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The End of the Lamar Jackson Era


Shaw66

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On 12/15/2020 at 3:23 PM, BillsToast said:

 

Much of this is true, but the Lamar era ends next year. Which GM wants to pay him $30 mil for a guy on his physical downside and needs that physicality just be good or decent? He won't have games like last night in 4 years from today. 

 

This is his window, he's earned it. He should be praised and he should be enjoyed. He's a great player, one of the greatest we've seen, but we have to recognize he's a short window athlete heading towards the end of greatness relatively fast. It's just a shame guys like him and great RBs won't be rewarded in FA anymore. He'll be a millionaire if he can save now, but I doubt he'll get top 10 starter money by the end of next year. If they pick up his 5th year option it's just to get meat from the bones.

Michael Vick had his best season at 30.  

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20 minutes ago, NewEra said:

If we lose, it’s your fault @Shaw66

i thought that to myself when you made this post.  Been thinking about it since Sunday.  
 

I propose that you change your name to JuJuShawSchuster or leave the board forever if we lose.  

The thread that will not die.  I feel like Roman Castavet.

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48 minutes ago, NewEra said:

Michael Vick had his best season at 30.  

 

For several reasons:

1. Reid was his coach

2. His passes were significantly more accurate in Reid's system

3. He didn't play for a couple of years

 

In other words you can't compare them unless you want to sit Jackson for 2 years and hope he makes it to 30 and Vick was out for most of the season when he was younger from injury. 

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19 minutes ago, QCity said:

 

It's less about his age, and more about years played in his style.

 

Running quarterbacks don't last.

 

But Lamar is not just another running Quarterback. It was my point in this thread and it remains my point to this day. Comparing him to Kaepernick or Tyrod or Tim Tebow or whoever else is asinine. The only guy who is close to comparable as an athlete at the Quarterback position is Michael Vick who before the age of 32 went 58-37 as an NFL starting Quarterback and that was missing two prime years through suspension. It was also in an era where NFL teams tried to force guys like Vick to fit into the prototype in a way Baltimore is not forcing on Lamar.

 

I accept there is likely a ceiling with Lamar Jackson's style of play. I didn't want him here in Buffalo but if people think he is just gonna get figured out and disappear some time soon cos that is what happened to Kaepernick they are barking up entirely the wrong tree. This kid is one of the best athletes to ever play in the NFL and even this year when everything he can do was surely on tape he ran for 1,000 yards and 7 scores, threw 26 passes to 9 picks and helped his team win 11 games.

 

He might not last the way Brady or Brees have... but for the next 7 or 8 years? Yea, he is gonna be a problem for teams to defend.

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1 minute ago, BillsToast said:

 

For several reasons:

1. Reid was his coach

2. His passes were significantly more accurate in Reid's system

3. He didn't play for a couple of years

 

In other words you can't compare them unless you want to sit Jackson for 2 years and hope he makes it to 30 and Vick was out for most of the season when he was younger from injury. 

Which great running QBs only last a couple years?  Rg3 and who?

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2 minutes ago, BillsToast said:

 

For several reasons:

1. Reid was his coach

2. His passes were significantly more accurate in Reid's system

3. He didn't play for a couple of years

 

In other words you can't compare them unless you want to sit Jackson for 2 years and hope he makes it to 30 and Vick was out for most of the season when he was younger from injury. 

 

Quarterbacks get injured in the pocket more than they do running. 

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1 minute ago, GunnerBill said:

 

But Lamar is not just another running Quarterback. It was my point in this thread and it remains my point to this day. Comparing him to Kaepernick or Tyrod or Tim Tebow or whoever else is asinine. The only guy who is close to comparable as an athlete at the Quarterback position is Michael Vick who before the age of 32 went 58-37 as an NFL starting Quarterback and that was missing two prime years through suspension. It was also in an era where NFL teams tried to force guys like Vick to fit into the prototype in a way Baltimore is not forcing on Lamar.

 

I accept there is likely a ceiling with Lamar Jackson's style of play. I didn't want him here in Buffalo but if people think he is just gonna get figured out and disappear some time soon cos that is what happened to Kaepernick they are barking up entirely the wrong tree. This kid is one of the best athletes to ever play in the NFL and even this year when everything he can do was surely on tape he ran for 1,000 yards and 7 scores, threw 26 passes to 9 picks and helped his team win 11 games.

 

He might not last the way Brady or Brees have... but for the next 7 or 8 years? Yea, he is gonna be a problem for teams to defend.

This.  Thanks for saving me the time.

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17 minutes ago, BillsToast said:

 

For several reasons:

1. Reid was his coach

2. His passes were significantly more accurate in Reid's system

3. He didn't play for a couple of years

 

In other words you can't compare them unless you want to sit Jackson for 2 years and hope he makes it to 30 and Vick was out for most of the season when he was younger from injury. 

