plenzmd1 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 For you gambling folks out there...i typically only play dogs on the money line, and man there are some juicy ones this week..they call it over reaction Monday (week one) for a reason Seahwaks + 135 at Steelers Maybe he Steelers really do stink Vikings +135 at Green Bay No doubt good win on the road for the Pack, Vikings underrated though and D every bit as tough as Bears Colts +150 at Titans Brisset is a damn good QB..Lose in OT OTR to the Chargers, refs blew a call that essentially gave Chargers 4 extra points Cardinals + 500 at Baltimore. i mean Ravens played a JV team, Cards rookie QB + Coach combo awful to start, unbelievable 4th quarter.(hmm).and you want to give me +500!!!!!! Jags +330 at Texans with that O Lone vs Jags D Watson good shot at not finishing, and Minshew was 100% after coming in while taking 2nd team reps, and i think Texans be spent emotionally from that loss I love the bottom two games for value..i think. Need to see where the public money is and follow the movement on Saturday 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanC883 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Thanks!! how does Money Line work? I just downloaded FanDuel Sports Book. Often it's like, "bet 25, win 10" or something. Not sure why betting 25 isn't a 25 win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Give me all of that Cards+500 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeviF Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 I'm taking Miami +1200. Don't @ me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptnCoke11 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 (edited) I don’t really like any of those underdogs 8 minutes ago, RyanC883 said: Thanks!! how does Money Line work? I just downloaded FanDuel Sports Book. Often it's like, "bet 25, win 10" or something. Not sure why betting 25 isn't a 25 win. Say Giants are +120 against Bills.. If you bet 100 you’ll win 120. It’s straight up no point spread for moneyline bet. Edited September 12, 2019 by CaptnCoke11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, LeviF91 said: I'm taking Miami +1200. Don't @ me. I'll @ you cause I love it that, I smashed them +18.5 at home 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section122 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 27 minutes ago, plenzmd1 said: For you gambling folks out there...i typically only play dogs on the money line, and man there are some juicy ones this week..they call it over reaction Monday (week one) for a reason Seahwaks + 135 at Steelers Maybe he Steelers really do stink Vikings +135 at Green Bay No doubt good win on the road for the Pack, Vikings underrated though and D every bit as tough as Bears Colts +150 at Titans Brisset is a damn good QB..Lose in OT OTR to the Chargers, refs blew a call that essentially gave Chargers 4 extra points Cardinals + 500 at Baltimore. i mean Ravens played a JV team, Cards rookie QB + Coach combo awful to start, unbelievable 4th quarter.(hmm).and you want to give me +500!!!!!! Jags +330 at Texans with that O Lone vs Jags D Watson good shot at not finishing, and Minshew was 100% after coming in while taking 2nd team reps, and i think Texans be spent emotionally from that loss I love the bottom two games for value..i think. Need to see where the public money is and follow the movement on Saturday Steelers are a different team at home than on the road and seahawks just struggled with a Bengals team many expect to be terrible. I don't like this game. Cardinals are who they thought we were Matt Patricia called an all time bonehead time out however the Cards are up to +600!!! Still don't like this game All road teams? I like Redskins +220 vs the Cowboys. I like home dogs, NFC East is always crazy, and the Redskins played the Eagles tough last week on the road. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RoyBatty is alive Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, LeviF91 said: I'm taking Miami +1200. Don't @ me. they wili need more than one miracle like that last play return from last year, they will need several. Want to bet them take the 18.5 pts. By the way hope like heck you collect every penny. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section122 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, GoBills808 said: I'll @ you cause I love it that, I smashed them +18.5 at home When the Bills and Vikes had that crazy spread there was a stat that teams almost never cover spreads larger than 2 TDs. If ever a team could be counted on to do it, that would be the Pats but still sticks in my head from last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeviF Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 1 minute ago, RoyBatty is alive said: they wili need more than one miracle like that last play return from last year, they will need several. Want to bet them take the 18.5 pts. By the way hope like heck you collect every penny. I basically did it just to get an NFL