Adam727 Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 6 hours ago, Boatdrinks said: I’m not certain what the reason is, but a 3 way tie at 10-6 with the Texans , Bills, and Titans including a Titans sweep of HOU knocks the Bills out in my scenarios on playoff machine( ESPN). It doesn’t give explanations that I know of, and I haven’t reviewed tiebreaking procedures to figure it out. Seems to be one of the few situations the Bills could miss out in. Edit: this is factoring in a Bills loss to PIT Tenn would win the division over Houston due to beating them twice. Houston would get the wildcard against Buffalo because of a better conference record. I think the Steelers and Raiders would both get the wildcard over us at 10-6 also, unless the bills 10th win is against the steelers. Bills have tiebreakers over Tenn & Indy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ganesh Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 16 hours ago, Scott7975 said: I was just going to post that now Dalton is back in he can do us a favor again this year haha. He already did...He has knocked out a resurgent NY Jets team who were dreaming of a post season after 3 straight *dominating* victories. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2019 Author Share Posted December 3, 2019 5 hours ago, Adam727 said: Tenn would win the division over Houston due to beating them twice. Houston would get the wildcard against Buffalo because of a better conference record. I think the Steelers and Raiders would both get the wildcard over us at 10-6 also, unless the bills 10th win is against the steelers. Bills have tiebreakers over Tenn & Indy. to be redundant. I think Houston is the better team. They may split the matchups but take the division. Re Steelers- beat them flat out and Bobs your uncle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2019 Author Share Posted December 3, 2019 Crap. I thought this was the other way around... The Chiefs are playing in New England. I should have known better. The Putz always get these types of match ups on their turf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 There are a couple worst case scenario's where a 3 game slide has us needing a win and some help to make the playoffs in week 17. Would love to beat the Ravens this week to eliminate any such scenario. I have a pretty good feeling about the Pittsburgh game though. I think the switch to prime time actually helps both our offense and defense. Pittsburgh plays like five prime time games a year so I don't see them getting a motivation bump like our guys will. When the game was scheduled for the early 1pm kick off I saw potential for it to be like the Browns game. One we let slip away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 (edited) 9 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: There are a couple worst case scenario's where a 3 game slide has us needing a win and some help to make the playoffs in week 17. Would love to beat the Ravens this week to eliminate any such scenario. I have a pretty good feeling about the Pittsburgh game though. I think the switch to prime time actually helps both our offense and defense. Pittsburgh plays like five prime time games a year so I don't see them getting a motivation bump like our guys will. When the game was scheduled for the early 1pm kick off I saw potential for it to be like the Browns game. One we let slip away. I think both teams will be motivated regardless of the time slot. The prime time thing will just mean a more raucous crowd and tougher sledding for the Bills if anything. It would be great to beat the Ravens, but I actually think the scenario you described needing the week 17 win is a fairly realistic one. They may or may not need help based on the outcomes of games in weeks 14-16. That mostly hinges on the Titans and Raiders. Steelers are well coached , play good defense and can win with a “ caretaker” at QB. Edited December 3, 2019 by Boatdrinks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 32 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: Crap. I thought this was the other way around... The Chiefs are playing in New England. I should have known better. The Putz always get these types of match ups on their turf. yep. Mahomes gonna have a lot of derrrrpppp moments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jamie Nails Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 So, do we want the titans or raiders this weekend? I’m thinking, without running scenarios, we want the titans. We have the tie breaker and they have a tough last three games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2019 Author Share Posted December 3, 2019 (edited) On 12/3/2019 at 11:25 AM, RiotAct said: yep. Mahomes gonna have a lot of derrrrpppp moments. eh Maybe. The Pats defense may be good. I just don't buy that they are the best. JMO On 12/3/2019 at 11:34 AM, Jamie Nails said: So, do we want the titans or raiders this weekend? I’m thinking, without running scenarios, we want the titans. We have the tie breaker and they have a tough last three games. Do you want separation or a close race? Pick your poison I guess Shady's AFC guesses (On games I don't deem important to have a real impact I'm just going with who I want to won for no particular reason) Thursday, December 5 MATCHUP HOME team NAT TV Dallas Chicago FOX/NFL Sunday, December 8 MATCHUP Baltimore Buffalo CBS Kansas City New England CBS Denver Houston CBS Indianapolis Tampa Bay CBS Los Angeles Chargers Jacksonville FOX Tennessee Oakland CBS Pittsburgh Arizona CBS Miami