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Have You Started To Lose Faith in Josh Allen?


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9 minutes ago, Phil The Thrill said:

What makes you think he’ll learn?  Because in nearly 1 1/2 years as a pro, he hasn’t.

He's showing improvement in every game, save this one. Countless times this year, the pass to Knox right at the edge of the field comes to mind, where I said to anybody who would listen "A year ago, he runs that ball and maybe gains five yards." It seems to me that ever since the intentional grounding call against Cincinnati, he's been afraid to throw it away which I hope he works on.  

 

He had a bad game against an elite D. You know who else didn't have a spectacular outing? Tom Brady, the alleged GOAT. This was a very good game between two top notch defenses.

Edited by The Real Buffalo Joe
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9 minutes ago, FLFan said:

Predictable hysteria to what was also predictable  - he was going to have a bad game at some point.  The Bills won 3 games because of Allen and will win plenty more.  

There is hysteria but it's not all hysteria. 

 

Just like it wasnt just Allen that won the three games.

 

No 2 defence in the league.

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2 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

Interesting point....he also didnt lose the pats game along.

 

If ST's doesnt give up a TD we win?

Absolutely.

 

he didn't lose the game on his own no. I mean 3 picks is giving the opposition the ball 3 times but the defence again did their thing.

 

The interceptions with Allen don't bother ME that much. Neither does throwing across the body. There IS an issue with both of those but he's hit some for gains and I want an element of that still there because it's exciting.

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17 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

Interesting point....he also didnt lose the pats game along.

 

If ST's doesnt give up a TD we win?

 

I guess you can hold the other team to never try to score more points if they were needed

 

and safely take a TD off the board

 

and convince yourself the Bills would have scored a TD without the other team trying to respond

 

this can be fun, but not worth your while

 

 

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17 minutes ago, row_33 said:

 

I guess you can hold the other team to never try to score more points if they were needed

 

and safely take a TD off the board

 

and convince yourself the Bills would have scored a TD without the other team trying to respond

 

this can be fun, but not worth your while

 

 

It really isnt.....the bottom line is they lost

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18 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

It really isnt.....the bottom line is they lost

 

yup....

 

all decisions are made in real time based on

 

1)  the score

2) how much time is left or innings or whatever

3) the resources you have in real time on your team to implement

4) your goals for the contest

 

and you make the decisions from these 4 factors right on the spot and live with it

 

and please don't bother trying to override this....  pretend a loss can become a win.... not worth your while

 

i hate it when a man is caught stealing in baseball and the next guy hits a home run and the announcer says "that caught stealing cost them a run" because the situation completely changed the second the man was thrown out....

 

but that's me...

 

 

 

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On 9/30/2019 at 4:54 PM, Nihilarian said:

Some OC's tend to call plays in whatever they want without understanding the QB's they have under them aren't elite, fully developed players. Bills WR John Brown recently stated that this current offensive scheme is the most complex, complicated he has been involved in. 

 

I have no doubt that Josh Allen has the smarts to understand the entire offensive scheme and make it work. What the problem is he was going against the most complex defense in the league that confuses even the best QB's out there. Josh was seeing multiple coverage's, looks and players switching positions which were causing him problems.  Plus the Patriots were playing a tight man to man which was taking away that short stuff to Beasley, Brown. 

 

If you go back to watch the film to look at the NE defense, the Patriots ran against the Steeler's in week one vs what they ran against Miami it looked like two completely different defenses.

 

Herein is the problem in that Bills OC Brian Daboll should have been calling plays that would allow that young QB to settle in and gain some confidence, get into a rhythm which would require working the run game well enough to move the chains so the QB doesn't need to shoulder the offense. Work the run game like Anthony Lynn, Greg Roman did with a less talented line. Once the Pats defense is worried about stopping the run game then work the passing game. 

