YoloinOhio Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 (edited) Jay Skurski @JaySkurski 17m17 minutes ago The #Bills' Super Bowl odds have improved since free agency opened from 66-1 to 33-1, according to @BovadaLV. Edited March 16, 2015 by YoloinOhio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eball Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 Nitpicky, I know, but wouldn't that mean the odds are down rather than up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 Nitpicky, I know, but wouldn't that mean the odds are down rather than up? Yep. But chances of us winning the Super Bowl are UP ! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YoloinOhio Posted March 16, 2015 Author Share Posted March 16, 2015 Nitpicky, I know, but wouldn't that mean the odds are down rather than up? I saw "improved" and thought odds are "up." Just changed it to say neither up nor down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 Bad thing for Bills fan gamblers though (unless they already jumped on the 66-1 ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perk71 Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 Dang it! I am in Vegas on the 27th this month when I will be putting in my yearly bet. Oh well, I just want them to win regardless! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uffalo Ills Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurlyBurly51 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Are these the best odds since the 90's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 weeks ago it was 75-1, last week after the Shady signing 45-1. now 33-1? Early 2016 Super Bowl 50 Odds For Next Season http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_futures_odds.shtml +$7,500 (75 to 1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seasons1992 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 I got them at 40-1 in the Venetian on 1/20/15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 I got them at 40-1 in the Venetian on 1/20/15. With all that has happened after that, man you would be sitting pretty if the Bills had a QB! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevestojan Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 I got them at 40-1 in the Venetian on 1/20/15. Me too. My wife had a trip to Vegas and did the same for me (at the Venetian, in January). At the time, the "websites" had 75:1. She called to ask "is this still ok?" Gotta love her So I'm not sure where you find the 300:1 Panthers, etc. But I'm glad my 40:1 is now actually better than the "real" current line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Pegula must have put another billion on them to cut the line in half like that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sir andrew Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 CHAMPIONSHIP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metzelaars_lives Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 weeks ago it was 75-1, last week after the Shady signing 45-1. now 33-1? Early 2016 Super Bowl 50 Odds For Next Season http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_futures_odds.shtml +$7,500 (75 to 1) There is no such thing as universal "odds." Every sports book has their own odds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 (edited) There is no such thing as universal "odds." Every sports book has their own odds. yes the odds differ sit to site, I posted what I saw from The Wiz @ 75%, then I went and found a site to back it up. the odds are getting better. now the team has to execute Edited March 17, 2015 by BillsFan-4-Ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prissythecat Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 I wonder if the current odds represent some averaging based on possible QB scenarios. For instance, is there a differential if Cassel or Tyrod were to start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdog1960 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 for all of you that have made this bet regularly, how long has it been since the odds to win were this low? last timer i bought a ticket was prolly 10 years ago and i got 200:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luxy312 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 (edited) For comparative purposes last season folks, the Bills were 100-1 odds to win the Superbowl before free agency last year and fell to 150-1 after the preseason was over. There were only 12 teams that had better than 33-1 odds to win it all by the time the regular season started. The money is clearly seeing this team make improvements. Edited for Birdog's comments: I've made this bet regularly for close to 20 years. Edited March 17, 2015 by Luxy312 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevestojan Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 for all of you that have made this bet regularly, how long has it been since the odds to win were this low? last timer i bought a ticket was prolly 10 years ago and i got 200:1. Dont remember seing 33:1 in the last decade, minimum. It is likely since 98, but I'm not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hondo in seattle Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 I'm not a bettor so maybe someone can explain this. The Bills are now at 33-1. Considering there are 32 teams, the Bills now have an almost perfectly average chance of winning the SB. If every team were equal, every team would have 32-1 odds. Well the Bills were already an above average team last year - we finished 9-7 after all. And our off-season moves only made us better. So shouldn't our odds be better than 33-1? Granted 33-1 is better than the 75-1 earlier this year and the 200-1 we've seen in previous years. But I still think we're somewhat better than 33-1. Maybe I should place a bet on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jauronimo Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 (edited) These odds are even better than they were on January 29, 1994. I like it! Edited March 17, 2015 by Jauronimo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrivefourfive Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 I'm not a bettor so maybe someone can explain this. The Bills are now at 33-1. Considering there are 32 teams, the Bills now have an almost perfectly average chance of winning the SB. If every team were equal, every team would have 32-1 odds. Well the Bills were already an above average team last year - we finished 9-7 after all. And our off-season moves only made us better. So shouldn't our odds be better than 33-1? Granted 33-1 is better than the 75-1 earlier this year and the 200-1 we've seen in previous years. But I still think we're somewhat better than 33-1. Maybe I should place a bet on us. Super teams make the odds of the other good teams greater. A horse that goes off at 1-9 creates more long shots in the field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdog1960 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 I'm not a bettor so maybe someone can explain this. The Bills are now at 33-1. Considering there are 32 teams, the Bills now have an almost perfectly average chance of winning the SB. If every team were equal, every team would have 32-1 odds. Well the Bills were already an above average team last year - we finished 9-7 after all. And our off-season moves only made us better. So shouldn't our odds be better than 33-1? Granted 33-1 is better than the 75-1 earlier this year and the 200-1 we've seen in previous