Week 11 Weather: Winter Storm Watch in place for this weekend, potential for major snowfall

[RocCityRoller]

I know this isn't considered Lake Effect snow, but crazy how the Lakes effect our weather. I am an hour east in the Rochester metro, 1 mile south of Lake Ontario and I might have no excuse for not cutting my lawn! It's bright and sunny and our inch or so of snow has melted!

Edited November 18, 2022 by RocCityRoller

[rusty shackleford]

2 minutes ago, RocCityRoller said:

I know this isn't considered Lake Effect snow, but I am an hour east in the Rochester metro, 1 mile south of Lake Ontario and I might have no excuse for not cutting my lawn! It's bright and sunny and our inch or so of snow has melted!

[Heitz]

Was at a party last night with a bunch of snowboarders up here in VT and EVERYONE was like "Heitz, let's go to Buffalo they've got the snooooooow!!!" 🤣

 

Stay safe and warm out there, everyone that's getting the heavy stuff!!  

[RocCityRoller]

13 minutes ago, rusty shackleford said:

hahaha! Touche!

[Big Turk]

Lake Effect Snow Warning for Southern Erie County expiring at 1AM tomorrow morning but now another Lake Effect Snow Watch has been issued for 7pm Saturday to 1pm Sunday for an additional 9+ inches. So there actually MIGHT have been snow during the game unlike some were saying...

Edited November 18, 2022 by Big Turk

[Nextmanup]

1 hour ago, RocCityRoller said:

I know this isn't considered Lake Effect snow, but crazy how the Lakes effect our weather. I am an hour east in the Rochester metro, 1 mile south of Lake Ontario and I might have no excuse for not cutting my lawn! It's bright and sunny and our inch or so of snow has melted!

Sounds like you are not too far from Webster.

 

I was living in Webster during the winter of 1998-1999.

 

On a single day in the winter (don't remember when) we got 24" of snow in 24 hours (in Webster, downtown Rochester, Henrietta, Pittsford, the whole metro area).

 

At that time, it was the single heaviest dropping of snow for a 24 hour period of time in history--for Rochester.

 

 

 

 

I live in SE FL.  If it makes everyone feel better, it is a cloudy day down here and a bit cold.  Only about 74 degrees out, and I decided to skip my daily walk at the beach.

 

We are all dealing with weather in our own ways.

 

😂

[Buffalo_Stampede]

Looks like it will move north overnight.

 

Edited November 19, 2022 by Buffalo_Stampede

[Process]

On 11/14/2022 at 3:15 PM, Big Turk said:

I promise you we will be getting more than that.  "Snowvember" started out as 12-18" forecast and ended with over 7 feet in some places.  A watch issued this early in the week is Bad News Bears and whenever you hear "significant", "long duration event" and "multiple periods of heavy snow"  all being bandied about we are about to be f**ked.  Ironically November has huge potential for big snow events because the lake is relatively warmer and when colder air blows over it, it tends to pick up more moisture.

You were spot on regarding severity from the beginning. 

 

So will this end up being worse than Snowvember? Or was that more snow just over a longer period of time?

 

 

[Buffalo_Stampede]

1 minute ago, Process said:

You were spot on regarding severity from the beginning. 

 

So will this end up being worse than Snowvember? Or was that more snow just over a longer period of time?

 

 

They’re saying another foot is possible.

[Process]

It's coming

 

 

[Big Turk]

1 hour ago, Process said:

It's coming

 

 

 

The White Wall. I've seen it a few times...it's pretty wild when you go from clear roads and visibility to the "whoosh" of entering it and immediately go to snow covered roads and not able to see hardly at all

[Scott7975]

On 11/17/2022 at 6:35 PM, boater said:

The Orchard Park forecast per NWS:

 

Tonight: Total nighttime snow accumulation of 10 to 14 inches possible.

Friday: New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible.

Friday Night: New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.

Saturday: New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Saturday Night: Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Sunday: Chance of precipitation is 50%.

 

I don't get the melodrama. I'm not seeing forecasts of four feet of snow. It snows Thursday, you clean it up Friday. Then it snows Friday and you clean it up Saturday. You get half an inch on Saturday and you do clean up work. Each day taken on it's own is a very do-able street cleanup.

 

Maybe we've grown soft, or maybe this is a media ratings driven crisis that we'll all be laughing about Sunday afternoon while we bemoan loss of our home game to Detroit.

 

I got roughly 4 feet in my driveway... wanna come do a little clean up work for me tomorrow?

