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The "Most Likely To" New HC game


GunnerBill

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I see that we are still over a week later deep in the autopsy of the Bills' playoff loss to the Chiefs. I understand that but to change it up a little bit here is a bit of fun thread we did a couple of years ago that I thought I'd revive. 

 

We have SEVEN new Head Coaches in the National Football League

 

Jaguars - Urban Meyer

Texans - David Culley

Jets - Robert Saleh

Chargers - Brandon Staley

Falcons - Arthur Smith

Lions - Dan Campbell

Eagles - Nick Sirianni

 

All you have to do is decide of those seven who is he "most likely" to do the following things.... 

 

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1:

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach:

Make the playoffs his first year:

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years:

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired:

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future:

 

*for the purposes of this question the "incumbent starters" are: Minshew, Watson, Darnold, Herbert, Ryan, Goff, Hurts

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Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: Urban (with #1 overall pick Zach Wilson)

 

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach: Campbell (primarily because cannibalism is frowned upon)

 

Make the playoffs his first year: Uncle Dave.

 

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years: Urban (because it's a bit of a lovey contest and he's a name)

 

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired: Sirianni

 

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future: Sirianni (geography, innit)

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The only one Ima gonna tackle is:

 

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future:

 

What is, none, because Sean McDermott is going to coach the Bills into his 70's and win 17 Superbowls, while going to the Superbowl 24 times.

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8 minutes ago, Draconator said:

The only one Ima gonna tackle is:

 

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future:

 

What is, none, because Sean McDermott is going to coach the Bills into his 70's and win 17 Superbowls, while going to the Superbowl 24 times.

 

He is going to lose in 7 (seven!) Superbowls? We better fire his ass now then. 

Edited by GunnerBill
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Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: Urban Meyer - think a few of these qualify but Meyer is the most obvious answer. 

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach: Nick Sirianni - only because the majority of these are coming as part of major house cleaning and it is unusual in those circumstances to fire a coach after 1 year. A 3-13 type season in Philly though and maybe Lurie blows the whole thing up. 

Make the playoffs his first year: Brandon Staley

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years: Urban Meyer

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired: Brandon Staley

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future: Arthur Smith

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Don’t really feel like playing this game, but there are only two coaches on that list who impress me at any level — Saleh and Staley.  That still doesn’t mean they’ll be successful, since we have seen “it takes a village” — ownership, GM, HC — to create lasting success.

 

Meyer is an interesting case.  You can’t question his success at the college level but will it translate/can he adapt to the professional game?

 

Culley is a completely uninspiring hire.  It’s reminiscent of the Bills hiring Chan Gailey, but without the assistant or college coaching success.

 

I actually read something from a reporter who said Sirianni is “sort of smart, but not super smart.”  Wow, that should get Eagles fans excited.

 

I literally know nothing about Arthur Smith.

 

And finally, Dan Campbell is a joke.  He is, quite literally, a caricature of an “old school, hard-nosed” football coach.  It’s going to be entertaining to watch.

 

 

 

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1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

I see that we are still over a week later deep in the autopsy of the Bills' playoff loss to the Chiefs. I understand that but to change it up a little bit here is a bit of fun thread we did a couple of years ago that I thought I'd revive. 

 

We have SEVEN new Head Coaches in the National Football League

 

Jaguars - Urban Meyer 

Texans - David Culley 

Jets - Robert Saleh 

Chargers - Brandon Staley 

Falcons - Arthur Smith 

Lions - Dan Campbell 

Eagles - Nick Sirianni 

 

All you have to do is decide of those seven who is he "most likely" to do the following things.... 

