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What would it (realistically) take to get Alex Smith?


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48 minutes ago, 26CornerBlitz said:

Plenty of success versus AFC East

Bills and Chiefs already have a trade relationship

Window is closing on current roster

Trade allows Bills to address other needs in draft

Gives Brian Daboll a chance to have early success

Getting a top QB in draft seems unrealistic

Could be a bridge or long-term option

Upgrade to Tyrod Taylor

The only guy I'd rather have over Alex Smith is Kirk Cousins and he will probably be almost 2x the cost per year. I just hope it doesn't take that first pick of the Chiefs, but it just might. 

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1 minute ago, Nihilarian said:

The only guy I'd rather have over Alex Smith is Kirk Cousins and he will probably be almost 2x the cost per year. I just hope it doesn't take that first pick of the Chiefs, but it just might. 

 

No way I'd give up a first for a soon to be 34 year old middle tiered QB.

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10 hours ago, reddogblitz said:

 

Like who for example? Here's the list: http://www.spotrac.com/nfl/free-agents/quarterback/

 

Well for one, there are the 2 Vikings QBs that would make a lot of sense.  Would also keep TT on the list of options as a Vet to keep the seat warm for a rookie.  Then you got some guys like McCown and even possibly a franchise QB option in Cousins which landing Cousins would allow us to use all our picks on other positions obviously.  

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3 hours ago, hemma said:

Philadelphia sent Knees Bradford for the 14th overall pick + an additional pick this year and somehow we'll be able to pick up Smith for a 3rd or 4th?

 

Reid lets that happen, it's time for him to go into Witness Protection & retire.

Pretty different situations. We haven't even hit the offseason yet, Smith is on the final year of his contract, and KC has his perceived successor on the roster and a year into their system and he may supplant Smith before the season starts.

 

Minnesota experienced a catastrophic injury to their starting QB between preseason week 4 and regular season week 1. Bradford had just signed a 2 year contract, and Wentz had yet to even take a regular season snap or prep for a regular season game.

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6 minutes ago, horned dogs said:

He lead the NFL in passer rating this year...that's top 10 in something. And, PFF had him ranked 7th among QBs....thats top 10 too.

 

Key words are "this year" which makes it an aberration in comparison to his other years in the league.

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5 hours ago, BuffaloHokie13 said:

Pretty different situations. We haven't even hit the offseason yet, Smith is on the final year of his contract, and KC has his perceived successor on the roster and a year into their system and he may supplant Smith before the season starts.

 

Minnesota experienced a catastrophic injury to their starting QB between preseason week 4 and regular season week 1. Bradford had just signed a 2 year contract, and Wentz had yet to even take a regular season snap or prep for a regular season game.

 

This, and add in KC's cap situation where everyone knows they got to shed $8.2 M before the league year begins, plus enough to cover the rookie contracts this spring

 

Fundamently, the Bradford trade was a "seller's market" since Min. was trying to persuade the Iggles to hand over their starter, just before the season

Right now KC has a "buyer's market" on their hands since if they don't get the trade deal done, they either have to cut Smith, or else cut/renegotiate at least 2 other guys.

 

Now that could change if there are several enthusiastic trade partners and a bidding war gets going, but sometimes pundits have a different viewpoint of the "who needs a QB?" sweepstakes than the teams themselves have.  For example, whoever the Giants new HC is may think Eli Manning is due for redemption.  And if Blake Bortles wins the AFC Championship, it's gonna be hard to tell his Jaguar teammates "we had to move on".

 

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3 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

This, and add in KC's cap situation where everyone knows they got to shed $8.2 M before the league year begins, plus enough to cover the rookie contracts this spring

 

Fundamently, the Bradford trade was a "seller's market" since Min. was trying to persuade the Iggles to hand over their starter, just before the season

Right now KC has a "buyer's market" on their hands since if they don't get the trade deal done, they either have to cut Smith, or else cut/renegotiate at least 2 other guys.

 

Now that could change if there are several enthusiastic trade partners and a bidding war gets going, but sometimes pundits have a different viewpoint of the "who needs a QB?" sweepstakes than the teams themselves have.  For example, whoever the Giants new HC is may think Eli Manning is due for redemption.  And if Blake Bortles wins the AFC Championship, it's gonna be hard to tell his Jaguar teammates "we had to move on".

