Wk 1 - Bills -1.5 vs Jets - who you picking - how much can we over analyze this over the next 3 wks?

[FilthyBeast]

All signs point to this being an ugly, low scoring game given both teams offensive line issues.

 

So the question is does the better offense or defense carry the load and early in the season? In most cases it's the defense that is ahead of offense which would give the nod to the Jets as they are the better unit across the board and probably a top 5 unit at worse this year.

[FireChans]

11 hours ago, billsbackto81 said:

This 100% ^^^^^^

Ask yourself this. Which team would make more of a statement opening game on national TV with a victory?

 

This years Media Darling under the bright lights, home Monday night on 9-11 with their shiny new QB.

 

Man! That is one tall order for any visiting team ladies and gentlemen. Will the Bills be able to handle the very aggressive and physical Jets D in front of a raucous home crowd? 

 

The Bills need to remind their rivals and the rest of the AFC that they are still a major contender for a championship. 

 

Will they dominate like last year? Probably not, but I got my fingers crossed on a close victory. 

 

Also, I will be far from surprised if a healthy Jets team comes out super amped and takes the W. Its always been my opinion that they, not the Fins are our biggest divisional threat.

 

GO BILLS!!!!!

The Bills dominate the Jets? Didn’t we lose to Zach Wilson last year?

[frostbitmic]

Bills win in a defensive game 10-6.

 

The Bills lone TD is scored on a strip sack of Rodgers who leaves the game with a mysterious injury.

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

14 hours ago, 78thealltimegreat said:

Buffalo will jackhammer them. 
The Jets should get better and be a real threat after Halloween as for Aaron Rogers sake there is some oline cohesion by then.

The Bills have had to stew on the Bengals game…now the Steelers game…and every negative comment the national media has made about them.

The only cure for this is a 34-17 win in New Jersey. 

I feel the same way…if the jets had their home game as the second matchup and away game week 1 i think we probably split on the season but I’m expecting us to beat them twice. 

[Ethan in Cleveland]

1 hour ago, newcam2012 said:

Like the under and the Jets money line. 

No way Cook runs for 130. Allen is likely to be pressured all game. 

We will see. All he needs to do is break one decent long run. Bills OL may be better at run blocking than pass blocking especially the right side. Look for more heavy sets and wear out that Jets DL. 

[Captain_Quint]

If it weren't a division game, I'd say it's kind of a throw away game since it's week one. The interviews since the end of last year have been about getting hot at the end of the year and using the beginning of the year as a tune up. 

 

With the Bills schedule, I don't know if they can afford to do it this year. The last 8 games are a gauntlet, as it looks right now. Last year they came out smoking hot and fizzled at the end. 

[FireChans]

46 minutes ago, Process said:

Didn't the chiefs lose to the Colts, and go to overtime vs literally the worst team in the NFL?

 

What's your point?

That we didn’t dominate the Jets last year.

The Chiefs didn’t dominate the Colts either lmao

[Pine Barrens Mafia]

"I have not yet begun to over-analyze." - John Paul Jones, probably

[The Jokeman]

12 minutes ago, Captain_Quint said:

If it weren't a division game, I'd say it's kind of a throw away game since it's week one. The interviews since the end of last year have been about getting hot at the end of the year and using the beginning of the year as a tune up. 

 

With the Bills schedule, I don't know if they can afford to do it this year. The last 8 games are a gauntlet, as it looks right now. Last year they came out smoking hot and fizzled at the end. 

Saleh is 2-10 against the AFC East in his career, not saying it can't change this year but it's food for thought. 

[Fleezoid]

Have your puke buckets ready, it'll be an Aaron Rodgers love-fest!

 

[Process]

22 minutes ago, FireChans said:

That we didn’t dominate the Jets last year.

The Chiefs didn’t dominate the Colts either lmao

Got it. I'll admit I didn't read the post you were quoting, thought you were saying we can't dominate them this year because they beat us last year. My bad!

