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Assuming the bills get in the playoffs, how confident are you they get to the superbowl?


Steptide

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If we get #2 seed, i am confident that we will make to Superbowl.  We always play well against Lamar's Baltimore and this year's AFC playoff teams, except Baltimore,  are all mediocre.  Also, no Cincinnati and Joe Burrow.  

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51 minutes ago, djp14150 said:


 

 

 

if Mia can best   KC …think it’s possible, buffalo host 4/5. 50/50 shot at hosting championship game 

if KC wins, buf host them.CLE would be problem for balt. Buffalo could host CLE.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

If the goal is to host the AFCCG, we want KC coming to Buffalo in the divisional round. No way in hell Miami, as the 6 seed is going into Baltimore and beating them. I don't care how bad a game playoff Lamar has. 

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13 minutes ago, Playoffs? said:

I don’t know. For some reason, the Miami game still scares me. Wish it didn’t. 

It should.  
 

They have a capable offensive play caller and the 2 fastest playmakers in the league. 2 more of the fastest playmakers may or may not play. 

 

They have a capable defensive play caller and a handful of pro bowlers.  
 

And there’s always a chance that we get the 💩 end of the ref calls

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14 minutes ago, Playoffs? said:

I don’t know. For some reason, the Miami game still scares me. Wish it didn’t. 


 

The Miami O will scare me a bit more if Mostert and Waddle practice in full.  
 

McD’s D on the road has only stifled the Chiefs.  Who are terrible.  Need to bring it against a good O on the road.  
 

And how hurt is Allen.  
 

Legitimate concerns.  But I don’t think as bad as Miami’s.  Who also, don’t have to play as desperate as we likely will.  

 

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In a single elimination tournament and with trememdous parity at the top of the league, all you can do is go out there and compete your butt off.   Games will be very even play by play from scrimmage, but a late turnovers or referee call will probably turn these one-score games one way or the other.   Hell, Philly lost the very close SB last year on a ref's call on a broken play.   Predicting progress in a one-and-done tournament format is impossible.   

 

All I can say for sure is that this team will compete its butt off and I'm good with that.  How the game score turns out at the highest level is pretty much a crapshoot

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if we get the 2 seed, i'd feel our chances are as good as a typical 2 seed.  maybe better because we have done well against the ravens in past seasons but the sample is small.

 

if we get a wildcard, i'd also feel our chances are as good as a typical wildcard, meaning not so good.  even during this turnaround, our road performances don't inspire confidence that we could win 3 road games in a row.  KC could easily have been a loss, we choked away the Philly game (and look at their recent results), and we almost lost to the pathetic chargers.

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95%  chance we make the playoffs 

75% chance we win wild card week

75% chance we win divisional round

50% chance we win championship game

50% chance we win superbowl

 

95% x 75% x 75% x 50% = 27% chance to get to the superbowl 
 

27% x 50% = 13.5% to win Super Bowl from where we are standing today. 
 

FanDuel has the Bills at 9.5% likely currently.  I am slightly more optimistic than FanDuel. 

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Very confident, in fact I almost feel like I know its going to happen. 

 

Defense is playing damn well the past month and just got Jones back. A lot of the bumps and bruises all over the defense have healed up at the right time. They are playing fast and confident and with an edge/physicality we don't often see. They are a force. 

 

The offense is truly very close to breaking out. They were two missed Josh Allen passes away from having that breakout against a really good patriots defense last week (hit Kincaid and Diggs and its a way different offensive output). The chances are there, they have been lacking in execution against really good defenses. Its going to come and likely this week, and then its good night to the rest of the NFL.

 

SUPER BOWL! 

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If they get the #2 seed, then I would say the AFCCG is a good bet. I don't know if they can get by the Ravens in Baltimore, however. If the Ravens lose in the divisional round and the Bills end up with homefield throughout the playoffs, then I think they will be in the Super Bowl.  All bets are off if they go in as a #6 or #7 seed. See McDermott's Road playoff record (0-4).

