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AFC Playoff Picture: Week 14 Buffalo Bills rooting interests feature lots of divisional games — Really week 14 on page 3

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SlimShady'sSpaceForce

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https://www.buffalorumblings.com/platform/amp/2021/12/2/22814415/afc-playoff-picture-week-14-buffalo-bills-rooting-interests-feature-lots-of-divisional-games
 

Buffalo Bills (7-4) over New England Patriots (8-4)
Monday Night Football Line: Bills by 3

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5-1) over Baltimore Ravens (8-3) Line: Ravens by 4

The current top seed in the AFC is only one game ahead of Buffalo right now. A Bills win and a Ravens loss puts the Bills ahead of them. 
 

Washington Football Team over Las Vegas Raiders (6-5) Line: Raiders by 2.5

 

Houston Texans (2-9) over Indianapolis Colts (6-6) Line: Colts by 9.5

 

Las Vegas Chargers (6-5) over Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) Line: Bengals by 3  [ 😂 ]

 

Denver Broncos (6-5) over Kansas City Chiefs (7-4)  Line: Chiefs by 9.5

 

New York Giants over Miami Dolphins (5-7)
Line: Dolphins by 4.5

 

 

Those pesky Dolphins are 5-5 against teams that don’t feature Josh Allen and they’re on a roll

 😝 

 

Edited by SlimShady'sSpaceForce
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Adam727 Rookie

Adam727

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This is a weird week.  I don't know that I agree with a lot of these.  I guess it depends on if you're rooting based on what gives the Bills the best chance at the #1 seed or what gets the Bills get into the playoffs, because I think a lot of these outcomes would hurt the Bills' chances of making the playoffs more than help.  

 

 

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SlimShady'sSpaceForce Hall of Famer

SlimShady'sSpaceForce

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10 minutes ago, RiotAct said:

would we be technically ahead of Baltimore by virtue of our divisional record?


 

sometimes you have to consider the source 

 

The current top seed in the AFC is only one game ahead of Buffalo right now. 
 

A Ravens loss and a Bills win puts Buffalo as the # 2 seed

 

Granted I didn’t check other variables that could drop Tenny 

out of the 1 seed 

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eball Hall of Famer

eball

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46 minutes ago, SlimShady'sSpaceForce said:

 

Those pesky Dolphins are 5-5 against teams that don’t feature Josh Allen and they’re on a roll

 

I'm fine with Miami playing spoiler to other teams' hopes...they're a full four games behind the Bills when taking into account our sweep.  They play the Titans and Pats*** in weeks 17-18.

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BuffaloBillyG All Pro

BuffaloBillyG

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Miami winning is soooo good for Buffalo right now. They keep winning and it may save Flores's job. I'm good with that meathead getting another year.

 

Plus Tua has made juuuuust enough progress that if he keeps it up it would be hard to justify trading for another QB.

Edited by No Place To Hyde
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SCBills Hall of Famer

SCBills

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2 hours ago, No Place To Hyde said:

Miami winning is soooo good for Buffalo right now. They keep winning and it may save Flores's job. I'm good with that meathead getting another year.

 

Plus Tua has made juuuuust enough progress that if he keeps it up it would be hard to justify trading for another QB.


Dolphins fans should absolutely be rooting for us right now.  
 

Miami has 3 very winnable games (Giants, Jets, Saints) before Bills potential “games of interest” in Tennessee and NE.   Miami could very well be 8-7 going into the NE  game and if it shakes out the right way, that game could get them a WC.  

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BuffaloBillyG All Pro

BuffaloBillyG

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3 minutes ago, SCBills said:


Dolphins fans should absolutely be rooting for us right now.  
 

Miami has 3 very winnable games (Giants, Jets, Saints) before Bills potential “games of interest” in Tennessee and NE.   Miami could very well be 8-7 going into the NE  game and if it shakes out the right way, that game could get them a WC.  

It's amazing how that 17th game and extra WC spot gives teams that started slow more hope that they can catch up. Really adds an element to the seaon where more teams are playing competitive late on the year rather than giving the younger guys a chance to start ala Dougie Pederson.

