Jump to content

ESPN+: Top 10 QBs according to league personnel


Recommended Posts

https://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/29394204/ranking-nfl-top-10-qbs-2020-follows-patrick-mahomes

 

Edit: To be clear, they're ranking QBs as they expect them to be in 2020. Not trying to project them 5 years out or anything like that (but in the case of Darnold for example, the guy that voted for him said that he expects him to take a leap this year).

 

The Top 10:

  1. Patrick Mahomes
  2. Russell Wilson
  3. Aaron Rodgers
  4. Deshaun Watson
  5. Drew Brees
  6. Lamar Jackson
  7. Tom Brady
  8. Carson Wentz
  9. Dak Prescott
  10. Matt Stafford

 

Also receiving votes:

  • Matt Ryan - 14 votes out of 50 voters
  • Ben Roethlisberger - 8 votes
  • Kyler Murray - 5 votes
  • Kirk Cousins - 2 votes
  • Jimmy Garoppolo - 2 votes
  • Derek Carr, Ryan Tannehill, Jared Goff, Sam Darnold - 1 vote each
Edited by DCOrange
  • Like (+1) 1
  • Haha (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Dak is so overrated.  Surrounded by elite talent and still can't get it done.  Couldn't even win by far the worst division in the league last year.  Stat monster, but not a winner.  At least Stafford has an excuse for losing.

  • Like (+1) 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, DCOrange said:

https://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/29394204/ranking-nfl-top-10-qbs-2020-follows-patrick-mahomes

 

Edit: To be clear, they're ranking QBs as they expect them to be in 2020. Not trying to project them 5 years out or anything like that (but in the case of Darnold for example, the guy that voted for him said that he expects him to take a leap this year).

 

The Top 10:

  1. Patrick Mahomes
  2. Russell Wilson
  3. Aaron Rodgers
  4. Deshaun Watson
  5. Drew Brees
  6. Lamar Jackson
  7. Tom Brady
  8. Carson Wentz
  9. Dak Prescott
  10. Matt Stafford

 

Also receiving votes:

  • Matt Ryan - 14 votes out of 50 voters
  • Ben Roethlisberger - 8 votes
  • Kyler Murray - 5 votes
  • Kirk Cousins - 2 votes
  • Jimmy Garoppolo - 2 votes
  • Derek Carr, Ryan Tannehill, Jared Goff, Sam Darnold - 1 vote each

 

Honestly, I don't see a ton wrong with this list. Maybe Ben is a bit too high, running on legacy points. Maybe Josh could be in the Carr, Tannehill, Goff group. But other than that, it reads pretty close to me.

What do I know though, I am just a dude with an opinion on the internet. 

  • Like (+1) 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Mark80 said:

Dak is so overrated.  Surrounded by elite talent and still can't get it done.  Couldn't even win by far the worst division in the league last year.  Stat monster, but not a winner.  At least Stafford has an excuse for losing.

These posts confuse me. Win loss records for qbs is a terrible way to judge things but Dak has a 40-24 record.  He has the only Dallas playoff win in 20 years.  He has a 97 qb rating for his career.  I pray Allen becomes this overrated. 

4 minutes ago, Mango said:

 

Honestly, I don't see a ton wrong with this list. Maybe Ben is a bit too high, running on legacy points. Maybe Josh could be in the Carr, Tannehill, Goff group. But other than that, it reads pretty close to me.

What do I know though, I am just a dude with an opinion on the internet. 

Ben, if healthy is top 10.  I think Ryan is the better Matt.  Don’t believe in Carr.  But it’s fairly fine.  Allen isn’t on this level yet. 

  • Like (+1) 2
  • Awesome! (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Mango said:

 

Honestly, I don't see a ton wrong with this list. Maybe Ben is a bit too high, running on legacy points. Maybe Josh could be in the Carr, Tannehill, Goff group. But other than that, it reads pretty close to me.

What do I know though, I am just a dude with an opinion on the internet. 

Yeah. I generally think you can make a case for a handful of guys after Mahomes, so there's some tweaking I would do, but this is a pretty good list. Surprised Kyler Murray got so much love already, though I tend to think he was very promising this year and will prove to be very good soon.

 

There's some individual votes that are really weird though. One voter put Brady #1 and Mahomes #4 for example. Someone else put Wentz #2.

