Two ends of the spectrum. Bills have the NFL's worst run blocking but the best pass rushing

[RyanC883]

  On 10/4/2022 at 3:41 PM, FilthyBeast said:

I'm still willing to give the oline/rushing game the benefit of the doubt because of the quality of the defensive lines we've played thus far, especially LA/TEN/MIA who all have top 10 DT studs in their lineup.

 

But I think at some point you have to prove you can match up with a physical dline and win your matchups consistently because that's what true SB contenders do.

 

This is my biggest concern with KC right now and why I see them as the best team in the AFC/NFL. Their oline is ridiculously good and very young which is scary given the long term outlook. The fact the Bills and just about every other team missed on Creed Humphrey is a big price to pay putting him in front of a QB like Mahomes. Their Dline is also going to be an issue as long as Chris Jones is healthy and in the lineup.

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missing on humphry, in an offseason when we had a need at OL, to take a flyer on a non-impactful DE was ridiculous.  

[Beck Water]

  On 10/4/2022 at 4:32 PM, Solomon Grundy said:

You can definitely find some involving Saquon Barkley 

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?? WTF?  Read more carefully dude.  Same holes = our OL and downfield blocking.

Nope, can't do that one with Barkley either.  What's his name proposing we trade for him (which ain't gonna happen) not withstanding.

[thenorthremembers]

  On 10/4/2022 at 3:47 PM, Big Turk said:

 

A lot of those yards are by Allen on scrambles tho, not the RB's, so it paints a false picture.

 

This should help paint a better picture...Bills are dead last in Adjusted Line Yards, which is explained below: 

 

Adjusted Line Yards (ALY): Statistic that attempts to, even to a small extent, separate the ability of a running back from the ability of the offensive line. Adjusted Line Yards begin as a measure of average rushing yards per play by running backs only, adjusted in the following way:

0-4 yards: 100% strength

5-10 yards: 50% strength

11+ yards: not included

runs for a loss: 120% strength

Each play is also adjusted based on game situation as well as quality of opponents faced. Adjusted Line Yards can be listed as total or broken down by direction to attempt to isolate ability of specific linemen.

 

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I understand Josh's runs inflate the rush yards, but so do Lamar's in Baltimore.   The adjusted line yards stat is exactly the type of stat I am talking about.   You could pull stats like this all day to form a narrative but at the end of the day the Bills are a successful offense, adjusted line yards or not.   Its like the Buddy Nix thing, "Dont tell me about the labor pains, just show me the baby."  I dont care how the Bills win, i just care that they win.  

 

The depth of analytics has very little to do with the teams overall record and more to do with bored fans and pundits who have an overwhelming need for content from Monday-Saturday.  

Edited October 4, 2022 by thenorthremembers

[FilthyBeast]

  On 10/4/2022 at 4:39 PM, RyanC883 said:

 

missing on humphry, in an offseason when we had a need at OL, to take a flyer on a non-impactful DE was ridiculous.  

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Basham has definitely looked good so far this year, but it's hard to see him being anything more than a rotational guy in the near term as long as Groot and Miller are healthy and on this roster.

 

But yeah I'd still trade him in a heartbeat for Humprhey if we could go back to last years draft. This dude is a flat out stud and best center in the league in just his 2nd year. And sucks that he'll be snapping the ball to a QB like Mahomes for the next 10 - 15 years.

[Boatdrinks]

  On 10/4/2022 at 9:46 PM, ScottLaw said:

The offense is successful for one reason only. Josh Allen is a freak. His supporting cast is meh… and disagree with your FA pass blocking OL point. Saffold and Quessenberry were better in the running game than anything else. Saffold can’t seem to do either adequately at this point. 

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Perhaps those OL are better at the run game ( doesn’t mean they can’t pass protect though) but since Beane arrived it’s been an organizational m.o to fill in the OL with FA. You’re picking nits. Josh makes the offense work to be sure, but they clearly have different ideas about team building strategy than you do. They play in the AFC with the Chiefs and couldn’t get Mahomes off the field enough times in the game that ended their 2021 season. That’s probably a big reason they made the offseason moves they did. We’ll see if it pays off or not. 

[Big Turk]

 

  On 10/4/2022 at 9:46 PM, ScottLaw said:

The offense is successful for one reason only. Josh Allen is a freak. His supporting cast is meh… and disagree with your FA pass blocking OL point. Saffold and Quessenberry were better in the running game than anything else. Saffold can’t seem to do either adequately at this point. 

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I find it near impossible to have 3 of the top 15 offenses by metrics in modern NFL history 3 straight years with this being the case.

 

Clearly that simply just isn't true.

 

https://twitter.com/benbbaldwin/status/1577286810094354432?s=20&t=NVDT5v2gGHtwN6bspxWIJg

 

 

FYI anyone that can tell me why Twitter embeds the post half the time but not the other half would be appreciated and even more appreciated as to how to fix it.

 

Edited October 4, 2022 by Big Turk

[Royale with Cheese]

  On 10/4/2022 at 10:46 PM, Big Turk said:

 

I find it near impossible to have 3 of the top 15 offenses by metrics in modern NFL history 3 straight years with this being the case.

