Phil The Thrill Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 4 hours ago, Pokebball said: Is this with the points or straight up? Unless I'm missing it, this is straight up. It isn’t a completion against the spread. This is a straight up pick-em competitions which makes the Wickersham pick even dinners. But I guess he wants to be the guy on Twitter that screen caps his picks and says “see I told you so!” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 19, 2019 Author Share Posted October 19, 2019 17 minutes ago, IDBillzFan said: You're getting +17 points against a team that only scores, on average, 18 points? If I still gambled, I'd be all over that. (And I would lose. Which is why I stopped gambling.) 18? you are off by 10. 8.4 ppg prior to the game against Washington it was 8ppg 1 minute ago, BigDingus said: Fortunately the same guy on ESPN who picked the Broncos to beat the Chiefs is the same one who picked the Dolphins to beat the Bills. He's also one of only two people to pick the Bengals to get their first win & beat the Jags. But hey, he also has the 2nd best overall record, so maybe he knows something we don't. Maybe but I don’t buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDingus Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 (edited) Also, here's CBS's straight up picks - https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/7 Everyone picked the Bills. Edit: When it comes to the fan picks for each game, the Bills have the highest voting total in their favor. 94% picked the Bills, 6% picked the Dolphins. In comparison, the undefeated 49ers playing against the 1-win Redskins had the vote split 92% to 8%, and the undefeated Pats vs the 1-win Jets had the vote split 88% to 12%. That really says a lot about how awful the Dolphins are considered this year... Edited October 19, 2019 by BigDingus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil The Thrill Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 4 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: http://www.espn.com/nfl/picks All but 1 picked Buffalo http://mweb.cbssports.com/nfl/expert-picks 2 pick a Miami to cover This means nothing though, because every evaluation I’ve read about Miami has been horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billsatlastin2018 Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 1 hour ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: I saw nothing on ESPN that indicated a point spread. so yeah he picked Miami straight up. That’s laughable. That would be the pick in a Survival Pool. I’m in those and others where you pick your Top 10 weekly ATS and bet the odd game. Plus Futures on Divisions, Conferences & SB. Taking the Bills and laying the 17 takes balls, not fools picking a team with no spread! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Playoffs? Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 5 hours ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said: Every panel needs a contrarian Unless it’s the Patriots.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bmbchiefs66 Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 Bills should be favored around 1-2.5 points against philly at home. That would be my assumption. And anybody outside of true bills fans that say they knew the bills would be a top 3 team in afc is fos. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 19, 2019 Author Share Posted October 19, 2019 23 minutes ago, Bmbchiefs66 said: Bills should be favored around 1-2.5 points against philly at home. That would be my assumption. And anybody outside of true bills fans that say they knew the bills would be a top 3 team in afc is fos. if the Bills beat the Fins soundly the spread will be at minimum - 3 points. if Philly loses Sunday I would expect that to double. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick Duffy Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 3 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: 18? you are off by 10. 8.4 ppg prior to the game against Washington it was 8ppg Maybe but I don’t buy it. Think he was talking about Buffalo there, not the Fins. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
par73 Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 8 hours ago, Albwan said: If I was a gambler I would take fins with that point spread as well. I think Bills win, I don't think Bills blow them out. I don't wager, but if I did, I'd be taking the points. With the Bills rather anemic offense (Haven't scored 20 points in three of five games-- and struggled to do so vs. a lousy Cincinnati team), I don't see them blowing anyone out. And then you've got the Fitz factor... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket94 Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 (edited) 9 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: http://www.espn.com/nfl/picks All but 1 picked Buffalo http://mweb.cbssports.com/nfl/expert-picks 2 pick a Miami to cover There is always one that has to be different. What is his reasoning? The one juror who holds out! Edited October 19, 2019 by Rocket94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bmbchiefs66 Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 Likley opens at -1 to -2.5 might even open at a pickem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunnerBill Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 13 hours ago, Johnnycage46 said: The guy who picked the Dolphins is probably behind in his stupid picking record so he's hoping to go against the grain to get a win that nobody else will. That or he is very, very dumb. Yea it must be this. He is trying to make up a few spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Barbarian Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 13 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: http://www.espn.com/nfl/picks All but 1 picked Buffalo http://mweb.cbssports.com/nfl/expert-picks 2 pick a Miami to cover F that guy !!! 13 hours ago, prissythecat said: Do you recommend that guys bet $5k taking the points and then not tell their wife and family about it? ? who did that? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 14 hours ago, Albwan said: If I was a gambler I would take fins with that point spread as well. I think Bills win, I don't think Bills blow them out. With Rosen I'd take the Bills at -17 but not with Fitz. Stay the hell away from this game from a gambling perspective. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 19, 2019 Author Share Posted October 19, 2019 3 hours ago, Buffalo Barbarian said: F that guy !!! who did that? Forget his name it’s been about a year Buffalo rush / flash ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billsredneck1 Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 15 hours ago, GoBills808 said: I'm taking the Bills I think. I believe over the last 10 Phins/Bills games, we would have covered a 17pt spread 3 times iirc...which is pretty amazing. Miami isn't going to score a lot of points against this defense and this season they would be 1-4 ATS if they were getting 17 points every single game thus far which includes 3 home games...the line is pretty good if you ask me. OK just talked myself into it I'm taking Buffalo happily here lol might wanna rethink that cause fitz will probably start hot and hang 13 out of the gate. bills with a couple of miscues, then wake up, but not 30 pts. worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
inthebuff Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 The Bills are scoring an average of 18 points per game. However, the Dolphins are giving up a whopping 36 PPG - they've been blown out every game with the exception of the game against Washington in the Tua bowl. This game is against Fitz as the starting QB and we know how hot and cold he can be...even in the same game. I believe that the Bills will win and I would avoid betting this game at all costs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDingus Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 (edited) 5 hours ago, GunnerBill said: Yea it must be this. He is trying to make up a few spots. He's actually one of their most accurate pickers. Edited October 19, 2019 by BigDingus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunnerBill Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 44 minutes ago, BigDingus said: He's actually one of their most accurate pickers. Well his selections this week are more than a little out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