 

The Bills should be running the ball much more then they are passing it and they should have been doing this all season. If they are forced to pass because the run game isn't working then find those short passes that allow completions, get confidence up, get him in a rhythm and good things should happen.

 

Instead, the Bills came out throwing Pass, pass, sack! Penalty on Pats defense for holding! Frank Gore 9 yards, Gore 2 yards and back to the passing again. Pass, incomplete but Center Mitch Morse penalty. Frank Gore run, no gain. Penalty on Lee Smith holding. Now its 1st and 20 on the Buffalo 30 yard line and Allen goes deep middle, intercepted! 

 

Knowing how good that Patriots defense is against the pass the Bills should have been working Gore and Yeldon more all game. Frank Gore had 17 rushes for 109 yards and it should have been more. This current OC is pass happy regardless of the situation, QB, opposing defense and he has been his entire career. 

The Pats did exactly what I said they would do, fill the box, make it hard to run (numbers wise) and take the short middle away.. instantly, Allen is in his worst spot and he has to do what he doesn't like or he starts making stupid decisions.  He chose the latter.

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56 minutes ago, london_bills said:

There is hysteria but it's not all hysteria. 

 

Just like it wasnt just Allen that won the three games.

 

No 2 defence in the league.

Yes with respect to your comment on defense, but we were talking about QB play.  As far as the hysteria is concerned, yes it is.  There are absolutely no concerns arising from the NE game that were not already present.  Allen is precisely the same player today as he was before the game, albeit more experienced.  Yet people are now comparing him to Trent Edwards and suggesting that Barkley will be an improvement.  Clearly, mass hysteria has taken over Bills Nation.  

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7 minutes ago, FLFan said:

Yes with respect to your comment on defense, but we were talking about QB play.  As far as the hysteria is concerned, yes it is.  There are absolutely no concerns arising from the NE game that were not already present.  Allen is precisely the same player today as he was before the game, albeit more experienced.  Yet people are now comparing him to Trent Edwards and suggesting that Barkley will be an improvement.  Clearly, mass hysteria has taken over Bills Nation.  

I disagree. I saw something further against new England that made me question whether he has it. He was intimidated to me.

 

How do you know he is precisely the same player after the game that he was before?

 

He's better than Edwards and Barkley and we both know that. There are more highs and lows with Allen than the other two.

 

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12 hours ago, Gugny said:

The 15 start mark is also where the fanbase started calling for EJ's head.  I remember it like it was yesterday.  

 

This is a completely different situation, from ownership on down (thank GOD).  I'm confident the end result will also be different.

 

And EJ's first 15 were statically better than Josh's.

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...kid has 15 effin' starts.......boy I'd stay up late at night hopin' Bflo drafts me as their QB so I can walk down the pigeon s#&t stained "welcome mat".....I'd opt for Grad School...then my PhD......SMH..........

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he has a long way to go but havent given up on him.

He will never be a great QB because of his inaccuracy. He can become a good QB if he learns to have more composure...throwing the ball away when needed, working to his strengths and knowing his limitationsHaving more awareness out there when we are in FG position(sacks are not acceptable esp when they take you out of FG range).

There is just too much time when he loses focus and we end up scoring no points for 3 QTRS after we have been driving down the field all day...-We cant expect our D to be the 2000 ravens.we are good but not that good.

17 minutes ago, london_bills said:

I disagree. I saw something further against new England that made me question whether he has it. He was intimidated to me.

 

How do you know he is precisely the same player after the game that he was before?

 

He's better than Edwards and Barkley and we both know that. There are more highs and lows with Allen than the other two.

 

barkley is way better than edwards. as soon as teams realized that all edwards could throw was a buttonhook then defending him became very easy. he couldnt lead a receiver if his life depended on it.

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10 hours ago, SoTier said:

Russell Wilson as a rookie also relied on heavy run support in the person of Marshawn Lynch.  In fact, Wilson wasn't considered a grerat passer until his third or fourth year in the league.  That doesn't mean that he "didn't get it from the start". 