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Rubes All Pro

Rubes

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4 hours ago, SlimShady'sSpaceForce said:

 

Those pesky Dolphins are 5-5 against teams that don’t feature Josh Allen and they’re on a roll

 😝 

 

 

You might say they're 5-4 considering they also lost to the Jags...

 

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Boatdrinks Hall of Famer

Boatdrinks

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3 hours ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

 

They absolutely are. They are currently a Bills loss and a Raiders win away from being "in the hunt". The next two games could determine that. And the odds of going 0-2, 1-1 or 2-0 are all about 33% IMO. 

Five thirty eight ( for example) has Bills odds of making playoffs currently at 90%. Just a matter of perspective I guess. Your forecast seems a lot more pessimistic. 

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Sammy Watkins' Rib Veteran

Sammy Watkins' Rib

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4 hours ago, Boatdrinks said:

Five thirty eight ( for example) has Bills odds of making playoffs currently at 90%. Just a matter of perspective I guess. Your forecast seems a lot more pessimistic. 

 

If you look at it one week at a time the Bills are literally two games this week from being on the outside looking in. If you look at it big picture their odds are greater because 538 would assume everything evens out and the Bills would at worst get a wild card spot when the dust settles. But when you are one loss and one win away from being in the hunt as opposed to being the 7th seed I would say that is close to missing the playoffs. Really it shows how tight the AFC is because I believe they are also a win and a couple losses this week away from being the #1 seed or maybe #2 with the Titans on a bye this week. Although if the Bills, Titans, Bengals, Ravens and Chiefs all ended the week at 8-4 I'm not sure how the tie breakers would work for the #1 seed. And yes that is a possibility. Crazy that the Bills could either be in a virtual tie for the 1 seed by Tuesday morning or sitting in the 8 spot. 

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Greg S Veteran

Greg S

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40 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

 

If you look at it one week at a time the Bills are literally two games this week from being on the outside looking in. If you look at it big picture their odds are greater because 538 would assume everything evens out and the Bills would at worst get a wild card spot when the dust settles. But when you are one loss and one win away from being in the hunt as opposed to being the 7th seed I would say that is close to missing the playoffs. Really it shows how tight the AFC is because I believe they are also a win and a couple losses this week away from being the #1 seed or maybe #2 with the Titans on a bye this week. Although if the Bills, Titans, Bengals, Ravens and Chiefs all ended the week at 8-4 I'm not sure how the tie breakers would work for the #1 seed. And yes that is a possibility. Crazy that the Bills could either be in a virtual tie for the 1 seed by Tuesday morning or sitting in the 8 spot. 

 

Sitting at 7-4 I would say 11-6 guarantees a playoff spot. Wins against the Panthers, Falcons, Jets are a must. They can't "Jacksonville" any of those games. Get at least one win vs NE(2) and Tampa. A win Monday goes a long way in putting the Bills in a great spot.

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Bills fan since 87 Veteran

Bills fan since 87

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15 hours ago, Greg S said:

 

Sitting at 7-4 I would say 11-6 guarantees a playoff spot. Wins against the Panthers, Falcons, Jets are a must. They can't "Jacksonville" any of those games. Get at least one win vs NE(2) and Tampa. A win Monday goes a long way in putting the Bills in a great spot.

 

Fortunately all 3 lay ups are at home, increasing the odds we win those.

 

 

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CSBill All Pro

CSBill

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Last week was a pretty good outcome all things considered. Let's hope for the same this week, capped off by a Bills win on Monday night. Here are my thoughts . . .

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5-1) over Baltimore Ravens (8-3), Line: Ravens by 4 . . . I think the Steelers pull off the minor upset, Raven averaging 18 points in their last four games, and the Steelers can run and stopping the run game is a Raven D weakness.
 

Las Vegas Raiders (6-5) over the Washington Football Team (5-6), Line: Raiders by 2.5 . . . Raiders at home, they win.

 

Houston Texans (2-9) over Indianapolis Colts (6-6) Line: Colts by 9.5 . . . Colts

 

Las Vegas Chargers (6-5) over Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) Line: Bengals by 3  [ 😂 ] . . . The mercurial Chargers pull it out

 

Denver Broncos (6-5) over Kansas City Chiefs (7-4)  Line: Chiefs by 9.5 . . . In KC, the Chiefs take care of business.

