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Peter Schrager: somehow, some way, Sam Darnold is a Buffalo Bill


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1 minute ago, John from Riverside said:

I really believe this is gonna be a draft that puts out more then 3 starting NFL qbs when it is all said and done.

 

 

I agree, but I think Darnold more probable to be the best so he's the one I want most.

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interceptions and fumbles don't bother anybody?  how about the wonky throwing motion and poor footwork in the pocket?  not worth trading all of those extra picks over someone like Rosen.  would be a very poor decision based on where we are picking in this draft.  if we were picking #1 and we had our choice then fine you can talk yourself into him maybe but the extra picks make it not worth it value-wise.  Rosen is the best QB in the draft and he will be available at 5

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1 minute ago, kdiggz said:

interceptions and fumbles don't bother anybody?  how about the wonky throwing motion and poor footwork in the pocket?  not worth trading all of those extra picks over someone like Rosen.  would be a very poor decision based on where we are picking in this draft.  if we were picking #1 and we had our choice then fine you can talk yourself into him maybe but the extra picks make it not worth it value-wise.  Rosen is the best QB in the draft and he will be available at 5

Im wondering what it is actually gonna take to get to 5 realistically.

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9 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

Did he have any specific details?

No, he said "I'm not sure if it will be because Darnold slips or if the Bills move up, but I believe he will be a Bill come Thursday night". Keep in mind that it was a "prediction" segment.

Edited by buffaloboyinATL
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2 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

I think when its all said and done Rosen will be the best.

 

His accuracy and ability to process defenses is top rate

I seem to be one of the few here who like all the top four, so I won't be disappointed if we end up with any one of them.  I will be irritated if we pass on Darnold should he be available.  I worry about Rosen's durability.  I prize Darnold's creativity under pressure, but one can certainly argue plausibly that Rosen has potential to be the best.

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5 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

Oh no doubt....I am just wondering the actual cost.

 

It sure would be nice if we could keep all our picks past the 1st round.  We gotta put a OL around the kid and give him someone to throw to as well.

to get to 5 will probably be 12, 22, maybe 65.

 

to get to 2 will probably be 12, 22, 53, 65, next year's 1st

 

not to mention ROSEN > Darnold no matter what the cost in my eyes.  with all of those extra picks to get Darnold it's definitely not worth it

 

http://buffalonews.com/2018/03/27/play-nfl-draft-pick-trade-simulator-calculator-darnold-rosen-allen-value-jimmy-johnson-chart/

Edited by kdiggz
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Here is one thing I DO Believe: Darnold is #1 on the Bills' board and has been for a long time.

I also believe that the reason the Bills and Giants are waiting to pull the trigger on a trade is that they're waiting to see what the Browns do at 1. If the Browns take Allen, the Bills will trade up to 2 and take Darnold. If the Browns take Darnold at 1, the Bills move on to plan B, which likely involves trading up to the 4-6 range for Rosen or Allen.

I think Darnold screams "Bills DNA" (whatever that means), and they'll do everything they can to get him if possible.

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John Elway has a need for QB.  What is to keep him from playing along like he wants to trade pick #5, holding teams like the Bills from moving up until the pick comes up.  He could then say... "Sorry suckers, I'm picking the QB". I wouldn't trust any team that has a need at QB. If the Giants want to stay in the top 6 picks, then try to get #4 or #6 as part of a move up to #2 or even stay at #4.  I just don't trust Elway and the Broncos.

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8 minutes ago, kdiggz said:

interceptions and fumbles don't bother anybody?  how about the wonky throwing motion and poor footwork in the pocket?  not worth trading all of those extra picks over someone like Rosen.  would be a very poor decision based on where we are picking in this draft.  if we were picking #1 and we had our choice then fine you can talk yourself into him maybe but the extra picks make it not worth it value-wise.  Rosen is the best QB in the draft and he will be available at 5

 

In the last week or so Darnold has become my #1 QB. I like Rosen and Mayfield a lot too but not as much as him. Darnold you are kind of drafting on potential. He does need to cut down on his turnovers but I think with experience he will. His throwing motion doesn't bother me at all. He is the best in this class at unloading the ball quickly when there's pressure in his face. I've used a comparison to Philip Rivers before, he has a similarly weird throwing motion but it works. Rosen is a better QB right now but I see Darnold ahead of him in a few years. He has all the character traits you look for in a QB too.