Edited November 19, 2022 by Scott7975

[John from Riverside]

Well wishes from Southern California. Please be safe out there in this I was stationed in Cape Cod so I know what a brutal winter can be like or at least close to it

[Big Turk]

On 11/17/2022 at 6:35 PM, boater said:

The Orchard Park forecast per NWS:

 

Tonight: Total nighttime snow accumulation of 10 to 14 inches possible.

Friday: New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible.

Friday Night: New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.

Saturday: New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Saturday Night: Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Sunday: Chance of precipitation is 50%.

 

I don't get the melodrama. I'm not seeing forecasts of four feet of snow. It snows Thursday, you clean it up Friday. Then it snows Friday and you clean it up Saturday. You get half an inch on Saturday and you do clean up work. Each day taken on it's own is a very do-able street cleanup.

 

Maybe we've grown soft, or maybe this is a media ratings driven crisis that we'll all be laughing about Sunday afternoon while we bemoan loss of our home game to Detroit.

 

There are 66 inches in OP and scheduled to get another 9+ tonight.

 

Now do you get it?  Lake effect forecasts are subject to change DURING the event. A slight change in wind direction or it staying over an area for longer than expected can lead to wildly different amounts of snow.

[YoloinOhio]

Just now, Big Turk said:

 

There are 66 inches in OP and scheduled to get another 9+ tonight.

 

Now do you get it?  Lake effect forecasts are subject to change DURING the event. A slight change in wind direction or it staying over an area for longer than expected can lead to wildly different amounts of snow.

Up to 77 inches in OP

[Big Turk]

1 minute ago, YoloinOhio said:

Up to 77 inches in OP

 

Damn...I was just going by the official NWS report, but that certainly seems possible.

[YoloinOhio]

Is UB still playing today? I know that’s Amherst but still 

[NewEra]

And it’s only November.  December and January should be fun!

[Royale with Cheese]

1 minute ago, NewEra said:

And it’s only November.  December and January should be fun!

Dont get home field!  Best plan yet!

[YoloinOhio]

3 hours ago, NewEra said:

And it’s only November.  December and January should be fun!

November is actually the worst of it from a lake effect snow amount perspective because of the warm lake.

temps and wind, another story 

 

[WotAGuy]

4 hours ago, YoloinOhio said:

Is UB still playing today? I know that’s Amherst but still 

Postponed

[YoloinOhio]

 

[Big Turk]

5 hours ago, NewEra said:

And it’s only November.  December and January should be fun!

 

Well...could be, could not be. There are times we get huge early snowfalls and then don't see much the rest of the season. It's unlikely tho.

 

Besides we need to defend our National Golden Snow Globe title. Eked out the win over Anchorage last year for our 2nd title in 3 years.

 

 

OP likely destroyed the all time NYS snowfall record for a 24 hour period of 50 inches set in Camden in 1966. Still unofficial, but they measured 59 inches in OP.

 

Edited November 19, 2022 by Big Turk

[Nextmanup]

27 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:

 

As a native of WNY, there was ZERO doubt that all of the Bills would be helped by neighbors, if needed, to get to the stadium.

 

ZERO.  Neighbors helping neighbors (and Bills players!) in a snow storm and Buffalo go together like salt and pepper.

 

 

[NewEra]

33 minutes ago, Big Turk said:

 

Well...could be, could not be. There are times we get huge early snowfalls and then don't see much the rest of the season. It's unlikely tho.

 

Besides we need to defend our National Golden Snow Globe title. Eked out the win over Anchorage last year for our 2nd title in 3 years.

 

 

OP likely destroyed the all time NYS snowfall record for a 24 hour period of 50 inches set in Camden in 1966. Still unofficial, but they measured 59 inches in OP.

 

Don’t miss it.  Do you live in the area still?

[Big Turk]

14 minutes ago, NewEra said:

Don’t miss it.  Do you live in the area still?

 

Yes...Town of Lancaster

[Big Turk]

51 minutes ago, Nextmanup said:

As a native of WNY, there was ZERO doubt that all of the Bills would be helped by neighbors, if needed, to get to the stadium.

 

ZERO.  Neighbors helping neighbors (and Bills players!) in a snow storm and Buffalo go together like salt and pepper.

 

 

 

Pretty much...watched the dude across the street go snowblow out 3 elderly neighbors and get some fresh baked cookies for his efforts...not a bad trade haha...

 

So jealous of his snowblower...he has one of those giant ones they use at the airport with the 3 sided plastic hood you stand inside of.

[stevestojan]

Should I be concerned about how many fans seemingly know the home address of allot of our players? 