 

Wasn't considered by whom?

 

I'm not sure what you're basing this on.  But I live in Seattle and watch the Seahawks a lot just cuz their local and on.  I pegged Russell as a good passer right out of the chute.  That's the difference between him and other running QBs.  he is also a really good passer and was the start IMHO.  I recall one game in particular where they were down on last drive Russell threw a perfect 30 yard pass to Sidney Rice to get the win.

 

In his rookie year he threw for 3100+ yards at a 64.1 % for 7.9 YPA 26 TDs vs 10 picks. I'd take that all day everyday.  Even from our 2nd year guy.  He's almost got the picks.  So at least there's that.

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13 minutes ago, Tcali said:

he has a long way to go but havent given up on him.

He will never be a great QB because of his inaccuracy. He can become a good QB if he learns to have more composure...throwing the ball away when needed, working to his strengths and knowing his limitationsHaving more awareness out there when we are in FG position(sacks are not acceptable esp when they take you out of FG range).

There is just too much time when he loses focus and we end up scoring no points for 3 QTRS after we have been driving down the field all day...-We cant expect our D to be the 2000 ravens.we are good but not that good.

barkley is way better than edwards. as soon as teams realized that all edwards could throw was a buttonhook then defending him became very easy. he couldnt lead a receiver if his life depended on it.

'he will never be a great QB because of his inaccuracy'. I tend to agree. 

 

I always notice how INACCURATE Allen is when another QB Barkley or Peterman, yes Peterman, came in and looked more pinpoint.

 

When Allen's IN RHYTHM he's better on all fronts. He's not naturally accurate and so this element of his game gets worse when he is under pressure or 'in his head'.

 

Edited by london_bills
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24 minutes ago, london_bills said:

'he will never be a great QB because of his inaccuracy'. I tend to agree. 

 

I always notice how INACCURATE Allen is when another QB Barkley or Peterman, yes Peterman, came in and looked more pinpoint.

 

When Allen's IN RHYTHM he's better on all fronts. He's not naturally accurate and so this element of his game gets worse when he is under pressure or 'in his head'.

 

yep the weakness is accentuated under pressure...whereas with guys like kelly,montana etc they get more accurate the more pressure there is. JA can work on these things.If he judiciously uses his GREAT running ability this will also be helpful

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3 minutes ago, Tcali said:

yep the weakness is accentuated under pressure...whereas with guys like kelly,montana etc they get more accurate the more pressure there is. JA can work on these things.If he judiciously uses his GREAT running ability this will also be helpful

Its like tunnel vision your describing.

 

I HAVE seen that kind of thing with Allen in terms of focus, in clutch moments, but it's whether it can be sustained or whether he will only ever flash it. 

 

He always seems more settled when he can run for some yards in drives, teams will take that away though and force him to be a pocket passer

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So now this has derailed into a conversation about Mahomes?

 

What the hell.

 

Let's be objective about this folks.  Here's Allen's season in a nutshell:

 

JETS Game (this was in the Meadowlands WITH Darnold... lest we forget there was a good deal of preseason hype for the Jets)

-Solid and productive and demonstrated a good grasp of the offense, BUT...

-Terrible bounces of the football.  AT LEAST half of the turnovers in that game just weren't on Josh, and you could make an argument that he wasn't primarily culpable in any of them.  BUT...

-Brought the team back down 13 in the 4th Quarter

-Pretty accurate for the whole game

 

GIANTS Game

-Don't complain about this game.  Josh was really good.

-210 yards passing in the 1st half with 1 passing TD and 1 rushing TD

-Foot completely off the gas in the 2nd half... something that I think goes to both Daboll and player execution across the offense.

-Pretty accurate for the whole game

 

BENGALS Game

-Seemed the same trend as the Giants game.

-Great 1st half with 190 passing yards and a TD along.

-Terrible INT in the 2nd half.