 

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1:

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach:

Make the playoffs his first year:

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years:

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired:

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future:

 

*for the purposes of this question the "incumbent starters" are: Minshew, Watson, Darnold, Herbert, Ryan, Goff, Hurts

 

Jaguars - Urban Meyer Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired:Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years:

Texans - David Culley Be a 'one and done' Head Coach:

Jets - Robert Saleh Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years:

Chargers - Brandon Staley Make the playoffs his first year:

Falcons - Arthur Smith Make the playoffs his first year:

Lions - Dan Campbell Be a 'one and done' Head Coach:

Eagles - Nick Sirianni Be a 'one and done' Head Coach:

1 hour ago, PrimeTime101 said:

mmmmmmm no thanks

 

Why bother to post that.....just move on :(

Edited by JMF2006
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Jaguars - Urban Meyer  -  Be a 'one and done' Head Coach - especially of he starts Minshew 

Texans - David Culley - WTFK

Jets - Robert Saleh  -  Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1

Chargers - Brandon Staley - Make the playoffs his first year as WC

Falcons - Arthur Smith - WTFK

Lions - Dan Campbell  -   Be a 'one and done' Head Coach if he gets nothing out of Goff

Eagles - Nick Sirianni  - the way the NFCE is - Make the playoffs his first year. 

 

 

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37 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: Urban Meyer - think a few of these qualify but Meyer is the most obvious answer. 

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach: Nick Sirianni - only because the majority of these are coming as part of major house cleaning and it is unusual in those circumstances to fire a coach after 1 year. A 3-13 type season in Philly though and maybe Lurie blows the whole thing up. 

Make the playoffs his first year: Brandon Staley

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years: Urban Meyer

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired: Brandon Staley

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future: Arthur Smith

 

I am interpreting "One and Done as one contract or less not one year.

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7 minutes ago, JMF2006 said:

 

Jaguars - Urban Meyer Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired:Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years:

Texans - David Culley Be a 'one and done' Head Coach:

Jets - Robert Saleh Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years:

Chargers - Brandon Staley Make the playoffs his first year:

Falcons - Arthur Smith Make the playoffs his first year:

Lions - Dan Campbell Be a 'one and done' Head Coach:

Eagles - Nick Sirianni Be a 'one and done' Head Coach:

 

Why bother to post that.....just move on :(

thats fair

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Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: Urban Meyer

 

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach: Urban Meyer

 

Make the playoffs his first year: Arthur Smith

 

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years: Brandon Staley

 

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired: Brandon Staley

 

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future: David Culley

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44 minutes ago, eball said:

Don’t really feel like playing this game, but there are only two coaches on that list who impress me at any level — Saleh and Staley.  That still doesn’t mean they’ll be successful, since we have seen “it takes a village” — ownership, GM, HC — to create lasting success.

 

Meyer is an interesting case.  You can’t question his success at the college level but will it translate/can he adapt to the professional game?

 

 

I think those three are the most likely successes. Saleh because I think he was the best "candidate" on the market and is paired with a good GM and a boatload of picks (although it is the Jets and the Johnsons....), Staley because while I think it was maybe a year too early for him in an ideal world he inherits the best roster and a young QB who had an excellent rookie year and Meyer because he has the force of personality to turn Jacksonville around which it needs and he gets Trevor Lawrence. 

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1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

I see that we are still over a week later deep in the autopsy of the Bills' playoff loss to the Chiefs. I understand that but to change it up a little bit here is a bit of fun thread we did a couple of years ago that I thought I'd revive. 

 

We have SEVEN new Head Coaches in the National Football League

 

Jaguars - Urban Meyer

Texans - David Culley

Jets - Robert Saleh

Chargers - Brandon Staley

Falcons - Arthur Smith

Lions - Dan Campbell

Eagles - Nick Sirianni

 

All you have to do is decide of those seven who is he "most likely" to do the following things.... 

 

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1:

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach:

Make the playoffs his first year:

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years:

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired:

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future:

 

*for the purposes of this question the "incumbent starters" are: Minshew, Watson, Darnold, Herbert, Ryan, Goff, Hurts

 

 

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: I think the Jags start a cheap vet week 1 and then turn it over to the GREATEST ROOKIE QB EVER around week 3. They should sign Tyrod, give him the starting job and wait for him to break his leg clipping his toenails or something.