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The buzz has been all about Allen but there are several media folks that have maintained that the Bills have had their sights set on Darnold since early last year. 

 

When you look at all the QB prospects and try to find the best match for the Bills, it's Darnold. Not exactly because of the type of athlete he is or how he plays the position but because of how he carries himself and his attitude.

 

Rosen is a good kid, but he may challenge coaches and some coaches won't like that. 

 

Mayfield is also a good kid, but some probably feel like he might be a bit of a loose cannon. 

 

Allen is all potential at this point and I don't think the Bills wanna take the risk with him. 

 

Darnold needs work, sure. But of the top four guys, he's the one that has natural leadership ability, maturity beyond his years, an understanding of how to present himself to the media as the face of a franchise, and overall he seems to have this very easy-going vibe to him where it seems like no amount of pressure can get to him. Put those things together with "the process" and it makes sense that Darnold is their top target. 

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Just now, HappyDays said:

 

In the last week or so Darnold has become my #1 QB. I like Rosen and Mayfield a lot too but not as much as him. Darnold you are kind of drafting on potential. He does need to cut down on his turnovers but I think with experience he will. His throwing motion doesn't bother me at all. He is the best in this class at unloading the ball quickly when there's pressure in his face. I've used a comparison to Philip Rivers before, he has a similarly weird throwing motion but it works. Rosen is a better QB right now but I see Darnold ahead of him in a few years. He has all the character traits you look for in a QB too.

I think that is a big risk to speculate what he might be.  He has just as much of a chance to not be that as well.  But like I said, if we were picking #1 and had our choice and they said we like Darnold over everyone else because of xyz then fine, but the fact of the matter is he would cost WAY more to get than someone who you admit is better right now.  If we trade up to 4 or 5 and they are both there then so be it but to go out of your way to trade away more picks is silly imo

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14 minutes ago, buffaloboyinATL said:

I agree, but I will add Allen in that mix. I know he makes many here nervous, but if the team thinks he is their guy, then I will be happy we got him.

 

With Allen, it would take me awhile to warm up on him but I would eventually get there.

It was kinda like the movie Super Troopers.  When I first watched it, I thought is bad.  Then I gave it a chance another time and loved it.  Now I'm seeing part II tomorrow.

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16 minutes ago, kdiggz said:

interceptions and fumbles don't bother anybody?  how about the wonky throwing motion and poor footwork in the pocket?  not worth trading all of those extra picks over someone like Rosen.  would be a very poor decision based on where we are picking in this draft.  if we were picking #1 and we had our choice then fine you can talk yourself into him maybe but the extra picks make it not worth it value-wise.  Rosen is the best QB in the draft and he will be available at 5

Relax, Darnold has a high football IQ.  And he’s coming from a school that reliably produces great NFL QBs.  Oh, wait...

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1 minute ago, kdiggz said:

I think that is a big risk to speculate what he might be.  He has just as much of a chance to not be that as well.  But like I said, if we were picking #1 and had our choice and they said we like Darnold over everyone else because of xyz then fine, but the fact of the matter is he would cost WAY more to get than someone who you admit is better right now.  If we trade up to 4 or 5 and they are both there then so be it but to go out of your way to trade away more picks is silly imo

If Bills have several qbs ranked closely, your prudential analysis is faultless.  If they are absolutely in love with one guy (Darnold in this scenario,) prudential calculation goes out the window.

