/Draft/both on the OL to help protect the kid and get the run game going again to help take pressure off Josh.  Additionally some more weapons are certainly coming in at WR and probably TE and maybe RB too.  

It is obvious what they were doing with cap room this season, and they obviously were willing to take a strategic setback in order to build a more sound financial situation rolling forward.

 

Having said that, there is also no doubt that they thought it would go substantially better than it did this year.  They also thought Peterman would be a serviceable starter while Allen learned and watched from the sideline.

 

This season is not about a 100% tank, or a 100% planned rebuild with everything going according to plan.

 

The truth lies in the middle.  They will emerge from this season, overall, looking bad IMO and McBeane's fate will rest in their ability to fix this #*$& show in this coming offseason.

 

 

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9 minutes ago, Nextmanup said:

It is obvious what they were doing with cap room this season, and they obviously were willing to take a strategic setback in order to build a more sound financial situation rolling forward.

 

Having said that, there is also no doubt that they thought it would go substantially better than it did this year.  They also thought Peterman would be a serviceable starter while Allen learned and watched from the sideline.

 

This season is not about a 100% tank, or a 100% planned rebuild with everything going according to plan.

 

The truth lies in the middle.  They will emerge from this season, overall, looking bad IMO and McBeane's fate will rest in their ability to fix this #*$& show in this coming offseason.

 

 

I truly believe this

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