-Recovered though for the 4th Quarter Game Winning Drive

-Pretty accurate for the whole game.

 

PATRIOTS Game

-We all saw that 1st half.  Utterly attrocious.  Horrible accuracy.  Bad decisions.

-Final drive of the 1st half we still got in makeable FG range

-1st drive of the 2nd half the no-huddle was really working to help Allen and the offense get in rhythm... don't know why they stopped the no-huddle

-Another horrible INT

-Seemed to start figuring things out getting the team moving.

-Concussed.

 

 

 

Does anyone disagree with that assessment of those games?

 

Now, which one of those is not like the other?

 

So why the F&^%& are we FREAKING out over 1 bad game against the greatest coach in NFL history who has cut his teeth on eating young QBs alive?  :doh:

 

R-E-L-A-X 

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5 hours ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

Are people really trying to pretend Mahomes just isn’t awesome? His LT is out too.  

 

Great qbs raise up the level of the players around them.  Qbs who aren’t good enough get bailed out by excuses like they don’t have enough playmakers around them.  

Yeah, I think it's time to drop the Mahomes is a product of the system thing. The guy is amazing.

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24 minutes ago, Buffalo Timmy said:

I still full hope in him but no faith beyond he is a gamer and has the cojones to go for big plays when needed. Anyone who has faith in a QB like him is crazy- I hope to have faith in 2 more years.

 

Pretty much my take. Josh has the leadership and will to win at all costs. Just not sure he is a good enough passer to pull it off.  He did appear somewhat accurate in the 1st 3 games. Hopefully that returns.

3 minutes ago, LSHMEAB said:

Yeah, I think it's time to drop the Mahomes is a product of the system thing. The guy is amazing.

 

I think it's both.

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4 hours ago, Nihilarian said:

This entire comparison to Patrick Mahomes is ridiculous. Allen doesn't have Andy Reid coaching, developing him. Instead he has a guy who thought that Nathan Peterman should be the 2018 starter...  

 

I should stop right here because the coaching issue is supreme! 

 

Then consider Mahomes actually sat for an entire season learning behind Alex Smith...a former #1 overall QB who led the Chiefs to a 10-6 record. 

 

Mahomes also had pro bowl/all pro WR Tyreek Hill, pro bowl/all pro TE Travis Kelce. Pro bowl Tackle Eric Fisher, all pro tackle Mitchel Schwartz, Center Mitch Morse. RB Kareem Hunt.

 

Allen didn't and still doesn't have talent around him like Mahomes has and he was thrown to the proverbial wolves behind the worst O line in the NFL with a crappy receiving corps and virtually no running game besides himself! 

 

Just giving Allen a coach like Andy Reid with this current surrounding cast and the Bills offense would be totally different. 

So fire Daboll? The most TD passes any QB had thrown under HC Andy Reid was 28 prior to Mahomes arrival. That was like a 20 year stretch. Andy Reid has a really solid offensive mind, but it seems like he retroactively became a "QB whisperer" and offensive genius when that kid from TT showed up.

1 minute ago, reddogblitz said:

 

Pretty much my take. Josh has the leadership and will to win at all costs. Just not sure he is a good enough passer to pull it off.  He did appear somewhat accurate in the 1st 3 games. Hopefully that returns.

 

I think it's both.

Fair enough, but it's ridiculous to think Mahomes wouldn't be a star QB regardless of where he ended up. That seems to be the insinuation(not by you).

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2 hours ago, John from Riverside said:

Interesting point....he also didnt lose the pats game along.

 

If ST's doesnt give up a TD we win?

 

JA is responsible for 10 points of turn overs. If this were a game where both teams

scored 28+, I’d be Temped to agree. 

 

But it’s not. It’s a game lost 16-10 where we had bad QB play, from a QB with a number of games with bad QB-ing. 

