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Pass rusher Dee Ford available. Bills were interested last year


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https://arrowheadaddict.com/2020/04/20/dee-ford-trade-rumors-chiefs-49ers-brett-veach-was-right/

 

San Francisco took a big risk in signing Ford, who had proven to be an effective pass rusher when available, but who was unable to stay healthy for long periods of time. The only seasons the defensive end was able to play in all 16 games came in 2015 and 2018.

 

He missed 10 games in 2017 with nagging and recurring back injuries, and in his lone year with the 49ers, Ford was again hampered by injury. He played in only 11 regular season games while nursing a hamstring injury most of the year.

 

He has been largely ineffective as a pass rusher in the playoffs throughout his career, too, logging only 2.5 sacks in eight career playoff games, including one in the 2019 playoffs.

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Dee Ford's cap hits are pretty high but it's really just a 1 year deal as he can be cut after the year. I'de prefer Ford over Murphy if we're trying to make a Super Bowl run in 2020.

2 minutes ago, hmsmystic said:

I Don't want anything to with that contract PLUS having to trade a premium pick

Ford wouldn't be a premium pick. SF wants the cap space. 6th or 7th round pick gets it done.

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6 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

Dee Ford's cap hits are pretty high but it's really just a 1 year deal as he can be cut after the year. I'de prefer Ford over Murphy if we're trying to make a Super Bowl run in 2020.

Ford wouldn't be a premium pick. SF wants the cap space. 6th or 7th round pick gets it done.

I doubt it. The Niners have 0 picks in the 2-4 rounds, and probably want at least a pick or 2 in there. They need a new starting guard, a decent receiver, and an impact DL. They need another early pick for that. I suspect they want to move down from 31 to aquire some, should they not aquire them through player trades. 

 

They have trouble selling 31, though. I suspect they take a WR or possibly one of the OT at 13.

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I’d take Kwon Alexander off their hands in a heartbeat to play WILL. It would mean the end of Milano. But Kwon is awesome and has a nice connection with Leslie Frazier. And FYI, Kwon is a month younger than Matt Milano. I’d rather take Kwon’s contract than pay Matt 13 million per. 


No thanks on Dee Ford.

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4 minutes ago, MrEpsYtown said:

I’d take Kwon Alexander off their hands in a heartbeat to play WILL. It would mean the end of Milano. But Kwon is awesome and has a nice connection with Leslie Frazier. And FYI, Kwon is a month younger than Matt Milano. I’d rather take Kwon’s contract than pay Matt 13 million per. 


No thanks on Dee Ford.

My feelings exactly.

 

I'm far more interested in Kwon Alexander than Dee Ford.

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12 minutes ago, Watkins101 said:

I doubt it. The Niners have 0 picks in the 2-4 rounds, and probably want at least a pick or 2 in there. They need a new starting guard, a decent receiver, and an impact DL. They need another early pick for that. I suspect they want to move down from 31 to aquire some, should they not aquire them through player trades. 

 

They have trouble selling 31, though. I suspect they take a WR or possibly one of the OT at 13.

They aren't getting anything premium for Ford.

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11 minutes ago, Watkins101 said:

I doubt it. The Niners have 0 picks in the 2-4 rounds, and probably want at least a pick or 2 in there. They need a new starting guard, a decent receiver, and an impact DL. They need another early pick for that. I suspect they want to move down from 31 to aquire some, should they not aquire them through player trades. 

 

They have trouble selling 31, though. I suspect they take a WR or possibly one of the OT at 13.

One of my favorite sayings of all-time: wish in one hand, ? in the other, see which one fills up first. Given his injury history and contract, he's not going to fetch a high pick, regardless of how badly they "want" one...

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10 minutes ago, MrEpsYtown said:

I’d take Kwon Alexander off their hands in a heartbeat to play WILL. It would mean the end of Milano. But Kwon is awesome and has a nice connection with Leslie Frazier. And FYI, Kwon is a month younger than Matt Milano. I’d rather take Kwon’s contract than pay Matt 13 million per. 