Edited by DCOrange
  • Like (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

These posts confuse me. Win loss records for qbs is a terrible way to judge things but Dak has a 40-24 record.  He has the only Dallas playoff win in 20 years.  He has a 97 qb rating for his career.  I pray Allen becomes this overrated. 

 

He has also had the best offensive line in football, the best RB in football, one of the best WRs joined their team 2 seasons ago and has only made the playoffs twice in 4 years in a horrific division (especially last season) and is only 1-2 in the playoffs.  I'm sorry, that's not good enough for me and if that is where Josh is heading I'm going to be disappointed.

Edited by Mark80
Link to comment
Share on other sites

JA, with no votes at all, wasn't even in the top half of NFL starting quarterbacks.  It's good to know, though, that games aren't played in the imaginations of a motley assembly of fifty or so NFL employees.   

 

The voters included NFL scouts.  Scouts are experts in college football.  I wonder how well they keep up with the development of professional players.

 

The voters also include NFL players.  So I wonder how much does a special teamer from the Saints know about AFCE quarterbacks.  

 

The voters also include NFL execs.  And here I wonder how much the VP of Communications in Seattle knows about Josh Allen.  

 

Just because a guy has a job in the NFL doesn't mean he has an expert, comprehensive knowledge of all the players and can accurately project their play in 2020.  

 

 

 

  • Like (+1) 2
  • Haha (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, hondo in seattle said:

JA, with no votes at all, wasn't even in the top half of NFL starting quarterbacks.  It's good to know, though, that games aren't played in the imaginations of a motley assembly of fifty or so NFL employees.   

 

 

 

 

 

Josh isn't top ten in any way yet. I would put him between 15-20

  • Like (+1) 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, Mark80 said:

 

He has also had the best offensive line in football, the best RB in football, one of the best WRs joined their team 2 seasons ago and has only made the playoffs twice in 4 years in a horrific division (especially last season) and is only 1-2 in the playoffs.  I'm sorry, that's not good enough for me and if that is where Josh is heading I'm going to be disappointed.

 

Their offense led the NFL in yardage a year ago, he threw for 5000 30/11 while completing 65% of passes.  Yes the team has good players around him, but what is the criteria here?  

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, dneveu said:

 

Their offense led the NFL in yardage a year ago, he threw for 5000 30/11 while completing 65% of passes.  Yes the team has good players around him, but what is the criteria here?  

Yeah but how many red zone stops did he get on defense?

  • Haha (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, CamDMC said:

 

Josh isn't top ten in any way yet. I would put him between 15-20

 

Although I certainly hope Josh performs like a top ten QB this season, I think putting Josh somewhere between 15 and 20 is realistic.  

 

19 QBs received votes in the ESPN informal survey.  Josh wasn't one of them.   I personally think JA is in the top 19.

 

  

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Gugny said:

The only oddity that sticks out to me is that Darnold got a vote.

 

Other than that, looks pretty accurate to me.

 

Agreed there.  Nothing he did last year was impressive.  He's just as likely to become a good player as allen, but his stinkers really stick out.  The seeing ghosts game was just, absurdly pathetic.  11/32 for 86 and 4 picks?  Falk was 12/22 for 98 and 1 pick a couple weeks before.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

48 minutes ago, DCOrange said:

https://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/29394204/ranking-nfl-top-10-qbs-2020-follows-patrick-mahomes

 

Edit: To be clear, they're ranking QBs as they expect them to be in 2020. Not trying to project them 5 years out or anything like that (but in the case of Darnold for example, the guy that voted for him said that he expects him to take a leap this year).

 

The Top 10:

  1. Patrick Mahomes
  2. Russell Wilson
  3. Aaron Rodgers
  4. Deshaun Watson
  5. Drew Brees
  6. Lamar Jackson
  7. Tom Brady
  8. Carson Wentz
  9. Dak Prescott
  10. Matt Stafford

 

Also receiving votes:

  • Matt Ryan - 14 votes out of 50 voters
  • Ben Roethlisberger - 8 votes
  • Kyler Murray - 5 votes
  • Kirk Cousins - 2 votes
  • Jimmy Garoppolo - 2 votes
  • Derek Carr, Ryan Tannehill, Jared Goff, Sam Darnold - 1 vote each


Well, not sure how Brady is down to 8th when he went to 8 SB’s, and won 6.  I hate Brady as much as the next guy, but now that he has all that talent around him, I’m betting he has a solid year.  Maybe not #1, but higher than 7th.  Brees should also be higher than 5th.  He’s had multiple years above 70% completion stats.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't object to JA being left off the list.  I'm fine with him not receiving votes, because he isn't there yet.  Look at the other guys receiving votes... he just isn't on there level YET.  That's not to say that he won't be there by seasons end (I hope he is).  IMO, he is not in the borderline top-10 area yet.. i.e. in the same tier (according to this list) as players like Matt Ryan, Ben Roethlisberger, Kirk Cousins, and Jimmy G.

 

A couple players who I think should be rated higher/lower than they are:

 

Aaron Rodgers:  overrated

Tom Brady:  overrated

Matt Ryan:  underrated

Big Ben (healthy):  underrated

 

5 minutes ago, hondo in seattle said:

 

Although I certainly hope Josh performs like a top ten QB this season, I think putting Josh somewhere between 15 and 20 is realistic.  

 

19 QBs received votes in the ESPN informal survey.  Josh wasn't one of them.   I personally think JA is in the top 19.

 

  

 

Arguably, some of those that received votes as being in the top 10 probably shouldn't have.  I mean.. Sam Darnold and Tannehill, really? 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, hondo in seattle said:

JA, with no votes at all, wasn't even in the top half of NFL starting quarterbacks.  It's good to know, though, that games aren't played in the imaginations of a motley assembly of fifty or so NFL employees.   

 

The voters included NFL scouts.  Scouts are experts in college football.  I wonder how well they keep up with the development of professional players.

 

The voters also include NFL players.  So I wonder how much does a special teamer from the Saints know about AFCE quarterbacks.  

 

The voters also include NFL execs.  And here I wonder how much the VP of Communications in Seattle knows about Josh Allen.  

 

Just because a guy has a job in the NFL doesn't mean he has an expert, comprehensive knowledge of all the players and can accurately project their play in 2020.  

 

 

 

 

I don't have ESPN + so I don't know if they named each of the 50 people who voted, if you have it could you share the list? 

 

I do think you took some liberties here. By the same logic it could go the other way. They could have all been pro personnel scouts, GM's, CB's, and DE's. 

 

Scouts- Sure they are experts at college football, in that their job is to find talent at the college level that will translate to the NFL. Weird pigeon hole here. Still no votes. 

Players- Maybe I am making too many exceptions here, but a guy who is on an NFL roster has probably watched tons of NFL film on both sides of the ball. Probably as reputable a source as just about anybody. Still no votes

NFL execs- I would hope they left out the VP of communications. But sure I guess it is possible. NFL execs also include director of player personel, GM's, Assistant GM's, etc. So sure maybe ESPN reached out to the guy who executes sponsorship, advertising, and social media. Maybe they are all execs from non-football ops and that is why Allen didn't get any votes. 

Coaches- You conveniently left this part out. But, based on your commentary on possibility for NFL execs, they were all probably special assistant to the long snapper. Both offensive and defensive coaches should be pretty in tune with QB play in the league. They are either watching film to get ideas, or they are watching film to stop them. Still no votes. 

  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, dneveu said:

 

Their offense led the NFL in yardage a year ago, he threw for 5000 30/11 while completing 65% of passes.  Yes the team has good players around him, but what is the criteria here?  

 

He did not throw for 5,000 yards.  He threw for 4,900.  At it was the first time he went over 4,000.  The criteria is actually winning more than 1 playoff game.  The criteria is actually making the playoffs when you are in the worst division in football.  The criteria is winning some big games which they consistently fall short in.  The criteria is not getting absolutely smoked by the Bills on Thanksgiving day at home.  Especially when your team is absolutely LOADED on the offensive side of the ball.  He's a mid-level QB that is only able to put up those stats because of his surrounding cast, not because of his true talent level.  I'm taking 3 or 4 guys ahead of him in that secondary list. 

Edited by Mark80
Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, Gugny said:

The only oddity that sticks out to me is that Darnold got a vote.

 

Other than that, looks pretty accurate to me.

the only thing i picked up on as well.  

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Mark80 said:

 

He has also had the best offensive line in football, the best RB in football, one of the best WRs joined their team 2 seasons ago and has only made the playoffs twice in 4 years in a horrific division (especially last season) and is only 1-2 in the playoffs.  I'm sorry, that's not good enough for me and if that is where Josh is heading I'm going to be disappointed.