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This has been about the wackiest NFL season I can remember. Not just for the Bills but NFL wide. The amount of injury to top players. Bad officiating. It could finish just as odd with some oddball Super Bowl match like Indy and the Rams.

 

I think if Buffalo get in at the 2 seed they have a real good chance. It going to come down to 3 things for me.

 

1. Allen's health. The shoulder has taken a lot of wear and tear this year. What's he got left? The new injury to the finger is also a potential issue depending on how bad it is. Not only plays into how the ball comes off his hand when passing, but also grip on the ball especially in colder weather.

 

2. Team health. Can't afford to lose any more key players. 

 

3. Officiating. Shouldn't factor in like this, but sadly it's a real issue. And not just in our games, but the other games as well. Imagine Cleveland playing in Baltimore in the Divisional round and having them beat...only for the refs to interject with a bad call and now instead of HOSTING Cleveland, we are traveling to Baltimore for the AFCCG. Big difference in fortune. 

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This team seems to play to the level of their competition, so I suppose it's a good thing that the competition is better in the playoffs. 

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12 hours ago, Steptide said:

It's weird, I feel much less confident about the bills in the playoffs this year than in years past. They've won 4 straight, and assuming they beat Miami, they'd ultimately have to win 9 straight games to win the superbowl, which seems unlikely Imo. I mean, maybe the offense steps up big and they become this unstoppable force, but the offense is REALLY gonna have to step up. This team isn't getting through Baltimore (and others) with Diggs having 40 yards a game 

 

I feel no where near as confident in this team as i did for the team of the 90's teams. I was positive that those guys would bring it home but alas .

 

If these guys can make it in the play offs they have the talent to win it all i believe they just have to play to their abilities or talent level and they can do it but that has been the over riding problem this year is to play to the players capabilities .

 

If they are going to win it all they can't drop passes, Josh can't just over throw the ball by that much, you can't miss tackles or blocks, the entire team has to be on it's game and if they do it with out Von would be just another nail to debunk the thought that you need a guy like him to make it happen .

 

I hope they can put it all together & have a little bit of luck on their side which every team needs or has to win the big game . GO BILLS !!! 

Edited by T master
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12 hours ago, Steptide said:

It's weird, I feel much less confident about the bills in the playoffs this year than in years past. They've won 4 straight, and assuming they beat Miami, they'd ultimately have to win 9 straight games to win the superbowl, which seems unlikely Imo. I mean, maybe the offense steps up big and they become this unstoppable force, but the offense is REALLY gonna have to step up. This team isn't getting through Baltimore (and others) with Diggs having 40 yards a game 

 

I'm feeling fairly confident if our defense and run game stay hot. Before it was all on Josh. I think we can win a game or two for sure. But getting by Baltimore or even Cleveland won't be easy.

Edited by PromoTheRobot
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12 hours ago, Steptide said:

It's weird, I feel much less confident about the bills in the playoffs this year than in years past. They've won 4 straight, and assuming they beat Miami, they'd ultimately have to win 9 straight games to win the superbowl, which seems unlikely Imo. I mean, maybe the offense steps up big and they become this unstoppable force, but the offense is REALLY gonna have to step up. This team isn't getting through Baltimore (and others) with Diggs having 40 yards a game 

 

I think if they get the 2, they are 50/50 to go to the SB

 

I think if they get the 6, they'll win maybe 1 and prob be out

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I am as confident as I have been since 1990s. Last year was too crazy and 2021 we had to go to Arrowhead. This team is built well to beat anyone and we just need consistency from Josh. Right now Josh is my biggest concern, he has not looked particularly good since October, except for Philly. 

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13 hours ago, Steptide said:

It's weird, I feel much less confident about the bills in the playoffs this year than in years past. They've won 4 straight, and assuming they beat Miami, they'd ultimately have to win 9 straight games to win the superbowl, which seems unlikely Imo. I mean, maybe the offense steps up big and they become this unstoppable force, but the offense is REALLY gonna have to step up. This team isn't getting through Baltimore (and others) with Diggs having 40 yards a game 

 

I wonder if you could add a poll?

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