Draft Props

[C.Biscuit97]

Trying to make some jelly beans here (So desperate and sick of wagering on WWE) and figured this would be fun for conversation.   Please draft experts weigh in!
 

1) who drafts Tua?

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!!

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!!

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad)

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5

9) more offensive or defensive players in round 1

 

10) first wr drafted 

 

11) first Rb drafted

 

answer as if someone’s mortgage (ginger bread house needs jelly beans) is on the line.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Kirby Jackson]

3 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

Trying to make some jelly beans here (So desperate and sick of wagering on WWE) and figured this would be fun for conversation.   Please draft experts weigh in!
 

1) who drafts Tua? Chargers

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5 Over

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0 Push

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!! Over

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5 Under

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!! Under

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad) Under

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5 over

9) more offensive or defensive players in round 1 Defensive

 

10) first wr drafted - Lamb

 

11) first Rb drafted - Swift

 

answer as if someone’s mortgage (ginger bread house needs jelly beans) is on the line.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Logic]

1 minute ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

Trying to make some jelly beans here (So desperate and sick of wagering on WWE) and figured this would be fun for conversation.   Please draft experts weigh in!
 

1) who drafts Tua? New England 

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5 over

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0 under

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!! Under

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5 over

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!! Under

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad) under

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5 over

9) more offensive or defensive players in round 1 defensive

 

10) first wr drafted  Ceedee Lamb

 

11) first Rb drafted   DeAndre Swift

 

answer as if someone’s mortgage (ginger bread house needs jelly beans) is on the line.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I’m no expert and I’m not betting my mortgage on anything, but those are my answers.

[YoloinOhio]

9 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

Trying to make some jelly beans here (So desperate and sick of wagering on WWE) and figured this would be fun for conversation.   Please draft experts weigh in!
 

1) who drafts Tua? Miami

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5 Over

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0 push

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!! Under 

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5 under 

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!! Under

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad) under 

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5 under 

9) more offensive or defensive players in round 1 offensive 

 

10) first wr drafted Jerry Jeudy

 

11) first Rb drafted Swift 

 

answer as if someone’s mortgage (ginger bread house needs jelly beans) is on the line.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[C.Biscuit97]

2 minutes ago, Logic said:

 

 

I’m no expert and I’m not betting my mortgage on anything, but those are my answers.

I think NE is all in in Tua too.  Belichick and Saban are BFFs and there’s no way I believe they are trusting Stidham to be their future.  

[RyanC883]

33 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

Trying to make some jelly beans here (So desperate and sick of wagering on WWE) and figured this would be fun for conversation.   Please draft experts weigh in!
 

1) who drafts Tua?  Miami

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5   Over due to Dolphins.  

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0  Under 

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!!  Under, just barley at 5.  

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5  Under at 4.  These Bama and LSU ones are tough.  

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!!  Under

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad)  Under.  One at most.  

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5   Over

9) more offensive or defensive players in round 1  Defense

 

10) first wr drafted  CeeDee Lamb

 

11) first Rb drafted  D'Andre Swift.  

 

answer as if someone’s mortgage (ginger bread house needs jelly beans) is on the line.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited April 21, 2020 by RyanC883

[CapeBreton]

29 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

Trying to make some jelly beans here (So desperate and sick of wagering on WWE) and figured this would be fun for conversation.   Please draft experts weigh in!
 

1) who drafts Tua? Chargers

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5 Under

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0 It will be 4, Burrow, Herbert, Tua, Love

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!! Under

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5 Under

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!! Under... Lamb, Juedy, Ruggs, Aiyuk/Mims (one of them), Jefferson... I could see Jefferson falling to 2nd too

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad) Under, just Swift

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5 Under

9) more offensive or defensive players in round 1 offensive

 

10) first wr drafted Lamb

 

11) first Rb drafted Swift

 

answer as if someone’s mortgage (ginger bread house needs jelly beans) is on the line.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Augie]

I’m surprised seeing Lamb go before Jeudy in most cases so far. What do I know?  ?‍♂️

[Kirby Jackson]

FWIW I think 4 is an absolute lock for QBs. If you get a line at 3.5 or 4.5 fire away.

[GunnerBill]

 Trying to make some jelly beans here (So desperate and sick of wagering on WWE) and figured this would be fun for conversation.   Please draft experts weigh in!
 

