Jump to content

Hockenson at #9 Change My Mind


Recommended Posts

5 hours ago, #34fan said:

Look, from day 1 Hockenson helps us move the chains.  If he's anywhere near what he was in college, the Bills start moving the chains AT-WILL.. Which, in case no one's paying attention, is exactly what the Patriots do to us. (Every single time :wallbash:)    No matter who your pick is at 9,  you can't ignore that type of ability on draft day.

 

 

I see Hock as a bona-fide All Pro just like Q Nelson from last yrs draft. Hock will have a major effect on the lucky team that takes him.  He's a baller and ballers no matter the position should go high in the draft. 

 

Teams that live by those old crusty rules of not taking certain positions high in the draft those are the same teams that will be wishing they had Hock on there team the next 10yrs. 

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, BillsFan1988 said:

Everyone keeps saying trade back and take Hock . It's not happening he won't be there. The Pack will take him at #12 no doubt about it. 

You have to watch out with the trade backs - it is easy for any other team who wants a player to leap frog you. The only problem I have with Hock is that more than likely there will be a blue chip DL/OL players there that you shouldn't pass up if you are truly BPA; if any QBs get taken before us, the chances for top tier talent is there for our picking.  

 

I want a TE as much as anyone, but I couldn't take Hock over an OT/Oliver at 9. I'm thinking we might not make it to Hock, but Fant or the guy from Notre Dame may be a good target for us and more realistic for us to get. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Reed83HOF said:

You have to watch out with the trade backs - it is easy for any other team who wants a player to leap frog you. The only problem I have with Hock is that more than likely there will be a blue chip DL/OL players there that you shouldn't pass up if you are truly BPA; if any QBs get taken before us, the chances for top tier talent is there for our picking.  

 

I want a TE as much as anyone, but I couldn't take Hock over an OT/Oliver at 9. I'm thinking we might not make it to Hock, but Fant or the guy from Notre Dame may be a good target for us and more realistic for us to get. 

I see Hock as a blue chip TE . Let me ask u this question what's more difficult to add to your team an elite TE or DE? I see elite DE getting traded or on the block for a trade . U never see elite TEs in there prime even being mentioned in a deal.  Once a team has 1 they don't even think about letting him go.  I realize a elite pass rusher on the Dline is essential to a team but elite TEs are not in abundance.  It's a supply and demand sort of thing. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I’m not into taking a TE in the top 10. The best TEs in the league were all taken outside the 1st rd. I dont think he’s that special to warrant that high of a pick given who else may be there. Maybe if the trade down later in the 1st but even then I’m not sold on him that high. 

  • Like (+1) 3
  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Gotta be Hockenson at 9.  Brought in Ed Oliver early as a smoke screen.  Bean's reputation relies on Josh Allen succeeding. He would be the biggest help to Allen's development for his blocking and pass catching ability.  Plus he will help with Allen's completion percentage with additional short and intermediate throws which is in line with the way the NFL is trending.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Bad Things Man said:

Gotta be Hockenson at 9.  Brought in Ed Oliver early as a smoke screen.  Bean's reputation relies on Josh Allen succeeding. He would be the biggest help to Allen's development for his blocking and pass catching ability.  Plus he will help with Allen's completion percentage with additional short and intermediate throws which is in line with the way the NFL is trending.

This is a good point. To some degree, both McDermott and Beane's careers at this stage, and with the Bills, is directly tied to Allen playing well and becoming a franchise QB for 10+ years whether they are still here or not. If Allen plays well, they are never going to suck, and if he turns into a stud, the team could excel. The best way for that to happen is to give him a lot of weapons, and a good TE can do a world of good. Granted, a great defense helps a QB in a lot of ways, too. But there is something to the perception is reality element to this. If Beane nails the QB pick he is going to have a long tenure here. He may not consciously make decisions based on that and just load up on offensive guys with disregard for the defense, and to some degree this is McDermott's team, but it could be a factor. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, Canadian Bills Fan said:

 

Agreed. But I want him for the Bills which also is a main reason why I think he will end up in NE

I think it’s more likely that Belichick trades his 1st round pick for a vet TE than draft one. I wonder who he will get. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:

I think it’s more likely that Belichick trades his 1st round pick for a vet TE than draft one. I wonder who he will get. 

 

Top TEs are:

 

Rk Player Team Pos Rec Yds Avg Yds/G Lng TD 20+ 40+ 1st 1st% FUM
1 Zach Ertz PHI TE 116 1,163 10.0 72.7 34 8 13 0 66 56.9 1
2 Travis Kelce KC TE 103 1,336 13.0 83.5 43 10 18 2 68 66.0 2
3 George Kittle SF TE 88 1,377 15.6 86.1 85T 5 20 6 60 68.2 0
4 Austin Hooper ATL TE 71 660 9.3 41.2 36 4 7 0 30 42.3 0
5 Jared Cook OAK TE 68 896 13.2 56.0 45 6 15 1 46 67.6 0
6 Eric Ebron IND TE 66 750 11.4 46.9 53T 13 7 1 39 59.1 0
7 Kyle Rudolph MIN TE 64 634 9.9 39.6 44T 4 6 1 32 50.0 0
8 David Njoku CLE TE 56 639 11.4 39.9 66 4 9 2 27 48.2 0
9 Jimmy Graham GB TE 55 636 11.6 39.8 54 2 7 1 32 58.2 0
10 Trey Burton CHI TE 54 569 10.5 35.6 47 6 7 1 29 53.7 1