[Big Turk]

How are the people claiming we were only getting a foot or two earlier feeling right about now? 🤣

 

It was pretty obvious from the NWS way early watch issued, the very strong wording used in it and conditions that were expected to be very similar to 2014 this was not going to be some run of the mill storm.

Edited November 19, 2022 by Big Turk

[HOUSE]

On 11/14/2022 at 3:02 PM, Process said:

1-2 feet of lake effect snow. Get your shovels ready. 

 

Edit: Based on some comments from others below, looks like this could end up being a monster storm. 

 

This is just a rumor with exaggerated snow depth 

[WotAGuy]

2 minutes ago, HOUSE said:

This is just a rumor with exaggerated snow depth 

Should have just played the Lions in preseason, instead of having the Ghost of Ralph make them play in Detroit two weeks in a row. 

[TBBills]

7 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

Dont get home field!  Best plan yet!

Get home field and we get to play in a Dome aka Lions stadium!

[WhoTom]

13 minutes ago, stevestojan said:

Should I be concerned about how many fans seemingly know the home address of allot of our players? 

 

I'm guessing it's hard to keep that a secret these days. One neighbor recognizes you and the next day it's all over social media.

 

 

 

[Process]

16 minutes ago, stevestojan said:

Should I be concerned about how many fans seemingly know the home address of allot of our players? 

I'm assuming it's their direct neighbors helping them for the most part. 

 

It's kind of hard to miss Spencer Brown living next door....

[T&C]

36 minutes ago, Big Turk said:

 

Pretty much...watched the dude across the street go snowblow out 3 elderly neighbors and get some fresh baked cookies for his efforts...not a bad trade haha...

 

So jealous of his snowblower...he has one of those giant ones they use at the airport with the 3 sided plastic hood you stand inside of.

What? Lol

[Big Turk]

Think it's bad here?

 

A Buffalo sized city in Japan called Aomori City gets an average of 312 inches of snow a year due to "ocean effect" snow and the mountains creating more lift which then dumps it once it crosses them. To put this in perspective, it's about 3.5 times what Buffalo gets a year.

 

Another city there, Saporro, Japan has a population of over 2 million and gets 191 inches a year on average...about double what Buffalo does. Same reason, "ocean effect" snow...snow depth there last February was over 52 inches!

 

https://www.insider.com/photos-life-aomori-japan-the-snowiest-city-in-the-world-2018-12

 

Crazy to think as bad as it is here, it could be a lot worse. 

 

 

26 minutes ago, T&C said:

What? Lol

 

It's a monster sized snowblower and has a giant plastic hood that extends around your body and over your head that's only open in the back. Prevents you from getting snow blown in your face and/or wind from hitting your face.

26 minutes ago, T&C said:

What? Lol

 

It's a monster sized snowblower and has a giant plastic hood that extends around your body and over your head that's only open in the back. Prevents you from getting snow blown in your face and/or wind from hitting your face.

 

Edited November 19, 2022 by Big Turk

[T&C]

38 minutes ago, Big Turk said:

Think it's bad here?

 

A Buffalo sized city in Japan called Aomori City gets an average of 312 inches of snow a year due to "ocean effect" snow and the mountains creating more lift which then dumps it once it crosses them. To put this in perspective, it's about 3.5 times what Buffalo gets a year.

 

Another city there, Saporro, Japan has a population of over 2 million and gets 191 inches a year on average...about double what Buffalo does. Same reason, "ocean effect" snow...snow depth there last February was over 52 inches!

 

https://www.insider.com/photos-life-aomori-japan-the-snowiest-city-in-the-world-2018-12

 

Crazy to think as bad as it is here, it could be a lot worse. 

 

 

 

It's a monster sized snowblower and has a giant plastic hood that extends around your body and over your head that's only open in the back. Prevents you from getting snow blown in your face and/or wind from hitting your face.

 

It's a monster sized snowblower and has a giant plastic hood that extends around your body and over your head that's only open in the back. Prevents you from getting snow blown in your face and/or wind from hitting your face.

 

I know what you were talking about but have you ever seen what the airport uses? They can clean a runway in one pass.

[Big Turk]

15 minutes ago, T&C said:

I know what you were talking about but have you ever seen what the airport uses? They can clean a runway in one pass.

 

Not for the runways...I meant the areas that need to be done manually by hand

[T&C]

1 minute ago, Big Turk said:

 

Not for the runways...I meant the areas that need to be done manually by hand

Gotcha...

[Simon]

2 hours ago, Big Turk said:

 

with the 3 sided plastic hood you stand inside of.

 

You can get a kit to put a cab on your blower for under a $100.

 

Might be worth it if your going to be out there a couple hours at a time all winter.