mrags Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 Can someone who’s already done the leg work tell me is there a way that we make the playoffs as Div champs and Miami doesn’t make it in at all? I’m assuming they need to lose out as well as some help. But I’m not sure if that help screws us out of ranking. Just curious if someone has done this scenario yet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, mrags said: Can someone who’s already done the leg work tell me is there a way that we make the playoffs as Div champs and Miami doesn’t make it in at all? I’m assuming they need to lose out as well as some help. But I’m not sure if that help screws us out of ranking. Just curious if someone has done this scenario yet? Miami would have to lose all 3 for that to happen but even if it does they still have a good chance of the 7 seed. Miami clinches a playoff birth win any win in the next 3 games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrags Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, Big Turk said: Miami would have to lose all 3 for that to happen but even if it does they still have a good chance of the 7 seed. Miami clinches a playoff birth win any win in the next 3 games. Thank you. So lose all 3 and help. Any clue who they are in major contention with regarding ties, etc? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aussie Joe Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Miami only game to go against them so far this week … disappointing… but will gladly still take it .. and hope the Ravens win next week 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrags Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 16 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said: Miami only game to go against them so far this week … disappointing… but will gladly still take it .. and hope the Ravens win next week 3 out of 4 games so far today going our way. Can’t hate it. Miamis loss was always more likely against the Ravens anyway. We’ve done what we needed to do so far and got some help. Can’t be mad at it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Generic_Bills_Fan Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 1 hour ago, mrags said: Can someone who’s already done the leg work tell me is there a way that we make the playoffs as Div champs and Miami doesn’t make it in at all? I’m assuming they need to lose out as well as some help. But I’m not sure if that help screws us out of ranking. Just curious if someone has done this scenario yet? There was until their win tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GETTOTHE50 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Any chance the bills clinch a wildcard next week with a win? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Generic_Bills_Fan Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 6 hours ago, Playoffs? said: Weird thought… but if Miami beats Dallas and Baltimore, they take the division, and the Bills/Fins game won’t matter for that purpose. Wonder if Miami would sit their starters? If the Bills beat the Pats, and Miami plays backups, it almost ensures that we get in as an 11-6 wildcard… and it keeps Miami healthy for playoffs. But suppose it could matter for overall playoff seeding for Miami too.. they’d need kc to lose to be able to have the bills game meaningless since kc has the head to head Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Einstein Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 (edited) 8 minutes ago, GETTOTHE50 said: Any chance the bills clinch a wildcard next week with a win? If NE beats Denver tonight, then… Bills win Chiefs win (Cin) Seahawks win (Pitt) Edited December 25, 2023 by Einstein 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logic Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, GETTOTHE50 said: Any chance the bills clinch a wildcard next week with a win? Yes. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Generic_Bills_Fan Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, GETTOTHE50 said: Any chance the bills clinch a wildcard next week with a win? I believe so but we need to go pretty much perfect with opponents losing again Broncos lose tonight Three of Colts jags bengals Texans lose next week is one way. I think a broncos loss next week can substitute some of those losses too 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Two posts above mine both saying different things Anyone know which is right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billieve420 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 (edited) Hopefully this was the Dolphins Super Bowl and they come out flat next week in tough matchup on the road. Edited December 25, 2023 by billieve420 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HappyDays Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 6 minutes ago, GETTOTHE50 said: Any chance the bills clinch a wildcard next week with a win? Yes. We need 4 of the Bengals, Jaguars, Colts, Texans, Steelers, and Broncos to lose 1 game (and that includes the Broncos game tonight). If that happens by the end of next week and we beat the Patriots, we'll have clinched a playoff spot. If the Colts and Texans both lose next week (against the Raiders and Titans respectively), we only need 1 other team out of that list to lose and in that scenario we also clinch a playoff spot next week (since the Colts and Texans play each other in week 18 so that would guarantee the 4th loss we need). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Generic_Bills_Fan Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Process said: Two posts above mine both saying different things Anyone know which is right? I think there’s a bunch of different options to clinch next week should a handful of opponents lose so you might not get the same answer from everybody the bottom post is similar but doesn’t assume a Denver loss this week Edited December 25, 2023 by Generic_Bills_Fan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Einstein Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Logic said: Yes. Kevin is assuming Denver wins tonight… If NE beats Denver, then… Bills win Chiefs win (Cin) Seahawks win (Pitt) If Denver beats NE, then… Bills win Chiefs win (Cin) Seahawks win (Pitt) Chargers win (Den) . Edited December 25, 2023 by Einstein Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amaru523 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 Doing some playoff machine stuff, it looks like a Bills-Dolphins 1st round playoff matchup is very possible. The Bills win out and the Fins beat Baltimore, its in Miami, Bills win out, Fins lose to Baltimore, it's in Buffalo. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HappyDays Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, HappyDays said: Yes. We need 4 of the Bengals, Jaguars, Colts, Texans, Steelers, and Broncos to lose 1 game (and that includes the Broncos game tonight). If that happens by the end of next week and we beat the Patriots, we'll have clinched a playoff spot. If the Colts and Texans both lose next week (against the Raiders and Titans respectively), we only need 1 other team out of that list to lose and in that scenario we also clinch a playoff spot next week (since the Colts and Texans play each other in week 18 so that would guarantee the 4th loss we need). Actually I just realized it's a little easier than this. If 3 of the Bengals, Steelers, Broncos, and Jaguars lose 1 game by the end of next week we would also clinch a spot. So there's a couple paths to us clinching a spot next week. The Colts and Texans games next week only really matter if both of them lose. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, Einstein said: Kevin is assuming Denver wins tonight… If NE beats Denver, then… Bills win Chiefs win (Cin) Seahawks win (Pitt) If Denver beats NE, then… Bills win Chiefs win (Cin) Seahawks win (Pitt) Chargers win (Den) . But isn't he saying we would need 3 of those things to occur (just chiefs and Seahawks wouldn't be enough)? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beast Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 (edited) ****Correct me if I’m wrong****** If two of the Jaguars, Texans or Colts lose one and both the Bengals and Steelers lose 1, we get in at 10-7. Jaguars: Carolina @Tennessee Indy: Las Vegas, Houston Houston: Tennessee @Indy Cincinnati: @Kansas City, Cleveland Pittsburgh: @Seattle, @Baltimore Denver: New England, Chargers, @ Raiders Based on schedule alone, I think the following happens... Jaguars win out- 10-7 (win division) Indy splits. Loses to Houston with Stroud. 9-8 Houston wins out. 10-7 Cincinnati loses out.- 8-9 Pittsburgh loses out- 8-9 Denver wins out- 10-7 Bills need to win out in that scenario. Edited December 25, 2023 by Beast Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Einstein Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Process said: But isn't he saying we would need 3 of those things to occur (just chiefs and Seahawks wouldn't be enough)? His scenario is if Denver wins tonight. If Denver loses tonight, only the Chiefs and Seahawks would be enough. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warcodered Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, Amaru523 said: Doing some playoff machine stuff, it looks like a Bills-Dolphins 1st round playoff matchup is very possible. The Bills win out and the Fins beat Baltimore, its in Miami, Bills win out, Fins lose to Baltimore, it's in Buffalo. I mean sure, but even the NFL has to think that's a little repetitive since it literally happened last season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billsfan89 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 16 minutes ago, Einstein said: If NE beats Denver tonight, then… Bills win Chiefs win (Cin) Seahawks win (Pitt) Amazing, just have to hope things break the Bills way! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Generic_Bills_Fan Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, Amaru523 said: Doing some playoff machine stuff, it looks like a Bills-Dolphins 1st round playoff matchup is very possible. The Bills win out and the Fins beat Baltimore, its in Miami, Bills win out, Fins lose to Baltimore, it's in Buffalo. Also if the bills lose to the dolphins and the dolphins are the 3 seed we’d probably see them too lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Einstein Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said: Also if the bills lose to the dolphins and the dolphins are the 3 seed we’d probably see them too lol I am firmly in the camp that if we don’t win these last two games, we don’t deserve the playoffs. There is no excuse to being swept by a 3-11 Patriots team, and I don’t think the Dolphins are good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gonzo1105 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 So Trevor Lawrence has a High Ankle Sprain, a concussion and a shoulder injury the last 3 weeks. They could be in very big trouble. The unfortunate side is they are playing the Panthers next week. Could the Panthers pull it out against a Trevor Lawrence less Jaguars team. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrentEdwardsCheckDownOn4th Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 If New England wins tonight the NYT playoff simulator says the bills are 95% to make the playoffs at 10-7. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Generic_Bills_Fan Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 8 minutes ago, gonzo1105 said: So Trevor Lawrence has a High Ankle Sprain, a concussion and a shoulder injury the last 3 weeks. They could be in very big trouble. The unfortunate side is they are playing the Panthers next week. Could the Panthers pull it out against a Trevor Lawrence less Jaguars team. Panthers looked pretty good today 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That's No Moon Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, TrentEdwardsCheckDownOn4th said: If New England wins tonight the NYT playoff simulator says the bills are 95% to make the playoffs at 10-7. Apart from Dallas soiling themselves we had a GREAT day today. Patriots would be gravy at this point. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaBillsJunkie Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 (edited) 6 minutes ago, That's No Moon said: Apart from Dallas soiling themselves we had a GREAT day today. Patriots would be gravy at this point. Agreed. Everything went our way, especially ATL taking down Indy, which was unexpected. Best scenario is we win out. But this is exactly what the NFL wants on the last week of the season. 11 teams in the AFC with a shot and it looks like there could be 11 teams in the NFC with a shot. Fans of 22 teams going ape sh^t on the final week the season. That $$$$$$$ and that's what matters to the NFL. Edited December 25, 2023 by TampaBillsJunkie 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Einstein Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 11 minutes ago, TrentEdwardsCheckDownOn4th said: If New England wins tonight the NYT playoff simulator says the bills are 95% to make the playoffs at 10-7. If we can’t beat Miami (we can), what’s the point in even making the playoffs? 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bills fan since 87 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, Einstein said: If we can’t beat Miami (we can), what’s the point in even making the playoffs? Because we might beat them the next time (if we even face them) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giuseppe Tognarelli Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amaru523 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 15 minutes ago, Warcodered said: I mean sure, but even the NFL has to think that's a little repetitive since it literally happened last season. I've been trying different scenarios and all I can realistically come up with is, Bills-Fish, Bills-Chiefs, or no playoffs. Unless there's some major upsets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrags Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 9 minutes ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said: This breaks it down the best and easiest to follow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kkim0904 Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 41 minutes ago, TrentEdwardsCheckDownOn4th said: If New England wins tonight the NYT playoff simulator says the bills are 95% to make the playoffs at 10-7. Go Patriots. Go JETS.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Einstein Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 28 minutes ago, Bills fan since 87 said: Because we might beat them the next time (if we even face them) The following week!? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo_Stampede Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 (edited) I still don’t like our chances, sorry guys. If we get in we’ll do damage but I think Miami will eliminate us. 50 minutes ago, TrentEdwardsCheckDownOn4th said: If New England wins tonight the NYT playoff simulator says the bills are 95% to make the playoffs at 10-7. NYT simulator doesn’t know what it’s doing because NE isn’t winning tonight. Edited December 25, 2023 by Buffalo_Stampede 2 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Einstein Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 18 minutes ago, mrags said: This breaks it down the best and easiest to follow. Easiest to follow and also wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giuseppe Tognarelli Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 10 minutes ago, Einstein said: Easiest to follow and also wrong. What's wrong about it? There is also a Jacksonville scenario, but I didn't have room in the tweet to include it. Everything in the tweet is correct, although it is not the ONLY clinching scenario Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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