EmotionallyUnstable Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 We had our quarterly congruence at work today. I spent the whole shift looking at data, analyzing our most recent numbers for patterns and similarities/discrepancies. We checked for validity and reliability in our assessments in order to be sure that we're accurately measuring productivity. It was a long 8 hours. I'm not sure what the hell everyone else did while we we're there but I'm about 96% sure the Bills are going to the playoffs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bills fan since 87 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 1 hour ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: Weak?. Tough Inter division competition might fit better. Just saying Yeah, that's a solid division. No easy outs like Jets/Fish, Skins/Giants. Jax, Tenn can beat ya on the right day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hapless Bills Fan Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 On 11/19/2019 at 8:29 PM, EmotionallyUnstable said: Week 12 Rooting Interests (Bolded teams): Broncos vs. BILLS...8-3! COLTS vs. Texans...Bringing the Colts to 7-4, and dropping the Texans to 6-5. It’s not ideal, but someone has to win. I think I’d prefer the Colts as the division winner. I’d want no part of having to play Watson in the playoffs round one. However, I think the Texans are the better team. Raiders vs. JETS...We can always hope for them to fall to 6-5, but they’ll likely take care of business and end the week at 7-4, one game back from us. DOLPHINS vs. Browns...I actually like the Dolphins here, and don’t think it’d be all that crazy to expect a good game from the Phins. A Browns loss will hand them their 7th loss, likely taking them out of contention. Steelers vs. BENGALS...You just never know with division games... JAGUARS vs. Titans...Both teams would then sit at 5-6. I’m not concerned about either, as I think they have a mixed bag along the rest of the way, and will both likely fizzle our to a disappointing 8-8 or 7-9 COWBOYS vs. Patriots...Let’s go!!!!! Ravens vs. RAMS...Not a huge deal here, but why not root for the NFC to serve up some humble pie and bring those birds back down to earth a few weeks ahead of our meeting. Ravens are hot, and I bet they keep it rolling Teams on Byes: Chiefs, Chargers Synopsis: This could be a very boring week for AFC teams looking to gain ground on the wild card. Many teams in the hunt play games vs. non-contenders and struggling teams. It’s also a chance for one of those teams to sneak a win, and the unfortunate victim to suffer a crippling loss. As many have stated, the only thing that matters is the Bills to win. I think that this point should be emphasized in a week where many contenders likely are looking at adding to their win columns. Playoff Predictions Post-Week 12: Division Leaders: Patriots (9-2) Ravens (9-2) Chiefs (7-4) Texans (7-4) Wild Card: 1) Bills (8-3) 2) Raiders (7-4) In the Hunt: 3) Steelers (6-5) 2) Colts (6-5) 5) Jaguars (5-6) 6) Browns (5-6) 7) Titans (5-6) Disclaimers: I am not sure who owns tie breakers, and am not willing to do the leg work on which 5th or 6th team has the H2H advantage in a hypothetical situation that probably won’t ever happen. Analysis From Ryan Talbot: https://www.newyorkupstate.com/buffalo-bills/2019/11/nfl-playoffs-2019-who-should-buffalo-bills-fans-root-for-in-week-12.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmotionallyUnstable Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 8 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said: Analysis From Ryan Talbot: https://www.newyorkupstate.com/buffalo-bills/2019/11/nfl-playoffs-2019-who-should-buffalo-bills-fans-root-for-in-week-12.html Does he get paid to do that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted November 22, 2019 Author Share Posted November 22, 2019 3 hours ago, EmotionallyUnstable said: Does he get paid to do that? Lol. Unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted November 22, 2019 Author Share Posted November 22, 2019 The Texans Win thus far only muddled the AFCS Bills Win and they are safe at #5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted November 22, 2019 Author Share Posted November 22, 2019 NFL http://www.nfl.com/playoffs/playoff-picture ESPN http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine ESPN standings https://www.espn.com/nfl/standings/_/view/playoff NYT https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/upshot/nfl-playoff-picture.html CBS https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/standings/playoffrace the way too early tie breakers AFC tiebreakers: Houston is ahead of Kansas City based on head to head (1-0). Pittsburgh is ahead of Tennessee based on conference record (4-3 to the Titans' 3-4). Cleveland is ahead of Jacksonville based on conference record (Browns' 4-3 to the Jaguars' 4-4). Denver is ahead of the N.Y. Jets based on conference record (3-4 to the Jets' 0-6). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 (edited) 18 hours ago, RiotAct said: I’m thinking we root for Houston, in order to push Indy down ever further... We wanted Houston. Gunner covered it in another thread (and actually it was quite important): Basically, if we beat Denver and the Jets or Pittsburgh or Baltimore or NE Indy can’t win a tiebreaker against us. If we win just those 2 games we pass Indy at 9-7. Need the Raiders, Chiefs, Steelers and Browns to start dropping some. Edited November 22, 2019 by Kirby Jackson 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bleeding Bills Blue Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 58 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said: We wanted Houston. Gunner covered it in another thread (and actually it was quite important): Basically, if we beat Denver and the Jets or Pittsburgh or Baltimore or NE Indy can’t win a tiebreaker against us. If we win just those 2 games we pass Indy at 9-7. Need the Raiders, Chiefs, Steelers and Browns to start dropping some. Steelers looked really bad against the browns... and they play them again. Browns could be 9-7 when its all said and done. But don't you just picture them controlling their own destiny and blowing an away game to cincy to end the year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 2 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: The Texans Win thus far only muddled the AFCS Bills Win and they are safe at #5. I won’t feel safe until we get to 10 wins!!! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted November 22, 2019 Author Share Posted November 22, 2019 3 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said: We wanted Houston. Gunner covered it in another thread (and actually it was quite important): Basically, if we beat Denver and the Jets or Pittsburgh or Baltimore or NE Indy can’t win a tiebreaker against us. If we win just those 2 games we pass Indy at 9-7. Need the Raiders, Chiefs, Steelers and Browns to start dropping some. cool thanks KJ 2 hours ago, RiotAct said: I won’t feel safe until we get to 10 wins!!! Yup That too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bleeding Bills Blue Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 This is a big game this weekend for playoff hopes. I do think Buffalo will beat pittsburgh, and gase doesn't seem to finish a season once eliminated so i see buffalo winning that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 3 hours ago, dneveu said: Steelers looked really bad against the browns... and they play them again. Browns could be 9-7 when its all said and done. But don't you just picture them controlling their own destiny and blowing an away game to cincy to end the year? The Browns kind of scare me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrb1979 Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 The Denver game scares me. This is the first Bills game against a good defense since the Pats game and we all know how the offense did in that one. The Bills have to 3-3 to make it. The Raiders will probably finish 10-6. I can see the Browns only loss the rest of the way against the Ravens. If they finish 9-7 the win the tie breaker against the Bills. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eball Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 8 minutes ago, Jrb1979 said: I can see the Browns only loss the rest of the way against the Ravens Yeah, they lost their best player for the season and are still a schittshow but sure, they'll finish out 5-1. Don't bet your paycheck on that one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrb1979 Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 Just now, eball said: Yeah, they lost their best player for the season and are still a schittshow but sure, they'll finish out 5-1. Don't bet your paycheck on that one. They have any easy schedule left minus the Ravens, whom they beat once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eball Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 5 minutes ago, Jrb1979 said: They have any easy schedule left minus the Ravens, whom they beat once. Ok, bet your paycheck and let me know how it turns out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bleeding Bills Blue Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 3 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said: The Browns kind of scare me. They got a H2H against us and a really talented team. 2 games against the bengals, and 1 against Miami should be 3 easy ones. Then 2 of Pitt, zona, and baltimore. They're missing a really serious all-pro piece of their defense though which might end up biting them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg S Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 3 hours ago, Jrb1979 said: They have any easy schedule left minus the Ravens, whom they beat once. At Pitt won't be easy for both the Bills and Browns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bleeding Bills Blue Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 1 minute ago, Greg S said: At Pitt won't be easy for both the Bills and Browns. I don't think arizona is a cupcake either at this point. They've lost 3 straight close games - gotta think they are still playing hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted November 23, 2019 Author Share Posted November 23, 2019 6 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said: The Browns kind of scare me. Bold prediction the Bengals beat the Browns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Just now, SlimShady'sGhost said: Bold prediction the Bengals beat the Browns Oh man I hope so!! I don’t see this Bengals team going winless. That’s the kind of game that they could steal. It would be great if the game that they steal helps us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted November 23, 2019 Author Share Posted November 23, 2019 On 11/22/2019 at 4:50 PM, dneveu said: I don't think arizona is a cupcake either at this point. They've lost 3 straight