26CornerBlitz Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 (edited) @YardsPerPass I will start to believe if they go 6 - 3 through 10 weeks https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/upshot/nfl-playoff-machine.html #IHateYouPlayoffMachine Edited December 24, 2017 by 26CornerBlitz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wnysteel Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 pretty fun website Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffBillsForLife Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 This one has too much math. I'll wait for ESPN's playoff machine with nothing but some clicks and seeds magically changing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 This one has too much math. I'll wait for ESPN's playoff machine with nothing but some clicks and seeds magically changing. I think we have to wait until after week 11 they don't update it until then http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BringBackFergy Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 Who do we need to win and lose this week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 (edited) Who do we need to win and lose this week? first off Oakland to lose Baltimore over Miami Seattle over Houston Detroit over Pittsburgh Kansas City over Denver Indianapolis over Cincinnati Rams over NE in NE Edited October 24, 2017 by ShadyBillsFan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BringBackFergy Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 first off Oakland We want Oakland to win? Explain this strategy I'm pretty sure we want NE to win so they can lock up the AFC East and keep our strength of schedule as a good factor when it comes time for Wild Card voting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
26CornerBlitz Posted October 27, 2017 Author Share Posted October 27, 2017 @pfref Playoff standings are live! https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2017/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dorkington Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 (edited) Keeping things conservative, I picked wins against the Saints, Chargers, Dolphins (x2), and Colts. Which gave us a 48% chance of making the playoffs. If we win those AND add just one victory against the Raiders, Jets, Chiefs or Patriots (x2), it says we have a >95% of making the playoffs. Nice Edited October 27, 2017 by Dorkington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 27, 2017 Share Posted October 27, 2017 (edited) We want Oakland to win? Explain this strategy I'm pretty sure we want NE to win so they can lock up the AFC East and keep our strength of schedule as a good factor when it comes time for Wild Card voting. I posted what I thought it was obvious, then I edited it for clarity when I added the full list I guess I was wrong in my assumption. Edited October 27, 2017 by ShadyBillsFan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
26CornerBlitz Posted October 29, 2017 Author Share Posted October 29, 2017 Crank it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JM2009 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Crank it up! Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
26CornerBlitz Posted October 29, 2017 Author Share Posted October 29, 2017 @MatthewFairburn Jerel Worthy: "Our focus is to get to the playoffs and get far in the playoffs." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CDogg20 Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 Well we have always been a franchise that defies odds... I Billieve tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CSBill Posted October 29, 2017 Share Posted October 29, 2017 3 tredecillion? What is a tredecillion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Frankish Reich Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 Yup. Not too soon. Early, but not to soon. (The purpose here is to collect the various statistically-based playoff likelihood projection systems, not a more generic power rating.) fivethirtyeight.com updates immediately after each slate of games. And right now they have the Bills at ... ... projected at 9.6 wins. And chances of making the playoffs at ... ... 63 % Sunday night's game (Steelers) will have at most a minimal effect. Here's the most interesting part: their ELO rating (their version of a power rating, but given the site very objective/statistically based) has the Bills 10th overall, 4th in the AFC (NE, KC, PIT). There's a pretty big gap right now between the Bills and the 5th team in the AFC, the Broncos. I know we started 5-2 in 2011 as well, but given the poor performance of some of our clear wildcard competitors, I can't recall us being this well positioned after 7 games in a long, long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bills6969 Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 Yup - the AFC wildcard is weeaaaak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TFBillsfan Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 Let’s get a win on Thursday night and I’ll officially have playoff fever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Talley56 Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 Yeah, I definitely feel like this is different from 2011. Biggest thing working in our favor is we beat two of our biggest wildcard competitors (Denver and Oakland). I dont want to get ahead of myself here but I do like our chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Frankish Reich Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 (edited) And interesting to see the odds of each game going forward on 538. The Bills right now are underdogs in just 3 of the remaining 9 games (Pats X 2, KC on the road). We're 1 point faves vs. New Orleans at the Ralph; I wouldn't like our chances in New Orleans, but as always the Saints are an entirely different/worse team on the road. We're also slim faves on the road (1.5 points) vs. the Chargers, and that's one that really worries me. Of course it won't play out game-by-game as projected, but the bottom line is 538 is right - we'll be clear favorites in about 3 of the remaining 9: Jets on Thursday, (but Thursdays are always more of a crapshoot than Sundays, particularly on the road - this one will be huge if we want to gain a little separation), Colts at home, Dolphins at home. As I mentioned, 2 games - Chargers on the road and Saints at home - are almost toss-ups, and right now 538 has Dolphins on the road as a third toss-up (I feel pretty good about that one right now). And then we're clear dogs in those 3. Win the 3 we're supposed to, and win 2 of the 3 that project as near toss-ups, and even if you lose the 3 clear underdog games if my arithmetic is good, that's 10 wins ... Edited