Bookie Man Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 (edited) Team is rolling right now. Jags have the "home" field advantage of playing in London week before. Wish I was going to this game. Edited October 3, 2023 by Alpo Chino Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bangarang Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 Josh Allen gets revenge on Josh Allen 1 1 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SageAgainstTheMachine Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 I’m staying away from the line here. London game is just bound to be weird in one way or another. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aussie Joe Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 They got hosed the last time in London agains the Jags ( I was there !)… Would love to get some revenge eight years later 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capco Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 I still have no idea how betting works, what these numbers mean, who gets to come up with them, or how they do it. So thus far, bangarang's comment is (ironically) the only one that makes sense to me lol. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bookie Man Posted October 1, 2023 Author Share Posted October 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, Capco said: I still have no idea how betting works, what these numbers mean, who gets to come up with them, or how they do it. So thus far, bangarang's comment is (ironically) the only one that makes sense to me lol. haha no problem. Vegas oddsmakers create the numbers. -4.5 means Bills are 4.5 point favorites. They have to win by 5. 47.5 is the Over/Under. Total points scored by both teams. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 we should hopefully have a decent homefield advantage, what with Bills STH’ers having first right of refusal to the tickets. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78thealltimegreat Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 This line is fair as the Jags have been there a week already. But honestly after watching them struggle with the Falcons the only thing that could keep the Jags in the game is turnovers and penalties 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capco Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, Alpo Chino said: -4.5 means Bills are 4.5 point favorites. They have to win by 5. 47.5 is the Over/Under. Total points scored by both teams. So if I bet on the Jags to "win", and they lose by 4 points IRL, then I've won my bet because you subtract -4.5 points from the Bills score to determine the "betting score" (I'm making up terms so sorry if I'm massacring the lingo lol). But let's say I bet $100 on this outcome... how much do I win? How is that part calculated? With the over/under thing, does that only affect the bets on the total points scored by both teams? Or does it affect other types of bets too? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NI Bills Fan Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 This will be the first Bills game I've ever attended. Feeling quite fortunate that the team is on a roll and largely healthy (prayers up for Tre). Can't wait. See you all there, Go Bills! 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warcodered Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 23 minutes ago, Bangarang said: Josh Allen gets revenge on Josh Allen Hopefully but that is his greatest weakness. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brand J Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, Capco said: So if I bet on the Jags to "win", and they lose by 4 points IRL, then I've won my bet because you subtract -4.5 points from the Bills score to determine the "betting score" (I'm making up terms so sorry if I'm massacring the lingo lol). But let's say I bet $100 on this outcome... how much do I win? How is that part calculated? With the over/under thing, does that only affect the bets on the total points scored by both teams? Or does it affect other types of bets too? If you bet on the Jags straight up and they lost, you’d lose your bet. If you bet them to cover the point spread, you win. I believe the cover bet is a 1:1, bet $100 to win $200 total (which includes your original bet). If you bet $100 on the Jags to win straight up, it’d depend on what the payout was. If its +150 on a Jags win, you win $150 on that $100 bet. $250 total. Conversely, if the Bills are -180, you’d have to bet $180 to win $100, $280 total. Over/under is simply the total amount of points scored by both teams. I believe that payout is also 1:1, someone correct me if I’m wrong. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bookie Man Posted October 1, 2023 Author Share Posted October 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Capco said: So if I bet on the Jags to "win", and they lose by 4 points IRL, then I've won my bet because you subtract -4.5 points from the Bills score to determine the "betting score" (I'm making up terms so sorry if I'm massacring the lingo lol). But let's say I bet $100 on this outcome... how much do I win? How is that part calculated? With the over/under thing, does that only affect the bets on the total points scored by both teams? Or does it affect other types of bets too? Correct. If you bet the jags with the points (4.5) and they lose by 4, then you win your bet. If you bet $100, you'd win about $82. The standard juice on a bet is -110. Easiest way to think about this is you would need to bet $110 to win $100 or $55 to win $50 etc. Over/Under is just total points scored in the game. If the final score was Bills 27 - Jags 23 , you would win if you bet the OVER (total points 50 being greater than 47.5) Same if the score was Bills 50 - Jags 0. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capco Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, JayBaller10 said: If you bet on the Jags straight up and they lost, you’d lose your bet. If you bet them to cover the point spread, you win. I believe the cover bet is a 1:1, bet $100 to win $200 total (which includes your original bet). If you bet $100 on the Jags to win straight up, it’d depend on what the payout was. If its +150 on a Jags win, you win $150 on that $100 bet. $250 total. Conversely, if the Bills are -180, you’d have to bet $180 to win $100, $280 total. Over/under is simply the total amount of points scored by both teams. I believe that payout is also 1:1, someone correct me if I’m wrong. Thanks! Do you know how the "+150" and "-180" numbers in your example would be determined? Additionally, from the thread title's use of the word "early", I assume these numbers change over time. How and why do they change leading up to the game? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fallser Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 ***** bruv, games aren’t even over yet, Vegas needs another day to digest. I’d bet we’re -7.5 by Tuesday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capco Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Alpo Chino said: If you bet $100, you'd win about $82. The standard juice on a bet is -110. Easiest way to think about this is you would need to bet $110 to win $100 or $55 to win $50 etc. Gotcha! The +/- thing makes sense now with both the $82 calculation and the "easiest way" numbers. Thank you. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brand J Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Capco said: Thanks! Do you know how the "+150" and "-180" numbers in your example would be determined? Additionally, from the thread title's use of the word "early", I assume these numbers change over time. How and why do they change leading up to the game? Not sure how Vegas determines those +/-payouts. Nick Wright (or wrong) posted a parlay bet a couple weeks ago that was something like +4500. The bet was that both the Commanders (vs DEN) and the Giants (vs AZ) would come back to win after trailing big. Both had to happen for the bet to hit and wouldn’t you know it, they did. Why was Nick Wright bragging? Because he put $500 on the parlay. That weird nose dude hit over $20,000 on that bet! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannc Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 39 minutes ago, SageAgainstTheMachine said: I’m staying away from the line here. London game is just bound to be weird in one way or another. Agreed. Would have expected Bills to be at least -6.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wacka Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 Last time we played there EJ Manuel blew the game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AuntieEm Posted October 1, 2023 Share Posted October 1, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, Capco said: Thanks! Do you know how the "+150" and "-180" numbers in your example would be determined? Additionally, from the thread title's use of the word "early", I assume these numbers change over time. How and why do they change leading up to the game? Think the numbers are some formula of money bet on each team. The casino has to get their cut as middle man so the numbers distribute the remaining funds from all bets if even bets on both sides you'd get closer to a 1 to 1 payout. If 4 Dolphins fans bet 10 each to 1 Bills fan u can't pay off 4 winning bets from the 1 so they divide the 10 into to 4 parts to cover each of the Miami bets with a 2.50 win on their 10 bet. At least it works something like that cause the casino doesn't want to give away money they take their cut rest is in pool for winning g bets divided by the # of winners. Basically the numbers change to try get both sides equal in bets made. Edited October 1, 2023 by AuntieEm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capco Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 8 minutes ago, AuntieEm said: Basically the numbers change to try get both sides equal in bets made. Awesome. I know this little tidbit you mention might seem obvious to folks who bet regularly, but for me this clarified a lot. I instinctively knew the purpose of oddsmakers was to craft the odds so that the house always wins regardless of the outcome, but the overall principle that guides the oddsmakers in this process was eluding me. Thanks a bunch! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Georgia Bill Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 While I know the Bills are the stronger team, the Jags get the advantage of playing today in England and staying there until they play us next weekend. Not having to deal with the jet lag and disruption of the long flight over there is bound to be an advantage for them. I don't care for this schedule, it tilts things in favor of the Jags by giving them two consecutive weeks there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LabattBlue Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 F Jax, F Duuuuuvaaalllll, F the other Josh Allen. Next week will be payback for that 9-6 debacle two years ago. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thirsty539 Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 as a public service announcement; want to remind everyone of the annual Bills mideason slump, which usualy begins with a loss to the jags. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AuntieEm Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 9 minutes ago, Capco said: Awesome. I know this little tidbit you mention might seem obvious to folks who bet regularly, but for me this clarified a lot. I instinctively knew the purpose of oddsmakers was to craft the odds so that the house always wins regardless of the outcome, but the overall principle that guides the oddsmakers in this process was eluding me. Thanks a bunch! I'm not really an expert just how I've always figured it works. So if lot of money comes in on one side the numbers change to encourage money to be placed to countervit. So that's where a injury could cause line to change say if Aaron got hurt before game and Jets fans knew they'd have to win with Zach Wilson doubt the lines would have stayed at the odds when they figured rogers would be qb. Course once he got hurt bets were already made so no change before game started. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 free money Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AuntieEm Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 (edited) 9 minutes ago, LabattBlue said: F Jax, F Duuuuuvaaalllll, F the other Josh Allen. Next week will be payback for that 9-6 debacle two years ago. I'm thinking the Mafia takes over in London. Not sure how big jaguars are in London for all the games they have played there. Edited October 2, 2023 by AuntieEm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billsbackto81 Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 2 hours ago, Aussie Joe said: They got hosed the last time in London agains the Jags ( I was there !)… Would love to get some revenge eight years later Ahh! Wasn't the the Nikell Robey phantom no contact PI game? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 (edited) 2 hours ago, Wacka said: Last time we played there EJ Manuel blew the game. Nah, Friggin' refs and their phantom PI call late killed us. Edited October 2, 2023 by PromoTheRobot Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTbills Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 Can't believe it's only 4.5. I figured we'd be at least a touchdown favorite. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aussie Joe Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 (edited) 12 minutes ago, billsbackto81 said: Ahh! Wasn't the the Nikell Robey phantom no contact PI game? Yeah … they were down by heaps early on in the game … like 20+ from memory… made a great comeback and then stolen at the end Edited October 2, 2023 by Aussie Joe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franco_92 Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 46 minutes ago, PromoTheRobot said: Nah, Friggin' refs and their phantom PI call late killed us. That was just insane. Worst call I've seen in my 18 years watching the Bills. The WR was not touched. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AuntieEm Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 Hey all of the knowledgeable gamblers who you picking in Mondays game. Giants or Seahaeks??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billsbackto81 Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 59 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said: Yeah … they were down by heaps early on in the game … like 20+ from memory… made a great comeback and then stolen at the end 22 minutes ago, arcane said: That was just insane. Worst call I've seen in my 18 years watching the Bills. The WR was not touched. Didn't Shady get his clock cleaned on a goal line hit and fumbled it away? I remember that being a big turn. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 London weather 7 days out looks good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sherlock Holmes Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 4 hours ago, Bangarang said: Josh Allen gets revenge on Josh Allen Josh Allen on Josh Allen violence 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Royale with Cheese Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 I’m honestly surprised we aren’t favored by 7. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sonyab1974 Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 I still want to know why the game next Sunday is at 9:30 am.. Very strange. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Over 29 years of fanhood Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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