 

New York Giants over Miami Dolphins (5-7), Line: Dolphins by 4.5 . . . Jones out, Giants done, the Fish win at home

 

If I am on, not a lot of help for the Bills this week. The best thing they can do, not worry about the others and put a Can of Ash Whoop'en on the Pats and take control of the Division again.

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Rockinon Veteran

Rockinon

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On 12/2/2021 at 6:00 PM, Adam727 said:

This is a weird week.  I don't know that I agree with a lot of these.  I guess it depends on if you're rooting based on what gives the Bills the best chance at the #1 seed or what gets the Bills get into the playoffs, because I think a lot of these outcomes would hurt the Bills' chances of making the playoffs more than help.  

 

 

Go big or go home. Now lets sweep the *Pats.

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Sammy Watkins' Rib Veteran

Sammy Watkins' Rib

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1 hour ago, CSBill said:

Last week was a pretty good outcome all things considered. Let's hope for the same this week, capped off by a Bills win on Monday night. Here are my thoughts . . .

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5-1) over Baltimore Ravens (8-3), Line: Ravens by 4 . . . I think the Steelers pull off the minor upset, Raven averaging 18 points in their last four games, and the Steelers can run and stopping the run game is a Raven D weakness.
 

Las Vegas Raiders (6-5) over the Washington Football Team (5-6), Line: Raiders by 2.5 . . . Raiders at home, they win.

 

Houston Texans (2-9) over Indianapolis Colts (6-6) Line: Colts by 9.5 . . . Colts

 

Las Vegas Chargers (6-5) over Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) Line: Bengals by 3  [ 😂 ] . . . The mercurial Chargers pull it out

 

Denver Broncos (6-5) over Kansas City Chiefs (7-4)  Line: Chiefs by 9.5 . . . In KC, the Chiefs take care of business.

 

New York Giants over Miami Dolphins (5-7), Line: Dolphins by 4.5 . . . Jones out, Giants done, the Fish win at home

 

If I am on, not a lot of help for the Bills this week. The best thing they can do, not worry about the others and put a Can of Ash Whoop'en on the Pats and take control of the Division again.

 

If all this happens and the Bills do not win Monday I believe the Bills fall all the way down to the 8 spot. With the Raiders, Chargers and Bengals holding the three wild cards. Hardly a guarantee that the Raiders can beat WFT though. 

 

Vice versa the Bills could be in a four way tie for the #1 seed if the above happens and the Bills win Monday night. Wild how tight the standings are when you can win or lose one game and it could mean a virtual tie for the 1 seed or no playoffs seeding at all. 

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CSBill All Pro

CSBill

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On 12/4/2021 at 10:54 AM, CSBill said:

Last week was a pretty good outcome all things considered. Let's hope for the same this week, capped off by a Bills win on Monday night. Here are my thoughts . . .

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5-1) over Baltimore Ravens (8-3), Line: Ravens by 4 . . . I think the Steelers pull off the minor upset, Raven averaging 18 points in their last four games, and the Steelers can run and stopping the run game is a Raven D weakness. ..... YES! = Help towards top seed
 

Las Vegas Raiders (6-5) over the Washington Football Team (5-6), Line: Raiders by 2.5 . . . Raiders at home, they win. ..... No! = But good news for the Bills. We'll take it

 

Houston Texans (2-9) over Indianapolis Colts (6-6) Line: Colts by 9.5 . . . Colts ..... YES! = Colts inch closer

 

Las Vegas Chargers (6-5) over Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) Line: Bengals by 3  [ 😂 ] . . . The mercurial Chargers pull it out ..... YES! = This is the best of results, both stay behind the Bills

 

Denver Broncos (6-5) over Kansas City Chiefs (7-4)  Line: Chiefs by 9.5 . . . In KC, the Chiefs take care of business. ..... YES! Chiefs hang around, Broncos about done.

 

New York Giants over Miami Dolphins (5-7), Line: Dolphins by 4.5 . . . Jones out, Giants done, the Fish win at home ..... YES! = Fish inching back in to the play-off race

 

If I am on, not a lot of help for the Bills this week. The best thing they can do, not worry about the others and put a Can of Ash Whoop'en on the Pats and take control of the Division again.

