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The Bills can still win the #1 seed in AFC


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It sound crazy, but with a win over the Ravens next weekend, and with a Pats having to go to Houston and play a Chiefs team in need of a win, the Bills could win the AFC #1 seed at 13-3.  Go Bills. 

Edited by FUTURIST
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1 minute ago, FUTURIST said:

It sound crazy, but with a win over the Ravens next weekend, and with a Pats having to go to Houston and play a Chiefs team in need of a win, the Bills could win the AFC #1 seed at 13-3.  Go Bills. 

If the bills win out, there is something like a 42% chance of them being the 1 seed. It all hinges on how well the Pats do

 

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6 minutes ago, FUTURIST said:

It sound crazy, but with a win over the Ravens next weekend, and with a Pats having to go to Houston and play a Chiefs team in need of a win, the Bills could win the AFC #1 seed at 13-3.  Go Bills. 

 

I feel like a while ago, perhaps a long time ago, the Bills had the #1 seed with a 13-3 record.   I recall good things that year.  This year, lets win the last one also! 

 

 

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Just now, ganesh said:

One game at a time and One Month at  time....

 

3-1 in 1st Quarter

6-2 in 2nd Quarter

9-3 in 3rd  Quarter

 

Consistent football....can we say 12-4 ?  

 

we do we lose to?  I think the Ravens are the toughest team left.  But we have them at home with the 12th man :)

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FOR DIVISION 

 

Bills win out and one of the following need to ioccur

 

1. New England lose to miami tiebreaker  division record 

2. New England loses 2 other games...better record 13-3 to 12-4

3 NE lose to Cincinnati...tiebreaker conference record 

 

if NE splits HOU and KC then buffalo beats thrm, NE still has better common games record if they are tied at  12-3 going into week 17

 

 

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Not likely but possible. Whether it's for the division championship or not the Bills have a good chance of beating the Pats when they next meet. Not taking anything away from the Pats D but Allen had a horrendous game the last time and the Bills otherwise clearly outplayed them. NE won't be facing the same QB or O the next time and I think the Bills have a real shot at shutting Brady down. It's a pretty even matchup IMO even playing in Foxborough. Plus the Bills are the team on the rise. Tom not so much.

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1 hour ago, FUTURIST said:

It sound crazy, but with a win over the Ravens next weekend, and with a Pats having to go to Houston and play a Chiefs team in need of a win, the Bills could win the AFC #1 seed at 13-3.  Go Bills. 

 

You sound like some sort of futuristic thinker.........

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47 minutes ago, djp14150 said:

FOR DIVISION 

 

Bills win out and one of the following need to ioccur

 

1. New England lose to miami tiebreaker  division record 

2. New England loses 2 other games...better record 13-3 to 12-4

3 NE lose to Cincinnati...tiebreaker conference record 

 

if NE splits HOU and KC then buffalo beats thrm, NE still has better common games record if they are tied at  12-3 going into week 17

 

 


does conference record matter if the two teams are tied?

 

IF (big if) the bills win out and the pats lose to either the Texans or Chiefs and the Bills, the Pats would have three conference losses and the Bills would only have 2. 
 

EDIT: just checked, it’s the 4th tiebreaker so you’re right, we’d need the pats to lose three more and the bills to win out. Tall task indeed. 

Edited by dubs
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21 hours ago, dubs said:


does conference record matter if the two teams are tied?

 

IF (big if) the bills win out and the pats lose to either the Texans or Chiefs and the Bills, the Pats would have three conference losses and the Bills would only have 2. 
 

EDIT: just checked, it’s the 4th tiebreaker so you’re right, we’d need the pats to lose three more and the bills to win out. Tall task indeed. 

 

 

They dont need to lose 3 more..they lose to us and to Cincinnati or Miami.   But odds are better that they lose to hou and kc.

 

both hou and kc have incentives with battling for byes and seeding

 

if kc and hou win out they will be 12-4, if  buffalo beats NE as well, but doesn’t win the division, there coukd be a bunch of teams at 12-4 and NE loses 1 seed.

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40 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:

How awesome is it that we are talking about backing into a division winner instead of talking about how we need to win out the last 6 games and have 3 different teams lose specific games?

I never buy the "backing in" logic.  If you get in/win based on the established rules, you did not back in, you won.  This is a back handed way to diminish an accomplishment. 

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23 hours ago, djp14150 said:

FOR DIVISION 

 

Bills win out and one of the following need to ioccur

 

1. New England lose to miami tiebreaker  division record 

2. New England loses 2 other games...better record 13-3 to 12-4

3 NE lose to Cincinnati...tiebreaker conference record 

 

if NE splits HOU and KC then buffalo beats thrm, NE still has better common games record if they are tied at  12-3 going into week 17

 

 

So it’s basically almost impossible. Besides the Bills winning out (and beating the two best teams in the AFC in the process), NE needs to lose to one of the two worst teams in the conference as well.

 

But I’ll tell you what, if the Bills actually win out then they have a change to win a championship even as a wild card.

Edited by vincec
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On 11/28/2019 at 8:11 PM, RyanC883 said:

 

we do we lose to?  I think the Ravens are the toughest team left.  But we have them at home with the 12th man :)

 

We have proven that on any given game day ANY team in the NFL case present very real problems for us. We seem to be improving, as we’d hope especially on offense, but we could lose to any and every team left on the schedule. I’m not getting ahead of things here. Stay humble and pray for the best. 

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On 11/28/2019 at 8:15 PM, FUTURIST said:

 

The #1 seed in the AFC is not nonsense when you have Baltimore at home and the Patriots looks VERY beatable.  

 

The Bills have to win out and the Pats have to drop an additional game besides losing to us.  Not a likely scenario.

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On 11/28/2019 at 9:05 PM, djp14150 said:

FOR DIVISION 

 

Bills win out and one of the following need to ioccur

 

1. New England lose to miami tiebreaker  division record 

2. New England loses 2 other games...better record 13-3 to 12-4

3 NE lose to Cincinnati...tiebreaker conference record 

 

if NE splits HOU and KC then buffalo beats thrm, NE still has better common games record if they are tied at  12-3 going into week 17

 

 

Winning out and winning the division would be a glorious scenario that not only has the Bills winning the division, but also home field for the playoffs.  Go Bills!

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