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Jags had weakest schedule in 2017


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https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/ranking/schedule-strength-by-other

 

Couldn't have asked for a better opponent to play.  The Jags have a single quality win on their schedule - Steelers 10/8.  Roethlisberger threw 5 picks in that game.  49ers put up 44 on them.  Cards 27 and Seahawks 24 respectively and they have average at best offenses.  Their defensive ranking is a mirage. 

Bortles threw for less than 200 yards 6 times.

The key to the game is stopping Fournette.  They need to play the Jags like teams play the Bills.  They need to load the box.  Fournette has averaged only 3.6 YPC in Dec.  He is a rookie RB with 268 NFL snaps.  He was hurt in college and has had a quad injury already this year.  The Bills can not let him get going early.  They need to trust White, Gaines, Hyde, and Poyer.  They can handle Bortles.  They have a single WR that can beat the Bills deep.  Play a safety over the top of Cole and put White on him the entire game.

This is a game that is very well suited to TT and McD.  Play it safe. Let Jags make the first and second mistake.  

 

Bills win 20-13.

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Kind of funny, they only have one more win than we do and won the division with ten wins, and had a relatively weak division overall, but yet they appear to be a much stronger team than we are.  The first half of the season BB played like he did last season, but the past 5 or 6 weeks, he has looked very good, good enough that Jax may not even go after a QB in the off-season.

 

Two big strengths their defense and Fournette which is something we've struggled most of the year to stop.

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I'm not too fearful of Bortles. Our secondary could have a good day.  And I am worried about our run game which will be significantly depleted against a very good run defense on their side. We will need to rely on Taylor to win this one. We will probably employ extra blocking and run a power scheme and hope to win a turnover battle. My guess is low scoring and we have a shot. Hauschka better be ready. 

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21 minutes ago, MJS said:

Couldn't have chosen an easier post season game, if you ask me. Doesn't mean it will be easy or that the Bills will win, but this game gives them the best shot.

Will be a lot of Bills fans there I am sure as well...

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It won't be easy, and I don't think the Bills should win -- but they could.  Both teams have excellent secondaries. Both are run-first teams with limited passing attacks.

 

Passing offense - advantage Buffalo

Running offense - advantage Jacksonville, especially with McCoy down, and Fournette is a beast

 

Passing defense - almost even but Jacksonville has better pass rush 

Running defense - advantage Jacksonville

 

Special Teams - advantage Buffalo

 

Coaching - even

 

To win, Bills will need to play mistake-free + get contributions from playmakers on offense + get turnovers on defense. 

 

 

 

 

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It's one thing to finally get to the playoffs, it's another to win a playoff game. I can't even imagine. We have a good chance this Sunday. However, even if we lose, I'm not gonna be that upset by it. This team way over achieved this year and I'm darn proud of them for getting in the playoffs 

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20 minutes ago, Dadonkadonk said:

https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/ranking/schedule-strength-by-other

 

Couldn't have asked for a better opponent to play.  The Jags have a single quality win on their schedule - Steelers 10/8.  Roethlisberger threw 5 picks in that game.  49ers put up 44 on them.  Cards 27 and Seahawks 24 respectively and they have average at best offenses.  Their defensive ranking is a mirage. 

Bortles threw for less than 200 yards 6 times.

The key to the game is stopping Fournette.  They need to play the Jags like teams play the Bills.  They need to load the box.  Fournette has averaged only 3.6 YPC in Dec.  He is a rookie RB with 268 NFL snaps.  He was hurt in college and has had a quad injury already this year.  The Bills can not let him get going early.  They need to trust White, Gaines, Hyde, and Poyer.  They can handle Bortles.  They have a single WR that can beat the Bills deep.  Play a safety over the top of Cole and put White on him the entire game.

This is a game that is very well suited to TT and McD.  Play it safe. Let Jags make the first and second mistake.  

 

Bills win 20-13.

 

I'll disagree.  We struggle against teams that have a unit (offense or defense) that's really good.  We play much better against a team that lives somewhere in the middle on both sides of the ball.  

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I don't see us having a passing advantage against the Jags secondary at all.  I'm struggling to wrap my mind on how we are even going to pass against Bouye and Ramsey.  Bouye being the best in the league this year in pass defense with Ramsey right there with him.  Then you have the pass rush from Campbell and the guys up front.  Man this is actually scary, but I'll worry about that Saturday, I'm still celebrating making it in man.  I've been here for 4 SB losses, the music city miracle and then the drought, it's celebration all week for me!!!

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Outside of Pittsburgh and NE, I don’t think there is a clearly better team between Buffalo, Jacksonville, KC, and Tennessee. Hell, throw the Chargers and Ravens in there. 

 

I think Sunday is winnable for both teams. It’s Foxborough and Heinz field that should terrify every other team. 

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