 

 

                             
         
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Feels like Hock.  There have been several mentions from McBeane on the importance of a TE, especially for a young QB.  They saw Greg Olsen up close with Cam in Carolina.  Daboll saw how Brady used Gronk as his security blanket.  If he's there at 9 I think they run the card in then the draft starts after that for us.  I don't believe any of the olinemen have separated vs what'll be available at 40 and an argument could be made the same is true for the DL depending on who is there.

 

 

  • Like (+1) 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

If we're staying at #9 I want to go away with a guy who's a multiple time Pro Bowler/All Pro guy and only Ed Oliver and TJ Hockenson fit that bill for me. Positional value my buttocks! 

 

Hockenson would be Allen's best friend and he's a three down player that helps us running the ball too. I'm all for it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 3/19/2019 at 10:28 AM, Reed83HOF said:

You have to watch out with the trade backs - it is easy for any other team who wants a player to leap frog you. The only problem I have with Hock is that more than likely there will be a blue chip DL/OL players there that you shouldn't pass up if you are truly BPA; if any QBs get taken before us, the chances for top tier talent is there for our picking.  

 

I want a TE as much as anyone, but I couldn't take Hock over an OT/Oliver at 9. I'm thinking we might not make it to Hock, but Fant or the guy from Notre Dame may be a good target for us and more realistic for us to get. 

 

I use to be the positional value guy even at the start of this offseason but there's no OL(Taylor, Ford, Williams) that I like more than Hockenson. He really is this year's Quenton Nelson. A future All Pro guy at a de-valued position. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, FeelingOnYouboty said:

If we're staying at #9 I want to go away with a guy who's a multiple time Pro Bowler/All Pro guy and only Ed Oliver and TJ Hockenson fit that bill for me. Positional value my buttocks! 

 

Hockenson would be Allen's best friend and he's a three down player that helps us running the ball too. I'm all for it.

If you are saying that you favor a guy with high upside, I can understand.  However, based on history it isn't anywhere near a given that a guy at pick 9 will be "multiple time Pro Bowler/All Pro guy".  

 

I like Hockenson - love his attitude, effort, desire, blocking and he is a good receiver (maybe not great, but good).  Oliver, on the other hand- I won't be disappointed if they take him, but his lack of size and relative lack of productivity concern me.  My concern with Oliver isn't really anything to do with his attitude or "jacket-gate", when I watch game tape of him he clearly plays with good effort and his quickness is really outstanding.  That being said, he looks very small out there even against college competition and while I recognize that he was consistently double-teamed I didn't feel like he was a dominating player in the games that I watched.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't think Hock is better than Vernon Davis when he was coming out and  I think he would have to be the absolute best case scenario for a tight end in the first ( VD will be a hof and even then it took him FOUR YEARS TO TRULY HAVE  HIS BREAKOUT *965 YDS 13TDS*) I'm sorry i just can't justify spending a first on tight end when there is comparable value found in the later rounds.  ( Fant rd2? Irv smith rd 2? Natua rd 3/4? Cj Conrad? rd 5/6

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Maybe i'm just thinking of Jermaine Gresham and early Ebron recently, but TEs seem to bust more than other positions in the first round. Like OJ Howard just doesn't seem to be getting the production his high draft pick warranted and I'd argue he's what you'd reasonably expect from some of the better TEs.

 

Like the better TEs don't have much more production than the average TE, the difference for other positions to stand out as the best in the league is a lot higher production.

Edited by BarkleyForGOATBackupPT5P
  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, FeelingOnYouboty said:

 

I use to be the positional value guy even at the start of this offseason but there's no OL(Taylor, Ford, Williams) that I like more than Hockenson. He really is this year's Quenton Nelson. A future All Pro guy at a de-valued position. 

 

I am more convinced we are doing DL than anything at 9, especially if Oliver is there. We basically have no DEs under contract next season, plus we still have to replace Kyle. I love Hock, but I don't see us taking him at #9. Trade back is possible, but it depends who gets pushed down the board as the QBs get pushed up...

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 3/17/2019 at 5:02 PM, JaCrispy said:

People need to ask themselves, if we already had 2 top flight TE’s on the roster, would they still take Hockenson at #9... I say this because I don’t think Beane will reach on a TE just because it is a position of need...he is a good prospect- no doubt, but there seems that there will be better talent at that pick.

 

He seems to be a consensus Top 10 talent so I don't think it's a reach at all

 

17 minutes ago, OldTimer1960 said:

If you are saying that you favor a guy with high upside, I can understand.  However, based on history it isn't anywhere near a given that a guy at pick 9 will be "multiple time Pro Bowler/All Pro guy".  

