What Is The Stat We Will Need To Win?

[boyst]

Turnovers? Sacks? Passing Yards? Rushing Yards? Other?

 

I have to believe it is going to be INT's. The only times we have beat Brady are when we can force him to throw INT"s.

 

No, you cannot say Touchdowns.

[BringBackFergy]

Sudfeld is turning out to be a suitable replacement for the Bubble Gum Bandit (Hernandez). That being said, our ability to cover TE's with Alonso or Bradham. Last year we were horrible (Barnett had some tired legs)...this year, I'm hoping Pettine changes it up with either MLB or Safeties covering the TE's. So, I would say our MLB pass coverage is the key. Brady will be looking for quick dump off passes or slants to TE's. If we stop that (to some degree), we win.

[plenzmd1]

Points

[thebandit27]

I'm going to go off-the-grid and say QB hits

[Dorkington]

We'll need them to have about 3-7 turnovers, and us to have zero.

[K-9]

Turnovers.

 

GO BILLS!!!

[biglukes]

Brady temper tantrums. The more fits he pitches, the better the chances we win. If he's flipping out and crying, that means he's getting beat.

[snydert317]

Points

[billsfanmiami(oh)]

Between +2 and +4 on turnover battle and we have a chance

[papazoid]

Passer Rating Differential

 

 

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/kerry_byrne/06/23/most.important.stat.passer.rating.differential/index.html

[YoloinOhio]

I think that first and foremost, "stop" the NE run so 150 rushing yards or less. Then, INTs. It is more about the defense on Sunday than the offense. We will not win a scoring match with Brady.

[WickedGame]

Dew point.

[Spiderweb]

For the Bills to win multiple, phases of the game will need to favor them. In addition to those above, they must eliminate penalties. We were a penalty machine this preseason and that has to stop..

Edited September 4, 2013 by Spiderweb

[FireChan]

For the Bills to win multiple, phases of the game will need to favor them. In addition to those above, they must eliminate penalties. We were a penalty machine these last 3 years and that has to stop..

 

I fixed that bolded setence for ya.

[Chandler#81]

With the HOF career Brady is enjoying -albeit at our expense-, winning the turnover battle is just about the ONLY way they lose in the regular season. You just can't outscore them.

[Max997]

contrary to what Jauron and Gailey thought its def not field goals

[YoloinOhio]

For the Bills to win multiple, phases of the game will need to favor them. In addition to those above, they must eliminate penalties. We were a penalty machine this preseason and that has to stop..

Meh - I hear you on penalties that kill drives but I wouldn't mind a defensive penalty here or there if it results in scaring Brady that are indeed not afraid to put him on the ground.

[richNjoisy]

Sacks. If Bills have 5 sacks or more, we will win.

3-4 sacks will mean a close game.

< 3 sacks = big loss.

 

The obvious reason I say this is that sacks = pressure. Brady has to be pressured else he will eat you alive.

[Pneumonic]

It's all on the defense this game.

 

They need to be able to stop the Pats rushing attack without committing extra defender in the box which will allow them to drop an extra defender back in coverage to help create the requisite turnovers required to pull off the upset.

[Just Jack]

Number of Bills fans vs number of visiting fans in the stands.

[Gugny]

I'm gonna go with two stats; one for each team.

 

1. We need to win the turnover war.

2. Brady needs to be inaccurate (due to pressure); so I'm saying we need his completion % to be below 50.

 

Go Bills!

[Solomon Grundy]

Penalties!! The Bills have to limit their number of penalties. Penalties are drive killers, offensively. Defensively, they can extend drives.

[l< j]

Number of threads started and locked outside of the Official Game Day Thread

[biglukes]

Sacks. If Bills have 5 sacks or more, we will win.

3-4 sacks will mean a close game.

< 3 sacks = big loss.

 

The obvious reason I say this is that sacks = pressure. Brady has to be pressured else he will eat you alive.

I don't think that's necessarily true. You can get a lot of pressure and knock Brady around without having a high sack total. Consistent pressure is going to be much more important than total number of sacks.

[YoloinOhio]

Number of threads started and locked outside of the Official Game Day Thread

Over/under 17

[richNjoisy]

I don't think that's necessarily true. You can get a lot of pressure and knock Brady around without having a high sack total. Consistent pressure is going to be much more important than total number of sacks.

 

I don't disagree with that but the point of this thread was to ask what "stat" would be revealing. Since pressure is not USUALLY measured after a game is over, I chose sacks as the measure.

[sjjr]

3rd down conversions for both teams

[biglukes]

 

 

I don't disagree with that but the point of this thread was to ask what "stat" would be revealing. Since pressure is not USUALLY measured after a game is over, I chose sacks as the measure.

Oh no, I totally understand that. I wasn't jumping on you or anything.

[GG]

More points scored than given up

[Fan in Chicago]

I'm gonna go with two stats; one for each team.

 

1. We need to win the turnover war.

2. Brady needs to be inaccurate (due to pressure); so I'm saying we need his completion % to be below 50.

 

Go Bills!

 

If I had to choose one stat, it would be % completion for Brady. If that percent is low, it means we are pressuring him and covering his targets. Also will allow us to devote extra resources to shutting down their run game.

[RCOHEN13]

Points

 

THIS is all that matters...

[Beerball]

Higher point total.

[The Wiz]

Since we are running the no huddle it seems kind of silly to say Time of Possession but I feel if we can win this early, with the hurry up their defense will be shot shortly into the 3rd and we can take advantage. (I expect to be down by at least a TD at that point).

Edited September 4, 2013 by The Wiz

[Beerball]

Since we are running the no huddle it seems kind of silly to say Time of Possession but I feel if we can win this early on with the hurry up, their defense will be shot shortly into the 3rd and we can take advantage. (I expect to be down by at least a TD at that point).

How about offensive plays run?

[mountainwampus]

Big plays on D. Sacks, INTs, FFs & PDs will win it.

[Best Player Available]

The Bills will need more players that are MOFO'S than the pats*

[Bill from NYC]

Turnovers? Sacks? Passing Yards? Rushing Yards? Other?

 

I have to believe it is going to be INT's. The only times we have beat Brady are when we can force him to throw INT"s.

 

No, you cannot say Touchdowns.

 

Aside from the obvious (EJ, Spiller, the OL), imo we need a huge game from Dareus. It's at the point where sadly, I don't expect one, and I am a huge Crimson Tide fan. I watched him in college and always liked the kid.

 

The thing is, if Dareus can dominate up the middle, it could very well be smooth sailing for Mario.

 

I know this isn't a stat, but it's the truth.

[TPS]

More points scored than given up

I'll be a little more specific. I think 30 is the magic number: keep them under 30, and score 30+. The Pats have averaged 40 ppg against the Bills over the past 6. You can't stop Brady, so holding the Pats to under 30 is the crucial number for the D. We'll see if EJ and the O can take care of their end....

[Talley56]

Maybe TOP, long drives that keep Brady off the field. Though if we run the hurry up this may not be possible.

[JPS]

Rushing yards. Hold them to less than 100 yards rushing and I'll take my chances with Kenbrell Thompkins, Danny Amendola and Zac Sudfield. I think our DTs are wildly overrated and this game will be a good test to prove or disprove that.