Charles Romes Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 29 minutes ago, motorj said: so if the phins win the next two, and bills win out they're pretty much 100% in, and in this scenario you want bal losing to sf, and kc dropping one so mia clinches the 1 spot this would require browning beating mahomes. It’s an interesting choice between just having to beat a resting Miami to get in with no shot at the division, or having to beat a Miami with the division at stake. Is there a realistic scenario where we can clinch a wildcard just by beating LAC and NE? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBilz2500 Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, Charles Romes said: this would require browning beating mahomes. It’s an interesting choice between just having to beat a resting Miami to get in with no shot at the division, or having to beat a Miami with the division at stake. Is there a realistic scenario where we can clinch a wildcard just by beating LAC and NE? Yes we can clinch before Miami but of the 4 current 8-6 teams ahead of us we need 2 of them to lose next 2 games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kgun5 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 On 12/18/2023 at 5:58 PM, transplantbillsfan said: Any team losing to anyone this year is realistic if you've been watching the NFL in 2023 The issue is, if Denver does win all their games, you have to flip two games for any other team. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDingus Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 On 12/17/2023 at 7:11 PM, BigDingus said: So the Week 15 playoff scenario I predicted that would still allow the Bills to make the 7th seed played out nearly perfect. I was trying to predict worst case scenarios that still allow us a path without winning the division, but we're already ahead of schedule with a win today! Week 15: -Cowboys def. Bills ❌ -Bengals def. vs Vikings ✅ -Colts def. vs Steelers ✅ -Lions def. Broncos ✅ -Texans def. Titans ✅ -Browns def. Bears ✅ -Dolphins def. Jets ✅ Now the Bills just need to take care of business against the teams they're expected to beat, and things are looking very good. Bumping this, just to see how my worst case scenario (but still making the playoffs) plays out. My initial idea was to see how the Bills could make the playoffs, even if they lost to the Cowboys AND lost to the Dolphins in week 18, all while not predicting any stupid upsets. Everything I played out exactly as needed, but since the Bills won, we're already ahead of schedule! Here's what I had for this week: Week 16: -Bills def. Chargers -Bengals def. Steelers (again, the Steelers could win & this still works) -Browns def. Texans -Colts def. Falcons -Dolphins def. Cowboys -Broncos def. Patriots Note: Made sure to give the Dolphins the win to ensure they win the East either way. Texans could definitely beat the Browns, but it's a toss up. ************* Even though I had written the Steelers or Bengals could win this week, it's definitely better to see the Bengals lose just for the head-to-head tiebreaker. If the Cowboys win, this whole thing becomes WAY better though 😁 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steven50 Posted December 31, 2023 Author Share Posted December 31, 2023 On 11/14/2023 at 1:22 PM, steven50 said: I know its all doom and gloom but I'm gonna try a little glass half full post. One of the roads to the playoffs is through winning the AFC east, wild card might be out of the picture now. On 11/14/2023 at 1:38 PM, dorquemada said: Because it's an idea worthy of ridicule On 11/14/2023 at 1:46 PM, dorquemada said: They have a non-zero chance at the playoffs. I also have a non-zero chance of winning powerball The reason why people are clowning on this is because the Bills arent going on some miraculous winning streak. they aren't built that way, and the team leaders are all sulking instead of demanding accountability from each other and the organization. McD will clap his way through it, dont worry. I think we have all learned a couple valuable lesson with this thread. Posting 500 million times on the internet doesn't make you an expert on anything, declaring the season over when their are still more then 5 games to go is not real bright, and being insulting with someone else for no other reason then to be rude means you might end up eating a lot of crow when you are wrong. Enjoy dinner bro, and Go Bills! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giuseppe Tognarelli Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aussie Joe Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 Just now, Giuseppe Tognarelli said: Or it may not matter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 1 minute ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said: But I thought our odds were 93 percent Take all that absurd math talk the last 3 weeks and wipe your tails with it. Reality on the ground never made it that high. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steven50 Posted December 31, 2023 Author Share Posted December 31, 2023 33 minutes ago, Big Blitz said: But I thought our odds were 93 percent Take all that absurd math talk the last 3 weeks and wipe your tails with it. Reality on the ground never made it that high. Ya all that odds stuff is as pointless as the Mock Draft stuff. Its never right yet ever year people spend tons of time talking about it and then zero time talking about it when they are wrong 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisWatson#21 Posted December 31, 2023 Share Posted December 31, 2023 (edited) Assuming Cleveland will rest their starters next week and the winner of Indy-Hou will be at 10 wins with a better conference record it’s win or elimination next week for the Bills right? Edited December 31, 2023 by ChrisWatson#21 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dorquemada Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 hours ago, steven50 said: I think we have all learned a couple valuable lesson with this thread. Posting 500 million times on the internet doesn't make you an expert on anything, declaring the season over when their are still more then 5 games to go is not real bright, and being insulting with someone else for no other reason then to be rude means you might end up eating a lot of crow when you are wrong. Enjoy dinner bro, and Go Bills! I get paid by the post bro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4merper4mer Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 11/21/2023 at 7:31 AM, 4merper4mer said: Come back to this post after week 18 and say oops because not a single 10-7 team…..Buffalo or other….missed the playoffs. I’ll do the same if one does. @Milanos Milano Any updates on this? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QLBillsFan Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 The 95% probability was accurate on the Bills making the playoffs, and it happened before they even have played the Phins. How surprising 😂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jay_Fixit Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 11/14/2023 at 11:00 AM, Jay_Fixit said: They’ll be 11-6 I guarantee it Boom baby. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jay_Fixit Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 11/14/2023 at 11:00 AM, Jay_Fixit said: They’ll be 11-6 I guarantee it I’m ***** awesome 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steven50 Posted January 8 Author Share Posted January 8 Nothing to see here, no way they win the division. 🤣 Carry on 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 LOL at the second post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BritBill Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 4 hours ago, Jay_Fixit said: I’m ***** awesome "Who do you think you are? I am!" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill Grundy Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 great thread to read Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aussie Joe Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 11/15/2023 at 6:25 AM, FilthyBeast said: I know fans will refuse to give credit to the Dolphins if anything because they are a hated division rival, but even if they truly aren't an elite SB contender this year as long as they hold fort (i.e. beating every team without a winning record and losing to the ones that do) they will only lose 2 more games all year (Cowboys/Ravens also yes I'm factoring in the Bills being a team with a losing record that they'll beat in the season finale). Bigger picture though is where on earth does anyone see the Bills winning more than a single game the rest of the year? Patriots home game probably only other game they'll be favored in aside from this week against Jets. This is actually one of your better takes for the season On 11/15/2023 at 5:23 AM, RiotAct said: Miami is NOT losing to the Titans. Full stop. Put it in capital letters …underline it …take it to the bank…it ain’t happening Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Riverside Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 11/14/2023 at 11:25 AM, FilthyBeast said: I know fans will refuse to give credit to the Dolphins if anything because they are a hated division rival, but even if they truly aren't an elite SB contender this year as long as they hold fort (i.e. beating every team without a winning record and losing to the ones that do) they will only lose 2 more games all year (Cowboys/Ravens also yes I'm factoring in the Bills being a team with a losing record that they'll beat in the season finale). Bigger picture though is where on earth does anyone see the Bills winning more than a single game the rest of the year? Patriots home game probably only other game they'll be favored in aside from this week against Jets. 🤓 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aussie Joe Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 11/16/2023 at 12:15 AM, SydneyBillsFan said: We have a bad conference record - 10-7 means we probably miss out on tiebreakers. It's just not happening. It’s happening bro On 11/18/2023 at 8:49 AM, MJS said: I do not agree. The path to the playoffs is exclusively by wild card. We will not catch the Dolphins. Maybe not On 11/21/2023 at 4:43 AM, Pine Barrens Mafia said: not hearing that from me. I'm predicting 0 for the next 3 and season over. Enjoyed last night for what it was, a win over a team that has literally no offense. I'm not fooling myself into believing it's anything other than that. Nothing more indeed 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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