ticket that says +1200 on it. I hit the +18.5 as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Just now, section122 said: When the Bills and Vikes had that crazy spread there was a stat that teams almost never cover spreads larger than 2 TDs. If ever a team could be counted on to do it, that would be the Pats but still sticks in my head from last year. Phins traditionally play Pats tough, and they're at home no less. TBH I don't care if it's the '85 Bears vs 2015 Browns, I see a home dog getting two and a half touchdowns I am smashing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RoyBatty is alive Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 1 minute ago, LeviF91 said: I basically did it just to get an NFL ticket that says +1200 on it. I hit the +18.5 as well. I just read Jason LaConfra picking the Dolphins straight up....Miami has had their number down there but I dont believe in such borderline superstitious things. new HC, new QB, a lot of new faces, darn near new totally different team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section122 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Just now, GoBills808 said: Phins traditionally play Pats tough, and they're at home no less. TBH I don't care if it's the '85 Bears vs 2015 Browns, I see a home dog getting two and a half touchdowns I am smashing Here it is and my fault I thought you were on the Pats. It's up to 19.5 I will be betting the fins as well. Covering 14.5 on the road hasn't been an easy thing to do for NFL teams. If we include all 32 teams, there have only been 11 instances where a team was favored by 14 or more points on the road over the past 10 years. In those 11 games, the favored team has gone 10-1 straight-up, but just 4-7 ATS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plenzmd1 Posted September 12, 2019 Author Share Posted September 12, 2019 14 minutes ago, LeviF91 said: I'm taking Miami +1200. Don't @ me. idiot! 7 minutes ago, section122 said: Steelers are a different team at home than on the road and seahawks just struggled with a Bengals team many expect to be terrible. I don't like this game. Cardinals are who they thought we were Matt Patricia called an all time bonehead time out however the Cards are up to +600!!! Still don't like this game All road teams? I like Redskins +220 vs the Cowboys. I like home dogs, NFC East is always crazy, and the Redskins played the Eagles tough last week on the road. Bovada still has Cards +500, and good call on the Skins. May have take a closer look at that 6 minutes ago, section122 said: When the Bills and Vikes had that crazy spread there was a stat that teams almost never cover spreads larger than 2 TDs. If ever a team could be counted on to do it, that would be the Pats but still sticks in my head from last year. i usually like ML, as the points only come into play about 18% of the time, but lots of discussion that Pats will not keep the petal to the metal on this one with Flores coaching. If i played this game would be striclty with the points, just cannot see a scenario where Pats lose this game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannc Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 29 minutes ago, LeviF91 said: I'm taking Miami +1200. Don't @ me. That’s a great bet. Is that really the money line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Skins are going to be relying on a turn the clock back moment from AD or somehow Keenum going off against a Dallas defense that's imo not quite as good as Eagles but close enough...+220 sounds like decent value to me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyBills Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 1 hour ago, plenzmd1 said: For you gambling folks out there...i typically only play dogs on the money line, and man there are some juicy ones this week..they call it over reaction Monday (week one) for a reason Seahwaks + 135 at Steelers Maybe he Steelers really do stink Vikings +135 at Green Bay No doubt good win on the road for the Pack, Vikings underrated though and D every bit as tough as Bears Colts +150 at Titans Brisset is a damn good QB..Lose in OT OTR to the Chargers, refs blew a call that essentially gave Chargers 4 extra points Cardinals + 500 at Baltimore. i mean Ravens played a JV team, Cards rookie QB + Coach combo awful to start, unbelievable 4th quarter.(hmm).and you want to give me +500!!!!!! Jags +330 at Texans with that O Lone vs Jags D Watson good shot at not finishing, and Minshew was 100% after coming in while taking 2nd team reps, and i think Texans be spent emotionally from that loss I love the bottom two games for value..i think. Need to see where the public money is and follow the movement on Saturday Good post. Wow I love Cards/Jags at those numbers! 50 each , def worth a shot.. Even 25 each.. I haven't looked lines yet but ur 100% correct ,week 2 is def where you can rake in alot of $ , based on the overreacting from week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, JerseyBills said: Good post. Wow I love Cards/Jags at those numbers! 