close games - gotta think they are still playing hard. I think Arizona will be a good game and may take the win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billsbackto81 Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 On 11/22/2019 at 12:45 PM, Kirby Jackson said: The Browns kind of scare me. Really? Why? There not running the table without Garrett. Even if they did I'd love a rematch with them though unlikely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 4 minutes ago, billsbackto81 said: Really? Why? There not running the table without Garrett. Even if they did I'd love a rematch with them though unlikely. Well, if we both end up 9-7 they’d have the tiebreaker. That’s possible. They play Dolphins, Bengals (2), Cardinals, Steelers and Ravens. Is it crazy to think that they win 5 of those games? I don’t think it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billsbackto81 Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 22 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said: Well, if we both end up 9-7 they’d have the tiebreaker. That’s possible. They play Dolphins, Bengals (2), Cardinals, Steelers and Ravens. Is it crazy to think that they win 5 of those games? I don’t think it is. If we both end up 9-7 and they win the spot the Bills have no one to blame but themselves. I'm still disgusted we lost that game to those douche bags. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 2 hours ago, billsbackto81 said: If we both end up 9-7 and they win the spot the Bills have no one to blame but themselves. I'm still disgusted we lost that game to those douche bags. Oh I agree 100%. That game was there to be won. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDingus Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 On 11/18/2019 at 1:06 PM, LOVEMESOMEBILLS said: Cleveland is not ending the year on a 8 game winning streak especially with no Garrett. I think the Raiders end 10-6 at best and Pit isn't finishing the year winning 10 of it's last 11 or even winning 9 of their last 11. Pitt is playing very well, and they've won 4 out of 5 already. After Ben went down in game 1, here's what their losses look like: Lost by 2 points against the currently 8-2 Seahawks Lost by 4 points against the currently 9-1 49ers (@ San Fran) Lost by 3 points against the currently 8-2 Ravens Lost by 14 points against the currently 4-6 Browns (@ Cleveland) So aside from last week's against the Browns, they've lost by an average of 3 points against 3 teams with a combined 25-5 record. That's without Big Ben. Their remaining schedule is: @ Bengals (0-10) Browns (4-6) @ Cardinals (3-7-1) Bills (7-3) @ Jets (3-7) @ Ravens (8-2) I don't see why people are so convinced the Steelers can't win out, or at least win 5 out of 6. Their chances are certainly better than ours for doing that. If they were playing the Ravens earlier it might change things up, but considering the Ravens will likely be resting starters week 17. Winning 9 of 11 wouldn't be that shocking, not at all. After their game 1 blowout, they had some very close losses to the best teams in the league. Since then, they've won everything aside from the Browns (which we also lost). So discounting their ability to win the rest of their games is weird to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stank_Nasty Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 (edited) 55 minutes ago, BigDingus said: Pitt is playing very well, and they've won 4 out of 5 already. After Ben went down in game 1, here's what their losses look like: Lost by 2 points against the currently 8-2 Seahawks Lost by 4 points against the currently 9-1 49ers (@ San Fran) Lost by 3 points against the currently 8-2 Ravens Lost by 14 points against the currently 4-6 Browns (@ Cleveland) So aside from last week's against the Browns, they've lost by an average of 3 points against 3 teams with a combined 25-5 record. That's without Big Ben. Their remaining schedule is: @ Bengals (0-10) Browns (4-6) @ Cardinals (3-7-1) Bills (7-3) @ Jets (3-7) @ Ravens (8-2) I don't see why people are so convinced the Steelers can't win out, or at least win 5 out of 6. Their chances are certainly better than ours for doing that. If they were playing the Ravens earlier it might change things up, but considering the Ravens will likely be resting starters week 17. Winning 9 of 11 wouldn't be that shocking, not at all. After their game 1 blowout, they had some very close losses to the best teams in the league. Since then, they've won everything aside from the Browns (which we also lost). So discounting their ability to win the rest of their games is weird to me. The Steelers have been relying on a ridiculous amount of turnovers as well as defensive scores in close games. That’s not a sustainable recipe for wins. Their offense is garbage. I think it’s completely unrealistic to think they can win 5 out of their last 6. And winning out? Laughable really. Last week We saw exactly how they’ll start losing games when the defense isn’t spotting them 2 or 3 extra Possessions and field position. Edited November 24, 2019 by Stank_Nasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ComradeKayAdams Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 (edited) 9 hours ago, Stank_Nasty said: The Steelers have been relying on a ridiculous amount of turnovers as well as defensive scores in close games. That’s not a sustainable recipe for wins. Their offense is garbage. I think it’s completely unrealistic to think they can win 5 