Watkins101

Isn’t that just how the draft works already? Why even do Comp picks at that point.

Yeah, but just to sell it probably.

It depends on a number of things, including play time and pro bowl selections. If the player played less than 75% of the offensive snaps for 2 seasons and less than 50% for the 3 seasons, it’d be the average of the 3rd-25th highest paid RBs over the last 5 years. If they played 75% or more snaps, it’s the average of the 3rd-20th paid RBs over the last 5 years. I didn’t do the actual average of these numbers, If they made a pro bowl, they’d get the transition tag equivalent (just under 10 mil). If they were selected for multiple pro bowls, it’s the equivalent of the franchise tag (~12 mil for Rbs). These pro bowls only count if they were the original selection, not alternates. Najee Harris went to one probowl, but was not the original selection, so he qualifies only for the playing time. His salary on the 5th year option would have been 6.79 million, which would have made him the 12th highest paid RB.

Samuel was paid about twice as much as Harty was, and at a longer contract. He wasn’t a Harty replacement, he was brought in to help mitigate the loss of Davis and Diggs. Beane likely already was planning on moving Diggs at the time of the signing. Ultimately, blaming Diggs for the state of the Wr room is silly. Beane is the one in control of the situation. He brought in Diggs, while knowing there were some character concerns/issues with teammates in Minnesota. He built the recieving room so blaming it on one player is ridiculous when it was him who brought the player in. It’s one thing if there was an unexpected suspension of your #1, then you could blame it on the player, but Beane is the one that holds the cards here. If Diggs was an issue, he should have addressed the issue more by bringing in replacements.

I keep seeing people comparing fans’ reactions to the Coleman pick to the wrong Josh outcry when Allen was drafted. This seems utterly ridiculous to me, as their situations are pretty far apart. Josh Allen was as boom-or-bust of a prospect as they come. He was most likely to either be a star or a complete waste of a pick, and there was unlikely to be any Inbetween. Whereas Coleman, his ceiling according to most is a 2, and his floor is a depth receiver, a red zone threat with good hands, but not enough impact in the middle of the field to be a starter. Really am not seeing the comparison at all.

Doubt the plan would’ve involved both Coleman and Samuel if Diggs was still around.

Good, we needed some IOL depth.

Another good example (albeit a bit different) is DK Metcalf. He was very highly touted by draft pundits and some had him going in the top 10. He fell to the bottom of the second where he was taken by the Seahawks. I’m a re-draft he’d likely go top 10, if not too 15.

Starting to get into the potential trade up zone here.

I think the idea is that we didn’t trade down again because NE wanted him.

Good, McDermott can maximize value with Dbs taken in the 5th-7th. I’d much rather bring in another receiver or some DL help early.

6 NFL tight ends outproduced Dawson and Dalton Combined last year. Sure, Kincaid could take another step next year and this could become true, but right now, it is definitely not the case. Baltimore also has Flowers and Likely, which defeats the argument for Dawson Knox being the best #2 in the league.

It’s definitely still possible. Beane could have viewed the trade as moving down 1 pick, and only losing the 5th year option, in exchange for later moving from 95 to ~85.

Doubt it. Beane likes to trade up in the 2nd-4th. I’d guess we end up with 2 5ths.

Your grading seems a little arbitrary to me. For example, Mike Williams has ++ despite Juju Smirth Schuster having more catches and touchdowns in the same career length. Cortland Sutton is also on pace to pass Mike Williams. Michael Thomas only a +? Despite being a top 3 receiver the first 4 years of his career.

Remember when Robert Foster had over 500 yards the final 8 games of the season, and everybody here was saying he was gonna be a 1/2? Kinda feels like that with all the hype Shakir is getting.

I doubt it. Milano is a difference maker sure and Bernard certainly would have been a help. Tre however, had been a non-factor since his ACL tear. The defense may have played better with them in the lineup, but without them they were allowing 7.7 yards per play against the chiefs. I don’t think adding them in does enough to stop the chiefs.

To be fair, having more articles about how broken Diggs’ relationship with the team was would not help his trade value.

Not sad at all about safety, there’s better positions to spend firsts on, there’s usually only one or two safeties that go in the first.

I think a lot of fans are overvaluing him based on his later season production. We’ve seen this before with Multiple different recievers. Robert Foster in 2018 had ~500 yards in the final 8 games and fans thought he could be a 1b/2 receiver, instead he didn’t even reach 100 yards the next year. Gabe Davis had the huge Chiefs game and fans thought he’d be a great 1b (that could be a #1 on many teams). The next season, the discussion was whether he was good enough to be a 2. I think he is a great 4 Wr who has a good chance at being a good 3 Wr. I think he can get 300-600 yards and be a decent weapon. If we don’t draft/sign a 2 and/or 3 he may get more production in the regular season, but come playoff time our offense will suffer. (Unless Kincaid turns into Kelce)

The Chief’s only regulation TD was less than 20 yards off a turnover. The 49ers defense had 2 turnovers, 3 sacks, forced 5 punts and allowed 19 regulation points. This is a defense that was key to bringing the 49ers to the superbowl. Meanwhile, the Bills had 1 turnover, 0 sacks, and forced 1 punt while allowing 27 points. The 49ers allowed an average of 5.8 yards per play, meanwhile the Bills allowed 7.7. How does Sean McDermott still have a job when he was leading the Bills defense?

I don’t think that it’s inexcusable, there’s pros and cons to recieving or deferring. Deferring, you have more information so you know if you need to go for it on 4th down or not. However, if you were to both score a touchdown or a field goal, then going first gives you a big advantage as whoever scores next would win.

This wasn’t really mistake free football for the Chiefs, they had a pair of turnovers last night. In the last 3 seasons, the Bills have had 6 playoff games and had a total of 4 turnovers in the playoffs. 3 of those were in a Dolphin’s game that I would hardly call a “big game”. The Chiefs had more turnovers in that one game than the Bills have had in their last 3 playoff losses combined. The bigger difference is the Chiefs defense doesn’t just get ran through in the playoffs against a good offense. Our Dline disappears and we don’t get any semblance of pressure, and the secondary already struggles to cover elite weapons such as Kelce, Hill, or Chase. In the Bills’ last two losses to the Chiefs in the playoffs, the Chiefs averaged 7.6 and 7.7 yards per play. The Bengals loss was a more reasonable 5.8, but that is still not a number that indicates the defense is doing its job. Sure, we could say that we lost because of Bass’ mistake, but that seems pretty silly considering the Chiefs still has nearly 2 minutes left and we’re averaging 7.7 Yards per play. The Bills couldn’t even get the Chiefs to third down when they knew they were running, little to no chance we stop the Chiefs from getting a field goal. You could also blame the offense for barely not getting that touchdown, whether it be Diggs dropping the pass, Allen not taking the safer option, or The oline for allowing the pressure, but if you’re calling that much a mistake, the Chiefs clearly made plenty last night (2 turnovers and a few sacks). Difference is, they have a defense that doesn’t just fold, and made up for the turnovers by forcing 3 and outs. They don’t allow 13 seconds to happen. In this Postseason, of any of the Chief’s opponents, the Bills scored the most and allowed the most points to the Chiefs. You say the Bills make mistakes in big games, and the Chiefs don’t but I disagree. Both teams make mistakes for sure, but the bigger difference between the two is that the Bills’ defense disappears in big games, the Chiefs’ doesn’t.

Why, so he can play 2 games for us?

Our offense turns it up. Our defense leaves a lot to be desired. 7.7 yards per play is nowhere. Lose to good enough.