 

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach: I'll say Culley for this. They'll grab a bunch of draft capital and then bring someone new in to coach it

 

Make the playoffs his first year: Staley all the way. Possibly Smith

 

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years: I'm going to say Staley after he gets the Chargers to the playoffs next year

 

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired: None of them. But if I had to put a bet on it'd be Staley again

 

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future: None. But if I had to bet... Smith.

 

First to get fined for chewing off someone's knee cap: too easy...

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I think it's very possible every coach listed will be starting someone other than the incumbent QB listed minus Staley

 

Wentz probably the starter in Philly

Jets non committal to darnold

Jags have the number 1 pick

Lions have nothing invested in Goff

Watson wants out of Houston

Falcons will eventually re build

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1 hour ago, eball said:

Don’t really feel like playing this game, but there are only two coaches on that list who impress me at any level — Saleh and Staley.  That still doesn’t mean they’ll be successful, since we have seen “it takes a village” — ownership, GM, HC — to create lasting success.

 

Meyer is an interesting case.  You can’t question his success at the college level but will it translate/can he adapt to the professional game?

 

Culley is a completely uninspiring hire.  It’s reminiscent of the Bills hiring Chan Gailey, but without the assistant or college coaching success.

 

I actually read something from a reporter who said Sirianni is “sort of smart, but not super smart.”  Wow, that should get Eagles fans excited.

 

I literally know nothing about Arthur Smith.

 

And finally, Dan Campbell is a joke.  He is, quite literally, a caricature of an “old school, hard-nosed” football coach.  It’s going to be entertaining to watch.

 

 

 

😆

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Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: If Meyer doesn't start Lawrence over Minshew I'd be floored

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach: Culley.  I'm almost entirely convinced that he's a "bridge" HC.  

Make the playoffs his first year: Staley.  Herbert and that defense are for real.

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years: Meyer.  If the Jags make the playoffs next year it's a virtual lock.

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired: Staley

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future: Saleh

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19 minutes ago, LeviF91 said:

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: If Meyer doesn't start Lawrence over Minshew I'd be floored

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach: Culley.  I'm almost entirely convinced that he's a "bridge" HC.  

Make the playoffs his first year: Staley.  Herbert and that defense are for real.

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years: Meyer.  If the Jags make the playoffs next year it's a virtual lock.

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired: Staley

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future: Saleh

 

I agree Culley is intended as a bridge..... but I think that bridge is likely 2 years rather than 1.... 

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4 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I agree Culley is intended as a bridge..... but I think that bridge is likely 2 years rather than 1.... 

 

Could be, but the Deshaun of it all makes me think if they're terrible again next year they'll fire Culley out of a cannon.

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3 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

I see that we are still over a week later deep in the autopsy of the Bills' playoff loss to the Chiefs. I understand that but to change it up a little bit here is a bit of fun thread we did a couple of years ago that I thought I'd revive. 

 

We have SEVEN new Head Coaches in the National Football League

 

Jaguars - Urban Meyer

Texans - David Culley

Jets - Robert Saleh

Chargers - Brandon Staley

Falcons - Arthur Smith

Lions - Dan Campbell

Eagles - Nick Sirianni

 

All you have to do is decide of those seven who is he "most likely" to do the following things.... 

 

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1:

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach:  Meyer.  I like him, but his QB is Minshew in this scenario.  He retires.  

Make the playoffs his first year:  Staley.  The team was really close last year.  If Herbert does not regress.  Other choice, Arthur Smith, Falcons also close to playoffs, NFC is weaker.  

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years:  Smith, Falcons.  If Ryan stays, I could see this team making a comeback.  

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired:  Staley is on a team that is the closest, if somehow they get by KC and the Bills in the regular season.  