 

 

Very well said.

 

Smith is towards the end of his career, Bradford was not, so even with his injuries, he was like 28-29 years old, Smith is going on 34 before the season starts.

That's a big agree Gap, and must be taken into account.

 

In regards to bortles, even if they lose but he plays well, it'll be hard to justify letting him go, even though I'm not sure he's made "the leap" because I'm pretty sure this season is an anomaly for him overall.

Kinda like back with Brady-bledsoe though.

(Granted Brady won the Superbowl, but let's not forget bledsoe won a playoff game that year for them)

They traded Drew because they couldn't justify not keeping Brady as the starter, even though if you look back, Brady's season wasn't that great overall other than the record and the Superbowl (obv important lol)

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14 hours ago, Ol Dirty B said:

 

I stop reading when you're putting Alex Smith above Tyrod. Keep the draft pick and draft a guy. But yea, you're smarter than everyone. Douche.

 

Or just pay less for a veteran. I don't think you actually think about what you're saying. I'm sure you've stopped reading by now, but I'm not so sure if it's a choice.

 

I'd rather watch Tyrod than see this !@#$s opinion again. That should be good though, right? Because the guy stopped reading. !@#$ off you arrogant ass.

 

You're also a moron giving up a 3rd for that. Andy, since you are on a first name basis, is fleecing you dumping that salary and 5 years of usage. 

 I don’t think name calling is necessary. I also happen to think Tyrod isn’t the answer to the quarter back position for the Buffalo Bills. I also believe by basically every measurable possible Alex Smith has achieved more success in the NFL and has better numbers. I bet I would like Tyrod better than Alex Smith, but I think Alex Smith is a better quarterback. I think the Bills need to find a long term solution in a drafted quarterback. I think the Bills would be wise to investigate how all vets possibly  available handled themselves while in a position of having a rookie study under them. 

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19 minutes ago, SouthNYfan said:

Smith is towards the end of his career, Bradford was not, so even with his injuries, he was like 28-29 years old, Smith is going on 34 before the season starts.

That's a big agree Gap, and must be taken into account.

 

So he'll be 6 years younger than Brees and 7 years younger than Tommy in other words.

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4 minutes ago, atlbillsfan1975 said:

 I don’t think name calling is necessary. I also happen to think Tyrod isn’t the answer to the quarter back position for the Buffalo Bills. I also believe by basically every measurable possible Alex Smith has achieved more success in the NFL and has better numbers. I bet I would like Tyrod better than Alex Smith, but I think Alex Smith is a better quarterback. I think the Bills need to find a long term solution in a drafted quarterback. I think the Bills would be wise to investigate how all vets possibly  available handled themselves while in a position of having a rookie study under them. 

 

You mean you wouldn't be cool with this attitude?

 

 

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Just now, reddogblitz said:

 

So he'll be 6 years younger than Brees and 7 years younger than Tommy in other words.

 

So two statistical anomalies

Also two of the top 10 all time greats

One of whom many consider the GOAT

 

 

Even if they have statistical falloff with aging, they would still be upper tier.

Smith isn't even in the same universe as these two.

 

Smith also relies on legs and athleticism to move around the pocket.

The natural decline in athleticism with aging would be worse on him.

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23 hours ago, Southern Bills Fan said:

You have a strange way of rating QB’s if you think Cousins, Newton or Stafford are better. 

If you don’t thin that those guts are better than Alex Smith then I think your credibility on this issue just took a large hit.

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31 minutes ago, SouthNYfan said:

 

 

Smith is towards the end of his career, Bradford was not, so even with his injuries, he was like 28-29 years old, Smith is going on 34 before the season starts.

That's a big agree Gap, and must be taken into account.

 

 

 

He most likely is not towards the end of his career.  He is in the prime of his career and the way most QB's are playing and as agile as he still is, he probably has at LEAST 5-6 more good years left.

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1 minute ago, Magox said:

 

He most likely is not towards the end of his career.  He is in the prime of his career and the way most QB's are playing and as agile as he still is, he probably has at LEAST 5-6 more good years left.

 

Really? At LEAST 5-6 good years?

