GoBills808 Posted October 1, 2020 Share Posted October 1, 2020 (edited) never mind Edited October 1, 2020 by GoBills808 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike in Horseheads Posted October 1, 2020 Share Posted October 1, 2020 Darren Rovell @darrenrovell · 3m The overs in the NFL are hitting in historic fashion, making gamblers happy, while bookmakers are licking their chops hoping the tide will turn https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/rovell-nfl-overs-hitting-at-a-historic-rate-will-week-4-continue-the-trend?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=darrenrovell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eball Posted October 1, 2020 Share Posted October 1, 2020 3 hours ago, IDBillzFan said: Someone recently did a great segment on teams who gave away top draft picks (Texans/Hopkins, Vikings/Diggs, Jets/Adams) relative to the teams who got those players, and it pretty much tells an obvious story. Texans players have to be a bit miffed. How do you determine the winner of a trade? Who wound up with the best player. Draft picks are great, but it will take years to come to fruition and you can’t count on those draft picks panning out. You build your team through the draft, but you don’t trade away superstars for draft picks if you think you’re close to competing for a championship. In that regard the Jests probably were the smartest team of the three, because Douglas knows they are a ways away. The decisions by Ass-Chin and Minnesota are pretty indefensible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullBuchanan Posted October 1, 2020 Share Posted October 1, 2020 I do two $20 parlays a week. One for the early games and then one for the rest. the titans busted my first one and the cardinals my second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IDBillzFan Posted October 1, 2020 Share Posted October 1, 2020 12 minutes ago, eball said: How do you determine the winner of a trade? Who wound up with the best player. Draft picks are great, but it will take years to come to fruition and you can’t count on those draft picks panning out. You build your team through the draft, but you don’t trade away superstars for draft picks if you think you’re close to competing for a championship. In that regard the Jests probably were the smartest team of the three, because Douglas knows they are a ways away. The decisions by Ass-Chin and Minnesota are pretty indefensible. Agreed. Who knows how long it takes for these things to play out. Bills did a good job getting picks for Watkins and Darby because the brass knew Tyrod was not the future and had to build with a new QB. (NOTE: I'm not suggeting Darby was a superstar.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeviF Posted October 2, 2020 Share Posted October 2, 2020 10 hours ago, LeviF91 said: I managed to snag the Jets at +3 but I'd still bet them at -1. lmao I should know better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McBean Posted October 2, 2020 Share Posted October 2, 2020 Just now, LeviF91 said: lmao I should know better Jets just burned me bad too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeviF Posted October 2, 2020 Share Posted October 2, 2020 Just now, McBean said: Jets just burned me bad too I more than made up for it with props but if Melvin Gordon doesn’t walk to the endzone I finish the night 4/4. Oh well, it’s gambling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted October 2, 2020 Share Posted October 2, 2020 smdh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eball Posted October 2, 2020 Share Posted October 2, 2020 I nearly put a few bucks on the Jests before reality set in and I asked myself WHAT ARE YOU DOING? Good rule of thumb is that you just don’t bet on bad teams, no matter the spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwchze Posted October 2, 2020 Author Share Posted October 2, 2020 Jets are the team to win money on. Bad coach and too many players out. I like the rams and ravens this week. Bills will be in a shootout that could go either way. Thinking of bills and over then rams/ravens ml.. or a three team tease .. still researching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaattMaann Posted October 2, 2020 Share Posted October 2, 2020 I dont do parlays just on the spread... this week is TOUGH, sharp lines. Think I will go with the Bills (-3) and Cardinals (-3.5), seems the best bets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 The line in the bills game hasn’t moved off 3 all week but it went from Even to -120. Interesting. Seems like everyone is betting the bills and they aren’t begging us to bet buffalo anymore. Likely due to the raiders injury report Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IDBillzFan Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 On 10/2/2020 at 6:57 AM, PaattMaann said: I dont do parlays just on the spread... this week is TOUGH, sharp lines. Think I will go with the Bills (-3) and Cardinals (-3.5), seems the best bets I like Rams -12 1/2 against a bad Giants team. Rams are going to skullbang their next opponent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeviF Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 Just now, IDBillzFan said: I like Rams -12 1/2 against a bad Giants team. Rams are going to skullbang their next opponent. I like the Rams at that number and the Bucs at -6.5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 54 minutes ago, NewEra said: The line in the bills game hasn’t moved off 3 all week but it went from