Dr. Who Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, GolfandBills said: Kansas City is going to pound the Raiders Some folks who post here are even hoping for it. Shabby creatures, those trolls. Nonetheless, there's a small chance the Raiders play spoiler. If KC can struggle against the Broncos, they can have a close one with the Raiders. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punching Bag Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, LabattBlue said: If the Bengals lose at home to Tyler Huntley, then they deserve to have their 1st round playoff game location decided by a coin flip. Sometimes it is opposition defense which determines outcome NOT the QB. Huntley can make enough plays to keep them in game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChronicAndKnuckles Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 hour ago, JerseyBills said: Hou and Den brought KC down to the wire. This game isn't a gimmie for kc buf or cincy So if we get the 1 seed and play KC or Cincy it'll be in Buffalo? Bills are gonna smoke the Patriots. There’s absolutely no way they lose and if I had any money I’d put it all up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLeonard Posted January 6, 2023 Author Share Posted January 6, 2023 11 minutes ago, JerseyBills said: I realize that. I was just unaware. So if Ravens win, they're flipping a coin for home field for WC weekend?? If the Chargers win, yes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AuntieEm Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 21 minutes ago, JohnBonhamRocks said: Here’s hoping this weekend we can say: “Stidham in did ‘em in!” Got links ready for stidhams foundation? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLeonard Posted January 6, 2023 Author Share Posted January 6, 2023 5 minutes ago, ColoradoBills said: I'll just watch the Saturday games to see what happens. Sunday morning will have any "left over" scenario's drummed into all our heads. LOL. Probably the easiest way, lol However, I usually get tasked with explaining the scenarios to most everyone in the Bills Backers group at the bar I go to, so I kinda prepare in advance. As of now, there are 128 seeding scenarios left. By the time the Bills kick off, it'll be down to 32, so much easier to navigate then, lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
machine gun kelly Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 6 minutes ago, BLeonard said: Probably the easiest way, lol However, I usually get tasked with explaining the scenarios to most everyone in the Bills Backers group at the bar I go to, so I kinda prepare in advance. As of now, there are 128 seeding scenarios left. By the time the Bills kick off, it'll be down to 32, so much easier to navigate then, lol Glad I’m not the only one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLeonard Posted January 6, 2023 Author Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, machine gun kelly said: Glad I’m not the only one. Especially with the craziness this year. I've already gotten a few texts among the lines of "You're bringing the paper Sunday, right?" "The paper" being the scenarios charted out, which gets folded into a piece of origami to hide the scenarios of teams that lose throughout the day. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ColoradoBills Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 9 minutes ago, BLeonard said: As of now, there are 128 seeding scenarios left. By the time the Bills kick off, it'll be down to 32, so much easier to navigate then, lol I like my idea even more now that I see the math! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Airseven Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Short of the game being resumed, this was brilliant. It does a terrific job aligning current seeding odds with chance of success within the scenarios. Chiefs benefit, but it couldn’t be perfect. And they did it without upheaving 7-14 playoff teams or undermining the format. Of course there’s no way I could process it without the trickle chart. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 hour ago, Dr. Who said: Some folks who post here are even hoping for it. Shabby creatures, those trolls. Nonetheless, there's a small chance the Raiders play spoiler. If KC can struggle against the Broncos, they can have a close one with the Raiders. Broncos, Raiders and Chargers. Struggles. In their first game vs. the Raiders, the Raiders held a 3Q lead and the final score was 30-29. Unlikely? Yes. Out of the question? Absolutely not. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TAinLack. Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 (edited) 13 hours ago, Dick_Cheney said: The Raiders really do have a shot at winning against the Chiefs. I know it's unlikely, based upon how those Chiefs games seemingly always go, but look at the last four games the Chiefs have won. Twice against the Broncos, the failling Seahawks, and the mighty Houston Texans. Some of those games were close and none were blowouts. The Raiders went toe to toe with San Fran and lost in overtime. They beat New England and they beat the Chargers. Granted they did lose to the Rams and Steelers, by a combined 4 point margin, both road games instead of at home. Yeah, the QB situation is obviously a factor, but from what little we've seen it does look like he's a good fit for the current system. So yeah, we know how this situation almost always plays out, but maybe this will be one of those rare occasions where it doesn't go KC's way. Depends on if the Raiders show up to play relatively mistake free football with nothing on the line but respect and the chance to screw over the Chiefs. Let's hope that's enough. Raiders also had a 17 point lead against KC in their first meeting which they couldn't hold on too! Edited January 7, 2023 by TAinLA spelling Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ProcessTruster Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 14 hours ago, BLeonard said: Found this elsewhere and figured it'd be worth posting, so the question of who gets what seed under X result can be consolidated into one, easy to read spot. Thnaks for this. Very helpful Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