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30 minutes ago, Buffalo Timmy said:

I still full hope in him but no faith beyond he is a gamer and has the cojones to go for big plays when needed. Anyone who has faith in a QB like him is crazy- I hope to have faith in 2 more years.

 

The more Allen plays, the more he almost

looks like a replica of Favre. He’s missing connecting on some of those deep post and seem patterns. If he can start to connect on more of those and elevate his WR’s on this plays, we have a baller! 

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Just now, One Buffalo said:

Interesting stats... he was looking much better after the half and I know many have said they believe he would have won the game if not taken out-

 

 

 

I hate playing what-ifs. You are what you perform. 

 

My last  national championship, I had a terrible start, I still won; but just missed fastest time of the entire race by about a second. I thought for a moment, “if only”. But the result is, if the were better I would have set the record. But I wasn’t beater, so I didn’t. You either own in and live with it, or think what-if’s and never become good enough. 

 

I think JA holds himself to the same standard, and it’s in the franchises best interest to do the same. Judge by production, not “what-ifs” or “shoulda-couldas” 

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3 hours ago, The Real Buffalo Joe said:

He's showing improvement in every game, save this one. Countless times this year, the pass to Knox right at the edge of the field comes to mind, where I said to anybody who would listen "A year ago, he runs that ball and maybe gains five yards." It seems to me that ever since the intentional grounding call against Cincinnati, he's been afraid to throw it away which I hope he works on.  

 

He had a bad game against an elite D. You know who else didn't have a spectacular outing? Tom Brady, the alleged GOAT. This was a very good game between two top notch defenses.


The difference is, Brady was not reckless with the ball.  He didn’t throw 3 INT or take sacks to put them out of FG range.

 

The Bills lost because of Josh Allen....no way around it

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7 minutes ago, Phil The Thrill said:


The difference is, Brady was not reckless with the ball.  He didn’t throw 3 INT or take sacks to put them out of FG range.

 

The Bills lost because of Josh Allen....no way around it

He had a bad game no question.  Could have done a lot more to win it.  But basic math tells you if the punt isn’t blocked the score was 10-9.

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Just now, oldmanfan said:

He had a bad game no question.  Could have done a lot more to win it.  But basic math tells you if the punt isn’t blocked the score was 10-9.


If we are playing that game, you can argue that the two Allen sacks on 3rd down that knocked the Bills out of FG range, cost 6 points. 
 

So even with the blocked punt that puts the game at 16-16.  This would allow the Bills to kick the FG and win 19-16.

 

This is a ridiculous game to play but Allen our the Bills defense is terrible positions.  He was awful.  This was a game the Bills should win

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Just now, Phil The Thrill said:


If we are playing that game, you can argue that the two Allen sacks on 3rd down that knocked the Bills out of FG range, cost 6 points. 
 

So even with the blocked punt that puts the game at 16-16.  This would allow the Bills to kick the FG and win 19-16.

 

This is a ridiculous game to play but Allen our the Bills defense is terrible positions.  He was awful.  This was a game the Bills should win

The game you play is you have a built in bias against Allen.  You say you’re a fan but pretty much every comment to make about the guy is negative.

 

He stunk the first half last week.  He was a lot better the second half before he got his bell rung.  He has to realize games are not won or lost just on his arm.  He has to take shorter throws, throw it away, etc.  He got a very good lesson from Prof Belichick Sunday, let’s see how much he absorbs.

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1 minute ago, london_bills said:

Mahomes and Allen don't belong in the same sentence. 

 

This.

 

One guy is the best QB in the NFL, and the other guy is one of the worst starters. 

 

Our starting QB struggles to throw a 5 yard out. He routinely skips check downs so he can throw it into double coverage. 

 

I can't think of a single other QB who struggled so badly with the basics who ever succeeded in becoming a franchise QB. 

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1 hour ago, Mango said:

 

The more Allen plays, the more he almost

looks like a replica of Favre. He’s missing connecting on some of those deep post and seem patterns. If he can start to connect on more of those and elevate his WR’s on this plays, we have a baller! 