 

Bottom line = A Win is a huge play-off boost and keeps us in the #1 seed battle, a loss is not good, but also not devastating--still #7, but lose a bunch of tie-breakers because if poor conference record. "Just Win Baby!"

 

Most current play-off standings:

 

New England   8-4

Tennessee       8-4

Baltimore         8-4

Kansas City     8-4

Buffalo             7-4

LA Chargers    7-5

Cincinnati        7-5

 

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Talley56 Veteran

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Rooting Interests in actual week 14:

 

Bills over Bucs (duh)

 

Vikings over Steelers

 

49ers over Bengals

 

Lions over Broncos

 

Giants over Chargers

 

Ravens/Browns - hard to tell, both have games they could lose down the stretch.

 

Raiders/Chiefs - another one hard to tell.  Raiders kind of struggling but a win in KC could light a fire under them to make a run.

 

Washington over Dallas - Not Bills related, would just be fun to watch.

Edited by Talley56
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Nextmanup Hall of Famer

Nextmanup

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On 12/4/2021 at 12:10 AM, Bills fan since 87 said:

 

Fortunately all 3 lay ups are at home, increasing the odds we win those.

 

 

Why?  There hasn't been a home field advantage in the league for several years now.

 

We've also already lost 3 games at home! 

 

Don't get me wrong, I think we win the 3 "lay up" games easily. 

 

 

On 12/2/2021 at 11:38 PM, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

 

They absolutely are. They are currently a Bills loss and a Raiders win away from being "in the hunt". The next two games could determine that. And the odds of going 0-2, 1-1 or 2-0 are all about 33% IMO. 

The NY Times simulator says if we LOSE to Tampa and New England, but win the 3 easy games, we have a 89% chance of making the playoffs.  How is that close to missing the playoffs?


Are you assuming we are going to drop one (or more) of the 3 "easy" games?

 

 

 

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Sammy Watkins' Rib Veteran

Sammy Watkins' Rib

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10 minutes ago, Nextmanup said:

Why?  There hasn't been a home field advantage in the league for several years now.

 

We've also already lost 3 games at home! 

 

Don't get me wrong, I think we win the 3 "lay up" games easily. 

 

 

The NY Times simulator says if we LOSE to Tampa and New England, but win the 3 easy games, we have a 89% chance of making the playoffs.  How is that close to missing the playoffs?


Are you assuming we are going to drop one (or more) of the 3 "easy" games?

 

 

 

 

I would assume the Bills lose 2 out of the next three they will officially be "in the hunt". Maybe not, but most likely. Yes, they can gain ground back by winning the final two (likely) and having a team or two lose a game or two in the final two weeks. But that is all projection. I'm only talking about what we actually know and that was that the Bills were a loss and Raiders win away from being "in the hunt". 

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RiotAct All Pro

RiotAct

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14 hours ago, Talley56 said:

Rooting Interests in actual week 14:

 

Bills over Bucs (duh)

 

Vikings over Steelers

 

49ers over Bengals

 

Lions over Broncos

 

Giants over Chargers

 

Ravens/Browns - hard to tell, both have games they could lose down the stretch.

 

Raiders/Chiefs - another one hard to tell.  Raiders kind of struggling but a win in KC could light a fire under them to make a run.

 

Washington over Dallas - Not Bills related, would just be fun to watch.

WSH over DAL would increase our strength of victory a little bit

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SlimShady'sSpaceForce Hall of Famer

SlimShady'sSpaceForce

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https://www.buffalorumblings.com/platform/amp/2021/12/9/22826704/afc-playoff-picture-bills-rooting-interests-for-week-14
 

 

Minnesota Vikings over Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5-1)
 

New York Giants over Los Angeles Chargers (7-5)

 

San Francisco 49ers over Cincinnati Bengals (7-5)
 

Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) over Las Vegas Raiders (6-6) 
 

 

Baltimore Ravens (8-4) over Cleveland Browns (6-6)

 

Detroit Lions over Denver Broncos (6-6)

 

Jacksonville Jaguars over Tennessee Titans (8-4)

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