machine gun kelly Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 14 hours ago, BLeonard said: Found this elsewhere and figured it'd be worth posting, so the question of who gets what seed under X result can be consolidated into one, easy to read spot. Reviewing this chart reminds of one other conundrum.. Oh no, I’ve gone crosseyed. Smashing Basil. All kidding aside, all we can control is demoralizing the Cheatriots tomorrow and let the chips fall. I seriously doubt the Raiders can beat the Chiefs, but I’ll watch with some hopes for a quarter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TH3 Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 So if Bills lose and Bengals win tomorrow ….and they go in as Bills 3 and Bengals 2….Bills play AT Bengals in divisional round? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOUSE Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 This flowing stuff is out of control Let's flow on Monday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmur66 Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strive_for_five_guy Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 16 hours ago, BLeonard said: Coin flip has zero to do with the Bills. Only between Baltimore and Cincinnati if the Ravens win Sunday and they'd meet in the first round of the playoffs. If the Ravens end up hosting the Bengals, are they also assigned the 3 seed, or are they still a 6 seed? Just curious if they were to then win first round and the 2 seed lost, would they be hosting the 4/5 winner as the 3 seed in the divisional round, or would they go on the road somewhere as the 6 seed? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
st pete gogolak Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Someone previously posted that Bills would have nothing to play for Sunday if the Chiefs won because they would be locked into #2 seed based on having tiebreaker over Bengals if Bengals beat Ravens and Bills lost to Pats. Based on the flowchart that's incorrect. Is it? Even if Chiefs won and Bills did have tiebreaker over Bengals, Bills would still be playing for chance to have AFCC played at neutral site instead of KC. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Red King Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Ideally LV, BUF and CIN win. If that happens the playoffs behave exactly as they would have. No neutral sites, no coin flips. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigK14094 Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 We should all be aware that last Monday nights game of 7 minutes in length was equivalent to a bye week imho. the team should be physically healthy because of that on Sunday. Mentally? tbd. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Red King Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 28 minutes ago, st pete gogolak said: Someone previously posted that Bills would have nothing to play for Sunday if the Chiefs won because they would be locked into #2 seed based on having tiebreaker over Bengals if Bengals beat Ravens and Bills lost to Pats. Based on the flowchart that's incorrect. Is it? Even if Chiefs won and Bills did have tiebreaker over Bengals, Bills would still be playing for chance to have AFCC played at neutral site instead of KC. Don't the Bengals also hold the tie-breaker over us due to Strength of Victory? We could drop to 3rd seed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Red King Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 9 minutes ago, bigK14094 said: We should all be aware that last Monday nights game of 7 minutes in length was equivalent to a bye week imho. the team should be physically healthy because of that on Sunday. Mentally? tbd. Tell Allen's ankle that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Georgia Bill Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 3 hours ago, TH3 said: So if Bills lose and Bengals win tomorrow ….and they go in as Bills 3 and Bengals 2….Bills play AT Bengals in divisional round? Assuming they both win their first playoff game, the answer is yes. Which is why I think the Bills will be very motivated to win tomorrow and prevent having to go back to the Bengals stadium this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nextmanup Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 16 minutes ago, bigK14094 said: We should all be aware that last Monday nights game of 7 minutes in length was equivalent to a bye week imho. the team should be physically healthy because of that on Sunday. Mentally? tbd. I don't remember our game being 7 minutes. I think it ended with about 5 minutes left in the 2nd quarter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TH3 Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 15 minutes ago, Georgia Bill said: Assuming they both win their first playoff game, the answer is yes. Which is why I think the Bills will be very motivated to win tomorrow and prevent having to go back to the Bengals stadium this year. That would suck 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABILLBACKER Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 18 hours ago, AuntieEm said: Got links ready for stidhams foundation? Don't ask me how but the Raiders always play the Chiefs tough. Vegas has Waller and Renfro back. Stidham lit it up last week. Anything can happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLeonard Posted January 7, 2023 Author Share Posted January 7, 2023 4 hours ago, TH3 said: So if Bills lose and Bengals win tomorrow ….and they go in as Bills 3 and Bengals 2….Bills play AT Bengals in divisional round? Correct. 