New York JETS CBS Cincinnati Cleveland CBS Carolina Atlanta FOX Washington Green Bay FOX Detroit Minnesota FOX San Francisco New Orleans FOX Seattle Los Angeles Rams NBC Monday, December 9 New York Giants Philadelphia ESPN Edited December 5, 2019 by SlimShady'sGhost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franco_92 Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 1 hour ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: Crap. I thought this was the other way around... The Chiefs are playing in New England. I should have known better. The Putz always get these types of match ups on their turf. Not really. it's the same formula that sent them to Watson's house, where they pooped their pants two days ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2019 Author Share Posted December 3, 2019 39 minutes ago, arcane said: Not really. it's the same formula that sent them to Watson's house, where they pooped their pants two days ago. You call it a "formula" I call it Pats**** favoritism Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2019 Author Share Posted December 3, 2019 https://www.forbes.com/sites/vincentfrank/2019/12/03/nfl-playoff-picture-heading-into-week-14/#3b12fd996b48 Buffalo Bills: As one of the most-surprising teams in the NFL, the 9-3 Bills can clinch a spot in the postseason with a win over the Ravens as well as losses by the Texans, Raiders and Colts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franco_92 Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 4 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: You call it a "formula" I call it Pats**** favoritism You're joking right? The rotation is completely set for all teams indefinitely far into the future. You can figure out the Bills 2035 opponents and where each game is, except for 2 of them, and even then you'd know if those games are home/away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2019 Author Share Posted December 3, 2019 (edited) 40 minutes ago, arcane said: You're joking right? The rotation is completely set for all teams indefinitely far into the future. You can figure out the Bills 2035 opponents and where each game is, except for 2 of them, and even then you'd know if those games are home/away yes, they rotate divisions and have a formula. BUT each owner does get to appeal the schedule and have it altered Ralph Wilson did it often saying a night game was a burden to his teams fan base. the opponents are set. Not where they play. How many years did Buffalo face the Patriots after a BYE? the formula is supposed to account for it yet 7 out of 10 times it happened. the formula is supposed to keep a team on a 3 game road trip yet it happens. nothing is perfect Edited December 3, 2019 by SlimShady'sGhost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franco_92 Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 3 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: yes, they rotate divisions and have a formula. BUT each owner does get to appeal the schedule and have it altered Ralph Wilson did it often saying a night game was a burden to his teams fan base. the opponents are set. Not where they play. How many years did Buffalo face the Patriots after a BYE? the formula is supposed to account for it yet 7 out of 10 times it happened. the formula is supposed to keep a team on a 3 game road trip yet it happens. nothing is perfect You were referring to the benefit of the Pats getting a home game against the Chiefs. But if that game had been on the road, the TEXANS game would have been at home, which could have been painted just as difficult. This isn't a schedule advantage. They have to face the 1 seed from the two AFC divisions we don't face, two presumably great teams, one at home, one on the road, every season. We do the same, but split them between 2nd, 3rd, or 4th ranked teams in their division. You weren't talking about bye weeks, and are ignoring the fact that there's no way NE would want to waste a bye week before a team they can historically beat in their sleep over one they could actually use preparation for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 4, 2019 Author Share Posted December 4, 2019 15 minutes ago, arcane said: You were referring to the benefit of the Pats getting a home game against the Chiefs. But if that game had been on the road, the TEXANS game would have been at home, which could have been painted just as difficult. This isn't a schedule advantage. They have to face the 1 seed from the two AFC divisions we don't face, two presumably great teams, one at home, one on the road, every season. We do the same, but split them between 2nd, 3rd, or 4th ranked teams in their division. You weren't talking about bye weeks, and are ignoring the fact that there's no way NE would want to waste a bye week before a team they can historically beat in their sleep over one they could actually use preparation for. yea I did mention that. it just seems to me that the Pats end up with the more beneficial draw. coincidence? Maybe or .