[RyanC883]

I think we start with a short passing game to keep the Jets from briniging the house, then hit a few long ones.  Also mixing in the run.  As others have pointed out, the Jets OL is bad.  Oliver in particular needs a good game.  I think Floyd brings it.  Low scoring due to our offensive strategy, I could see like 17-9 or something.  D will bend but not break from the Jets run game.  

18 minutes ago, Fleezoid said:

Have your puke buckets ready, it'll be an Aaron Rodgers love-fest!

 

 

Yes, it will be.  Hopefully Floyd, et. al. are there to give him some hugs!

[Franco_92]

2 hours ago, FilthyBeast said:

All signs point to this being an ugly, low scoring game given both teams offensive line issues.

 

So the question is does the better offense or defense carry the load and early in the season? In most cases it's the defense that is ahead of offense which would give the nod to the Jets as they are the better unit across the board and probably a top 5 unit at worse this year.

I'm sure it pains you to come to this sobering conclusion. 

[Einstein]

4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Not as good front 7. Better backend.

 

I actually think the Jets are less likely to expose our tackles their best players up front are on the interior. So in theory our improved IOL should help manage that threat better than we did in 2022.

 

But will be a tough test. Saleh is a good defensive coach and Q obviously is a beast up front.

 

I agree. The Jets best d-line (Quinnen Williams) is interior while Pitts best (Watt) is outside. Though that may change this year if Jermaine Johnson breaks out like the Jets hope he will.

 

But if asked to pick between which defense I would want to play, im picking the Steelers over the Jets. 
 

The Steelers have a great d-line but the Jets are good to great at all three levels. We have had success against the Steelers defense 

[HappyDays]

I don't know where else to post this, so I'll put it here - Elam has a broken rib per my usual source. It apparently won't be a major issue for the regular season though.

 

EDIT: I meant to say Shakir, not Elam.

Edited August 22, 2023 by HappyDays

[GunnerBill]

21 minutes ago, Einstein said:

 

I agree. The Jets best d-line (Quinnen Williams) is interior while Pitts best (Watt) is outside. Though that may change this year if Jermaine Johnson breaks out like the Jets hope he will.

 

But if asked to pick between which defense I would want to play, im picking the Steelers over the Jets. 
 

The Steelers have a great d-line but the Jets are good to great at all three levels. We have had success against the Steelers defense 

 

In a vacuum, yes. If I'm concerned about my tackles holding up I don't think there are many defenses I'd like to play less than the Steelers. 

 

As for the Jets, their best edge rusher in pre-season has surprise, surprise been Bryce Huff. Again. It's almost like if they just accepted that a former UDFA is better than some of the guys they have made big pick of dollar investments in and put him on the field full time they'd be better. 

[dorquemada]

McD has got to be focused and in turn get the guys focused as well.  Environmental factors work against the Bills but they can quiet the crowd with a couple quick scores.

 

Alternatively, McD chokes in big game on national stage, media declares Bills run over, and Jets in ascendance.

 

Either way i just put some coin on Bills -1.5

[Eastport bills]

This game is impossible to predict with any degree of confidence. We know the Bills have the better roster, but the home field combined with heightened adrenaline an opening game brings, could even the playing field. I think the game is a classic pickem scenario. I don’t think the Bills will be able to run the ball against the Jets front seven, especially this early, so Josh will have to pick them apart with quick release passing and timely QB runs. My question is how will the defense stack up against Rogers, Cook. and a few quality receivers. If we can dominate their O-line and get pressure on Rodgers, that could be the difference.

[AuntieEm]

16 hours ago, John from Riverside said:

I’d like to see the office of line play a little better to have a better feeling about that Jets game
 

I don’t know what the Jets office is going to look like but you know that their defense is going to bring it

 

Jets defense is scary when they bring in their office supplies.  Particularly scary are their staplers, with the hole punchers a close second.  

[billsbackto81]

3 hours ago, FireChans said:

The Bills dominate the Jets? Didn’t we lose to Zach Wilson last year?

I was referring to opening night last year against the Rams.