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2019 Playoffs. 1st round


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7 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

 

It sure is.   Even more so when you are protecting the WC instead of chasing it. 

 

 

 

The NYTimes Win % will fluctuate wildly as each of the next 6 to 8 weeks pass.  

 

So I try not to worry about those fluctuations as long as my guesses work out 

 

The homer in me thinks a Thanksgiving day Win is possible for Buffalo 

 

 

I am not counting Baltimore or Dallas a loss quite yet.  Those games are winnable.  We got to get these next two though.  A loss to the phins Sunday would be devastating.  

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35 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

 

It sure is.   Even more so when you are protecting the WC instead of chasing it. 

 

 

 

The NYTimes Win % will fluctuate wildly as each of the next 6 to 8 weeks pass.  

 

So I try not to worry about those fluctuations as long as my guesses work out 

 

The homer in me thinks a Thanksgiving day Win is possible for Buffalo 

 

Dallas has been a mystery so it isn't too crazy of a thought though I'd feel better about it if it wasn't on turkey day.

 

The only thing I know for certain is how I have all of the games predicted in the playoff machine right now will NOT be how it looks after week 17.

 

Hopefully all the surprises work in Buffalo's favor though. :thumbsup:

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14 hours ago, uticaclub said:

You just admitted that you haven’t watched a lot but are saying that a guy that coached in the AFC Championship isn’t better than a guy that’s struggles mightily against teams with winning records  

I live in Orlando and Jax is our local team- I see plenty of Jax and I know they are not coached well. He has one good season where he caught lightning in a bottle.

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3 minutes ago, Buffalo Timmy said:

I live in Orlando and Jax is our local team- I see plenty of Jax and I know they are not coached well. He has one good season where he caught lightning in a bottle.

Isn't Coughlin calling all the shot anyway?

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2 hours ago, Gordio said:

 

 

I am not counting Baltimore or Dallas a loss quite yet.  Those games are winnable.  We got to get these next two though.  A loss to the phins Sunday would be devastating.  

 

1 hour ago, Metal Man said:

 

Dallas has been a mystery so it isn't too crazy of a thought though I'd feel better about it if it wasn't on turkey day.

 

The only thing I know for certain is how I have all of the games predicted in the playoff machine right now will NOT be how it looks after week 17.

 

Hopefully all the surprises work in Buffalo's favor though. :thumbsup:

 

I'd LOVE for the Bills to CRUSH the Ravens to make up for the game I attended opening week last year.  Not a LJ fan, but they are winning so I can't say too much against him. 

 

The Steelers have Rudolph and he's not a LOCK to win a game either. 

 

Week 17 ... Will the JETS players care?  Is Gase that much of a motivator?   

 

 

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I see the Bills finishing 9-7 at best. Their offense is not good enough to win against good defenses. I see Allen regressing a lot in th second half of the season. If they lose to Miami, I am having doubts the playoffs are going to happen. I think it's going to be Pittsburgh and either Jacksonville or Oakland in that last spot. 

 

 

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1 hour ago, Jrb1979 said:

I see the Bills finishing 9-7 at best. Their offense is not good enough to win against good defenses. I see Allen regressing a lot in th second half of the season. If they lose to Miami, I am having doubts the playoffs are going to happen. I think it's going to be Pittsburgh and either Jacksonville or Oakland in that last spot. 

 

 

 

what should we do if we miss the playoffs after starting 6-2? surely some changes have to be made to the staff. monumental collapse with one of the easiest remaining schedules in franchise history. 