And you also can’t compare Lamar Jackson to any other running qb not named Michael Vick.  Not one of them could run like them. They are on another level as a runner.  

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19 minutes ago, Penfield45 said:

This has to be the dumbest thread ever created in this forum

 

someone plz delete this garbage 

Perfect cancel culture. Don't like another opinion, delete it. How about not agreeing and moving on and not decide what others can read or think.

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42 minutes ago, ColoradoBills said:

 

I'm kind of hoping your thread becomes prophetic this Saturday night and Lamar is saying...............

 

image.thumb.png.263df4e26e1e7911b400b3431cd392a7.png

 

 

 

 

 

 

Then I will go straight to the posters' Hall of Fame!

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39 minutes ago, NewEra said:

And you also can’t compare Lamar Jackson to any other running qb not named Michael Vick.  Not one of them could run like them. They are on another level as a runner.  

 

Agreed that Lamar is a better runner and on another level, but all runners have short shelf lives, especially thinner guys. Even Vick wasn't as great of a runner when he returned. 

 

Stamina, speed, and being worn down is a reality you can't avoid with age. 

 

My point is he's generational in what he's able to do, but the human body can take only so much punishment unless you are equated his athleticism to bodily integrity. He won't be able to do what he's doing at 30 sustainably. No one has and no one could. 

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1 hour ago, BillsToast said:

 

Agreed that Lamar is a better runner and on another level, but all runners have short shelf lives, especially thinner guys. Even Vick wasn't as great of a runner when he returned. 

 

Stamina, speed, and being worn down is a reality you can't avoid with age. 

 

My point is he's generational in what he's able to do, but the human body can take only so much punishment unless you are equated his athleticism to bodily integrity. He won't be able to do what he's doing at 30 sustainably. No one has and no one could. 

who like I asked before:  WHO?  Which running QBs are you talking about other than RG3?  Tyrod?  Who??

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1 minute ago, ScottLaw said:

It's made a lot of people look really bad... 

 

it serves its purpose IMO

 

too often QBs get too much credit for success. 
 

look at Tua.  The Fins almost made the playoffs BUT it was because of Fitz and not Tua. Yet people are crediting him and not Fitz. 
 

Trent Dilfer won a super bowl YET he’s not an elite HOF caliber QB. He had a good team with him. 

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10 minutes ago, NewEra said:

who like I asked before:  WHO?  Which running QBs are you talking about other than RG3?  Tyrod?  Who??

 

All of them: Vick, Cunningham, Kaep, Young and every other name. Name me one that lasted long as a runner. Name me a RB who last 8 years over 1,000 yards and you'll find only a handful and he's not built like Emmitt or Barry. If RBs struggle to do it, and only a few have and that's their only job, I highly doubt a more slender QB can last.

 

He already has worse stats than last year in every category. 

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14 minutes ago, BillsToast said:

 

All of them: Vick, Cunningham, Kaep, Young and every other name. Name me one that lasted long as a runner. Name me a RB who last 8 years over 1,000 yards and you'll find only a handful and he's not built like Emmitt or Barry. If RBs struggle to do it, and only a few have and that's their only job, I highly doubt a more slender QB can last.

 

He already has worse stats than last year in every category. 

There you go https://sportsfinda.com/top-10-running-quarterbacks-in-nfl-history/

 

Most running QBs don’t last because they suck.  The good running QBs last because they’re good

 

Kaep didn’t last because he sucked

young didnt last because he sucked

Cunningham played like 15+ years and had his best season in his 13th year 

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32 minutes ago, NewEra said:

There you go https://sportsfinda.com/top-10-running-quarterbacks-in-nfl-history/

 

Most running QBs don’t last because they suck.  The good running QBs last because they’re good

 

Kaep didn’t last because he sucked

young didnt last because he sucked

Cunningham played like 15+ years and had his best season in his 13th year 

 

Correct a handful out of decades only a few, thank you for making my point. 

 

Steve Young didn't suck, although I think you thought I was referring to Vince Young so no biggie.

Cunningham played best when he didn't run much. What's "best" from Cunningham to Vick was when they couldn't run as much and got better in the pocket. 

 

You still avoided the elephant in the room which is that Lamar went down statistically in every category from passing to rushing. Even if he has a bounce back year statistically in passing there is no way he can continue to run for 1k yards for 2-3 more years. He either improves in the pocket drastically or finds himself too expensive to be a starter but I agree with you that he's the best athlete we'll ever see in a QB for a long time. He's a great player.

 

If Lamar could develop into a better pocket passer he has the potential of continuing in the league. My point remains that no great running QB lasted long rushing for a ton of yards without transforming into a pocket passer almost exclusively. 

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43 minutes ago, BillsToast said:

 

Correct a handful out of decades only a few, thank you for making my point. 

 

Steve Young didn't suck, although I think you thought I was referring to Vince Young so no biggie.