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1 minute ago, Dr. Who said:

If Bills have several qbs ranked closely, your prudential analysis is faultless.  If they are absolutely in love with one guy (Darnold in this scenario,) prudential calculation goes out the window.

this is what i fear.  at that point it is my own personal bias but there is no way anyone could convince me that Darnold is so much better than Rosen that you would give up potentially an extra 1st and 2nd rounder for him.  that's obscene.

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1 minute ago, blacklabel said:

The buzz has been all about Allen but there are several media folks that have maintained that the Bills have had their sights set on Darnold since early last year. 

 

When you look at all the QB prospects and try to find the best match for the Bills, it's Darnold. Not exactly because of the type of athlete he is or how he plays the position but because of how he carries himself and his attitude.

 

Rosen is a good kid, but he may challenge coaches and some coaches won't like that. 

 

Mayfield is also a good kid, but some probably feel like he might be a bit of a loose cannon. 

 

Allen is all potential at this point and I don't think the Bills wanna take the risk with him. 

 

Darnold needs work, sure. But of the top four guys, he's the one that has natural leadership ability, maturity beyond his years, an understanding of how to present himself to the media as the face of a franchise, and overall he seems to have this very easy-going vibe to him where it seems like no amount of pressure can get to him. Put those things together with "the process" and it makes sense that Darnold is their top target. 


I agree with all of this. Good post.

When I ask myself "Who would Sean McDermott and Brandon Beane -- with all of their emphasis on hard work, the process, faith, leadership, etc -- want leading their team?"...I keep coming up with the same answer: Sam Darnold or Josh Allen. The only thing is, I'm not entirely convinced they like what Allen brings to the table in terms of skillset. Just last year, they jettisoned a big-armed guy (Jones) in favor of Nathan Peterman. If you look at the two QBs on the roster right now, what do you see? Guys who don't have the biggest arms, but who are accurate, can play from the pocket, and have exceptional character. Darnold just "fits the Bill", so to speak. I just can't imagine McDermott wanting Rosen or Mayfield as the leaders/tone setters for their team.

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6 minutes ago, blacklabel said:

The buzz has been all about Allen but there are several media folks that have maintained that the Bills have had their sights set on Darnold since early last year. 

 

When you look at all the QB prospects and try to find the best match for the Bills, it's Darnold. Not exactly because of the type of athlete he is or how he plays the position but because of how he carries himself and his attitude.

 

Rosen is a good kid, but he may challenge coaches and some coaches won't like that. 

 

Mayfield is also a good kid, but some probably feel like he might be a bit of a loose cannon. 

 

Allen is all potential at this point and I don't think the Bills wanna take the risk with him. 

 

Darnold needs work, sure. But of the top four guys, he's the one that has natural leadership ability, maturity beyond his years, an understanding of how to present himself to the media as the face of a franchise, and overall he seems to have this very easy-going vibe to him where it seems like no amount of pressure can get to him. Put those things together with "the process" and it makes sense that Darnold is their top target. 

 

Darnold would be by third, (after Mayfield and Rosen) but your logic is likely spot-on.   And I'd be fine with Darnold.  

2 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:

Darnold was originally recruited as a LB.

 

Play him both ways.

 

didn't this happen to Jim Kelly also??

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Just now, kdiggz said:

this is what i fear.  at that point it is my own personal bias but there is no way anyone could convince me that Darnold is so much better than Rosen that you would give up potentially an extra 1st and 2nd rounder for him.  that's obscene.

The amount of background work that the teams have done on each prospect and have access to is well beyond what we know. There is so much info that will lead them to these gigantic decisions. 

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24 minutes ago, kdiggz said:

interceptions and fumbles don't bother anybody?  how about the wonky throwing motion and poor footwork in the pocket?  not worth trading all of those extra picks over someone like Rosen.  would be a very poor decision based on where we are picking in this draft.  if we were picking #1 and we had our choice then fine you can talk yourself into him maybe but the extra picks make it not worth it value-wise.  Rosen is the best QB in the draft and he will be available at 5

 

Totally agree on your assessment of Darnold.....I would take Rosen at 5 if the Bills were selecting there......or Mayfield if he fell that far.

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