So that's high level until he's 38-39 years old.

On a guy who needs his mobility/agility?

When that falls off, so will he, dramatically.

 

Oh, let's not forget he's been tossed from two teams now.

 

I'm not sure what all the love for him is.

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11 minutes ago, atlbillsfan1975 said:

 I don’t think name calling is necessary. I also happen to think Tyrod isn’t the answer to the quarter back position for the Buffalo Bills. I also believe by basically every measurable possible Alex Smith has achieved more success in the NFL and has better numbers. I bet I would like Tyrod better than Alex Smith, but I think Alex Smith is a better quarterback. I think the Bills need to find a long term solution in a drafted quarterback. I think the Bills would be wise to investigate how all vets possibly  available handled themselves while in a position of having a rookie study under them. 

Since 2012, Alex Smith has a QBR of 96.3. That pretty damn impressive. He's 6-4 and still has mobility at 34. I give a 2nd for him and sign him to a 3 yr deal that closes out his career. Then I would draft the best available qb this April for him to mentor. Keep Peterman as 3rd qb. So if we had Alex starting with e.g. Rudolph as qb2 and Nate, Id feel very good about our qb situation.  I don't want Bradford, Cousins will cost too much and no to Bridgewater. 

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2 minutes ago, atlbillsfan1975 said:

At least he was transparent about it and not passive aggressive.

and no I wouldn’t want that type of guy around unless the outcome was the same .

 

I legit have no problem with what Favre said, I think he's hilarious. 

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6 minutes ago, SouthNYfan said:

 

Really? At LEAST 5-6 good years?

So that's high level until he's 38-39 years old.

On a guy who needs his mobility/agility?

When that falls off, so will he, dramatically.

 

Oh, let's not forget he's been tossed from two teams now.

 

I'm not sure what all the love for him is.

 

So he doesn't run as much.  He becomes a pocket passer more like the other other 5 or 6 year older guys I mentioned.  Randall Cunningham was able to make the adjustment and he ran a LOT more in his prime.  When he was a missed FG from the SB, he was purely a pocket passer. And a dang good one.

 

I saw Alex in several games this year.  Doesn't look like hes slowed down any.  Besides, if he does we'll dump him when he does.

 

Other team have gotten QBs older than him and been able to win super bowls with them. I'm thinking Kurt Warner and Peyton Manning.  Alex may not be as good as them, but he's pretty doggone good IMHO.

 

We could absolutely win and and get to playoffs with him for a few years, which is all I care about.  In the meantime, we keep looking.

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1 minute ago, SouthNYfan said:

 

Really? At LEAST 5-6 good years?

So that's high level until he's 38-39 years old.

On a guy who needs his mobility/agility?

When that falls off, so will he, dramatically.

 

Oh, let's not forget he's been tossed from two teams now.

 

I'm not sure what all the love for him is.

 

Yes, really.

 

He's been a pretty good QB over the past 7 years and a really good QB this past year.   QB's now a days are playing well into their late 30's.  Look at Brees, Brady,  Roethlisberger, and Rivers.   These guys are still playing at an extremely high level and there is no reason to believe that Smith won't continue to play well.

 

Look at his stats since 2011

 

He has 69 and 35 record as a starter.   133 TD's and 43 interceptions with an average QB rating throughout that period of just below 100.  He has consistently had over a 90 QB rating every single year since 2011 except one year and even in that year he had an 89 QB rating.  He's one of the 5 most mobile QB's in the league, he's smart and with him as the QB, we are probably looking at a consistently winning record and multiple playoff appearances over the next few years.  In the meantime you still keep searching for your young franchise QB.  He certainly is a step up from Tyrod and I'd be happy to see us trade for him.  He's worth a 2nd and a 3rd.

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4 minutes ago, reddogblitz said:

 

So he doesn't run as much.  He becomes a pocket passer more like the other other 5 or 6 year older guys I mentioned.  Randall Cunningham was able to make the adjustment and he ran a LOT more in his prime.  When he was a missed FG from the SB, he was purely a pocket passer. And a dang good one.

 

I saw Alex in several games this year.  Doesn't look like hes slowed down any.  Besides, if he does we'll dump him when he does.