1) who drafts Tua? Chargers

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5 Under - I still think they are going to #3

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0 Push

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!! Under - I only see 5 - Wills, Jeudy, Tua, Ruggs, McKinney only other possible is Diggs.

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5 Over

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!! Over - still going 6

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad) Under - very real chance it is 0

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5 Over

9) more offensive or defensive players in round Offense - I think OTs will fly off the board

 

10) first wr drafted Jeudy

 

11) first Rb drafted Swift

 

answer as if someone’s mortgage (ginger bread house needs jelly beans) is on the line.  

 

[Doc Brown]

The only value pick I see there is QB at o/u 4 taken in first round.  I'd go the under as I don't see five QB's going.  At worst you get a push.

[BuffaloHokie13]

1) who drafts Tua? Chargers

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5 - Over? They take him with pick #6. Is that a curse for a QB? Selecting them with pick 6 feels like a curse.

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0 - push. Burrow, Herbert, Tua, and Love

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!! - over. 6. Tua, Wills, Ruggs, Jeudy, McKinney, and Diggs.

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5 - over. 5. Burrow, Fulton, Queen, Jefferson, and Chaisson.

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!! - Under. 5. Lamb, Ruggs, Jeudy, Jefferson, Reagor.

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad) - Under. Just Swift.

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5 - Under. 15. 6 CB, 3 Edge, 3 LB, 2 IDL, 1 S

9) more offensive or defensive players in round 1 - offense w/ 17.

 

10) first wr drafted - Lamb

 

11) first Rb drafted - Swift

[CapeBreton]

15 minutes ago, Augie said:

I’m surprised seeing Lamb go before Jeudy in most cases so far. What do I know?  ?‍♂️

The odds have Jeudy going first but I plan on betting Lamb.

[Augie]

8 minutes ago, CapeBreton said:

The odds have Jeudy going first but I plan on betting Lamb.

 

I don’t think you can go wrong with either! 

 

 

.

Edited April 21, 2020 by Augie

[C.Biscuit97]

14 minutes ago, Doc Brown said:

The only value pick I see there is QB at o/u 4 taken in first round.  I'd go the under as I don't see five QB's going.  At worst you get a push.

There was odds with this picks but I wasn’t sure of the board rules on betting jelly beans though it’s starting to get legal everywhere now.

29 minutes ago, Augie said:

I’m surprised seeing Lamb go before Jeudy in most cases so far. What do I know?  ?‍♂️

The only thing I will say with the Bama guys I they all benefit from each other.  You can’t really double one so they all get favorable coverage.  Lamb didn’t have as much help (though Oklahoma is a very friendly offense). 

[hjnick]

1 hour ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

Trying to make some jelly beans here (So desperate and sick of wagering on WWE) and figured this would be fun for conversation.   Please draft experts weigh in!
 

1) who drafts Tua? - Dolphins

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5 - Over - Dolphins not moving

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0 - Under

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!! - Under

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5 - - Over

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!! - Under

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad) - Under

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5 - Under

9) more offensive or defensive players in round 1 - Offensive

 

10) first wr drafted - CeeDee Lamb 

 

11) first Rb drafted - Swift

 

answer as if someone’s mortgage (ginger bread house needs jelly beans) is on the line.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[whatdrought]

1 hour ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

Trying to make some jelly beans here (So desperate and sick of wagering on WWE) and figured this would be fun for conversation.   Please draft experts weigh in!
 

1) who drafts Tua? (Realistically, probably Miami, but I wouldn't take that bet. Chargers are my gut feeling.)

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5 (Under. Someone's gonna pull the trigger on 3 or 4.)

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0 (Push. Don't see the need anywhere for the fifth to come in, but Love won't drop to the second)

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!! ( Under. Tua, Ruggs, Jeudy, Wills are locks. McKinney AND Diggs are unlikely. Probably one or the other)

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5 (Over. Joe, Queen, Chaisson, Jefferson, Fulton are all locks. I could see either of Cushernbury or CEH getting in as well)

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!! ( Hard to say. Likely over. 4 Locks for sure, 5th likely, 6th probably 50-50. I'd say under just cause of how deep the class is.)

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad) (Over. I think two sneak in but I'm not confident in that.)

