Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Roughly 26 million people are expected to bet the Super Bowl. They are expected to bet $6.8B. With being said what are you guys betting? I’m thinking: - SF first half - KC 2nd half - SF over rushing total - KC over passing total - National Anthem under 2:04 - A handful of secondary skill players (ie Watkins, Coleman, Samuel, Damian Williams, etc) for MVP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vod Kanockers Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Sammy Watkins getting injured stepping off the bus is coming in at 1:5 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Happy Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 I'm thinking $5k on San Fran 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 I went all in on the niners +1.5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SinceThe70s Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 54 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said: Roughly 26 million people are expected to bet the Super Bowl. They are expected to bet $6.8B. With being said what are you guys betting? I’m thinking: - SF first half - KC 2nd half - SF over rushing total - KC over passing total - National Anthem under 2:04 - A handful of secondary skill players (ie Watkins, Coleman, Samuel, Damian Williams, etc) for MVP Serious question: what's the arbiter of the length of the National Anthem? I've run a prop bet pool the past few years and always wanted to add that, but I've limited the pool to things I could look up in your typical boxscore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Also threw $100 on Tevin Coleman for mvp at +6500 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Share Posted February 1, 2020 22 minutes ago, Vod Kanockers said: Sammy Watkins getting injured stepping off the bus is coming in at 1:5 60:1 to be the MVP...he has games where he goes off. He’s PHENOMENAL value at that 4 minutes ago, SinceThe70s said: Serious question: what's the arbiter of the length of the National Anthem? I've run a prop bet pool the past few years and always wanted to add that, but I've limited the pool to things I could look up in your typical boxscore. That’s the line I heard. It’s probably either Westgate or someone like that. You can probably just google it and see who set the line. The lines are pretty universal from the major players. 5 minutes ago, NewEra said: Also threw $100 on Tevin Coleman for mvp at +6500 I like that bet 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vod Kanockers Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 (edited) 8 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said: 60:1 to be the MVP...he has games where he goes off. He’s PHENOMENAL value at that Maybe, just perhaps playing decoy all year will finally pay off. ? Seriously though, those are pretty solid odds! Edited February 1, 2020 by Vod Kanockers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloBillies Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 I think SF and the over. Should be a terrific game, but SF defensive advantage outweighs KC offensive advantage. Other prop bets are fun, but sh*t luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 35 minutes ago, Happy Gilmore said: I'm thinking $5k on San Fran Are you telling the wife? I bought my $20 square, which will allow for my retirement. My wife however, will continue to do her thing out of necessity. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Happy Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 1 minute ago, Augie said: Are you telling the wife? I bought my $20 square, which will allow for my retirement. My wife however, will continue to do her thing out of necessity. She'll find out when I go on vacation in a couple of weeks. ? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Share Posted February 1, 2020 (edited) 15 minutes ago, Vod Kanockers said: Maybe, just perhaps playing decoy all year will finally pay off. ? Seriously though, those are pretty solid odds! Yeah, I like those secondary type guys at those numbers. I’ll make smaller bets on it but for $10 or whatever I’ll bet a few skill guys at 50:1 and greater. You hope that you catch the guy that has 100+ yards and scores twice. Watkins, Coleman, Samuel, and Hardman are the types I’m going to look at. I don’t know all of the odds on them but it’s worth a few bucks. Edited February 1, 2020 by Kirby Jackson 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vod Kanockers Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Without a doubt. Maybe spread around $250 and see if you can get a 50-1 to hit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Share Posted February 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, Vod Kanockers said: Without a doubt. Maybe spread around $250 and see if you can get a 50-1 to hit. That’s kind of what I’m thinking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turk71 Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 I got SF moneyline and the over. I am thinking Kittle or Samuel for MVP but have not made a play. I dont want to play prop bets that are just blind luck. I am not much of a gambler, an occasional lottery ticket and 10 to 20 bucks on Draftkings every weekend during NFL season. This year I took 1st place in 2 showdown (single game) tournaments so I am way up for the year and have house money to play with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILBillsfan Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 got 2 units on mahomes over 30 yards rushing for the game 5 units KC-1 and 1 unit on the over 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turk71 Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 20 minutes ago, ILBillsfan said: got 2 units on mahomes over 30 yards rushing for the game 5 units KC-1 and 1 unit on the over 54 Mahomes over 30 rushing against that 9ers pass rush sounds like a pretty good bet. I have to look at the prop bets tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Not a Super Bowl bet but I'm still kicking myself for not listening to this guy who suggested taking Lamar Jackson at 80 to 1 odds to win NFL