 

I like Hockenson - love his attitude, effort, desire, blocking and he is a good receiver (maybe not great, but good).  Oliver, on the other hand- I won't be disappointed if they take him, but his lack of size and relative lack of productivity concern me.  My concern with Oliver isn't really anything to do with his attitude or "jacket-gate", when I watch game tape of him he clearly plays with good effort and his quickness is really outstanding.  That being said, he looks very small out there even against college competition and while I recognize that he was consistently double-teamed I didn't feel like he was a dominating player in the games that I watched.

 

The fact that there were up to 4-6 hands on Ed Oliver at all times the last few years he did pretty great. 

 

My personal list is at #9: 

 

T.J. Hockenson

Ed Oliver

D.K. Metcalf

Montez Sweat

Jawaan Taylor

Edited by FeelingOnYouboty
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I've thought about this quite a lot. More than is probably healthy for a person not employed by a football team. Here's what I've decided:

The Bills are early enough in their rebuild and lack enough talent at enough different positions across their roster that their main objective in this draft should be to get as many high quality players as possible. Hockenson, to me, is of the absolute highest caliber. He is the only guy still likely to be on the board at 9 that I look at and say "There's a 10 year All-Pro". His talent seems so transcendent to me, and he seems like such a good fit on this team both from a personality standpoint as well as his play on the field and its impact on our young QB, that I'd be happy to draft him at 9 EVEN THOUGH the recent history of first round tight ends is not pretty. Guys like Travic Kelce and Zach Ertz and (formerly) Rob Gronkowski make SUCH HUGE DIFFERENCES for their teams. I view Hockenson as that level of talent.

So "'positional value" be damned, I'm all for drafting Hockenson at 9. The NUMBER ONE JOB of this front office right now is to ensure that Josh Allen has every tool he needs to succeed. From both a pass catching and blocking standpoint and bearing in mind the apparently extremely high talent level of the prospect in question, Hockenson seems like he would be a tremendous help to this offense and to Allen.

Say yes to Hockenson at 9.

  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, BarkleyForGOATBackupPT5P said:

Maybe i'm just thinking of Jermaine Gresham and early Ebron recently, but TEs seem to bust more than other positions in the first round. Like OJ Howard just doesn't seem to be getting the production his high draft pick warranted and I'd argue he's what you'd reasonably expect from some of the better TEs.

OJ is a great example. Elite athlete, excellent college production and yet in the NFL he has yet to find his way.. In today's NFL you have to spread the field, why would you put a bigger, slower athlete who you have to teach how to run routes, when you can find a smaller slot receiver who is dynamic in space and can find openings in the defense.. Tight end's are not a necessity in a dynamic modern offense, it's a luxury position that does not hold value over time....

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

McDermott & Beane came from Carolina Panthers.

 

Cam Newton has Greg Olsen,

Josh Allen to Hockenson ????

 

I Do not mind the pick, just not at #9. Drop down and gain a pick and I am game.

 

Edited by Tatonka68
  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Chuck Wagon said:

Feels like Hock.  There have been several mentions from McBeane on the importance of a TE, especially for a young QB.  They saw Greg Olsen up close with Cam in Carolina.  Daboll saw how Brady used Gronk as his security blanket.  If he's there at 9 I think they run the card in then the draft starts after that for us.  I don't believe any of the olinemen have separated vs what'll be available at 40 and an argument could be made the same is true for the DL depending on who is there.

 

 

Exactly draft Hock then trade bk into late first for either Tillery,  Wilkins or Simmons. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

31 minutes ago, Tatonka68 said:

McDermott & Beane came from Carolina Panthers.

 

Cam Newton has Greg Olsen,

Josh Allen to Hockenson ????

 

I Do not mind the pick, just not at #9. Drop down and gain a pick and I am game.

 

 

 

Judging by the buzz on him, he's not going to be available in a drop down.  He might not even be there at 9.

  • Like (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Rico said:

You don’t see LVE on the Bills, do you? :thumbsup:

Fluke. It's like all the idiots everywhere that say "I knew that was gonna happen!" Yeah, maybe, but you're ignoring the 72,572 times you knew something was gonna happen that surprisingly didn't happen. ;)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If they take Hock I will totally understand it and get behind it at 9

 

We already have 10 picks....maybe the bills dont actually WANT more because they have so many players under contract RIGHT NOW

 

MAYBE......the offense that will be implemented next year requires strong TE play....a guy who can both block and catch over the middle....a dynamic player

 

Hock is that.....personally I like DT in this draft more because the talent there is special...but I would get behind this pick and taking a DT in round 2

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, CajunBillsBacker said:

I don’t know how anyone would be upset with taking him at 9. He’s the best player at a position of need. He’s projected to go in the 6-15 range so it definitely wouldn’t be a reach.

 

Only 2 TEs in the NFL last year had over 1,000 yards.  Is Hockenson definitely that guy? Even if he is, does that make the difference between having a lousy offense and a top-10 offense?

 

Unless the answer to both of those questions is yes, my opinion is that you don't even consider it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...