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Wk 1 - Bills -1.5 vs Jets - who you picking - how much can we over analyze this over the next 3 wks?


Chaos

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Buffalo will jackhammer them. 
The Jets should get better and be a real threat after Halloween as for Aaron Rogers sake there is some oline cohesion by then.

The Bills have had to stew on the Bengals game…now the Steelers game…and every negative comment the national media has made about them.

The only cure for this is a 34-17 win in New Jersey. 

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Bills forfeit after firing the HC and OC, trade Josh, cut 3/4 of the rest of the team because they all suck. We tank the season so we can draft another WR.  Only bright side is half the posters on TBD get to say, I was right all along.  

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I don't know, but I am scared. I feel like their defense is going to be like The Steelers were in the 2021 season opener, maybe even worse. Sauce Gardner will probably get away with a ton of pass interference.

 

I hate how dejected I feel about a season that hasn't even started yet. I guess because my worst fears of an old and slow defense, bad OL and uneventful pre-season felt justified in that 1st quarter of The Steelers game. I don't want my intuition to be right about this kind of stuff. I say all this as I just wait to hear about how The Dolphins signed JTT, and again be reminded of how awful this offseason was(minus getting Kincaid!).

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8 minutes ago, Aimee75 said:

I don't know, but I am scared. I feel like their defense is going to be like The Steelers were in the 2021 season opener, maybe even worse. Sauce Gardner will probably get away with a ton of pass interference.

 

I hate how dejected I feel about a season that hasn't even started yet. I guess because my worst fears of an old and slow defense, bad OL and uneventful pre-season felt justified in that 1st quarter of The Steelers game. I don't want my intuition to be right about this kind of stuff. I say all this as I just wait to hear about how The Dolphins signed JTT, and again be reminded of how awful this offseason was(minus getting Kincaid!).

 

Jets defense is better than the Steelers.

 

They gave our offense fits last year.

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Just now, Einstein said:

 

Jets defense is better than the Steelers.

 

They gave our offense fits last year.

That is what terrifies me. Their defense gave us fits in both games, and they will have a better QB and set of receivers, oh, and not a shabby RB as well(don't remember who their RB was last year, but it wasn't Breece) and meanwhile, our defense is looking old and slow as ever. Can't ever sniff the QB of the opposing team. It's going to rely on Josh being able to make some magic happen. I think about some ugly games in the past where we came out flat and he sort of rallied the team back(Tampa Bay game in 2021. Ravens game last year). I would feel a lot better about this game if it was a home game.

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A couple weeks ago i expected Buffalo to roll the Jets in this one.  But my expectations have been lowered. The Oline is weak. I’m not as in love with James Cook as many people are. I wish Damien Harris was healthy for this one. I’d like to see JA get rid of the ball quicker.  Not every pass has to be a 20-25 yard rope. Take what they give you, and quickly, like Mahomes and Burrow do.

The D plays read and react too much. They allow guys to catch the ball too easily, not aggressive. and Poyer is slow.

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23 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:

Jets OL deficiencies keep their offense from getting rolling week 1 but good D play keeps Jets in it until a late Bills score to go ahead  27-17 and put the game away.  

It's hard not to think the Jets O isn't going to be better with Rodgers and Cook. 

 

I couldn't help but get flashbacks to the Cincinnati game when you mentioned the weak OL of the Jets. 

 

Truthfully, I don't have confidence in the Bills pass rush. Without a healthy Von they just don't look that good. 

 

Also, the Jets pounded the ball vs the Bills. They are not bad in run blocking. This seems to get overlooked here. 

 

It's too early for a game prediction. However, that crowd in 9/11 will be crazy and frenzied. Big advantage to the Jets. The bias in me thinks the refs will favor the Jets big time. 

 

This sure seems like a statement game for the Jets to their fans. 

 

This game has uphill battle written all over it. 

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It is going to be so so so interesting.

 

The emotion in that stadium for their home opener on 9/11, Monday Night Football, most highly anticipated opening game for them in decades or maybe ever, Super Bowl aspirations... It's going to be crazy. Almost an impossible-to-even-imagine level of crazy. Sometimes, environment and emotion are overrated when it comes to football games, but I'm not so sure that's true in this one.

 

I think it's a tossup on the football field regardless of the other factors. I'm surprised the Bills are favored. No result would surprise me.

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39 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:

Jets OL deficiencies keep their offense from getting rolling week 1 but good D play keeps Jets in it until a late Bills score to go ahead  27-17 and put the game away.  

Yeah it's going to be a close, low scoring game. I see something like 16-13 Bills. Just don't let Josh take a hit to that elbow like last year. Hear that Quessenberry.....

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Things going for the Bills:

  • Better QB
  • More cohesion/continuity
  • Rodgers has started slowly 3 seasons in a row
  • Rodgers is 39 and did not look good last year, and the Jets' offensive line is worse than the Packers'
  • It is hard to maintain elite defenses across seasons
  • Nate Hackett is not very good
  • McDermott has owned this coaching tree, and the Bills have embarrassed Saleh before

Things going for the Jets:

  • Home primetime game
  • Hype for the new-look offense/Rodgers
  • Defense that Allen has only dominated once in 6 tries since 2020

I don't think we sweep the Jets and Dolphins, we will drop 1 or 2 games between them. But the Bills are perfectly capable of winning week 1, even in dominating fashion. They have won tougher games

Edited by arcane
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