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future:  None, but, okay, I'll play:  Meyer, he wants to coach with Allen.  

 

*for the purposes of this question the "incumbent starters" are: Minshew, Watson, Darnold, Herbert, Ryan, Goff, Hurts

 

I'll play.  Answers above.  

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4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: Urban Meyer will start Trevor Lawrence

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach: David Culley - that team out Jets the Jets

Make the playoffs his first year: Brandon Staley - Herbert looks really good

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years: Brandon Staley - Herbert will get better

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired: Brandon Staley - Having a QB helps, Staley has one

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future: David Culley - Familiar name and face

 

 

 

 

 

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6 hours ago, RobbRiddick said:

 

 

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: I think the Jags start a cheap vet week 1 and then turn it over to the GREATEST ROOKIE QB EVER around week 3. They should sign Tyrod, give him the starting job and wait for him to break his leg clipping his toenails or something.

 

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach: I'll say Culley for this. They'll grab a bunch of draft capital and then bring someone new in to coach it

 

Make the playoffs his first year: Staley all the way. Possibly Smith

 

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years: I'm going to say Staley after he gets the Chargers to the playoffs next year

 

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired: None of them. But if I had to put a bet on it'd be Staley again

 

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future: None. But if I had to bet... Smith.

 

First to get fined for chewing off someone's knee cap: too easy...

 

I mean... its not really tyrod's fault that he got his lung punctured by the chargers doctors.

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One and Done:  Eagles - Nick Sirianni.  This was a panic hire by the Eagles and the team thinks they are getting a Frank Reich clone.   I don't think so.

 

Eagles won't do well and a "name" candidate will come available and that'll be it.  

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9 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

.

 

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: 

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach: 

Make the playoffs his first year: 

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years: 

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired: 

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future: 

 

 

Nice idea for a thread. 

 

My picks

 

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1: Urban Meyer starting Trevor Lawrence - but if Lawrence already counts as incumbent, I'll go with the Jets.

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach: they will all get a bit of rope - so none of them will be one and done but there is a small chance Sirianni might be on the hotseat 

Make the playoffs his first year: Staley

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years: Staley

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired: Staley

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future: none of them McD will outlast em all

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11 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

I see that we are still over a week later deep in the autopsy of the Bills' playoff loss to the Chiefs. I understand that but to change it up a little bit here is a bit of fun thread we did a couple of years ago that I thought I'd revive. 

 

We have SEVEN new Head Coaches in the National Football League

 

Jaguars - Urban Meyer

Texans - David Culley

Jets - Robert Saleh

Chargers - Brandon Staley

Falcons - Arthur Smith

Lions - Dan Campbell

Eagles - Nick Sirianni

 

All you have to do is decide of those seven who is he "most likely" to do the following things.... 

 

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1:

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach:

Make the playoffs his first year:

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years:

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired:

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future:

 

*for the purposes of this question the "incumbent starters" are: Minshew, Watson, Darnold, Herbert, Ryan, Goff, Hurts

 

This looks like fun so I'll give it a try.

 

Obviously the most likely to start a new quarterback is going to be Jacksonville starting Trevor Lawrence after they pick him first.

 

The most likely one and done is in Philadelphia, because their organization manages its team like fans and their last two head coaches have played in the Super Bowl and they fired both. Say what you will about Detroit and Atlanta, but we know ownership there is going to give their guys plenty of time.

 

I will choose Urban Meyer for the most likely to make the playoffs, mostly because the AFC South is not a great division. Houston is a mess, Indianapolis does not have a quarterback and Tennessee has tannehill. Trevor Lawrence coming in as a rookie is a better situation than the other two.

 

None of these guys are going to coach the bills because McDermott's going to be here for quite a while.

 

The most likely to win coach of the year is the Chargers, simply because they should improve with health given the talent base. I'd say the same thing about most likely Super Bowl win.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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3 minutes ago, y2zipper said:

 

This looks like fun so I'll give it a try.