teef Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 50 minutes ago, BigDingus said: He's actually one of their most accurate pickers. Don’t let it worry you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 10 hours ago, Rocket94 said: There is always one that has to be different. What is his reasoning? The one juror who holds out! Hey! Don’t make fun....I’m counting on that guy when they finally catch up with me! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket94 Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 Just now, Augie said: Hey! Don’t make fun....I’m counting on that guy when they finally catch up with me! You should be safe here! You have a lot of character references! lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punching Bag Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 19 hours ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said: ...agree Augie......17 is fake drool......even if at home......seven point "W" works just fine for me.... ....anybody know if his wife is a "person of interest" in his TBD disappearance?...... 19 hours ago, prissythecat said: Hehe. He didn't disappear. If you voted in some polls recently, you may have seen one of his re-incarnations. So you are saying he needed to have change of identity due to this? Is this due to hiding from bookies or his wife? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 17 minutes ago, Rocket94 said: You should be safe here! You have a lot of character references! lol! I hope the people who have me on Ignore don’t find there way onto that jury! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILBillsfan Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 the bills are 6-0 ats this year $$$$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket94 Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 (edited) 16 minutes ago, Augie said: I hope the people who have me on Ignore don’t find there way onto that jury! Well you may be lucky in that regard, because no one likes jury duty! They will probably just get excused. Just hope they don't know any jurors! Edited October 19, 2019 by Rocket94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OldTimeAFLGuy Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 54 minutes ago, Limeaid said: So you are saying he needed to have change of identity due to this? Is this due to hiding from bookies or his wife? LMAO....his wife IS his bookie and he never paid up............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punching Bag Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 Just now, OldTimeAFLGuy said: LMAO....his wife IS his bookie and he never paid up............ Well in this case he really went to school and the phrase "sleeping with the fish" has a completely different meaning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Success Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 We’re not good enough to take any game for granted, much less a division game. The line on this game is a bit jaw dropping. I expect a win, but it might not be as easy as everyone thinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OldTimeAFLGuy Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Success said: We’re not good enough to take any game for granted, much less a division game. The line on this game is a bit jaw dropping. I expect a win, but it might not be as easy as everyone thinks. ...quite frankly I don't think anybody is ever good enough to take the opposition for granted...closer to home, Moo's 2004 club vs the 3rd string Steelers is stinging reminder....better bring your 60 minute "A" game.... Edited October 19, 2019 by OldTimeAFLGuy 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILBillsfan Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 12 minutes ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said: ...quite frankly I don't think anybody is ever good enough to take the opposition for granted...closer to home, Moo's 2004 club vs the 3rd string Steelers is stinging reminder....better bring your 60 minute "A" game.... oh wives get it out of there husbands one way or another 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OldTimeAFLGuy Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 1 minute ago, ILBillsfan said: oh wives get it out of there husbands one way or another ...my late wife absolutely hated the Bills......every time they lost, her refrain was, "what else did you expect?"............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 How do you bet a game with a 17+ pt line? Buffalo could dominate and win 24-10 on a garbage td with only scrubs in. In this case I either take straight up or avoid all together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 8 minutes ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said: ...my late wife absolutely hated the Bills......every time they lost, her refrain was, "what else did you expect?"............... My mom still says that- and is honestly surprised when they win 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OldTimeAFLGuy Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Buffalo Timmy said: My mom still says that- and is honestly surprised when they win ...my son growing up was and still is a Miami fan......he'd be watching the game and would say, "your-ami is winning" versus "My-ami"...... Edited October 19, 2019 by OldTimeAFLGuy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket94 Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said: ...my son growing up was and still is a Miami fan......he'd be watching the game and would say, "your-ami is winning" versus "My-ami"...... I would have been lynched in my house if I rooted for anyone but the Bills! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Barbarian Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 7 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: Forget his name it’s been about a year Buffalo rush / flash ??? thats nuts, dont remember him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nextmanup Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 On 10/18/2019 at 3:57 PM, Albwan said: If I was a gambler I would take fins with that point spread as well. I think Bills win, I don't think Bills blow them out. You aren't the only one. The over/under is only 41 points, which is extremely low for a game with a 17 point favorite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSHMEAB Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 (edited) This is a sharp vs public game, but somewhat unusual in the sense that the public likes the underdog. Joe Sixpack is looking at that line and thinking that the Bills don't score, so they won't cover 17. The "sharps" are pounding that line up every time the public pushes it down. So the analytics folks believe the Bills will easily run through that Miami team and hold them to like 7 points. I tend to go with the analytics folks, but I question that total. It's tough to see Fitz not giving Miami 10 and Buffalo 7. Rosen would be a different story. Also wanna add that I fully disagree with the folks who view this as the trap game the Bills usually lose. The "trap" games they usually lose were all THREE road games they WON. They're not often TD plus favorites, but I don't remember them losing one. Last time I recall them favored by a large amount was the 2017 opener and they killed the Jets. I think the Bills win going away. Edited October 19, 2019 by LSHMEAB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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