No thanks on Dee Ford.

 

could we keep Kwon and Milano.  Have LB group of Edmonds, Kwon and Milano??

4 minutes ago, glazeduck said:

One of my favorite sayings of all-time: wish in one hand, ? in the other, see which one fills up first. Given his injury history and contract, he's not going to fetch a high pick, regardless of how badly they "want" one...

 

that is the oddest saying I've ever heard! 

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42 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

Dee Ford's cap hits are pretty high but it's really just a 1 year deal as he can be cut after the year. I'de prefer Ford over Murphy if we're trying to make a Super Bowl run in 2020.

Ford wouldn't be a premium pick. SF wants the cap space. 6th or 7th round pick gets it done.

What is Ford's cap hit?  Thx.

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19 minutes ago, Mark Vader said:

Which is why he and Ford are up for a trade.

 

The 49'ers have a lot of money invested in their defense.

 

IMO, only 2-3 LBs in the league are worth $16 million-plus cap hits.   

 

He's not one of them...

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8 minutes ago, hjnick said:

What is Ford's cap hit?  Thx.

Very high. $15.9 this year. But next year you can release him and save almost $13 million. So it's basically a 1 year prove it deal.

 

Save $7.5 releasing Murphy. I guess the question is Murphy at half the price a better asset to the Bills? It's possible the answer is yes. Murphy is a role player that does his job. Not much of pass rusher though.

Edited by Buffalo_Stampede
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I'd be happy to take on Ford's contract if the 49ers give us #31 (620 JJ chart) and # 176 (21 JJ Chart) in exchange for #54 and #86 (520 JJ chart). 

 

Then 49ers will have picks in the top 3 rounds which is what they want.

Edited by IgotBILLStopay
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1 minute ago, IgotBILLStopay said:

I'd be happy to take on Ford's contract if the 49ers give us #30 (620 JJ chart) and # 176 (21 JJ Chart) in exchange for #54 and #86 (520 JJ chart). 

 

Then 49ers will have picks in the top 3 rounds which is what they want.

49'ers have pick # 31

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7 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

Very high. $15.9 this year. But next year you can release him and save almost $13 million. So it's basically a 1 year prove it deal.

 

Save $7.5 releasing Murphy. I guess the question is Murphy at half the price a better asset to the Bills? It's possible the answer is yes. Murphy is a role player that does his job. Not much of pass rusher though.

 

4 minutes ago, Lurker said:

 

Yikes! Why help SanFran out for signing a terrible contract...

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6 minutes ago, MrEpsYtown said:

 

Spotrac has Matt Milano's at 13 million per. I'm taking Kwon. 

 

https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/matt-milano-21905/market-value/

 

Why?

Now we'll compare our variables and Milano statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: Games Played %, Tackles, Sacks, Stops, Coverage Catch %, Hurries, Rating

 

PLAYER GP% TKL/GM SACKS/GM STOPS COV CATCH% HURRIES RATING
MEDIAN PRIME % CHANGE  2.45%
AVERAGE PRIME % CHANGE  -1.18%
Jaylon Smith2017-2018, DAL 100 4.13 0.16 2.19 77.8 0.34 75.85
Anthony Barr2017-2018, MIN 90.63 3.14 0.14 2 78.2 0.9 71.45
Shaq Thompson2017-2018, CAR 87.5 3.25 0.2 1.89 82.9 0.57 66.25
Kwon Alexander 2017-2018, SF 56.3 5.78 0.06 3.67 90.9 0.78 62.3
AVERAGE 83.60 4.08 0.14 2.44 82.45 0.65 68.96
Matt Milano 2018-2019 87.5 4.18 0.09 2.79 69.4 0.57 70.65
% CHANGE 4.67% 2.45% -35.71% 14.34% 15.83% -12.31% 2.45%

 

Edited by Lurker
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7 minutes ago, Lurker said:

 

Why?