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsMafi$ Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 (edited) Was messing around with the ESPN playoff machine and can see how we miss being 10-6 with the raiders and Steelers being 10-6 as well Edited December 4, 2019 by BillsMafi$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jamie Nails Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 15 minutes ago, BillsMafi$ said: Was messing around with the ESPN playoff machine and can see how we miss being 10-6 with the raiders and Steelers being 10-6 as well Raiders have a favorable schedule, but they aren’t winning out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CorkScrewHill Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 A little forward looking .... but Pittsburgh’s Smith-Schuster appears to be a ways away from returning. https://steelerswire.usatoday.com/2019/12/03/steelers-cardinals-injuries-james-conner-juju-smith-schuster-nfl-week-14/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 4, 2019 Author Share Posted December 4, 2019 Start at 2:20 Power Rankings - Wild card contenders to fear https://sports.yahoo.com/video/power-rankings-wild-card-contenders-234230294.html Tank Williams and Chris Simms rank the top NFL teams competing for Wild Card spots that could cause damage in the playoffs I think Tank is a little high on the Titans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 4, 2019 Author Share Posted December 4, 2019 8 hours ago, BillsMafi$ said: Was messing around with the ESPN playoff machine and can see how we miss being 10-6 with the raiders and Steelers being 10-6 as well As was I and It looks as if the only team that might be able to rest starters in week 17 is the Saints. (as long as my picks / guesses are correct) NFC SF vs Seattle , Tenny vs Houston, Steelers vs Ravens Chargers vs KC. This weeks KEY GAMES to that really could throw the AFC on its collective heads ... Buffalo over Baltimore and KC over New England!!!! The ramifications in the final 3 weeks are HUGE. I really believe the Bills can defeat the struggling Pats**** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg S Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 9 hours ago, Jamie Nails said: Raiders have a favorable schedule, but they aren’t winning out. The Raiders just got smoked two weeks in a row including one by the hapless Jets. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Titans win at Oakland this Sunday. Oakland isn't good enough to win out and I don't care who they are playing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 4, 2019 Author Share Posted December 4, 2019 47 minutes ago, Greg S said: The Raiders just got smoked two weeks in a row including one by the hapless Jets. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Titans win at Oakland this Sunday. Oakland isn't good enough to win out and I don't care who they are playing. Favorable or not, them winning out won't be easy. Hell it could be that they lose 3 of the next 4. Titans - Not easy - I expect a L there Jaguars - Not easy - More Minshew Magic? @ Chargers - Not easy - I expect a L there @ Broncos - Not easy - I expect a L there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg S Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 9 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: Favorable or not, them winning out won't be easy. Hell it could be that they lose 3 of the next 4. Titans - Not easy - I expect a L there Jaguars - Not easy - More Minshew Magic? @ Chargers - Not easy - I expect a L there @ Broncos - Not easy - I expect a L there Who is left that the Bills have to worry about. For argument's sake lets say Pats, Ravens, Chiefs, Texans win their divisions which most likely happens anyway. Bills at #5 and Steelers #6. You have the Titans at 7-5 but the Bills own the tiebreaker and the Colts at 6-6. Are these the only two teams left who are still in the hunt for a WC spot. I know the Raiders are 6-6 but the good thing is the Titans and Raiders play this week so someone loses. The only concern is do the Bills finish #5 or #6 depending on that Steelers game. The Titans still have 2 games left with the Texans which won't be easy. The Colts still have to play at NO which is most likely a loss. Bottom line the Bills are in a great spot here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 4, 2019 Author Share Posted December 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, Greg S said: Who is left that the Bills have to worry about. For argument's sake lets say Pats, Ravens, Chiefs, Texans win their divisions which most likely happens anyway. Bills at #5 and Steelers #6. You have the Titans at 7-5 but the Bills own the tiebreaker and the Colts at 6-6. Are these the only two teams left who are still in the hunt for a WC spot. I know the Raiders are 6-6 but the good thing is the Titans and Raiders play this week so someone loses. The only concern is do the Bills finish #5 or #6 depending on that Steelers game. The Titans still have 2 games left with the Texans which won't be easy. The Colts still have to play at NO which is most likely a loss. Bottom line the Bills are in a great spot here. IMOH I see 2 worrisome games .. Ravens and Pats** (just because). There is absolutely no reason that they should lose to the Steelers or JETS https://www.yahoo.com/sports/six-more-teams-clinch-playoff-175532872.html The Bills can clinch a playoff berth with a win and losses or ties by the Raiders, Texans, and Colts. The Chiefs can clinch the AFC West with a win over the Patriots and a Raiders loss, while the Patriots can clinch a playoff berth with a win, or other more complicated arrangements involving ties and losses by others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg S Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: IMOH I see 2 worrisome games .. Ravens and Pats** (just because). There is absolutely no reason that they should lose to the Steelers or JETS https://www.yahoo.com/sports/six-more-teams-clinch-playoff-175532872.html The Bills can clinch a playoff berth with a win and losses or