If Josh Allen throws for nearly 5,000 yards and accounts for 33 tds, you will disappointed???

 

good to know where the bar is set for Allen I guess.

  • Haha (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have Ryan in my top 10 and Wentz just outside looking in. Otherwise I agree pretty much exactly. Brady might be spot or two too high. I would probably put Ryan right in at #7 bump Brady down to #8 and leave Dak and Stafford where they are. 

4 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

If Josh Allen throws for nearly 5,000 yards and accounts for 33 tds, you will disappointed???

 

good to know where the bar is set for Allen I guess.

 

Of course he won't. Dak plays for the Cowboys though. So we hate on him and change the parameters each year. 

  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, hondo in seattle said:

JA, with no votes at all, wasn't even in the top half of NFL starting quarterbacks.  It's good to know, though, that games aren't played in the imaginations of a motley assembly of fifty or so NFL employees.   

 

The voters included NFL scouts.  Scouts are experts in college football.  I wonder how well they keep up with the development of professional players.

 

The voters also include NFL players.  So I wonder how much does a special teamer from the Saints know about AFCE quarterbacks.  

 

The voters also include NFL execs.  And here I wonder how much the VP of Communications in Seattle knows about Josh Allen.  

 

Just because a guy has a job in the NFL doesn't mean he has an expert, comprehensive knowledge of all the players and can accurately project their play in 2020.  

 

 

 

 

And the opposite of that POV is why some guys go to the Pro Bowl year after year.

 

As Marv used to say, "get a reputation as an early riser and you can sleep in til noon every day..."

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:

JA, with no votes at all, wasn't even in the top half of NFL starting quarterbacks.  It's good to know, though, that games aren't played in the imaginations of a motley assembly of fifty or so NFL employees.   

 

The voters included NFL scouts.  Scouts are experts in college football.  I wonder how well they keep up with the development of professional players.

 

The voters also include NFL players.  So I wonder how much does a special teamer from the Saints know about AFCE quarterbacks.  

 

The voters also include NFL execs.  And here I wonder how much the VP of Communications in Seattle knows about Josh Allen.  

 

Just because a guy has a job in the NFL doesn't mean he has an expert, comprehensive knowledge of all the players and can accurately project their play in 2020.  

 

 

 

 

I am a little surprised he got no votes. But I am not at all surprised he is not in the top 10. He simply doesn't deserve to be there. But he could be in that one vote group with Tanny and Darnold. 

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, GunnerBill said:

 

I am a little surprised he got no votes. But I am not at all surprised he is not in the top 10. He simply doesn't deserve to be there. But he could be in that one vote group with Tanny and Darnold. 

Tanny is a fraud.  Good for him for getting paid though.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There's nothing wrong with this list.  When I critique what some folks say about Allen it is not because they aren't ranking him highly enough right now...it's because they are presuming he won't continue to get better.

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, DCOrange said:

https://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/29394204/ranking-nfl-top-10-qbs-2020-follows-patrick-mahomes

 

Edit: To be clear, they're ranking QBs as they expect them to be in 2020. Not trying to project them 5 years out or anything like that (but in the case of Darnold for example, the guy that voted for him said that he expects him to take a leap this year).

 

The Top 10:

  1. Patrick Mahomes
  2. Russell Wilson
  3. Aaron Rodgers
  4. Deshaun Watson
  5. Drew Brees
  6. Lamar Jackson
  7. Tom Brady
  8. Carson Wentz
  9. Dak Prescott
  10. Matt Stafford

 

Also receiving votes:

  • Matt Ryan - 14 votes out of 50 voters
  • Ben Roethlisberger - 8 votes
  • Kyler Murray - 5 votes
  • Kirk Cousins - 2 votes
  • Jimmy Garoppolo - 2 votes
  • Derek Carr, Ryan Tannehill, Jared Goff, Sam Darnold - 1 vote each

Not a big Watson fan.  He runs around a lot.  But we had him dead to rights in both recent Bills-Texans games and pretty much gave the game away because of poor offense in both games, and a horrible defensive call on 4th and 18 in the playoff game.  He may be top 10, but just barely.  I am not sure he is any better then Ryan Tannehill.  Athletic ability is all fine and good.  But that's not what makes a great QB.  Putting Brees Lamar and Brady behind him is laughable.  And no way Wentz is in my top 10.  I wouldn't put him top 15.  Don't like his game at all.  And he is a frikin goonie Ginger on top of it all w acne on his neck.  Ugh!!  Murray Cousins Big Ben and Matty Ice are all better then Wentz.  Eagles get way too much love in the media.  