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Oakland and Pittsburg have a very favorable schedule the rest of the way I see scenarios where the Bills and Pitt both finish at 10-6 with Pitt winning based on the head to head game.  Oakland it's hard to find losses besides the Chiefs game definitely in play for one of the wildcard spots imo

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3 hours ago, ILBillsfan said:

Oakland and Pittsburg have a very favorable schedule the rest of the way I see scenarios where the Bills and Pitt both finish at 10-6 with Pitt winning based on the head to head game.  Oakland it's hard to find losses besides the Chiefs game definitely in play for one of the wildcard spots imo


I’m not sure what to think of Pittsburgh and I think the Raiders will lose to the Chargers keeping them a game behind Buffalo 

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13 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:


I’m not sure what to think of Pittsburgh and I think the Raiders will lose to the Chargers keeping them a game behind Buffalo 

Loss by pitt tonight certainly helps and if connor is done (shoulder may be an issue for awhile) then that helps even more.  As for oakland lets hope the good Rivers shows up for that one because that end schedule looks very favoring for the Raiders

Edited by ILBillsfan
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The Steelers chances just dropped significantly with the loss.  
 

 

49%
 

To make it easier for my lazy butt

 

NFL

http://www.nfl.com/playoffs/playoff-picture

 

ESPN page will be activated (post) week 10 also known as week 11 

http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

 

ESPN standings 

https://www.espn.com/nfl/standings/_/view/playoff

 

NYT 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/upshot/nfl-playoff-picture.html

 

CBS 

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/standings/playoffrace

For reference Bills at 56%. Lets see how high or low it changes after Sunday’s game 

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1 hour ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

The next 4 in the chase 

Oakland 5-4
WEEK 11 CINCINNATI
   
Colts 5-4
WEEK 11

JACKSONVILLE

 

Tenny has a bye week. 


Jags can beat the Colts, especially with Foles back.  
 

Cinci without Dalton has basically given up. 

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39 minutes ago, rayray808 said:

just spent waaaaaay too much time cranking numbers on that ESPN machine...

 

As long as we win our favored games, and beat the Steelers... we are in

 

my $$ says we end up facing off first round against the Chiefs or Chargers


you had me up to Chargers.  
 

8 percent.  Not 80 

Save the $$$$.  
Unless you like giving it away. 

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45 minutes ago, rayray808 said:

just spent waaaaaay too much time cranking numbers on that ESPN machine...

 

As long as we win our favored games, and beat the Steelers... we are in

 

my $$ says we end up facing off first round against the Chiefs or Chargers

Chargers????  Rotflcopter!!!!!!

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Worst case and realistic scenario:

 

Bills - Finish 10-6 with losses to NE, DAL and BAL and winning other 4 games.

 

Raiders and Indy go 11-5.

Raiders - Wins vs CIN, NYJ, TEN, JAC, LAC, DEN and a loss to KC

Indy - Wins vs JAC, TEN, TB, JAC and two of 3 vs CAR, NO, HOU

 

or 

CLE wins  out or 5 of 6 vs MIA, PIT, CIN, AZ, BAL, PIT (and Bills lose PIT game too)

or PIT beats Bills and wins 4 of 5 vs. CIN, CLE, AZ, NYJ, BAL

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7 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:


might.   10 and 6 or better will secure it most definitely 

 


I would agree. Idk with the tie breaker with Colts or Raiders would be, but Steelers SHOULD be head to head. 
 

keep winning and it won’t matter. 7-3 for the first time in what feels like my entire adult life and I like it. 

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22 minutes ago, EmotionallyUnstable said:


I would agree. Idk with the tie breaker with Colts or Raiders would be, but Steelers SHOULD be head to head. 
 

keep winning and it won’t matter. 7-3 for the first time in what feels like my entire adult life and I like it. 


this is from last Tuesday but with the Steelers Loss I’d say the Raiders have that edge 

 

AFC tiebreakers:

  • Pittsburgh and Oakland are ahead of Indianapolis based on head-to-head sweep (2-0).
  • Pittsburgh is ahead of Oakland based on conference record (4-2 to the Raiders' 3-2).
  • Denver is ahead of Cleveland based on head to head (1-0).
  • Miami is ahead of the N.Y. Jets based on head to head (1-0).