Now we'll compare our variables and Milano statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: Games Played %, Tackles, Sacks, Stops, Coverage Catch %, Hurries, Rating

 

PLAYER GP% TKL/GM SACKS/GM STOPS COV CATCH% HURRIES RATING
MEDIAN PRIME % CHANGE  2.45%
AVERAGE PRIME % CHANGE  -1.18%
Jaylon Smith2017-2018, DAL 100 4.13 0.16 2.19 77.8 0.34 75.85
Anthony Barr2017-2018, MIN 90.63 3.14 0.14 2 78.2 0.9 71.45
Shaq Thompson2017-2018, CAR 87.5 3.25 0.2 1.89 82.9 0.57 66.25
Kwon Alexander 2017-2018, SF 56.3 5.78 0.06 3.67 90.9 0.78 62.3
AVERAGE 83.60 4.08 0.14 2.44 82.45 0.65 68.96
Matt Milano 2018-2019 87.5 4.18 0.09 2.79 69.4 0.57 70.65
% CHANGE 4.67% 2.45% -35.71% 14.34% 15.83% -12.31% 2.45%

 

 

I'm not sure what those numbers mean, but I do know Kwon has been injured the last couple of years and it seems to skew that score. All I can say is he's just better than Matt, and he is the best linebacker on this list, though it is close with Jaylon Smith. And I love Matt Milano, but Kwon is better. So if we are talking similar salaries, I'd rather pay Kwon. 

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13 minutes ago, MrEpsYtown said:

 

I'm not sure what those numbers mean, but I do know Kwon has been injured the last couple of years and it seems to skew that score. All I can say is he's just better than Matt, and he is the best linebacker on this list, though it is close with Jaylon Smith. And I love Matt Milano, but Kwon is better. So if we are talking similar salaries, I'd rather pay Kwon. 

 

As many people say, the greatest ability is availability.   

 

Alexander 56.3% game played percentage has to be balanced against Milano's 87.5% availability...

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11 minutes ago, Lurker said:

 

As many people say, the greatest ability is availability.   

 

Alexander 56.3% game played percentage has to be balanced against Milano's 87.5% availability...

 

That is definitely true, but I would still take Kwon if the contracts are equal. If Milano comes in closer to 8-9 million, then I'd take him. Both great players, but if SF wants chump change for a guy like Alexander, I am good with it. 

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1 hour ago, MrEpsYtown said:

 

I'm not sure what those numbers mean, but I do know Kwon has been injured the last couple of years and it seems to skew that score. All I can say is he's just better than Matt, and he is the best linebacker on this list, though it is close with Jaylon Smith. And I love Matt Milano, but Kwon is better. So if we are talking similar salaries, I'd rather pay Kwon. 

You’d rather pay the guy that never plays.  Makes sense

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1 hour ago, MrEpsYtown said:

 

Spotrac has Matt Milano's at 13 million per. I'm taking Kwon. 

 

https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/matt-milano-21905/market-value/

I like the fire that Milano plays with, but if he won't settle for $6.5M he can go play for the Dolphins.

3 minutes ago, NewEra said:

You’d rather pay the guy that never plays.  Makes sense

By never plays meaning he tore an ACL 6 games into the season and then a pectoral the next. It's not like Will Fuller's perpetually pulled hamstring or Percy Harvin's migraines. 

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1 hour ago, MrEpsYtown said:

 

I'm not sure what those numbers mean, but I do know Kwon has been injured the last couple of years and it seems to skew that score. All I can say is he's just better than Matt, and he is the best linebacker on this list, though it is close with Jaylon Smith. And I love Matt Milano, but Kwon is better. So if we are talking similar salaries, I'd rather pay Kwon. 

 

Things arent equal though as you wont have to give up a draft pick for Milano .... also suspect Milano signs a cheaper deal...

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24 minutes ago, NewEra said:

You’d rather pay the guy that never plays.  Makes sense


I’ll say this, if he was playing, and as you noted, that’s a big if, he’s totally takling Deshaun Watson at the end of that playoff game. He’s just better. But he has been hurt. I’d rather have a somewhat risky, but elite player in Kwon, who I have to give up a pick for at 13 million than pay Milano 13 million.  

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