out of their last 6. And winning out? Laughable really. Last week We saw exactly how they’ll start losing games when the defense isn’t spotting them 2 or 3 extra Possessions and field position. Agree 100%. Steelers aren't finishing 5-1 or better. And the Colts aren't finishing 6-0. And the Titans aren't finishing 6-0. And the Jaguars aren't finishing 6-0. And the Browns aren't finishing 6-0. If the Bills can somehow get to 10-6 in any way possible, I GUARANTEE they are making the playoffs. If they don't, then I promise to make out with Peter Schrager live on GMFB December 30... Now 9-7 gets a little more complicated. In this situation, the Bills still have a pretty good chance, but the two wins may need to come from Denver (tiebreaker with Indy) and Pittsburgh (to fend off Pittsburgh, obviously). Edited November 24, 2019 by Hapless Bills Fan inappropriate language Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ComradeKayAdams Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 27 minutes ago, RiotAct said: Whoa now Yeah that's right. I totally said it. The Bills at 10-6 WILL make the playoffs, even if one of their 6 losses is against the Steelers. What are you going to do about it, pal?! I'll fight you over it. I will totally fight you and HURT you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILBillsfan Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 4 hours ago, BigDingus said: Pitt is playing very well, and they've won 4 out of 5 already. After Ben went down in game 1, here's what their losses look like: Lost by 2 points against the currently 8-2 Seahawks Lost by 4 points against the currently 9-1 49ers (@ San Fran) Lost by 3 points against the currently 8-2 Ravens Lost by 14 points against the currently 4-6 Browns (@ Cleveland) So aside from last week's against the Browns, they've lost by an average of 3 points against 3 teams with a combined 25-5 record. That's without Big Ben. Their remaining schedule is: @ Bengals (0-10) Browns (4-6) @ Cardinals (3-7-1) Bills (7-3) @ Jets (3-7) @ Ravens (8-2) I don't see why people are so convinced the Steelers can't win out, or at least win 5 out of 6. Their chances are certainly better than ours for doing that. If they were playing the Ravens earlier it might change things up, but considering the Ravens will likely be resting starters week 17. Winning 9 of 11 wouldn't be that shocking, not at all. After their game 1 blowout, they had some very close losses to the best teams in the league. Since then, they've won everything aside from the Browns (which we also lost). So discounting their ability to win the rest of their games is weird to me. The Steelers have injury issues JuJu is out with concussion Conner has shoulder issues and Rudolph is over rated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ganesh Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 10 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said: Oh I agree 100%. That game was there to be won. Our defense let us down by give that 85 Yard TD drive...They had two chances to turnover the ball, but the Refs and then White bailed them out...Then the defense as a whole bailed on multiple 3rd and long and 4th and long!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted November 24, 2019 Author Share Posted November 24, 2019 Excellent Win by Buffalo the maybe bad Steelers and Browns won Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zow2 Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Between games vs Pittsburgh, Arizona and BALTIMORE, the Browns could lose 2 of those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 One of them will lose next week.....unless they tie, lol. Not sure which is better but someone will probably have that info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAJBobby Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 With the Raiders Loss Bills have a 2 game lead for the WC at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted November 24, 2019 Author Share Posted November 24, 2019 AFC SEED TEAM DIVISION RECORD 1 East 9-1-0 2 North 8-2-0 3 South 7-4-0 Houston is ahead of Kansas City based on head to head (1-0). 4 West 7-4-0 Houston is ahead of Kansas City based on head to head (1-0). 5 East 8-3-0 6 North 6-5-0 Pittsburgh and Oakland are ahead of Indianapolis based on head-to-head sweep (2-0). Pittsburgh is ahead of Oakland based on conference record (5-3 to the Raiders' 4-3). STILL ALIVE 7 West 6-5-0 Pittsburgh and Oakland are ahead of Indianapolis based on head-to-head sweep (2-0). Pittsburgh is ahead of Oakland based on conference record (5-3 to the Raiders' 4-3). 8 South 6-5-0 Pittsburgh and Oakland are ahead of Indianapolis based on head-to-head sweep (2-0). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted November 25, 2019 Author Share Posted November 25, 2019 (edited) Seth Walder ESPN Analytics After beating the Broncos today, the Bills now have an 82% chance to reach the playoffs per FPI (through 1 p.m. games). Edited November 25, 2019 by SlimShady'sGhost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ColoradoBills Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 15 hours ago, ganesh said: Our defense let us down by give that 85 Yard TD drive...They had two chances to turnover the ball, but the Refs and then White bailed them out...Then the defense as a whole bailed on multiple 3rd and long and 4th and long!!! Do we suck again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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