Even to -120. Interesting. Seems like everyone is betting the bills and they aren’t begging us to bet buffalo anymore. Likely due to the raiders injury report Good analysis imo...seeing around 70% action on BUF-3 but over 80%of wagers on LAR +152, my guess is Bills win a close one Raiders cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 13 minutes ago, GoBills808 said: Good analysis imo...seeing around 70% action on BUF-3 but over 80%of wagers on LAR +152, my guess is Bills win a close one Raiders cover Yeah, I agree. I’m betting the Bills in the ML this week strictly because I think the oddsmakers have some insider knowledge that they think the raiders are going to win. That -3 staying in the number is why I feel that way. -3 road favorites, but beware. Oddsmakers usually know something the bettors don’t. but I know Josh Allen.....so bills win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChattanoogaBills Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 (edited) I bet every week and take bets for a bookie. Parlays , teasers, and straight bets. Ours is the only place I have ever heard that takes up to four team teasers (+12 points per team). I made my first futures bet this week on Josh Allen to win NFL MVP. It's a long shot at 36-1 odds but I feel like Josh could average at least 2 td passes a game and have 36 td passes on the year. Heck I put $200 to win $7200 and I'm kinda mad I didn't put $300 on it instead. Edited October 3, 2020 by ChattanoogaBills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dean Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 Just now, ChattanoogaBills said: I bet every week and take bets for a bookie. Parlays , teasers, and straight bets. This the only place I have ever heard that takes up to four team teasers (+12 points per team). I made my first futures bet this week on Josh Allen to win NFL MVP. It's a long shot at 36-1 odds but I feel like Josh could average at least 2 td passes a game and have 36 td passes on the year. Heck I put $200 to win $7200 and I'm kinda mad I didn't put $300 on it instead. What would that place be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChattanoogaBills Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 Right outside of Chattanooga TN.... Pretty sure it's a mom and pop operation... I don't ask too many ??? Though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dean Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 3 hours ago, ChattanoogaBills said: Right outside of Chattanooga TN.... Pretty sure it's a mom and pop operation... I don't ask too many ??? Though... 🤣 Awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turf Toejam 34 Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 On 9/27/2020 at 10:58 AM, cwchze said: I’ve been betting for years mostly nfl and the horses. Table games blackjack and poker. Luv 3card and Caribbean . Took a beating at saratoga this year on the ponies . its my only vice. Made plenty of money I hate to say it against the bills but a ***** coach always loses this year its gase, Quinn and Patricia . Don’t like Lynn either. mcdermott is a great coach and made plenty of cash with them the past 2 years. Especially the Pitt game. this year we are parlaying the packers whenever we can. Rodgers is pissed and on a mission I think the Rodgers angle is very valuable---Rodgers on Monday night on a national stage will be primed to put on another clinic against a suspect Atlanta team. I gave the 7 but feel pretty good about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 I’m going to make 3 bets today. They are all 4 team parlays: Bet 1: Ravens ML Seahawks ML Rams ML Bills -3 Bet 2: Ravens ML Seahawks ML Rams ML Bills / Raiders over 53 Bet 3: Ravens ML Seahawks ML Rams ML Vikings +3.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bookie Man Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 I have a few things going today. I always do a teaser or 2. This week I'm going with a 4 team 14 pt teaser. New Orleans + 11 Baltimore ML Seattle + 8.5 Seattle/Miami Over 41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 Been a rough start for me through three weeks. My goal has been to hit on a three team parlay 1 out of every three weeks. And a 6 TM 6pt teaser one out of every three weeks. I am 0-3 on both so far. If I can finally hit this week ang go 1-3 I'll basically be at even money for the season for each of those bank rolls. Overall in my all 256 picks I am 25-23-1. Had my first losing week last week going 7-9. For my super picks I am 8-9 on the season. Going 2-3, 4-3 and 2-3 for weeks 1-3 respectively. 3TM parlay this week: Bucs -7 Bills -3.5 Rams -13.5 6TM 6PT teaser Ravens -8.5 Bucs -1 Seahawk 0 Rams -7.5 Bills +2.5 Packers -1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 17 hours ago, ChattanoogaBills said: I made my first futures bet this week on Josh Allen to win NFL MVP. It's a long shot at 36-1 odds but I feel like Josh could average at least 2 td passes a game and have 36 td passes on the year. I've thought about putting a small amount on Allen to win MVP. Like $20 or $25. Problem is my bankroll is pretty much already allotted. I do think this is likely the last week to get Allen at odds greater than +1000 if he has another good 3TD game along with a Bills win. It's hard for me to imagine him averaging less than 2.5 TD's per game to finish the season which would put him at about 45 for the season. Jackson won MVP last year with 43 TDs. Problem of course is Wilson might actually finish with more than 