 

Obviously the most likely to start a new quarterback is going to be Jacksonville starting Trevor Lawrence after they pick him first.

 

The most likely one and done is in Philadelphia, because their organization manages its team like fans and their last two head coaches have played in the Super Bowl and they fired both. Say what you will about Detroit and Atlanta, but we know ownership there is going to give their guys plenty of time.

 

I will choose Urban Meyer for the most likely to make the playoffs, mostly because the AFC South is not a great division. Houston is a mess, Indianapolis does not have a quarterback and Tennessee has tannehill. Trevor Lawrence coming in as a rookie is a better situation than the other two.

 

None of these guys are going to coach the bills because McDermott's going to be here for quite a while.

 

The most likely to win coach of the year is the Chargers, simply because they should improve with health given the talent base. I'd say the same thing about most likely Super Bowl win.

 

It is two of Philly's last 3 with Chip in between, but I take the point. Like your reasoning generally. 

 

Not wanting to derail my own thread but given a lot of people are refusing to pick on the "coach the Bills option" and I get it, I think McD is here for a long time too I am a huge McD homer and he was my guy in that 2017 hiring season. But I wonder where people would put the over/under on how many more seasons McDermott will coach in Buffalo? I feel like either 3.5 or 4.5 is where you'd put the number and I'd bet the over... anyone think the bookmakers would set the line higher than that?

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I think Staley will make the Playoffs his first year and win a Super Bowl eventually (if any of them do). 

He has the QB.    And some studs on defense already.   The roster is pretty good.

 

Culley may be one and done.

Lawrence will start at QB week one

and I don't think any of those guys will ever coach the Bills.

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12 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

I see that we are still over a week later deep in the autopsy of the Bills' playoff loss to the Chiefs. I understand that but to change it up a little bit here is a bit of fun thread we did a couple of years ago that I thought I'd revive. 

 

We have SEVEN new Head Coaches in the National Football League

 

Jaguars - Urban Meyer

Texans - David Culley

Jets - Robert Saleh

Chargers - Brandon Staley

Falcons - Arthur Smith

Lions - Dan Campbell

Eagles - Nick Sirianni

 

All you have to do is decide of those seven who is he "most likely" to do the following things.... 

 

Start someone other than his incumbent starting Quarterback* week 1:

Culley. Watson likely will be gone.

 

Be a 'one and done' Head Coach:

Urban. He retired from a relatively cushy college job due to health concerns from working too much and stress. That is amplified 20x in the NFL.

 

Make the playoffs his first year:

Brandon Staley. Chargers have a good roster and a very good young franchise QB.

 

Win NFL Coach of the Year at some point in his first 3 years:

Brandon Staley. I think they could challenge the Chiefs within a few years for the division.

 

Win a Superbowl in the job to which he has just been hired:

Brandon Staley. All starts at QB and the Chargers have the best of the bunch by far outside of Watson but he likely won't be there much longer.

 

Become Head Coach of the Buffalo Bills at some point in the future:

Robert Saleh. Has the same type of makeup as McD does it seems.

 

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1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

 

It is two of Philly's last 3 with Chip in between, but I take the point. Like your reasoning generally. 

 

Not wanting to derail my own thread but given a lot of people are refusing to pick on the "coach the Bills option" and I get it, I think McD is here for a long time too I am a huge McD homer and he was my guy in that 2017 hiring season. But I wonder where people would put the over/under on how many more seasons McDermott will coach in Buffalo? I feel like either 3.5 or 4.5 is where you'd put the number and I'd bet the over... anyone think the bookmakers would set the line higher than that?

 

I forgot about Chip Kelly, but I think that's fair.

 

As far as McDermott goes, he's 46 and I think he will be here as long as he wants. I Iake to the Steelers philosophy that you don't fire people who are good.

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