50 each , def worth a shot.. Even 25 each.. I haven't looked lines yet but ur 100% correct ,week 2 is def where you can rake in alot of $ , based on the overreacting from week 1 I make almost 1000% of my yearly nfl betting profits in weeks 1-3. Once they see the products on the field, they have a better understanding of how to handicap. The first few weeks just bet based on your knowledge of each teams offseasons (roster, coaching, schemes). I place my largest wagers in the first 3 weeks, then play the rest of the year with the winnings, minus my initial investment. Edited September 12, 2019 by NewEra 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptnCoke11 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Suckers taking the Dolphins and the points.. Just drive down the highway and throw your money out of the window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Just now, CaptnCoke11 said: Suckers taking the Dolphins and the points.. Just drive down the highway and throw your money out of the window. Zactly what they said about my Bills/Vikes bet last season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristocrat Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Last ten games pats have been 14 point or more favorites they went under the spread. That’s the play for that game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristocrat Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, GoBills808 said: Zactly what they said about my Bills/Vikes bet last season Vikings have turned out to be an average team with a lackluster qb. Pats are a really good team I doubt the phins score more than 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptnCoke11 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 (edited) 12 minutes ago, GoBills808 said: Zactly what they said about my Bills/Vikes bet last season That line wasn’t +19.5. It was close but not that high. Plus This Miami team is dreadfully bad. Edited September 12, 2019 by CaptnCoke11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, aristocrat said: Vikings have turned out to be an average team with a lackluster qb. Pats are a really good team I doubt the phins score more than 6 Brady is 0-5 ATS when favored by 14 or more, NFL teams don't generally cover when line is more than 2 touchdowns especially on the road. Phins are a good play here 1 minute ago, CaptnCoke11 said: That line wasn’t +19.5 I'm not seeing 19.5 anywhere but if you let me know where I'm getting more lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Also the Vikings/Packers under looks pretty tempting at 44 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alphadawg7 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 3 hours ago, RyanC883 said: Thanks!! how does Money Line work? I just downloaded FanDuel Sports Book. Often it's like, "bet 25, win 10" or something. Not sure why betting 25 isn't a 25 win. Wait!!! FanDuel has a sports book!?!?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanC883 Posted September 13, 2019 Share Posted September 13, 2019 18 hours ago, Alphadawg7 said: Wait!!! FanDuel has a sports book!?!?!? yep. look in the App store for fanduel sportsbook. Right now It only works in certain states, but likely expanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristocrat Posted September 13, 2019 Share Posted September 13, 2019 i'm taking a stab at the jags money line. they might be able to pull of a win if d watson is hurt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alphadawg7 Posted September 13, 2019 Share Posted September 13, 2019 10 minutes ago, RyanC883 said: yep. look in the App store for fanduel sportsbook. Right now It only works in certain states, but likely expanding. I did and sadly I’m not in one (I’m in CA), but shows legislation is in progress, so hopefully soon!!!! Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsQuebec Posted September 13, 2019 Share Posted September 13, 2019 In the Brady/Belichick era, the Pats have been favored by 18+ points on 5 occasions. They have failed to cover the spread on all of those 5 games... So to those of you who believe the Pats -19 is a slam dunk, you may want to pump the brakes a little bit... My pick of the week goes to the Bears -2 at the Broncos. The rest factor, which is critical in the NFL considering the physical nature of the game, is largely in favor of the Bears here. They are going to benefit from three additional days of rest after playing the Thursday Night game against the Packers last week, while the Broncos lose one day of preparation since they played last Monday. In other words, the Bears will have 4 more days than the Broncos to heal and to game plan for their upcoming meeting. That is huge! Chicago is also coming off a very disappointing home opener where they were repeatedly booed by their home crowd. Playing on the road will relieve some stress; it might actually be a good thing. Prior to last week, FootballGuys.com were ranking Oakland’s defense 32nd (dead last!). The Broncos