 

From the voice of the one and only Paup!!  Now back to work.  Have to make a living.  Can not wait for football to get here.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:

JA, with no votes at all, wasn't even in the top half of NFL starting quarterbacks.  It's good to know, though, that games aren't played in the imaginations of a motley assembly of fifty or so NFL employees.   

 

The voters included NFL scouts.  Scouts are experts in college football.  I wonder how well they keep up with the development of professional players.

 

The voters also include NFL players.  So I wonder how much does a special teamer from the Saints know about AFCE quarterbacks.  

 

The voters also include NFL execs.  And here I wonder how much the VP of Communications in Seattle knows about Josh Allen.  

 

Just because a guy has a job in the NFL doesn't mean he has an expert, comprehensive knowledge of all the players and can accurately project their play in 2020.  

 

 

 

Yeah, what do NFL scouts, players, and execs know about football?  If they’re so smart, why don’t they post on message boards?

Edited by Billl
  • Haha (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, berg1029 said:

I don't object to JA being left off the list.  I'm fine with him not receiving votes, because he isn't there yet.  Look at the other guys receiving votes... he just isn't on there level YET.

Allen isn't on Sam Darnold's level yet???

4 hours ago, Greg S said:

List seems pretty fair to me. Hopefully Josh can be on that list one day but right now he doesn't deserve it.

Does Darnold?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Billl said:

Yeah, what do NFL scouts, players, and execs know about football?  If they’re so smart, why don’t they post on message boards?

 

This is a fair point.  The other criticisms I received are too, as a matter of fact.  

 

But I'm still unimpressed by this poll.  Granted fifty guys working in the NFL can probably grade NFL players better than 50 random fans but I still think ESPN's anonymous panel of judges is flawed.  

 

ESPN said they asked more than "50 league executives, coaches, scouts and players" to rank players.   An "executive" could be a GM or Director of Pro Personnel.  Someone like that would be an expert.  But an executive could be the VP of HR or IT.   We don't know what execs ESPN talked to.  

 

Even coaches may not be great overall evaluators of NFL talent.   How much does the Assistant RB Coach in San Francisco study AFC quarterbacks?

 

I don't necessarily trust ESPN to put together a group of fifty fully qualified personnel experts.  I think they probably got whatever fifty NFL-connected people they could convince to do the poll.  

 

We all know JA took a big step forward from Year 1 to Year 2.  If he takes a similar step forward again this year, he'll be a Top 10 or 15 QB.  If he doesn't step up, we're in trouble.  No one - certainly not a nameless ESPN panel of random NFL employees - knows whether or not JA will improve this year or by how much.  All we can do is hope for the best.  

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said:

Allen isn't on Sam Darnold's level yet???

 

8 hours ago, berg1029 said:

Arguably, some of those that received votes as being in the top 10 probably shouldn't have.  I mean.. Sam Darnold and Tannehill, really?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, Mark80 said:

 

He has also had the best offensive line in football, the best RB in football, one of the best WRs joined their team 2 seasons ago and has only made the playoffs twice in 4 years in a horrific division (especially last season) and is only 1-2 in the playoffs.  I'm sorry, that's not good enough for me and if that is where Josh is heading I'm going to be disappointed.

 

He also had Jason Garrett as his HC. 

 

The Cowboys should operate through Zeke, not bank on Dak to carry them to glory.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Watson ahead of Brees. 

 

LOL

9 hours ago, Mark80 said:

 

He has also had the best offensive line in football, the best RB in football, one of the best WRs joined their team 2 seasons ago and has only made the playoffs twice in 4 years in a horrific division (especially last season) and is only 1-2 in the playoffs.  I'm sorry, that's not good enough for me and if that is where Josh is heading I'm going to be disappointed.

 

 

Wait...what??  LOL. Cooper??

Link to comment
Share on other sites

32 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:

Watson ahead of Brees. 

 

LOL

 

 

Wait...what??  LOL. Cooper??

 

Uh...yeah.  3 of 4 years over 1,000 yards.  And he even had David Carr as his QB for 2.5 of those years.  Yeah, I'd say he's a top tier WR.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...