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5 ( Under. 5ots, 4QBs, 5WR's is 14 right there on offense that are locks. figure 3 more is likely)

9) more offensive or defensive players in round 1 (offensive, see above)

 

10) first wr drafted (Lamb, but no confidence in that.)

 

11) first Rb drafted (Swift, more confident but still not super.)

 

answer as if someone’s mortgage (ginger bread house needs jelly beans) is on the line.  

 

 

I accept no liability for anyone's financial ruin (though I expect a cut if my answers result in large winnings), but these are my best guesses. 

 

41 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5 Over

9) more offensive or defensive players in round Offense - I think OTs will fly off the board

 

 

We agree on most all of these, but you messed up with 8 and 9. 

 

If 8 is over, then nine can't be offensive. Over 15.5 defensive players would be 16 at least, and then you'd get no more than 16 offensive so it would be a push.  

Edited April 21, 2020 by whatdrought

[GunnerBill]

10 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

 

I accept no liability for anyone's financial ruin (though I expect a cut if my answers result in large winnings), but these are my best guesses. 

 

 

We agree on most all of these, but you messed up with 8 and 9. 

 

If 8 is over, then nine can't be offensive. Over 15.5 defensive players would be 16 at least, and then you'd get no more than 16 offensive so it would be a push.  

 

Pah. Maths is for dummies. And yes, it is maths, not math.

[IgotBILLStopay]

1) who drafts Tua? Miami

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5 Under - predict will go at 5 to Miami

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0 push Burrow, Tua, Herbert, Love

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!! under - going for 4-5 - Tua, Wills, Jeudy, Ruggs, McKinney [Diggs may not make round 1]

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5 over - Burrow, Chaisson, Queen, Jefferson, Fulton 

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!! Over - Jeudy, Lamb, Ruggs, Jefferson, Aiyuk, Mims

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad) under - maybe 1 - Swift

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5 under for sure - 13

9) more offensive or defensive players in round 1 Offensive

 

10) first wr drafted Jeudy

 

11) first Rb drafted Swift

[BuffaloRebound]

Only one I’d feel good about is Tua under 4.5.  Detroit and Giants will gladly trade down.  Miami has too many picks to just sit at 5 and hope the Chargers don’t trade above them.  I don’t buy the Herbert stuff.  

[TigerJ]

1 hour ago, Augie said:

I’m surprised seeing Lamb go before Jeudy in most cases so far. What do I know?  ?‍♂️

Well Jeudy is a more polished route runner, but Lamp is faster, has a higher ceiling and then Jeudy bombed his wonderlic.  Conventional wisdom is that the Wonderlic matters more for QBs but NFL route trees can be pretty complex.  Corey Coleman was a physically gifted WR four years ago,, who was drafted high.  He also bombed his Wonderlic and has since washed out of the league because he could not master the mental demands of the pro game.  Jeudy may have a great pro career, but I think wariness of his Wonderlic will cause him to drop a bit. 

[Prospector]

3 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said:

 

I will bet you more offense by at least 4 in the first round

[Kirby Jackson]

2 minutes ago, WorstTEever81 said:

I will bet you more offense by at least 4 in the first round

I’m in. So you are saying at least 18-14 offense to defense? 

[Prospector]

Just now, Kirby Jackson said:

I’m in. So you are saying at least 18-14 offense to defense? 

oh yeah baby!

[whatdrought]

1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Pah. Maths is for dummies. And yes, it is maths, not math.

Your British is showing.

[Kirby Jackson]

17 hours ago, WorstTEever81 said:

oh yeah baby!

That works for me. Stakes? I know that cash is frowned upon here but there always seems to be a bet or 2 involving the Bills draft hat (so the equivalent of $30-$40). We can do that or something else. Up to you. Just shoot me a PM and we will get it rolling. I guess I’ll be cheering for defense tomorrow night lol.

[Prospector]

12 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said:

That works for me. Stakes? I know that cash is frowned upon here but there always seems to be a bet or 2 involving the Bills draft hat (so the equivalent of $30-$40). We can do that or something else. Up to you. Just shoot me a PM and we will get it rolling. I guess I’ll be cheering for defense tomorrow night lol.

Yikes, I was just gonna use the “haha, I was right” for my win. I tell ya what, if you win, drink an extra Lager for me. 

[Turk71]

People wager on WWE??