MVP in August of last year. He has the 49ers at +1 1/2 btw. 5 Long Shot Value Bets For The NFL MVP Award 1. Lamar Jackson Jackson definitely qualifies as a long shot. If you act now, you can wager on him to take home the MVP Award at 80:1. That’s a solid long shot given just how easy it is to envision a scenario where he brings home the hardware. The Ravens offense is trying to prove that not everyone in the NFL has to throw the ball frequently to be successful. They’re going to run the ball more than anyone else in the league. Jackson is going to get a ton of those carries from the quarterback position. That reliance on the run game is going to make Baltimore dangerous via play action. That’s where Jackson will need to get a little bit of good luck to pad his stats. Imagine a world in which the Ravens go 12-4, win the division and Jackson rushes for 1,000 yards and throws for another 3,000. That would at least get him in the MVP conversation. It’s not likely a likely outcome, but it’s a long way from impossible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dhg Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 6 hours ago, SinceThe70s said: Serious question: what's the arbiter of the length of the National Anthem? I've run a prop bet pool the past few years and always wanted to add that, but I've limited the pool to things I could look up in your typical boxscore. I've seen 2 minutes as the +/- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmotionallyUnstable Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 1 hour ago, dhg said: I've seen 2 minutes as the +/- It's 2:04 Demi Lovato's last major sports anthem ran 2:12. Take the over 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 No one mentioned the over/under yet? I got it at 53.5. it's now 54.5. The over has to be a lock, no? 1 minute ago, EmotionallyUnstable said: It's 2:04 Demi Lovato's last major sports anthem ran 2:12. Take the over But is there a flyover to sync it to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOUSE Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 I am betting $2 on the 49ers because I am sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SirAndrew Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 I like placing a bet on a SF skill player, but I’d never do the same with a KC skill player. The Chiefs spread the ball around too much, and if Hill, Watkins, Kelce have a big game, I’m thinking the MVP is going to Mahomes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plenzmd1 Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 35 minutes ago, PromoTheRobot said: The over has to be a lock, no? That animal does not exist. 10 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said: Roughly 26 million people are expected to bet the Super Bowl. They are expected to bet $6.8B. With being said what are you guys betting? I’m thinking: - SF first half - KC 2nd half - SF over rushing total - KC over passing total - National Anthem under 2:04 - A handful of secondary skill players (ie Watkins, Coleman, Samuel, Damian Williams, etc) for MVP Think Garrapolo goes off, I don’t like the over on SF rushing. did place a small bet on side boob shot. Long running joke with my wife and people on her team that she wins so many deals cause she is an expert at showing side boob during demos ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmotionallyUnstable Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 I like the action on Gatorade bath color. Best odds are 'clear' but last year hit on blue. Red and yellow/lime are also on the docket. I'll take orange at +450 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eball Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 I haven't looked at the sheet yet...was planning to do that today. It's definitely fun to have action on some of the prop bets during the game. Oh, and I already have 31 squares (27 unique combos) among 5 squares boards so far...and the party I'm going to will have another. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 (edited) 10 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said: Yeah, I like those secondary type guys at those numbers. I’ll make smaller bets on it but for $10 or whatever I’ll bet a few skill guys at 50:1 and greater. You hope that you catch the guy that has 100+ yards and scores twice. Watkins, Coleman, Samuel, and Hardman are the types I’m going to look at. I don’t know all of the odds on them but it’s worth a few bucks. On the station casino app it’s currently: deebo 27-1 sammy 50-1 coleman 65-1 hardman 75-1 When the odds came out i threw 10 on Bosa at 20-1 (it’s down to 15-1), 10 on Sherman 50-1 and 5 on brieda 80-1 Edited February 1, 2020 by NewEra 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 (edited) It's hard to believe this is true but if it is it's got to be one of the worst sports bets ever. I don't know what true odds are but the payout would certainly be over $1mm Edited February 1, 2020 by Process Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 12 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said: 60:1 to be the MVP...he has games where he goes off. He’s PHENOMENAL value at that That’s the line I heard. It’s probably either Westgate or someone like that. You can probably just google it and see who set the line. The lines are pretty universal from the major players. I like that bet I wouldn't take any KC player for MVP other than Mahomes. Problem with guys like Kelce, Hill and Watkins are that if they put up big numbers you know Mahomes is also going to have decent numbers at worst too and they are going to look for any reason they can to give the MVP to Mahomes. It would have to be some scenario where Mahomes passes for under 320 yards or so and half those yards go to one player AND all 2 or 3 TD's Mahomes throws goes to that same player. Mahomes cannot throw a TD to another player. Throw in at least maybe one INT for Mahomes too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 (edited) 13 minutes ago, Process said: It's hard to believe this is true but if it is it's got to be one of the worst sports bets ever. I don't know what true odds are but the payout would