 

Clearly that simply just isn't true.

 

https://twitter.com/benbbaldwin/status/1577286810094354432

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Yep.  If its only because of Allen then he’s the greatest player in the history of the NFL and there’s not anyone even a close second.

 

Our roster top to bottom is top 3 in the NFL.  

[Simon Says]

  On 10/4/2022 at 3:20 PM, ScottLaw said:

This is surprising after all the additions in the off-season to the poor offensive line from a season ago. 😅

 

Josh makes it work because he’s a freak at the QB position.

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Saffold is the only new STARTER and so far is underwhelming. 

[LABILLBACKER]

  On 10/4/2022 at 3:18 PM, BuffaloBill said:

The Bills run blocking is dreadful - yes they were the walking and dehydrated wounded in Miami but still - that graphic shows how bad they are.

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The Bills have had a bottom 10 ranked Run blocking OL for 3 years now.  Has Kromer had much of an impact?  Hard to say. I like the fact that Dorsey has dialed up the dump offs to Devin, etc.  But there's going to come a time in a close playoff game where someone other than qb1 is going to have to get you a first on 3rd & 3. Teams will continue blitzing and teeing off on Josh. This is not sustainable, unless you want Josh's career to end in his early 30's.  

[Starr Almighty]

  On 10/4/2022 at 3:47 PM, Big Turk said:

 

A lot of those yards are by Allen on scrambles tho, not the RB's, so it paints a false picture.

 

This should help paint a better picture...Bills are dead last in Adjusted Line Yards, which is explained below: 

 

Adjusted Line Yards (ALY): Statistic that attempts to, even to a small extent, separate the ability of a running back from the ability of the offensive line. Adjusted Line Yards begin as a measure of average rushing yards per play by running backs only, adjusted in the following way:

0-4 yards: 100% strength

5-10 yards: 50% strength

11+ yards: not included

runs for a loss: 120% strength

Each play is also adjusted based on game situation as well as quality of opponents faced. Adjusted Line Yards can be listed as total or broken down by direction to attempt to isolate ability of specific linemen.

 

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You know what's scary about this. The Rams are ahead of the Bills and they can barely run for 1/2 an inch

[LabattBlue]

What happened to the magic that Kromer was going to bring to the OL this season?

[1onemangang7]

Look at the poor run blocking 🤡

[HOUSE]

3-1 baby

[JohninMinn.]

Amazing how I'm the only one that knows Dirty is afraid of open field. His  lack of speed would be exposed. Start Cook and watch the OL improve immediately.

[BADOLBILZ]

  On 10/4/2022 at 10:13 PM, Boatdrinks said:

Perhaps those OL are better at the run game ( doesn’t mean they can’t pass protect though) but since Beane arrived it’s been an organizational m.o to fill in the OL with FA. You’re picking nits. Josh makes the offense work to be sure, but they clearly have different ideas about team building strategy than you do. They play in the AFC with the Chiefs and couldn’t get Mahomes off the field enough times in the game that ended their 2021 season. That’s probably a big reason they made the offseason moves they did. We’ll see if it pays off or not. 

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Quessenberry literally lead all NFL offensive tackles in sacks allowed last season.

 

He and Saffold were good run blockers and terrible pass blockers.     After they signed such one-dimensional OL I  thought we were going to see more of Josh under center and the OL getting a chance to tee off on DL as they ran traditional play action.     Running spread out of the shotgun with this inferior pass blocking OL personnel is a recipe for the kind of frantic, disjointed football they are playing on offense.   

[Big Blitz]

No way in heck is the Broncos run blocking that decent

 

I've watched most of their games - abysmal doesn't begin to even describe how bad.  

 

 

The Bills have played 3 great run defenses - Miami, Rams, Ravens.  

 

Is this quantified in the stats?  Quality of opponent

[TailgateChef]

I've said for 2 consecutive drafts now that a 2nd or 3rd round guard could transform this line.  I think Beane's terrified to draft a guard after the whiff on Cody Ford though.  Joe Marino had me SOLD on Dylan Parham this past draft.

[1ManRaid]

This is why I continue to roll my eyes at the people crying for new RBs.

[OldTimer1960]

  On 10/4/2022 at 11:16 PM, LABILLBACKER said:

The Bills have had a bottom 10 ranked Run blocking OL for 3 years now.  Has Kromer had much of an impact?  Hard to say. I like the fact that Dorsey has dialed up the dump offs to Devin, etc.  But there's going to come a time in a close playoff game where someone other than qb1 is going to have to get you a first on 3rd & 3. Teams will continue blitzing and teeing off on Josh. This is not sustainable, unless you want Josh's career to end in his early 30's.  

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They have had zero continuity on the OL since camp opened.  So many missed time in camp, the presumed starters hardly played preseason, injurie during first 4 games have also prevented getting their game together.  That being said, I don’t think they will ever be a top half of the league run blocking unit with the personnel they currently have.

[MJS]

This one is cool: