Adamb412 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 I don't get it.... We just lost to Miami, we have a ton of injuries, we are both 2 and 1, the game is in Baltimore. Baltimore going to have revenge on their minds since the last time we saw them was the division game during covid.... What am I missing? 2 1 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloBaumer Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 It will change as soon as the injury reports lists 10 players 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern_Bills Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 We are a good football team that had a bad day. Even though alot here are doom and gloom, Vegas and experts have not changed their view of us. 9 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adamb412 Posted September 27, 2022 Author Share Posted September 27, 2022 Just now, Southern_Bills said: We are a good football team that had a bad day. Even though alot here are doom and gloom, Vegas and experts have not changed their view of us. But on paper Baltimore has a slight advantage IMO 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
machine gun kelly Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Because the guys in the desert like to make $, and we are the better team. What’s up with the hot take when we don’t know injuries or anything else for that matter in a team that lost half their starters do the 22, yet advanced 500 yards to Miami’s 220 ish and we were based. Dude, we lose one game and the sky is falling. Rookie move. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adamb412 Posted September 27, 2022 Author Share Posted September 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Southern_Bills said: We are a good football team that had a bad day. Even though alot here are doom and gloom, Vegas and experts have not changed their view of us. I'm not even factoring doom and gloom. Even if we won in Miami I see this game as a pickem 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78thealltimegreat Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Because the Bills with only 7 injured guys instead of like 15 are better then the Ravens 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ya Digg? Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Because the odds makers don’t overreact like people here do. Still a top team, have a good offense, good defense, great QB, playmakers on both side of the ball 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adamb412 Posted September 27, 2022 Author Share Posted September 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Ya Digg? said: Because the odds makers don’t overreact like people here do. Still a top team, have a good offense, good defense, great QB, playmakers on both side of the ball But Baltimore is playing well too and they are home Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YoloinOhio Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 No one will bet the other way for obvious reasons 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zow2 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 The pros who make these lines look at statistics and specific power rankings, and factor in which side the betting public will put money on. Bills statistics vs Miami were outstanding, except for the scoreboard, and couple that with their stats for Rams and Titans game. Bills are still considered a powerful team. Unless the injuries include JA17, Diggs and a few others, it’s still the contender Bills. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr.Sack Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Allen vs Jackson is a prime time matchup. Only wish the Bills were at 80% to make it a fair fight. Our PS secondary might get dismantled. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bing Bong Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Vegas absolutely loves the Bills right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy KGB Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Remember when Lamar Jackson couldn’t pass for 100 yards vs a young terrible Bills defense then got hurt ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABILLBACKER Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, BuffaloBaumer said: It will change as soon as the injury reports lists 10 players 5 minutes ago, Southern_Bills said: We are a good football team that had a bad day. Even though alot here are doom and gloom, Vegas and experts have not changed their view of us. They will when they see our injury report. -3.5 will eventually be -2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 A fool and his $$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Hindsight Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: But on paper Baltimore has a slight advantage IMO At what? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshAllin Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 I guess you missed the 500 total yards, there's a good chance bills can win by a fieldgoal + .5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warcodered Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Josh Allen is ***** terrifying. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rc2catch Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Adamb412 said: But Baltimore is playing well too and they are home Their offense is playing well. They did have a good defensive game against Mac but I seen they’ve given up like 1400 yards in 3 games to the Pats, Jets and Dolphins. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MasterStrategist Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: I don't get it.... We just lost to Miami, we have a ton of injuries, we are both 2 and 1, the game is in Baltimore. Baltimore going to have revenge on their minds since the last time we saw them was the division game during covid.... What am I missing? We just put up 490+ yards on offense, and held Miami/Tua to their lowest output of the season. We blew at least 10-14 points yesterday. There were 6 plays: 1. End of half, botched snap/spike. Cost us 3 points 2. Bass usually money, shanks a run of thr mill FG. 3 points missed 3. Davis drops a TD. 4 point swing 4. Milano drops a pick 6. 5. Josh misses Lil Dirty on a out route, that he makes in his sleep. Cost us 7. 6. End of game, a bit of poor clock mgt and lack of urgency. Now we don't expect to have everything bounce our way, but alot to go against us. Heat/decimated by injury, lack of execution all led to these. But if 1-2 go our way, then this is a completely different topic. And most games, we aren't looking back at this many missed chances. Time to rebound, will be another tough game, but we have plenty of "learning opportunities" to reflect on. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YoloinOhio Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Just now, LABILLBACKER said: They will when they see our injury report. -3.5 will eventually be -2. Vegas won’t care about the injury report unless the following are out: Allen Diggs Miller nothing else will move the line. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 pretty sure Vegas is aware of the injury report with that line... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adamb412 Posted September 27, 2022 Author Share Posted September 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Captain Hindsight said: At what? Home field, lack of injuries like our team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEBills Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) 8 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: But Baltimore is playing well too and they are home They just lost to Miami by more points than we did while they were at home Baltimore actually probably has more injuries than we do The Bills are amazing at some of these advanced statistics that the sharp bettors rely on like yards per play. We are a better team who lost a close game that people are overreacting to way to much. Line probably should be much higher so I would take the Bills and eat the points. Edited September 27, 2022 by LEBills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 12 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: I don't get it.... We just lost to Miami, we have a ton of injuries, we are both 2 and 1, the game is in Baltimore. Baltimore going to have revenge on their minds since the last time we saw them was the division game during covid.... What am I missing? The Bills are better than the Ravens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aussie Joe Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Just now, Adamb412 said: Home field, lack of injuries like our team Maybe you should bet it then? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adamb412 Posted September 27, 2022 Author Share Posted September 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Boatdrinks said: The Bills are better than the Ravens. A healthy bills team I agree. But not this injury riddled team 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbitmic Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 We're favored because our OC is unhinged. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adamb412 Posted September 27, 2022 Author Share Posted September 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, LEBills said: They just lost to Miami by more points than we did while they were at home Baltimore actually probably has more injuries than we do The Bills are amazing at some of these advanced statistics that the sharp bettors rely on like yards per play. We are a better team who lost a close game that people are overreacting to way to much. Line probably should be much higher so I would take the Bills and points. The bills are laying the points. You wouldn't be taking points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEBills Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Just now, Adamb412 said: The bills are laying the points. You wouldn't be taking points Just a typo if that’s all you looking at Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zow2 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Ravens forced 4 turnovers yesterday. That worried me a bit. Bills need to be on the + side of that ledger this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob in STL Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Just now, YoloinOhio said: Vegas won’t care about the injury report unless the following are out: Allen Diggs Miller nothing else will move the line. Maybe that is true but it is a mistake. I expect the spread to shrink once they digest the injury report. Next week we play with 3 out of 5 backups in the secondary (assuming Poyer is back), plus injuries in both the OL (Morse might be back but Bates is out) and DL, plus Knox and Davis not really contributing in Miami. It will start to show. Someone has to help Josh Allen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: A healthy bills team I agree. But not this injury riddled team The stats don’t bear that out. They doubled Miami up in top and outgained them by hundreds of yards. In short , they had a flukey game where they just didn’t finish drives. They were #1 in redzone going into yesterdays game. Their injuries by and large are on Defense and they still held Miami in check. The Bills even with injuries ( not to their top 4 players ) are still better than most teams and the Ravens D is beat up. Edited September 27, 2022 by Boatdrinks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adamb412 Posted September 27, 2022 Author Share Posted September 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Boatdrinks said: The stats don’t bear that out. They doubled Miami up in top and outgained them by hundreds of yards. In short , that had a flukey game where they just didn’t finish drives. They were #1 in redzone going into yesterdays game. Their injuries by and large are on Defense and they still held Miami in check. The Bills even with injuries ( not to their top 4 players ) are still better than most teams and the Ravens D is beat up. Maybe that's what I'm missing. What injuries do the ravens have? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABILLBACKER Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said: Vegas won’t care about the injury report unless the following are out: Allen Diggs Miller nothing else will move the line. Betters always move the line. When they see the volume of players out. I just don't see it holding at -3.5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Just now, Adamb412 said: Maybe that's what I'm missing. What injuries do the ravens have? I know they have many injuries on defense but don’t know the names and particulars , sorry. I’m sure someone on the board will chime in with info. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warcodered Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 10 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said: Vegas won’t care about the injury report unless the following are out: Allen Diggs Miller nothing else will move the line. Groot has also got what 3 and 1/2 sacks in 3 games so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: Maybe that's what I'm missing. What injuries do the ravens have? https://www.baltimoreravens.com/team/injury-report/ Pretty long list too. Edited September 27, 2022 by SlimShady'sSpaceForce 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ya Digg? Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: Home field, lack of injuries like our team Baltimore has injuries too, their secondary is atrocious, it’s going to be very difficult for them to hang with the Bills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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