[Kirby Jackson]

56 minutes ago, WorstTEever81 said:

Yikes, I was just gonna use the “haha, I was right” for my win. I tell ya what, if you win, drink an extra Lager for me. 

Done!! Wish you luck

[Prospector]

30 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

Done!! Wish you luck

Your going down though!

[CapeBreton]

Daniel Jeremiah has Tristan Wirfs going to NYG at 4. Gettleman rarely trades and everyone knew they'd pick Saquon in 2018 and Daniel Jones last year. I'm placing bets on this. I've seen several sources connecting Wirfs to the Giants.

 

Also, Ceedee Lamb is now the favoured WR to be first off the board. He was paying 2-1 but now it's 1.71-1. 

[billieve420]

3 hours ago, CapeBreton said:

Daniel Jeremiah has Tristan Wirfs going to NYG at 4. Gettleman rarely trades and everyone knew they'd pick Saquon in 2018 and Daniel Jones last year. I'm placing bets on this. I've seen several sources connecting Wirfs to the Giants.

 

Also, Ceedee Lamb is now the favoured WR to be first off the board. He was paying 2-1 but now it's 1.71-1. 

 

Which book you seeing that CeeDee lamb prop?

[billieve420]

I got in on OT Andrew Thomas going #3 Tuesday night at 60-1 once I started seeing rumors about the dolphins trading up for OT and his name associated. It is now currently 8-1 on Draft Kings. Fanduel doesn't even have Thomas listed as an option at #3 so hopefully there is some truth to that rumor.

 

I think 3 OTs are going top 10. Currently at -200 don't love it but may place larger wager as we get closer to the draft.

[CapeBreton]

48 minutes ago, billieve420 said:

 

Which book you seeing that CeeDee lamb prop?

Sports Interaction, I believe it’s only available in Canada and New Jersey.

 

Its down to 1.44 for Lamb now.

Edited April 23, 2020 by CapeBreton

[billieve420]

1 hour ago, CapeBreton said:

Sports Interaction, I believe it’s only available in Canada and New Jersey.

 

Its down to 1.44 for Lamb now.

 

Thanks I am in NJ will check it out.

[eball]

On 4/21/2020 at 1:12 PM, C.Biscuit97 said:

sick of wagering on WWE

 

[eball]

My online book has the o/u on defensive players at 15.5, but the under is -185 while the over is +135.

 

On offense the o/u is 16.5...over is -220 and under is +160.

[DJB]

On 4/21/2020 at 1:12 PM, C.Biscuit97 said:

Trying to make some jelly beans here (So desperate and sick of wagering on WWE) and figured this would be fun for conversation.   Please draft experts weigh in!
 

1) who drafts Tua? Dolphins

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5 Over 

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0 

4 or less

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!! Under

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5 Under

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!! Under

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad) Under

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5 Under

9) more offensive or defensive players in round 1 Offence

 

10) first wr drafted Lamb

 

11) first Rb drafted Swift

 

answer as if someone’s mortgage (ginger bread house needs jelly beans) is on the line.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Kirby Jackson]

Here is what I bet:
- Over 3.5 Big 12 players in rd 1 (even)
- KC 1st pick will be offense (+145)
- Mims won't go in round 1 (-105)
- CJ Henderson over 16.5 (+310)
- Edwards-Helaire 1st RB (+300)
- Andrew Thomas 1st OL (+700)
- Tristan Wirfs 1st OL (+110)
- Jeff Okudah goes 3 (+140)

[Bill from NYC]

On ‎4‎/‎21‎/‎2020 at 1:12 PM, C.Biscuit97 said:

Trying to make some jelly beans here (So desperate and sick of wagering on WWE) and figured this would be fun for conversation.   Please draft experts weigh in!
 

1) who drafts Tua?: Dolphins

2) Tua draft position over/under 4.5: Under

 

3) Qbs selected in the 1st - o/u 4.0: Under

 

4) Bama 1st round picks - o/u 5.5!!!: Over

 

5)  LSU 1s round picks - o/u 4.5 Over

6) 1st round wrs - o/u 5.5!!! Under

 

7) 1st round rbs - o/u 1.5 (? rbs make me sad) Under

 

? 1st round defensive players - o/u 15.5 Under

9) more offensive or defensive players in round 1: Offense

 

10) first wr drafted: Jeudy

 

11) first Rb drafted: D'Andre Smith UGA