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Watkins101

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Everything posted by Watkins101

  1. I think a lot of fans are overvaluing him based on his later season production. We’ve seen this before with Multiple different recievers. Robert Foster in 2018 had ~500 yards in the final 8 games and fans thought he could be a 1b/2 receiver, instead he didn’t even reach 100 yards the next year. Gabe Davis had the huge Chiefs game and fans thought he’d be a great 1b (that could be a #1 on many teams). The next season, the discussion was whether he was good enough to be a 2. I think he is a great 4 Wr who has a good chance at being a good 3 Wr. I think he can get 300-600 yards and be a decent weapon. If we don’t draft/sign a 2 and/or 3 he may get more production in the regular season, but come playoff time our offense will suffer. (Unless Kincaid turns into Kelce)
  2. The Chief’s only regulation TD was less than 20 yards off a turnover. The 49ers defense had 2 turnovers, 3 sacks, forced 5 punts and allowed 19 regulation points. This is a defense that was key to bringing the 49ers to the superbowl. Meanwhile, the Bills had 1 turnover, 0 sacks, and forced 1 punt while allowing 27 points. The 49ers allowed an average of 5.8 yards per play, meanwhile the Bills allowed 7.7. How does Sean McDermott still have a job when he was leading the Bills defense?
  3. I don’t think that it’s inexcusable, there’s pros and cons to recieving or deferring. Deferring, you have more information so you know if you need to go for it on 4th down or not. However, if you were to both score a touchdown or a field goal, then going first gives you a big advantage as whoever scores next would win.
  4. This wasn’t really mistake free football for the Chiefs, they had a pair of turnovers last night. In the last 3 seasons, the Bills have had 6 playoff games and had a total of 4 turnovers in the playoffs. 3 of those were in a Dolphin’s game that I would hardly call a “big game”. The Chiefs had more turnovers in that one game than the Bills have had in their last 3 playoff losses combined. The bigger difference is the Chiefs defense doesn’t just get ran through in the playoffs against a good offense. Our Dline disappears and we don’t get any semblance of pressure, and the secondary already struggles to cover elite weapons such as Kelce, Hill, or Chase. In the Bills’ last two losses to the Chiefs in the playoffs, the Chiefs averaged 7.6 and 7.7 yards per play. The Bengals loss was a more reasonable 5.8, but that is still not a number that indicates the defense is doing its job. Sure, we could say that we lost because of Bass’ mistake, but that seems pretty silly considering the Chiefs still has nearly 2 minutes left and we’re averaging 7.7 Yards per play. The Bills couldn’t even get the Chiefs to third down when they knew they were running, little to no chance we stop the Chiefs from getting a field goal. You could also blame the offense for barely not getting that touchdown, whether it be Diggs dropping the pass, Allen not taking the safer option, or The oline for allowing the pressure, but if you’re calling that much a mistake, the Chiefs clearly made plenty last night (2 turnovers and a few sacks). Difference is, they have a defense that doesn’t just fold, and made up for the turnovers by forcing 3 and outs. They don’t allow 13 seconds to happen. In this Postseason, of any of the Chief’s opponents, the Bills scored the most and allowed the most points to the Chiefs. You say the Bills make mistakes in big games, and the Chiefs don’t but I disagree. Both teams make mistakes for sure, but the bigger difference between the two is that the Bills’ defense disappears in big games, the Chiefs’ doesn’t.
  5. Our offense turns it up. Our defense leaves a lot to be desired. 7.7 yards per play is nowhere. Lose to good enough.
  6. Even if Bass makes the kick, the way our defense was playing, we still likely lose.
  7. The 6-10 dolphins? Bit of a difference between that and a playoff team in the divisional round.
  8. I mean if Lamar Jackson had a Tyrod Taylor game and they still won by 24 points, that seems pretty dominant to me.
  9. Gotta go through 5 steps to get cleared. 1. Symptom limited activity (stretching/balancing ususally) 2. Aerobic exercise 3. Football specific exercise (strength training, mimicking sport specific activities) 4. club based non contact drills (no contact jersey, but can do most else) 5. Full football clearance (needs independent Neurological consultant’s approval)
  10. I think Klein can step up into that MLB role and be serviceable if we need him to be. I am worried about covering Kelce with Taron down and the lb injuries.
  11. I don’t know, I think what Tomlin has done well with the team he’s been given. Since 2019, the QBs have been Mason Rudolph (bad), Duck Hodges(also bad), an Ancient Big Ben (who rarely threw more than 10 yards downfield), Kenny Picket (mediocre at best), and a little bit of mitchel trubisky(somehow worse). That’s a drought era level of Qb play. Somehow Tomlin got his team into the playoffs 3 of the last 4 years.
  12. Yes, but If the bills/Steelers met in the divisional round, the winner of that game has a roughly 50% shot at making the Super Bowl, just as he said. And like @strive_for_five_guy said, the odds that would happen 3 times in a row would be (.5*.5*.5) which is 12.5%. @Beast Of course that assumes the two conference championship teams have the same chance of winning, however reality is slightly different.
  13. Anything short of making the conference finals and McDermott should be out. Losing to the Steelers would be an embarrassment and would be an offense worthy of termination. Our most likely opponent in the second round is the Chiefs, and losing to them a 3rd time in the playoffs in 4 years would not give me confidence McDermott could take us to the Super Bowl. Similarly, losing to a QB out of retirement or a rookie QB in the playoffs would not bring confidence, and would make me want to look for better options.
  14. Because all their focus should be on beating the Dolphins, do that and these games don’t matter
  15. If the Bills games follow this, and they beat the Pats, but lose to the Dolphins, the odds the other 6 games fall like this is about 4%. While it’s possible, it’s not very realistic.
  16. Couple things to take into account here: You’re comparing receivers groups based on their total yards/TDs, but not factoring in the effect of the QBs throwing the ball. IMO, Cinci and Miami definitely have better WR groups. And if we’re going based on yards, Texans also have a better WR group. And as for Kincaid, he’s not the best yet. Kelce is still clearly better right now, and Evan Engram and Mark Andrews have both outperformed him so far. (Kincaid is 13th in yards and tied at 20-33 for TDs)
  17. 2010 Chargers had the #1 offense and defense (in yards gained/allowed) in the league… only to miss the playoffs
  18. Don’t see why Josh’s salary is such a big part of this. Josh is the 9th highest paid QB in the League this year, with players such as Russel Wilson, Deshuan Watson and Kyler Murray being paid more, and Guys like Daniel Jones right behind (40 mil average instead of 43). As that contract gets older, more QBs will be paid more. As it is right now, Josh has been giving good value for that contract, leading the league in total TDs (by 5), and 3rd in passing yards. Cut down on the turnovers and he’d be the best in the league, as it is, he’s still playing as a top 10 QB for sure, which fits his salary.
  19. People are just frustrated after seeing 3 TDs in 2 weeks when they’re used to seeing 30 points a game
  20. You’re forgetting the run up the middle from shotgun, they used that for the other half of the plays.
  21. Maybe he doesn’t think he can get there between this season and next as is, and with Kraft’s approval is throwing this season to get an actual Qb, instead of being mediocre this season and next and subsequently losing his job.
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