 

Other team have gotten QBs older than him and been able to win super bowls with them. I'm thinking Kurt Warner and Peyton Manning.  Alex may not be as good as them, but he's pretty doggone good IMHO.

 

We could absolutely win and and get to playoffs with him for a few years, which is all I care about.  In the meantime, we keep looking.

 

 

Brady and Brees were never mobile QBs, they were always pocket QBs.

 

Cunningham also wasn't very good once he got to age 30, and was hot garbage when he became a pocket passer.

Other than one statistical anomaly in Minnesota when he was throwing to RANDY MOSS and CHRIS CARTER.

You know, two of the top WRs in NFL history.

 

 

1 minute ago, Magox said:

 

Yes, really.

 

He's been a pretty good QB over the past 7 years and a really good QB this past year.   QB's now a days are playing well into their late 30's.  Look at Brees, Brady,  Roethlisberger, and Rivers.   These guys are still playing at an extremely high level and there is no reason to believe that Smith won't continue to play well.

 

Look at his stats since 2011

 

He has 69 and 35 record as a starter.   133 TD's and 43 interceptions with an average QB rating throughout that period of just below 100.  He has consistently had over a 90 QB rating every single year since 2011 except one year and even in that year he had an 89 QB rating.  He's one of the 5 most mobile QB's in the league, he's smart and with him as the QB, we are probably looking at a consistently winning record and multiple playoff appearances over the next few years.  In the meantime you still keep searching for your young franchise QB.  He certainly is a step up from Tyrod and I'd be happy to see us trade for him.  He's worth a 2nd and a 3rd.

 

Brady, Brees, Rivers are all pocket passers.

Ben has been for quite a while, and was never really a runner.

 

They aren't the same type of QB.

 

Smith would be a solid QB as a bridge, for 1-3 years max.

There's a reason teams keep getting rid of Smith.

He's not that great.

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28 minutes ago, Magox said:

 

He most likely is not towards the end of his career.  He is in the prime of his career and the way most QB's are playing and as agile as he still is, he probably has at LEAST 5-6 more good years left.

 

4 minutes ago, Magox said:

 

Yes, really.

 

He's been a pretty good QB over the past 7 years and a really good QB this past year.   QB's now a days are playing well into their late 30's.  Look at Brees, Brady,  Roethlisberger, and Rivers.   These guys are still playing at an extremely high level and there is no reason to believe that Smith won't continue to play well.

 

Look at his stats since 2011

 

He has 69 and 35 record as a starter.   133 TD's and 43 interceptions with an average QB rating throughout that period of just below 100.  He has consistently had over a 90 QB rating every single year since 2011 except one year and even in that year he had an 89 QB rating.  He's one of the 5 most mobile QB's in the league, he's smart and with him as the QB, we are probably looking at a consistently winning record and multiple playoff appearances over the next few years.  In the meantime you still keep searching for your young franchise QB.  He certainly is a step up from Tyrod and I'd be happy to see us trade for him.  He's worth a 2nd and a 3rd.

 

You must know something that Andy Reid doesn't.   He's middling with this year being the exception and that's why he's about to be jettisioned. 

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2 minutes ago, 26CornerBlitz said:

 

 

You must know something that Andy Reid doesn't.   He's middling with this year being the exception and that's why he's about to be jettisioned. 

 

He has not been "middling" by any stretch.   He's been pretty good until this past year where he was excellent.  And I don't know anything that Reid doesn't know, Reid most likely believes that he could do better with Mahomes, hence the trade up to get him.   All one has to do is look at his stats, his win loss record and the amount of times he's gone to the post season.  His weakness has been that he doesn't make the wow passes and he hasn't played his best football in the playoffs.   I'd love to have a guy like Alex while we are searching for our young franchise QB.   He'd be a great guy to mentor that QB.

12 minutes ago, SouthNYfan said:

 

 

Brady and Brees were never mobile QBs, they were always pocket QBs.

 

Cunningham also wasn't very good once he got to age 30, and was hot garbage when he became a pocket passer.

Other than one statistical anomaly in Minnesota when he was throwing to RANDY MOSS and CHRIS CARTER.

You know, two of the top WRs in NFL history.

 

 

 

Brady, Brees, Rivers are all pocket passers.

Ben has been for quite a while, and was never really a runner.

 

They aren't the same type of QB.

 

Smith would be a solid QB as a bridge, for 1-3 years max.

There's a reason teams keep getting rid of Smith.

He's not that great.

 

 

He's not great, he's good.   

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1 minute ago, Magox said:

 

He has not been "middling" by any stretch.   He's been pretty good until this past year where he was excellent.  And I don't know anything that Reid doesn't know, Reid most likely believes that he could do better with Mahomes, hence the trade up to get him.   All one has to do is look at his stats, his win loss record and the amount of times he's gone to the post season.  His weakness has been that he doesn't make the wow passes and he hasn't played his best football in the playoffs.   I'd love to have a guy like Alex while we are searching for our young franchise QB.   He'd be a great guy to mentor that QB.

 

r8f1aa.jpg

Middling!

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Just now, 26CornerBlitz said:

 

r8f1aa.jpg

Middling!

 

 

That is not middling.

 

Since 2011 he has won more than twice as many as he has lost, he has nearly 3 times more TD's than interceptions and a QB rating in the mid to upper 90's.

 

Not middling by any stretch of the imagination.

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Just now, Magox said:

 

 

That is not middling.

 

Since 2011 he has won more than twice as many as he has lost, he has nearly 3 times more TD's than interceptions and a QB rating in the mid to upper 90's.

 

Not middling by any stretch of the imagination.

 

He has won nothing.  Wins and losses are what teams do.  Quote all of the stats you'd like, but if he was that good KC would be holding on to him. 

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7 minutes ago, Magox said:

 

He has not been "middling" by any stretch.   He's been pretty good until this past year where he was excellent.  And I don't know anything that Reid doesn't know, Reid most likely believes that he could do better with Mahomes, hence the trade up to get him.   All one has to do is look at his stats, his win loss record and the amount of times he's gone to the post season.  His weakness has been that he doesn't make the wow passes and he hasn't played his best football in the playoffs.   I'd love to have a guy like Alex while we are searching for our young franchise QB.   He'd be a great guy to mentor that QB.

 

 

He's not great, he's good.   

 

 

Right.

He's not great.

He's good.

 

That's my point.

He is going to be 34 when the season starts.

He doesn't have 5-6 good years left.

 

Every single QB who you are using as a comparison for guys still maintaining a high level past 35 and towards 40 (Brees and Brady) or the ones still performing around 35 (Rivers and Ben) are all head and shoulders above Smith.

3 of them are hall of fame locks.

Rivers might wind up there one day.

Ben it's on the verge of retirement, regardless of his stats.

They are also so pocket QBs, Smith loses his mobility he's probably done for.

 

Those guys are all great, so you can risk keeping them because even with a decline they are still good to very good.

Smith starting at "good" leaves little margin for decline while still being effective.

 

If Smith is cheap and DOESN'T hinder our plan for getting a young QB I'm good with him for 1-3 years.

I'm not okay with him being our 5 year plan.

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12 minutes ago, 26CornerBlitz said:

 

He has won nothing.  Wins and losses are what teams do.  Quote all of the stats you'd like, but if he was that good KC would be holding on to him. 

Have you ever sat back and thought that others may just simply have different opinions than you? Or maybe you don’t know everything there is to know about football rather than telling everyone with a different opinion how they don’t know anything?

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Just now, Southern Bills Fan said:

Have you ever sat back and thought that others may just simply have different opinions than you? Or maybe you don’t know everything there is to know about football rather than telling everyone with a different opinion how they don’t know anything?

 

It's a football forum to discuss differing opinions.  Now shoo!

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1 hour ago, 26CornerBlitz said:

 

He has won nothing.  Wins and losses are what teams do.  Quote all of the stats you'd like, but if he was that good KC would be holding on to him. 

 

We'll see. I'm not convinced they won't. He's under contract one more year and Patrick's not going anywhere.  

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21 hours ago, Ol Dirty B said:

 

I think your mischaracterizing me but maybe not. I'd rather watch Tyrod than Alex Smith. 

 

But if we're going to Alex Smith, I'd rather just suck and get a high pick.

 

Neither of those guys are winning two games in January and if you don't do that, what's the point.

 

The stretch run in December was not amazing. The most exciting play all year this team had didnt even involve the bills. 

 

December games were awful. Did you watch them?

 

Pats loss - boring, no offensive td

Colts win- only entertaining because of the snow, the football was not entertaining

Pats loss - boring, 2 out of 3 games with out an offensive td

Dolphins win- boring, dolphins were flat, bills did what they needed and the game didn't matter given the help they needed.

 

December... was boring. But you can go on some purist bs or whatever and how you just love your football.

 

If this is winning to you, then I feel bad for you. They've been 9-7 before, the team wasn't good this year. They lucked in. 

 

Sorry if I mischaracterized you. The only place I saw Hotrod mentioned in your post was that he's not as good as Smith and they both don't throw to WRs.

 

As far as the bolded, how many teams will win 2 games in playoffs this year?  Maybe 3.  Jacksonville, maybe NE, and the winner of Eagles vs Vikes.  That's a tall order.  You say you would rather suck than go with a QB like Alex or Hotrod.  How do you know before the season starts you'll win 2 or not so you know wether to try to win or suck?  And really you have idea if Alex or Hotrod will be on teams that do.  Did you think Jeff Hostetller or Trent Dilfer or Mark Rypien or Doug Williams or Jim McMahon could before they did?

 

It's just a difference in philosophy between us.  You and many others here think if you don't win the SB, the season was a failure.  Shoulda sucked for a high pick instead.  As for me, I want to see the Bills win games.  Going to the Ralph or watching a win on TV is way more fun than losing for a high pick.  

 

All you got out of the Colts game was snow?  Our slim playoff chances rested on the game and the guys totally came together and won as a team.  After the punt, our D stopped them which they were having trouble doing.  Then Joe freakin' Webb III hits that pass to Thompson followed by a Shady TD due in large part to a great block by Richie.  That was the day I thought, you know what, we just might make it this year.  That's what playoff teams do. Win tough games down the stretch. Teams of the past 17 yeas would have figured out a way to blow that game. Sorry you had such a boring December.

 

After the 3 game slump, we won 4 out of 6 to secure a spot.  

 

How did we "lucked in"?  Luck is part of the game.  The Titans got a playoff win because in large part a good play by a defender ended up bouncing into his bread basket and he took it in for a TD.  Luck?  A lot of people say Minnesota lucked out too. It's a funny shaped ball.  It bounces oddly.  The Steelers totally lucked out on the Immaculate Reception.  The Steelers lucked out to win a SB because Jackie Smith dropped a TD in the EZ.  The Giants lucked out because because of Wide Right. It's part of the game. You just have to be able to capitalize on it.

 

As far as Cincy, come on man,  you're smarter than that (I hope).  What if Joe Webb III misses on that pass, does Dalton's still get us in?  what about if we don't come back from 7 down int he 4th quarter to beat the Bucs to defend our dirt at the Ralph?  Does Andy's pass still get us in?

 

I know to you it's not a good season unless you win the SB.  My theory is if you make the playoffs it's good.  And yes, after 17 years of back to back to back 6-10 seasons and 4-12 seasons and back to back to back 7-9 season, yes a playoff berth at 9-7 feels really sweet.

 

Please don't worry about me though.  I'm doing just fine :)

 

Go BILLS !!

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Just some help for those of you that haven't quite grasped why Alex Smith is available.  1. KC is in cap hell this offseason.  2.  KC has a low dollar, ready to go replacement (who the fans also want) and that they invested resources in to grab at #10 last year, as you all well know.  These are the 2 obvious reasons..the third reason is that Alex Smith understands, and is very good at being safe with a football.  NFL passer ratings heavily reward you for throwing a two yard completion into the flat on 3rd and 8 instead of being intercepted trying to make the throw that gets you a first down.  Nothing wrong with protecting the football.  The problem is that Smith is not a good Red Zone QB, and he is not a good 4th quarter QB...and if you watch Smith play, he abondons way too many good pockets often making nothing out of something (yes, you read that right)  There aren't stats for how Smith is "too safe".  He is a very good player...but certainly not great....he DOES NOT elevate the talent on your roster....you must put really good folks around him in order for his safe and efficient play to be of value.  There you go.  

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