certainly be over $1mm Must be nice to be able to throw money away like that. Maybe the guy thought he was wagering on the 49ers to WIN by exactly 5 points? I got to get some prop bets in tonight for fun. Question is how much of my dwindling bank roll do i want to bet? Edited February 1, 2020 by Sammy Watkins' Rib Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Share Posted February 1, 2020 30 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I wouldn't take any KC player for MVP other than Mahomes. Problem with guys like Kelce, Hill and Watkins are that if they put up big numbers you know Mahomes is also going to have decent numbers at worst too and they are going to look for any reason they can to give the MVP to Mahomes. It would have to be some scenario where Mahomes passes for under 320 yards or so and half those yards go to one player AND all 2 or 3 TD's Mahomes throws goes to that same player. Mahomes cannot throw a TD to another player. Throw in at least maybe one INT for Mahomes too. There’s just no value in Mahomes. He is +115, virtually even money. That’s a terrible bet. I’d much rather spread some money across Kittle 10:1, Damien Williams 25:1, Deebo 25:1, Kelce 16:1, Tyreke 16:1, Sammy 60:1, Hardman 55:1, Coleman 70:1 and Honey Badger 50:1. You put some $ on each on a sliding scale (higher the odds the less you spend) and hope to catch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanC883 Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 57 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said: There’s just no value in Mahomes. He is +115, virtually even money. That’s a terrible bet. I’d much rather spread some money across Kittle 10:1, Damien Williams 25:1, Deebo 25:1, Kelce 16:1, Tyreke 16:1, Sammy 60:1, Hardman 55:1, Coleman 70:1 and Honey Badger 50:1. You put some $ on each on a sliding scale (higher the odds the less you spend) and hope to catch. I think the best route here is to avoid Mahomes and KC offensive players besides RB. If WR/TE's have a good day, Mahomes gets the MVP. Go RB and defense on KC, and someone like Kittle or Coleman on SF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Share Posted February 1, 2020 16 minutes ago, RyanC883 said: I think the best route here is to avoid Mahomes and KC offensive players besides RB. If WR/TE's have a good day, Mahomes gets the MVP. Go RB and defense on KC, and someone like Kittle or Coleman on SF. I’ll probably skip Kelce and Tyreke. It was just an example. Sammy at 60:1 is too much value. If he has 7 for 125 and 2 TDs he will have a chance. Hardman is the Pro Bowl return man. If he busts one he could be the guy. At 50:1 it’s worth a few bucks as well. I don’t think either of those is likely but it’s worth a couple of $10 fliers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section122 Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Im in for under 54.5. 11 out of last 15 games have been under, under when spread is higher than 50 is 7-4, and I think the niners try to shorten the game and limit the amount of possessions. I haven't made it to the book yet to see what props they have. That will be this afternoon's adventure! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Share Posted February 1, 2020 I have a big square ($500) that I split with a buddy. Just got the number, SF - 7, KC - 5. Gross!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section122 Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 1 minute ago, Kirby Jackson said: I have a big square ($500) that I split with a buddy. Just got the number, SF - 7, KC - 5. Gross!! 35-27 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Share Posted February 1, 2020 (edited) 2 minutes ago, section122 said: 35-27 lol That’s my only hope. I love the 7 but that 5 sucks. It’s only 4 payouts too so it’s not like you can get your money out on touching squares and whatever. Basically a donation Edited February 1, 2020 by Kirby Jackson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 7 hours ago, SirAndrew said: I like placing a bet on a SF skill player, but I’d never do the same with a KC skill player. The Chiefs spread the ball around too much, and if Hill, Watkins, Kelce have a big game, I’m thinking the MVP is going to Mahomes. Hardman could be an interesting play considering he returns kicks and can catch a bomb for a TD. He could be the MVP if Mahomes has an average game against that 49ers defense. You can get him at +6600 in some sports books. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
C.Biscuit97 Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 17 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said: Roughly 26 million people are expected to bet the Super Bowl. They are expected to bet $6.8B. With being said what are you guys betting? I’m thinking: - SF first half - KC 2nd half - SF over rushing total - KC over passing total - National Anthem under 2:04 - A handful of secondary skill players (ie Watkins, Coleman, Samuel, Damian Williams, etc) for MVP Will you be refunding us if these lose? Because I’m betting my house on this because I trust you so much. ? I kinda like the over 2.5 sacks for SF. Also, Cousin Sal always does an insane bet and it’s Blake Bell, backup KC TE, first reception over 1.5 yards!!! And the Gatorade has to be red, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Share Posted February 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said: Will you be refunding us if these lose? Because I’m betting my house on this because I trust you so much. ? I kinda like the over 2.5 sacks for SF. Also, Cousin Sal always does an insane bet and it’s Blake Bell, backup KC TE, first reception over 1.5 yards!!! And the Gatorade has to be red, right? Ha ha, I will not be. I started this thread for advice. This Super Bowl is really confusing me. So far in the playoffs SF has come out fast, and KC slow. Then KC has gone off. That’s why I’m betting it like that. I’m going to guess SF gets the lead and tries to run it. KC throws it as they are playing from behind. I might be wrong but that’s my feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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