ties by the Raiders, Texans, and Colts. The Chiefs can clinch the AFC West with a win over the Patriots and a Raiders loss, while the Patriots can clinch a playoff berth with a win, or other more complicated arrangements involving ties and losses by others. Pitt at home won't be easy. Tomlin is doing a great job this season especially with their QB situation. Still Pitt has a very good D so I expect a close game. It's definitely winnable but it won't be easy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo_Gal Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 1 hour ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: This weeks KEY GAMES to that really could throw the AFC on its collective heads ... Buffalo over Baltimore and KC over New England!!!! The ramifications in the final 3 weeks are HUGE. I really believe the Bills can defeat the struggling Pats**** I'd love to see that!! Instead of a "Oh, the Patriots are #1 again" the final few weeks would be a cage-match for #1. That would be fantastic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 4, 2019 Author Share Posted December 4, 2019 (edited) 23 minutes ago, Greg S said: Pitt at home won't be easy. Tomlin is doing a great job this season especially with their QB situation. Still Pitt has a very good D so I expect a close game. It's definitely winnable but it won't be easy. No game in the NFL is ever easy. (Even when its apparent it was) 20 minutes ago, Buffalo_Gal said: I'd love to see that!! Instead of a "Oh, the Patriots are #1 again" the final few weeks would be a cage-match for #1. That would be fantastic. You, me and every one else that is NOT a Pats*** fan Edited December 4, 2019 by SlimShady'sGhost 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mykidsdad Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 According to the NFL: "The Bills can clinch a playoff berth with a win and losses or ties by the Raiders, Texans, and Colts." This is the earliest I've seen talk like this since Kelly. Wow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
row_33 Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 hopefully we take this for granted the next 3-5 years or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanC883 Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 clinch playoff spot this week, and the Division in a few!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 (edited) Already a thread on this. Edited December 4, 2019 by MJS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny Hammersticks Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 I’m so done with this team. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ColoradoBills Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 23 hours ago, Jamie Nails said: So, do we want the titans or raiders this weekend? I’m thinking, without running scenarios, we want the titans. We have the tie breaker and they have a tough last three games. Probably so but none of us know the future. The good thing is they are playing each other so someone will likely lose! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logic Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 I've said it before. It's really simple. The Bills need only win ONE of their remaining four games to have a >99% chance at playoffs. This according to FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times playoff machine. Just one game. Any one of the remaining four. Doesn't even matter which one. Just win one and they're a virtual lock. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 4, 2019 Author Share Posted December 4, 2019 Just now, Logic said: I've said it before. It's really simple. The Bills need only win ONE of their remaining four games to have a >99% chance at playoffs. This according to FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times playoff machine. Just one game. Any one of the remaining four. Doesn't even matter which one. Just win one and they're a virtual lock. while I agree with you I've read a number of articles that says a WIN and help clinches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logic Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 57 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: while I agree with you I've read a number of articles that says a WIN and help clinches Totally true. You're right. Personally, I just don't see the clinch likely this week. Not only would the Bills have to beat the Ravens, but the three or four other outcomes that would have to happen just seem unlikely to me. I don't expect this week to be the week the Bills clinch. For all intents and purposes, the Bills just need to win one more game to assure playoffs. It may not technically, officially clinch for them, but it pushes the playoff odds above 99%, which is good enough for me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 4, 2019 Author Share Posted December 4, 2019 Houston plays at home against the Bronco's .... So yeah the odds of them losing .. I don't see it Unless they have a Pats hangover or the FLU No matter what I want to see another Pats LOSS they can regain a win next week then lose to Buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian3488 Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 On StubHub tickets are for sale saying the wild card game is at buffalo? Is this true and will the prices go up or down?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giuseppe Tognarelli Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Frelund has us at 79%! ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts