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Bad Preseason Takes


hondo in seattle

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I was down on Bernard, up on Poona, down on the O-line (especially Brown), up on Kincaid and Torrence, down on Davis, up on Elam. Didn't have much expectation for Harty, Sheffield, or Floyd. Bernard and O-line have been the most pleasant surprises, Harty and Poona the biggest disappointments. 

 

I still have hope that Elam will be a star. 

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I really thought Dorsey would improve this offense, and instead they regressed. We need some serious receiver help though. We desperately need a solid wr2. Harty and sherfield are useless at this point, but Brady may be able to get them involved with a full off season, who knows 

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Sports fans can do all the predicting they want.  It's their right.

 

I myself do it from time to time, but at the end of the day I like to watch each game as a completely unique event.

 

The simple fact that a mediocre team can one week score 0 points and the next week put up 63 shows nobody knows that will happen.

 

Go Bills!

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3 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:

I was thinking today about how wrong I was about this season.   While I thought our regular season record might be worse than last year's because of the tougher schedule, I was confident we had a better team for a bunch of reasons...

 

Defense

*  Floyd would make our pass rush better.

*  Poona would make our run D better.

*  There was no way we'd suffer as many injuries to key players as we did in 2022.

*  McD would be a more aggressive play-caller.  

*  We'd miss Edmunds though teamwork and scheme would compensate for his loss.  

 

Offense

*  Sherfield, Harty, and Shakir would provide strong depth behind Gabe and Diggs.

*  Gabe's ankle was bothering him in '22; maybe he'd be better in '23.

*  Dorsey was a rookie OC in '22; maybe he'd learn and grow.

*  The OL would be better and might even transition all the way from bad to merely mediocre.  

*  Harris would be an upgrade over Motor: bigger, stronger, faster.  

*  If Dorsey would use him correctly, Cook could be a good safety valve for Josh.  But he would never be an every-down back.

*  Kincaid could add a wrinkle to the offense.

 

Clearly, I was wrong more than I was right.  

 

What do you got?  

All of the above, 

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3 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:

I was thinking today about how wrong I was about this season.   While I thought our regular season record might be worse than last year's because of the tougher schedule, I was confident we had a better team for a bunch of reasons...

 

Defense

*  Floyd would make our pass rush better.

*  Poona would make our run D better.

*  There was no way we'd suffer as many injuries to key players as we did in 2022.

*  McD would be a more aggressive play-caller.  

*  We'd miss Edmunds though teamwork and scheme would compensate for his loss.  

 

Offense

*  Sherfield, Harty, and Shakir would provide strong depth behind Gabe and Diggs.

*  Gabe's ankle was bothering him in '22; maybe he'd be better in '23.

*  Dorsey was a rookie OC in '22; maybe he'd learn and grow.

*  The OL would be better and might even transition all the way from bad to merely mediocre.  

*  Harris would be an upgrade over Motor: bigger, stronger, faster.  

*  If Dorsey would use him correctly, Cook could be a good safety valve for Josh.  But he would never be an every-down back.

*  Kincaid could add a wrinkle to the offense.

 

Clearly, I was wrong more than I was right.  

 

What do you got?  


The big question marks for me were the starting positiona that the Bills elected not to upgrade and instead filled with incumbents. 

 

I was most concerned with Terrell Bernard and Spencer Brown to be able to take a step forward.  I was least concerned about Gabe Davis.   This was completely wrong. 
 

Bernard is arguably better than Edmunds and Brown has improved to a good starting RT - exactly as Beane forecasted.  
 

Davis is the same WR he’s been for 3 years.  Good for a few big TD catches, an occasional big game but overall just too inconsistent and not enough of a factor at WR2.  

In the end the player I thought was the safest to improve, ended up making the least improvement.  

 

Not a player, but the other person Buffalo put a ton of faith in to improve was Ken Dorsey.  I was a little concerned about this and the concern turned out to be very valid.

 

His offense never evolved with 12 personnel and instead was too reliant on Josh.  I think Dorsey deserved another shot as OC, but in hindsight the best move would likely be to move onto Brady.   

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I was really wrong about the potential impact of Torrence and McGovern on the performance of the o-line.  They are much better than I expected.  I also had low expectations for Oliver and he has proven me to be very wrong.  I also had no confidence that Beane could do anything mid-season to plug holes if the need were to arise.  Moves to get Douglas, Joseph, and Ty Johnson were key late additions that are low cost and really helped the team, making me wrong again.

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Yeah I'll own up to clocking Bernard as the second coming of Kelvin Sheppard whose best contribution to the Bills would be trade bait. It wasn't without basis - both got the corner turned on them in preseason over and over and over. In Sheppard's case it was just a step he didn't have, apparently in Bernard's it was needing to read the keys and play fast.

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11 hours ago, boyst said:

i came in pessimistic. i am still there with some happiness in some areas.

 

i thought Poona Ford would contribute more than he did.

 

i thought Bernard was getting handed more than he could hold.

 

i reckon i'm wrong on both.

Right there with you on these two. Happy to have been wrong about Bernard.

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14 hours ago, BillsDad51 said:

Bills have kept him under the radar. They'll spring him on Miami in week 18.

I agree.  I believe it was the Eagles game.  Hardy had 8 snaps.  One he was wide open deep, but Josh was under pressure.

 

IMO Brady has several plays schemed for Hardy to take top off opposing D, but he’s saving them for right moment

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