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ny33 Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 17 hours ago, ChattanoogaBills said: I bet every week and take bets for a bookie. Parlays , teasers, and straight bets. Ours is the only place I have ever heard that takes up to four team teasers (+12 points per team). I made my first futures bet this week on Josh Allen to win NFL MVP. It's a long shot at 36-1 odds but I feel like Josh could average at least 2 td passes a game and have 36 td passes on the year. Heck I put $200 to win $7200 and I'm kinda mad I didn't put $300 on it instead. Where the hell do you have 36-1 odds for Allen to win MVP? My book is 12-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bookie Man Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 Browns +4 are the play of the day I got from a paid service. The guy is sitting right around .500 for NFL this season so take that for what it's worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whkfc Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 what is ML? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PetermansRedemption Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Whkfc said: what is ML? Money line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whkfc Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 Just now, PetermansRedemption said: Money line and what exactly is a money line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PetermansRedemption Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Whkfc said: and what exactly is a money line? Basically a straight up bet. No points spread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whkfc Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Whkfc said: and what exactly is a money line? never mind i figured it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1ManRaid Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 (edited) I decided to do a big ol stupid bet at the last minute. Up here you have to pick a team to win by at least 4 or 8, or a "tie" which is a game decided by 3 or less. Chargers tie Buccs Browns tie Cowboys Bills beat Raiders by 8 Eagles tie 49ers Packers beat Falcons by 8 $5 bet pays $950. First two games are already promising, Chargers just took a pick 6 off Brady, and Browns are tied so far. Oh and my friend is giving me 2 to 1 odds for the Browns to beat the Cowboys in our private bet. Edited October 4, 2020 by 1ManRaid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullBuchanan Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 Looks like the Cardinals are dead set on sinking this week's parlay Parlay (6 Teams) to win $819.73 Week 4 - Indianapolis Colts -3-135 Game Start 10/04/2020 @ 01:25 PM Week 4 - Arizona Cardinals -3-101 Game Start 10/04/2020 @ 10:05 AM Week 4 - New Orleans Saints -3-110 Game Start 10/04/2020 @ 10:05 AM Week 4 - Seattle Seahawks -4-118 Game Start 10/04/2020 @ 10:05 AM Week 4 - Jacksonville Jaguars +1-110 Game Start 10/04/2020 @ 10:05 AM Week 4 - Dallas Cowboys -3-125 Game Start 10/04/2020 @ 10:05 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1ManRaid Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 ***** Browns and Chargers, you were supposed to be competitive and keep it close, not have three score leads at halftime... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 Tompabay looking to make me start the season 0-4 on my six team teasers. Costly pick 6 was at least a 10 point swing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullBuchanan Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 2 hours ago, BullBuchanan said: Looks like the Cardinals are dead set on sinking this week's parlay Parlay (6 Teams) to win $819.73 Week 4 - Indianapolis Colts -3-135 Game Start 10/04/2020 @ 01:25 PM Week 4 - Arizona Cardinals -3-101 Game Start 10/04/2020 @ 10:05 AM Week 4 - New Orleans Saints -3-110 Game Start 10/04/2020 @ 10:05 AM Week 4 - Seattle Seahawks -4-118 Game Start 10/04/2020 @ 10:05 AM Week 4 - Jacksonville Jaguars +1-110 Game Start 10/04/2020 @ 10:05 AM Week 4 - Dallas Cowboys -3-125 Game Start 10/04/2020 @ 10:05 AM Well that was a huge bust. Hopefully the afternoon ticket does better. 1 parlay of 5 Teams Risk: $20.00 Win: $1,023.97 Philadelphia Eagles +334 Over 45.5-110 Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers ---------- Over 43-110 Indianapolis Colts vs Chicago Bears Chicago Bears +3+110 -------------------- Buffalo Bills -175 week 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 2 hours ago, 1ManRaid said: I decided to do a big ol stupid bet at the last minute. Up here you have to pick a team to win by at least 4 or 8, or a "tie" which is a game decided by 3 or less. Chargers tie Buccs Browns tie Cowboys Bills beat Raiders by 8 Eagles tie 49ers Packers beat Falcons by 8 $5 bet pays $950. First two games are already promising, Chargers just took a pick 6 off Brady, and Browns are tied so far. Oh and my friend is giving me 2 to 1 odds for the Browns to beat the Cowboys in our private bet. This is some true degenerate ***** right here approve 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1ManRaid Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, GoBills808 said: This is some true degenerate ***** right here approve It was going GREAT until the last 3 minutes of the Browns and Chargers games. Browns were up 3 and the Chargers were looking to tie it up. At least I'll profit $5 overall if the Browns hold out to win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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