Cunningham played best when he didn't run much. What's "best" from Cunningham to Vick was when they couldn't run as much and got better in the pocket. 

 

You still avoided the elephant in the room which is that Lamar went down statistically in every category from passing to rushing. Even if he has a bounce back year statistically in passing there is no way he can continue to run for 1k yards for 2-3 more years. He either improves in the pocket drastically or finds himself too expensive to be a starter but I agree with you that he's the best athlete we'll ever see in a QB for a long time. He's a great player.

 

If Lamar could develop into a better pocket passer he has the potential of continuing in the league. My point remains that no great running QB lasted long rushing for a ton of yards without transforming into a pocket passer almost exclusively. 

I hope he was confusing the Youngs.


Steve Young was a total stud and a great running QB who was also a great throwing QB.

 

He was just a great QB, full stop.

 

 

 

 

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3 hours ago, BillsToast said:

. Even if he has a bounce back year statistically in passing there is no way he can continue to run for 1k yards for 2-3 more years. 

 

 

Why? I think there is every chance he can. Teams have literally gameplanned around taking that away this season and he has still gone for over 1k. I think his passing numbers going forward will look more like 2020 than 2019 but I don't expect any real drop off in the run game. I think 900-1200 yards most seasons is a perfectly realistic expectation. 

 

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12 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Why? I think there is every chance he can. Teams have literally gameplanned around taking that away this season and he has still gone for over 1k. I think his passing numbers going forward will look more like 2020 than 2019 but I don't expect any real drop off in the run game. I think 900-1200 yards most seasons is a perfectly realistic expectation. 

 

 

I don't think it's the gameplanning as you can't stop him, it's just that he's going to wear out or get injured.

 

I don't think a guy who is not built like a bull can take more than 3 years at this level without wearing down 5% which is more than enough to make him from Superman to great and great isn't enough to run for 1,000 yards+ when you're 27 after 6 years of football as a QB. He needs to push that number down to 600-800 yards and pass better or he'll wear out his body. 

 

It's not that 500 yards isn't that much, it's the extra hits in practice, harder workouts, and a body not made like a RB. 

 

Usain Bolt gave an interview explaining how the body peaks around 24-25 athletically and he realized he was slowing down in his late 20's. This is a guy who doesn't get hit. Many athletes say the same. 

 

Jackson runs twice as much as Randall Cunningham who hit his rushing wall at 27. McNair 25, and Vick 26. 

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5 hours ago, NewEra said:

There you go https://sportsfinda.com/top-10-running-quarterbacks-in-nfl-history/

 

Most running QBs don’t last because they suck.  The good running QBs last because they’re good

 

Kaep didn’t last because he sucked

young didnt last because he sucked

Cunningham played like 15+ years and had his best season in his 13th year 


New Era, lots of good points, but if you’re referring to Steve Young, and he didn’t last, I don’t understand.  Steve young has a career 64.5% career comp. %, played in the NFL for 15 years (additionally 2 years in the USFL) was league MVP twice, has a SB ring, and is in the HOF.  How did he suck?  I know he was hurt a lot towards the end, but he never sucked.  Now as an announcer, he can be a pain at times, but I don’t watch ESPN often except MNF, and even then I usually don’t watch the pregame.

 

I was a little surprised more people have not referenced Cunningham as he was a heck of a QB.

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2 hours ago, BillsToast said:

 

I don't think it's the gameplanning as you can't stop him, it's just that he's going to wear out or get injured.

 

I don't think a guy who is not built like a bull can take more than 3 years at this level without wearing down 5% which is more than enough to make him from Superman to great and great isn't enough to run for 1,000 yards+ when you're 27 after 6 years of football as a QB. He needs to push that number down to 600-800 yards and pass better or he'll wear out his body. 

 

It's not that 500 yards isn't that much, it's the extra hits in practice, harder workouts, and a body not made like a RB. 

 

Usain Bolt gave an interview explaining how the body peaks around 24-25 athletically and he realized he was slowing down in his late 20's. This is a guy who doesn't get hit. Many athletes say the same. 

 

Jackson runs twice as much as Randall Cunningham who hit his rushing wall at 27. McNair 25, and Vick 26. 

 

I don't agree. Late 20s slowing down? I can absolutely see. 28 onwards, yea. That is 5 years away. The evidence is that Quarterbacks get hurt more often in the pocket than running and if you can't have 1,000 yard seasons after the age of 23 because of the wear and tear why do so many running backs manage it? 

 

I don't see any reason why Lamar won't continue to be as productive with his legs for at least the next 5 seasons and possibly up to 7 or 8. As he approaches and bits 30 I'd be worried whether it is sustainable. In his 20s? It absolutely is.

 

And we don't know if Vick's rushing productivity dipped at 26. He spent the next two seasons suspended. 

 

I think you are completely and utterly wrong on this. Obviously only time will tell.

Edited by GunnerBill
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