I agree- I am waiting for a reciever he trusts in all versions of the passing game like Fitzpatrick had Stevie- but with talent.

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56 minutes ago, oldmanfan said:

He had a bad game no question.  Could have done a lot more to win it.  But basic math tells you if the punt isn’t blocked the score was 10-9.


And not being able to run the ball in from the 2 near the end.  Not on Barkley, not on Allen as he wasn't in.  Allen had a stinker of a game but there were other spots where the Bills could have pulled this out and didn't.  Hopefully they hate the taste of that loss and come out gunning for bear in the rematch.

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47 minutes ago, oldmanfan said:

The game you play is you have a built in bias against Allen.  You say you’re a fan but pretty much every comment to make about the guy is negative.

 

 

Built in bias that he's not the ultimate answer does not= hope that the "bias" is correct. It's entirely possible for one to have not liked the pick, be a die hard Bills fan, and hope that the initial opinion is proven wrong.

 

I'm quite sure there have been Bills quarterbacks you weren't sold on, didn't fully believe in, yet wanted to succeed.

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1 hour ago, oldmanfan said:

The game you play is you have a built in bias against Allen.  You say you’re a fan but pretty much every comment to make about the guy is negative.

 

He stunk the first half last week.  He was a lot better the second half before he got his bell rung.  He has to realize games are not won or lost just on his arm.  He has to take shorter throws, throw it away, etc.  He got a very good lesson from Prof Belichick Sunday, let’s see how much he absorbs.


There’s a difference between being biased and being honest with what you are seeing - even when it’s not what the result you want.  Many Bills fans seem to have an issue with the latter.  
 

There are all kinds of excuses and bogus rationalizations (like you saying the blocked punt was the difference) for Josh’s performance but the bottom line is - he stunk.  He hurt the team very badly and had it not been for excellent defense, his mistakes could have sunk the team.  Everyone who watches the game said it.  I just read Joe Buscaglia’s All 22 report and Josh got a D+.....a D+! 
 

The jury is still very much out on Allen.  While his game winning drives given us hope, performances like Cincinnati and New England make you second guess whether he’ll actually fix his game.  That’s the whole point of this thread.

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15 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I fundamentally disagree with with you Nihilarian. If you wanted a run heavy gameplan and then ask the QB to make the key chain movers on 3rd downs that is not the guy Josh Allen is and I 100% believe he would look worse in that type of offense. If that is what you wanted to run the guy you should have drafted is playing for the Steelers. Josh Allen is at his best when he is in rhythm, up tempo, spread concepts and the ball is in his hands. The way that the Seahawks developed Russell Wilson or the way the Ravens developed Joe Flacco is not the way I believe you have to do it in the modern NFL. You have to run some, absolutely, but you have to get your Quarterback involved. And Josh Allen in particular, more than any QB I can ever remember seeing, is a rhythm guy. When he is in rhythm with the ball in his hands he plays his best. When he is out of rhythm and being asked to just hand it off and make the odd throw those throws are invariably off target.

 

 

I would have liked to see more runs this game. Not to hide Allen, rather I think run blocking is the current strength of this o-line and their pass pro not-so-much. Dawkins and Ford were giving up plenty of pressure off the edges....especially Ford.

 

If it protected Allen a bit then that would have been fine too. NE's defense is very good at shutting down the passing game. I don't feel they are as good against the run, but few teams hang with them long enough so that running the ball is an option.

 

Look at all the positive yards grandpa Gore was getting. Not sure if he could have taken more touches, but when we do have the RB depth there is no reason not to run the ball if it is an effective strategy to move the chains.

 

Really not sure if that is hiding Josh, I just think it is a better way to play that NE defense this year with our personnel.

 

I do agree that Josh works better with the hurry up as he does not have the time to over think his options.

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