One of the links above has the details of you click the tabs 

 

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On 11/15/2019 at 2:11 AM, ILBillsfan said:

Oakland and Pittsburg have a very favorable schedule the rest of the way I see scenarios where the Bills and Pitt both finish at 10-6 with Pitt winning based on the head to head game.  Oakland it's hard to find losses besides the Chiefs game definitely in play for one of the wildcard spots imo

Actually Oakland and Pittsburgh have to play 4 of their six games ON THE ROAD. 

 

Oakland plays 4 of the remaining six on the Road:  at Jets (3-7), at Chiefs (6-4), vs. Titans (5-5), vs. Jaguars (4-6), at Chargers (4-6), at Broncos (3-7) With a lot of AFC West Divisional games which are not gimmies.  Other than the Jets game, I don't see any easy games. 

 

Pittsburgh does have an easier schedule, but have injuries all around them.  at Bengals (0-10), vs. Browns (4-6), at Cardinals (3-7-1), vs. Bills (7-3), at Jets (3-7), at Ravens (8-2)  

injuries  Pittsburgh will find it it difficult to beat the Browns and Ravens (Unless Ravens have the 1st round bye and Home Field wrapped up before that game).  

 

I think the TItans are going to be the team to watch.

 

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4 minutes ago, ganesh said:

Actually Oakland and Pittsburgh have to play 4 of their six games ON THE ROAD. 

 

Oakland plays 4 of the remaining six on the Road:  at Jets (3-7), at Chiefs (6-4), vs. Titans (5-5), vs. Jaguars (4-6), at Chargers (4-6), at Broncos (3-7) With a lot of AFC West Divisional games which are not gimmies.  Other than the Jets game, I don't see any easy games. 

 

Pittsburgh does have an easier schedule, but have injuries all around them.  at Bengals (0-10), vs. Browns (4-6), at Cardinals (3-7-1), vs. Bills (7-3), at Jets (3-7), at Ravens (8-2)  

injuries  Pittsburgh will find it it difficult to beat the Browns and Ravens (Unless Ravens have the 1st round bye and Home Field wrapped up before that game).  

 

I think the TItans are going to be the team to watch.

 

Easier to say now with the bills up two games on Pitt.  As for Tenn we hold the head to head so that means an extra game up on them.  I do like the fact a lot on the road win for the Bills next week and you keep the pressure on those chasing you

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Steelers could very well win out and finish 11-5. their schedule is a joke. 

 

9-7 won't get you in this season. its 10-6 and even then we might not make it with tiebreakers. that browns game will come back to haunt us. 

Edited by Tesla03
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7 minutes ago, Tesla03 said:

Steelers could very well win out and finish 11-5. their schedule is a joke. 

 

9-7 won't get you in this season. its 10-6 and even then we might not make it with tiebreakers. that browns game will come back to haunt us. 

bro chill... 10-6 will get us in and the Steelers aren't winning out with all those injuries

Edited by Do The Reich Thing
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59 minutes ago, Bronxbomber21 said:

Who are we rooting for tomorrow KC or Chargers?

 

I'm personally rooting for the Chargers. I think KC might actually be a wild-card competitor with us. Their schedule is worse than the Raiders. They still have to play the Patriots, the Bears in Chicago, and then 4 division games. They may only finish 9-7 or 10-6 this season.

 

The Chargers, meanwhile, are playing all of their homes games in front of away crowds and are way too inconsistent to pull off a 4-1 or 5-0 finish.

 

I'm probably among a very small minority among here who thinks neither the Mahomes Chiefs nor the Watson Texans are automatic playoff teams.

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28 minutes ago, Do The Reich Thing said:

bro chill... 10-6 will get us in and the Steelers aren't winning out with all those injuries

 

lol have you seen their schedule? 

 

only team I see them losing to is Baltimore. that's why we have to win that game. 

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@ Bengals, @ Cardinals, @ Jets, and at home against the Browns team that just beat them will not be easy whatsoever. That is not a cake schedule for a team that is as injured as them and with Rudolph as QB. Every single one of those games will be close. Will not be surprised to see Cinci get their only win of the season against them next week.

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