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How many wins rest of season?


Jasovon

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23 hours ago, Jasovon said:

I just got odds of 4/1 on the Bills winning less than 6.5 games this year which i actually think is far too generous. I can genuinely see us winning only one more all year from the Dolphins or maybe Colts. 

 

How many wins do you see us getting rest of season?

Minimum of two.  Fish at home and Indy.  And being the Bills, they will likely do something like take a meaningless one from the Pats when the playoff window is closed.  Take that all day long.

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9 hours ago, Brianmoorman4jesus said:

I really think if we can’t fix the defense before Sunday we are going 5-11. I think one more bad day from the defense just puts us in full blown doubt mode of the coach and the system. 9 straight losses to end the season would probably bring up some very tough questions and situations for the owners of this team.

 

This is my take on the rest of the season.  Either the Bills D keeps it close against KC or it's all over except to speculate whether McDermott gets fired during the off season or sometime next season. 

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24 minutes ago, jrober38 said:

Between 0 and 2. The defense is a train wreck, but the Colts and Dolphins are really bad teams. Should win 1 or 2 of those games, but I won't be surprised if we lose out. 

 

Those teams may be bad but they seem to be trying to win.  I'm not sure that that's true of the Bills any more although earlier in the season they certainly did.   A team that expects to get whipped, gets whipped, and I think that's where the Bills are.  IMO, the Dareus trade had a huge psychologically negative impact on the Bills D, far more than missing his physical presence.  Benching Taylor may have had a lesser though similar effect on the offense.

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As of today, fivethirtyeight.com sees the Bills with:
a 22% chance of beating the chiefs
a 24% chance of beating the pats at home
a 66% chance of beating the colts
a 66% chance of beating the fish at home
a 13% chance of beating the pats away
a 48% chance of beating the fish away

 

If it's correct (and it has called 61% of all games correctly this season so far), that puts the Bills at 7-9 for the season.

But that last game it sees as pretty much a coin flip so it thinks 8-8 is also a good possibility.
 

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1 hour ago, CodeMonkey said:

As of today, fivethirtyeight.com sees the Bills with:
a 22% chance of beating the chiefs
a 24% chance of beating the pats at home
a 66% chance of beating the colts
a 66% chance of beating the fish at home
a 13% chance of beating the pats away
a 48% chance of beating the fish away

 

If it's correct (and it has called 61% of all games correctly this season so far), that puts the Bills at 7-9 for the season.

But that last game it sees as pretty much a coin flip so it thinks 8-8 is also a good possibility.
 

 

Have they actually watched the Bills play the last three games, especially on defense? 

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54 minutes ago, SoTier said:

 

Have they actually watched the Bills play the last three games, especially on defense? 

It's a mathematical model.  So it tends to take longer to react to things like player trades, injuries, and QB changes than humans do. But those numbers don't look bad to me.

Edited by CodeMonkey
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On 11/23/2017 at 9:55 AM, Captain Murica said:

Colts and the Phins x 2.

 

Could easily only be two more wins, but I like to live life on the edge.

Colts play teams tough, phins no matter how terrible they are seem to play 

well against the bills, i think at 5-7 after two more bad beatings at the hands of the chiefs and pats

there's a very real possibility the team will have quit and may not win again this season.

This team is very bad. I don't see any nfl team rebounding after the last three weeks, I honestly

can't remember 3 consecutive weeks of wretched football for any team, though i'm sure maybe

someone will dig out three weeks of bad browns football, even that i'm not so sure.

 

 

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On 11/23/2017 at 10:04 AM, kdiggz said:

2, we will probably split with Miami. 7 wins means we stink plus no top 10 pick. That's how you stay mediocre forever friends

This makes me sad :(

 

i luv how teams like the Giants, who try to win, can still finish with 2/3 wins and draft their franchise QB to replace Eli...but the bills, who gut the team, will end up with 7 wins and sloppy seconds at QB...we can’t even lose right...

Edited by JaCrispy
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3 hours ago, Albwan said:

Colts play teams tough, phins no matter how terrible they are seem to play 

well against the bills, i think at 5-7 after two more bad beatings at the hands of the chiefs and pats

there's a very real possibility the team will have quit and may not win again this season.

 

 

Keeping it real. Gregg Williams rides again. Hot DC comes in, runs off the vets and loses the ability to entice quality free agents. You have to walk before you can run or pass for that matter.

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On 11/23/2017 at 9:42 AM, Jasovon said:

I just got odds of 4/1 on the Bills winning less than 6.5 games this year which i actually think is far too generous. I can genuinely see us winning only one more all year from the Dolphins or maybe Colts. 

 

How many wins do you see us getting rest of season?

 

1 max imo

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KC - loss 59 - 6 Mahommes in for Smith, lights it up

NE - loss 77 -0 Gillislee runs for 500 yds

Indy- loss 34 -3 

Miami- loss 35 -6 (5 defensive tds)

NE - loss 105-0 Brady leads nfls first 100 pt win

Miami- win 3-2 Miami gets higher draft pick to take next great qb.

Maybe I'm being a little dramatic

 

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On 11/23/2017 at 11:48 AM, joesixpack said:

 

This team isn’t sweeping Miami 

And after watching the last 3 games, I'm not sure how anyone can think the Colt game is a given. 

2 wins. It's the NFL, they're gonna win 2 close ones. Would not be too surprised if we win just 1 though.

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Hopefully zero. Want high draft picks and let this new FO and coach build a team through the draft with players that fit their vision. They inherited a bunch of underwhelming talent and it finally came back to earth after the unsustainable manner they got to 5-2...turnovers and luck. Done with the 4-3 to 3-4 to 4-3 cycle of hiring and firing. Let them build this. Anyone who thought this team was a playoff team, sorry. They weren't with Watkins, Darby (not a scheme fit), or Dareus hopefully sees the reality. Front 7 is a mess. Need at least 2 LBs but I'd take 3, two tackles (KW is done), and some edge rushers. Lawson is a bust and the rest are depth. And the OL is horrible.

 

The lack of talent is sickening.

 

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On ‎11‎/‎24‎/‎2017 at 8:44 AM, CodeMonkey said:

As of today, fivethirtyeight.com sees the Bills with:
a 22% chance of beating the chiefs
a 24% chance of beating the pats at home
a 66% chance of beating the colts
a 66% chance of beating the fish at home
a 13% chance of beating the pats away
a 48% chance of beating the fish away

 

If it's correct (and it has called 61% of all games correctly this season so far), that puts the Bills at 7-9 for the season.

But that last game it sees as pretty much a coin flip so it thinks 8-8 is also a good possibility.
 

The Pats numbers are surprisingly high!  I figured 5% at home versus 1% away.  Actually there all a little high.  But as you say it's a Math equation.  It hasn't watched this team for many years in the second half of the season. 

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I feel a win in KC today to get hopes soaring again only to crash as we get housed at home the next week. Then hopes skyrocket again as we rack up wins against the Colts and Dolphins. Then another loss at the Pats. But we have a shot at the last wildcard spot with help if we only beat the Dolphins in week 17. And not only do we lose, we do it in the most typical Bills way possible. And of course the help we needed didn’t happen anyway. A final kick when down. Thus ends the most painful season in recent memory as written by Stephen King.

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