only managed to score 16 points against them, so how can they expect to generate some offense against the stout Bears defense? They are in for a long day. Meanwhile, Chicago’s offense struggled big time against Green Bay. They probably won’t score a boatload of points, but I feel they are going to be more focused on details and will be able to do enough to win this game. Which team has the best defense? Chicago. Which team has the best offense? Chicago. With a more rested team that I also expect to be very hungry, to me the pick is simple here: Chicago! LEAN: BENGALS -2 VS 49ERS The Bengals lost a game they should have won in a very tough environment. Indeed, they racked up 429 totals yards versus just 233 for the Seahawks. They made 22 first downs compared to just 12 for Seattle. However, 3 lost fumbles cost them the game. Running back Joe Mixon left the game with an ankle injury, but he should be back this week. Andy Dalton looked very sharp with over 400 passing yards despite missing his number one receiver, A.J. Green. John Ross was fantastic with 7 receptions for 158 yards and a couple of TDs. Cincy’s defense was supposed to be bad in 2019, but they looked good last week. They pressured Russell Wilson pretty often. Was it just a flash in the pan? We’ll find out soon. Meanwhile, the Niners won 31-17 in Tampa Bay even though the stats were pretty even. Obviously, the four takeaways helped secure the win. Jimmy Garoppolo raised many question marks during preseason and he did not necessarily impress in Tampa. He missed several open receivers throughout the game. San Francisco’s running game did okay, but wasn’t great either. They also lost one of their starters, Tevin Coleman. The former Falcon will be out several weeks with a high-ankle sprain. Considering the game starts at 1 PM Eastern Time, it will feel like 10 AM to 49ers players since they come from the West Coast. That’s another obstacle for them. Also, playing on the road against a non-conference opponent makes it more difficult to find extra motivation (as opposed to the home team that necessarily has the motivation to do well in front of their home crowd, no matter the opposing team). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apuszczalowski Posted September 13, 2019 Share Posted September 13, 2019 23 hours ago, RyanC883 said: Thanks!! how does Money Line work? I just downloaded FanDuel Sports Book. Often it's like, "bet 25, win 10" or something. Not sure why betting 25 isn't a 25 win. Because it's $10 on top of the $25 for a total of $35 I believe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plenzmd1 Posted September 15, 2019 Author Share Posted September 15, 2019 Might be the kind of weekend to hit one of these today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark80 Posted September 15, 2019 Share Posted September 15, 2019 (edited) I rarely bet on the underdog with the money line. I've come to the realization that the odds makers are, indeed, better than I am at knowing what they are talking about. Give me the -300s / -400s / -500s all day. Sure, your pockets don't grow as fast, but they grow more consistently. Few years back I put $50 into an account. Mostly betting baseball money lines it's now up to over $600. Is it a crap ton of money, no. But its growing at about 33-50% per year with my philosophy of cherry picking the best favorites on the money lines and putting 10% of my balance on it. Edited September 15, 2019 by Mark80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plenzmd1 Posted September 15, 2019 Author Share Posted September 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, Mark80 said: I rarely bet on the underdog with the money line. I've come to the realization that the odds makers are, indeed, better than I am at knowing what they are talking about. Give me the -300s / -400s / -500s all day. Sure, your pockets don't grow as fast, but they grow more consistently. Few years back I put $50 into an account. Mostly betting baseball money lines it's now up to over $600. Is it a crap ton of money, no. But its growing at about 33-50% per year with my philosophy of cherry picking the best favorites on the money lines and putting 10% of my balance on it. anything that works is a great strategy!!!!98% of us shlubs lose money!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted September 15, 2019 Share Posted September 15, 2019 6 minutes ago, plenzmd1 said: anything that works is a great strategy!!!!98% of us shlubs lose money!!! Looks like you haven't picked in the Survivor pool. Friendly reminder! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section122 Posted September 15, 2019 Share Posted September 15, 2019 I took a flyer on the raiders today for fun. Small bet for +255, actual bet redskins +205 both on the moneyline. Parlayed both games with the spreads to hedge a bit. Good luck all you degenerates! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iinii Posted September 15, 2019 Share Posted September 15, 2019 On 9/12/2019 at 1:21 PM, RoyBatty is alive said: they wili need more than one miracle like that last play return from last year, they will need several. Want to bet them take the 18.5 pts. By the way hope like heck you collect every penny. - No team in the Super Bowl era has ever been more than an 18-point favorite on the road before the end of September. The largest home underdog in that span was 18 points, done twice (1969 and 1970). Both of those underdogs were shut out and did not cover. https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/27608395/week-2-nfl-betting-nuggets-know On 9/13/2019 at 11:30 AM, BillsQuebec said: In the Brady/Belichick era, the Pats have been favored by 18+ points on 5 occasions. They have failed to cover the spread on all of those 5 games... So to those of you who believe the Pats -19 is a slam dunk, you may want to pump the brakes a little bit... My pick of the week goes to the Bears -2 at the Broncos. The rest factor, which is critical in the NFL considering the physical nature of the game, is largely in favor of the Bears here. They are going to benefit from three additional days of rest after playing the Thursday Night game against the Packers last week, while the Broncos lose one day of preparation since they played last Monday. In other words, the Bears will have 4 more days than the Broncos to heal and to game plan for their upcoming meeting. That is huge! Chicago is also coming off a very disappointing home opener where they were repeatedly booed by their home crowd. Playing on the road will relieve some stress; it might actually be a good thing. Prior to last week, FootballGuys.com were ranking Oakland’s defense 32nd (dead last!). The Broncos only managed to score 16 points against them, so how can they expect to generate some offense against the stout Bears defense? They are in for a long day. Meanwhile, Chicago’s offense struggled big time against Green Bay. They probably won’t score a boatload of points, but I feel they are going to be more focused on details and will be able to do enough to win this game. Which team has the best defense? Chicago. Which team has the best offense? Chicago. With a more rested team that I also expect to be very hungry, to me the pick is simple here: Chicago! LEAN: BENGALS -2 VS 49ERS The Bengals lost a game they should have won in a very tough environment. Indeed, they racked up 429 totals yards versus just 233 for the Seahawks. They made 22 first downs compared to just 12 for Seattle. However, 3 lost fumbles cost them the game. Running back Joe Mixon left the game with an ankle injury, but he should be back this week. Andy Dalton looked very sharp with over 400 passing yards despite missing his number one receiver, A.J. Green. John Ross was fantastic with 7 receptions for 158 yards and a couple of TDs. Cincy’s defense was supposed to be bad in 2019, but they looked good last week. They pressured Russell Wilson pretty often. Was it just a flash in the pan? We’ll find out soon. Meanwhile, the Niners won 31-17 in Tampa Bay even though the stats were pretty even. Obviously, the four takeaways helped secure the win. Jimmy Garoppolo raised many question marks during preseason and he did not necessarily impress in Tampa. He missed several open receivers throughout the game. San Francisco’s running game did okay, but wasn’t great either. They also lost one of their starters, Tevin Coleman. The former Falcon will be out several weeks with a high-ankle sprain. Considering the game starts at 1 PM Eastern Time, it will feel like 10 AM to 49ers players since they come from the West Coast. That’s another obstacle for them. Also, playing on the road against a non-conference opponent makes it more difficult to find extra motivation (as opposed to the home team that necessarily has the motivation to do well in front of their home crowd, no matter the opposing team). The Bears looked like a smart pick before you convinced me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOUSE Posted September 15, 2019 Share Posted September 15, 2019 (edited) I can turn $5000 into 5 mil in one hour Edited September 15, 2019 by HOUSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridgewaycynic2013 Posted September 15, 2019 Share Posted September 15, 2019 15 minutes ago, HOUSE said: I can turn $5000 into 5mil in one hour Let us guess...just don’t tell your wife? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billieve420 Posted September 15, 2019 Share Posted September 15, 2019 1 hour ago, plenzmd1 said: Might be the kind of weekend to hit one of these today Still kicking myself for not tailing this play after hearing her parlay. Not sure how I like rooting for the Pats to win for my parlay. Also have money riding on golf tournament. Being in Jersey have access to 3 sportsbooks Pointsbet, Fanduel, and Draft Kings. Pointsbet being my favorite with the number of offers they give out. I have switched from daily fantasy to this full time and close to 10k in profits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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