2 hours ago, strive_for_five_guy said: If the Ravens end up hosting the Bengals, are they also assigned the 3 seed, or are they still a 6 seed? Just curious if they were to then win first round and the 2 seed lost, would they be hosting the 4/5 winner as the 3 seed in the divisional round, or would they go on the road somewhere as the 6 seed? They haven't said anything about the seeds changing and they've made it clear that Cincinnati is the North Champions regardless, so I'm gonna assume that Baltimore would still be the 6 seed and have to go on the road. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 2 hours ago, Nextmanup said: I don't remember our game being 7 minutes. I think it ended with about 5 minutes left in the 2nd quarter. There was about 5:58 left in the 1st quarter. Just over 9 mins of game time had elapsed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCal Deek Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 minute ago, Dan said: There was about 5:58 left in the 1st quarter. Just over 9 mins of game time had elapsed. Both teams punters are well rested! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLeonard Posted January 7, 2023 Author Share Posted January 7, 2023 3 hours ago, st pete gogolak said: Someone previously posted that Bills would have nothing to play for Sunday if the Chiefs won because they would be locked into #2 seed based on having tiebreaker over Bengals if Bengals beat Ravens and Bills lost to Pats. Based on the flowchart that's incorrect. Is it? Even if Chiefs won and Bills did have tiebreaker over Bengals, Bills would still be playing for chance to have AFCC played at neutral site instead of KC. If the Bengals win, they would overtake the Bills if the Bills were to lose to the Patriots based on the SOV tiebreaker. The Bills would also lose the opportunity to have a neutral site game if they met the Chiefs in the AFC Championship, even if the Bengals lost and the Bills held onto the 2 seed. Even with a Chiefs win today, the Bills have plenty to play for tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AuntieEm Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 (edited) 2 hours ago, LABILLBACKER said: Don't ask me how but the Raiders always play the Chiefs tough. Vegas has Waller and Renfro back. Stidham lit it up last week. Anything can happen. Oh by all means I am not nor would i ever count out anything happening. I do get the sense that this is just how the Bills gotta earn their first SB win. No one is gonna say Bills lucked into a Lombardi or question this team as a complete team that's on the same mission and won't be stopped. I expect this bonding will be a solid foundation as they add to their legacy and just maybe this team will have the tenacity to match 4 straight SB but flip the losses into 4 straight wins. After that if they get a 5th str sb appearance I think the 90s team will salute this version as the a worthy successor for the record and since it's still a Bills record they'll celebrate it not be the jerks the Miami 72 team with their undefeated year. I'm certainly hopeful that one one the SB years is a undefeated season to win a 17 game season and sb for a new standard. I could easily see Mahomes and the Chiefs lose today. Edited January 7, 2023 by AuntieEm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtVandalay Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 22 hours ago, BLeonard said: Found this elsewhere and figured it'd be worth posting, so the question of who gets what seed under X result can be consolidated into one, easy to read spot. There's a contingency of the board that will be lost on this. There's a decent size box wine crowd here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marvin Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 IMHO, Cincinnati should get home field if they win and both the Chiefs and Bills lose. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strive_for_five_guy Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Looking like the last two scenarios are going to be ruled out in a little bit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billsfanatic8989 Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 What about NFC? I wonder how a team like KC would match up with the Eagles. Or us and Cincinnati with Philly? They appear to be an elite team. Hurts is playing well and those receivers are elite. That run D is tough. OL is top notch. We shall see how Hurts is health wise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nosejob Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 I'm really starting to hate the chiefs....they must be beat....badly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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