October 30, 2017 by The Frankish Reich Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldmanfan Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 Just win the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 The AFC East crown is within our grasp. Don't be surprised if December 3 gets flexed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Frankish Reich Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 (edited) The AFC East crown is within our grasp. Don't be surprised if December 3 gets flexed. Well, the scheduled Sunday nighter is Seahawks (the team America loves to hate)-Eagles (featuring America's new darling), so I doubt it, but that would be awesome, wouldn't it? Edited October 30, 2017 by The Frankish Reich Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boyst Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 our chances are actually really good with this to get a top 2 seed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Boy Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 (edited) We need a Thursday night win. I am, for the first time in a decade at least, looking forward to playing NE. I feel like we have a legitimate chance to split with them One month later, I realize I must have been in a crack induced haze Edited November 20, 2017 by Buffalo Boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAJBobby Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 If the Bills win thrusday (they should) however short week inside the Division is a ?? At 6-2 they are firmly in the drivers seat to controltheir own playoff birth without needing help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fadingpain Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 We need a Thursday night win. I am, for the first time in a decade at least, looking forward to playing NE. I feel like we have a legitimate chance to split with them Ditto. I've been saying this for a few weeks now. I think we can beat them once this year and I haven't thought that in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAJBobby Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 A win Thursday takes so much pressure off. Going 4-4 over the final 8 to get to 10 wins is very doable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsPride12 Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 Let's Go Baby. Need to end this drought so I can finally update my avatar lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Virgil Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 Shut this thread down immediately. Ban his IP and never speak of this again. You know better!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dollars 2 donuts Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 (edited) Can you image New Era Field if it ends up being the 6-2 bills vs the 6-2 Saints?! I think the saints will have a bye, but either way. Come on, boys, i think 5-4 might get you in but seal the deal with at least 6-3. Edited October 30, 2017 by dollars 2 donuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Boy Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 (edited) Shut this thread down immediately. Ban his IP and never speak of this again. You know better!!! Dang it man!!!!! Its different this time. Edited October 30, 2017 by Buffalo Boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAJBobby Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 And as Much as I dont like Taylor and think they need to upgrade that position in the draft if they make the playoffs the Bills should pick up the option and allow thier 1st round rookie time to grow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Boy Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 (edited) And as Much as I dont like Taylor and think they need to upgrade that position in the draft if they make the playoffs the Bills should pick up the option and allow thier 1st round rookie time to growRight there with you. I am grudgingly starting to come around. I dont love him but do appreciate that hes got something. He clearly is starting to grasp this O and taking shots into the middle that he wasnt before.Still, he missed some wide open guys( didnt see or throw to) and threw a couple he shouldnt have and got lucky. Edited October 30, 2017 by Buffalo Boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McNubbins Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 Everyone keeps saying after the next game. Beat TB and maybe...beat the Raiders and I'll be all in. Beat the Jets and we can talk! Trust the process! I'm in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
26CornerBlitz Posted October 30, 2017 Author Share Posted October 30, 2017 (edited) @RyanTalbotBills The Playoff-O-Meter is on the rise after the #Bills' fifth win http://www.newyorkupstate.com/buffalo-bills/index.ssf/2017/10/playoff-o-meter_raiders_poo_butt_effort_increases_buffalo_bills_playoff_chances.html#incart_river_index #BillsMafia #TrustThePlayoffOMeter Edited October 30, 2017 by 26CornerBlitz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
26CornerBlitz Posted October 30, 2017 Author Share Posted October 30, 2017 Vinnie Iyer doesn't "Billieve": @sn_nfl Why the Bills will likely struggle in the second half of the season: http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/news/buffalo-bills-playoffs-drought-raiders-tyrod-taylor-lesean-mccoy-nfl-midseason/89tn6susqxkv1ud2l662xvet3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dean Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 @RyanTalbotBills The Playoff-O-Meter is on the rise after the #Bills' fifth win http://www.newyorkupstate.com/buffalo-bills/index.ssf/2017/10/playoff-o-meter_raiders_poo_butt_effort_increases_buffalo_bills_playoff_chances.html#incart_river_index #BillsMafia #TrustThePlayoffOMeter Great graphic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 If Bills beat the Jets and Saints, then beat the Colts and sweep the Dolphins, 5 winnable games, our playoff odds are <99%. Vinnie Iyer doesn't "Billieve": @sn_nfl Why the Bills will likely struggle in the second half of the season: http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/news/buffalo-bills-playoffs-drought-raiders-tyrod-taylor-lesean-mccoy-nfl-midseason/89tn6susqxkv1ud2l662xvet3 The Bills really have just one "gimme" game left, at home against the Colts in Week 14. Really, Vinnie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fadingpain Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 If Bills beat the Jets and Saints, then beat the Colts and sweep the Dolphins, 5 winnable games, our playoff odds are <99%. Really, Vinnie? you mean greater than 99% ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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