years. But I still think we're somewhat better than 33-1. Maybe I should place a bet on us. every year there are at least a dozen teams with no realistic chance of winning a sb. we've been one of those teams for almost 20 years. we all know that the concentration of talent and top coaches is not even close to equivalent throughout the league so arguing 32 teams and 32 to 1 odds is false and flawed logic. it's really among the top 12 teams or so as was said earlier although there have been some outliers. as i recall, the giants were pretty big outliers the year of wide right. anyway, i'm not sure 33:1 for the bills this year is a stellar bet based on probabilities but i'll likely make it based on pride and optimism. very happy to see it. on the flip side, it took pegula 1 year to reach this point. doesn't say much for our beloved previous owner's will to win. if he really wanted it, he coulda done it too. oh well, i'll try to look ahead and not behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Bad news, guys. Schefter just reported that after we restructured and kept Urbik, our odds plummeted to 1 million: 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maddenboy Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 (edited) For comparative purposes last season folks, the Bills were 100-1 odds to win the Superbowl before free agency last year and fell to 150-1 after the preseason was over. There were only 12 teams that had better than 33-1 odds to win it all by the time the regular season started. The money is clearly seeing this team make improvements. Edited for Birdog's comments: I've made this bet regularly for close to 20 years. I got the Bills for 50-1 right before we signed Orton, in early October, at MGM Grand. I bought it because I thought the line would drop after we signed Orton. But it didnt. But it should have. (it was the first time I ever made a sports bet in a casino, and I've been in casinos since the late 90s.) Edited March 17, 2015 by maddenboy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Cocktosten Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Can I bet the field? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leroi Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Odds are still are not in our favor. I wonder what they change to if we get a starting QB in here?? Imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdog1960 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Odds are still are not in our favor. I wonder what they change to if we get a starting QB in here?? Imo "may the odds be always in your favor" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dezertbill Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 the link below has them at 50-1 https://www.sportsbook.ag/sbk/sportsbook4/nfl-betting/2016-nfl-futures-2016-super-bowl-50.sbk Your probably gonna get your best lines from internet sites. Most casinos aren't the best value. Westgate, Soutpoint, and a few other smaller casinos have the best odds locally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdog1960 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 the link below has them at 50-1 https://www.sportsbook.ag/sbk/sportsbook4/nfl-betting/2016-nfl-futures-2016-super-bowl-50.sbk Your probably gonna get your best lines from internet sites. Most casinos aren't the best value. Westgate, Soutpoint, and a few other smaller casinos have the best odds locally thanks for bursting the bubble. that implies many mediocre teams and a very few very bad ones and very good ones. seems to me there were more at the top and bottom and fewer in the middle previously. agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 (edited) Odds are still are not in our favor. I wonder what they change to if we get a starting QB in here?? Imo I'll let you know after they cut or trade EJ. How's that coming by the way? Edited March 18, 2015 by BillsFan-4-Ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
papazoid Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 NFL Power Rankings #17 - Buffalo Bills It's hard not to be fired up for Bills football in 2015. Love the LeSean McCoy acquisition. Love re-signing Jerry Hughes. How about adding a true fullback in Jerome Felton, too? Yep, Rex Ryan is fired up. That is, following the good six-hour cry he had after hearing Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie signed with the Jets. That must be like your ex-fiancée deciding she wants to get married after you cancelled a $100,000 wedding. Not that I know anyone like that. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000479557/article/nfl-power-rankings-seahawks-rise-above-super-bowl-champs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 (edited) 17 sounds somewhat close to what I expected. If the Bills 1st (before the trade) would have been 19th - 19.Cleveland Browns (from Buffalo) which ia actuall 14th "best" team in the NFL. so IMO they are ranked 3 spots too low. the Iggles still at 11 after being torn down and pieced back together Edited March 18, 2015 by BillsFan-4-Ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K-No Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Ummm...not seeing anything to get excited about, only 2 teams have worse odds. Just saying.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strive_for_five_guy Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I'm not a bettor so maybe someone can explain this. The Bills are now at 33-1. Considering there are 32 teams, the Bills now have an almost perfectly average chance of winning the SB. If every team were equal, every team would have 32-1 odds. Well the Bills were already an above average team last year - we finished 9-7 after all. And our off-season moves only made us better. So shouldn't our odds be better than 33-1? Granted 33-1 is better than the 75-1 earlier this year and the 200-1 we've seen in previous years. But I still think we're somewhat better than 33-1. Maybe I should place a bet on us. Also, the house had to build in margin for themselves. Even if every team were equal, the odds offered on each would be something higher like 40-1. The theory being bets would be evenly placed across all teams and the house makes money no matter who wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevestojan Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Ummm...not seeing anything to get excited about, only 2 teams have worse odds. Just saying.. The site I use (which still shows the Bills at 50:1), has us "better" than: Bears, Browns, Jags, Vikings, Raiders, Bucs, Titans, and Skins; and us "tied" with: Texans, Saints, Chargers, and 49ers Again, the site I use has us still at 50:1, so that's likely even more teams we have better odds than. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4merper4mer Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 If all teams were equal they would be 31-1, not 32-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 Can I bet the field? Sure, if you drop a million or two for the chance at a $75 payday. Vegas will always find a way to give people what they want! They aim to please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billsfan89 Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Probably after the Clay signing, other possible depth additions, and the draft the team will be somewhere in the range of 30-28 to 1. Not bad odds for a team with one of the worst QB situations in the NFL. Shows the strength of the overall roster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts