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SoTier

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  1. Where in the draft would that be exactly??? Tom Brady was taken in the sixth round in 2000. Drew Brees was a second rounder (he would have been a late first rounder after the league expanded to 32 teams) in 2001. Ben Roethlisberger was taken at #11 in 2004. Aaron Rodgers was taken at #24 in 2005. Russell Wilson was taken in the third round in 2012. Derek Carr and Jimmy Garoppolo were both taken in the second round in 2014. Dak Prescott in the fourth round in 2016. Patrick Mahomes was taken #10 and DeShaun Watson #12 in 2017. Lamar Jackson was taken #32 in 2018. That's a quarter of the starting QBs -- all of them are quality starters -- who were drafted at #10 or worse. Add in supersubs Teddy Bridgewater who was taken #32 in 2014 (who was a starter in Minnesota before a near-career ending injury), Jacoby Brissett who was taken in the third round in 2016 and has played well for the Colts, and UDFA Kyle Allen in Carolina. Meanwhile, 2014's #3 pick Blake Bortles is a backup; 2015's #1 and #2 picks, Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota, are likely done as starters; and 2017's #3 pick Mitch Trubisky is struggling. None of the 2018 first round QBs taken before Lamar Jackson -- including #1 pick Baker Mayfield -- have played even half as well. A team doesn't have to tank to get a good QB. They have to be able to recognize talent and be bold enough to grab it when it falls into their laps.
  2. I think all the players need to play fearlessly not just Allen. When you -- any NFL player -- are worried about making a mistake, you think about what you should do instead of reacting instinctively, and that makes you a fraction of a second slower, which can mean the difference between the success or failure of any play. More importantly, I think that the coaching staff has to coach fearlessly and come up with a game plan that takes into account players' strengths and weaknesses even if that game plan takes them out of their comfort zones. Just because Allen has a big arm doesn't mean that he has to throw the ball all the time. His failures as a passer since the NE game seem to be weighing on him. The Bills seem to have a decent run blocking OL and a nice young RB in Singletary. Let the RBs tote the rock, build their stats, eat up clock, and take the pressure off Allen so he can regain his self-confidence by succeeding rather pushing him to imitate Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers or Patrick Mahomes. He's not good enough at this point in his career to be expected to carry the team, and relying on a stout defense and good running game to support a young QB is a tried-and-true method of finding success for both QBs and teams like Brady and NE in 2001, Roethlisberger and Pitt in 2006, and Wilson and Seattle in 2013.
  3. My first thought when I saw the thread title was pretty much this. This is all PR, however: "all sound and fury signifying nothing". It's not going to change how McDermott or his OC coaches.
  4. McDermott coaches the same way in 2019 as he did in 2017, and that's more than enough Jauron Ball Part Deux for me.
  5. This is what's troubling to me, too. He's lost his capacity to play "hero ball" -- his willingness to do whatever it takes to win football games -- since the NE game. Dead on. Allen shouldn't be playing "hero ball" all the time, but he's almost like a zombie out there now. Trying to be a game manager isn't his forte -- and the lack of elite talent around him on the offense makes it impossible for him to be successful. Game managers are only successful when they have great talent supporting them.
  6. I have zero confidence that McDermott and Beane can build a competitive team, so unfortunately Allen doesn't have a chance either. If the current regime stays in place, the Bills will be stuck in the same rut of mediocrity that they've wallowed in over the last two decades, and the blame will undoubtedly fall on Allen for "not being good enough". Maybe he isn't, but I don't think we'll ever really know because offensive coaching and talent around him are mediocre.
  7. No, the Bills were the first and only to team to "get the wool pulled over our eyes" because Wilson and Brandon were in a hurry to sign him before he "exploded" and would have been more expensive. Well, Fitzy exploded all right, just not the way that Wilson and Brandon thought he would. The other teams that signed Fitzy knew what they were getting but felt he was worth it. I'm sure that's how the Fins and their fans feel.
  8. That he didn't bring in an experienced QB coach to mentor Allen last season underscores that point. You don't have to be a coaching genius to understand that if you draft a project QB who needs to fix a whole lot of passing issues, you better bring in somebody with more than one year of QB coaching experience thirty years ago. If the issue was that the Bills already had a "QB coach" then do a little "organizational realignment". If the issue was money -- that there wasn't money in the coaching budget to hire a good mentor -- then Beane is even more clueless than McDermott. No excuses for the way Allen was just thrown out there as a rookie to sink or swim.
  9. I agree. They seem to hit on the lower picks and fail on the higher ones. My guess is that that outcome stems from McDermott/Beane always trading up to chase projects in the first two rounds, and none of them have worked out as well as expected. Zay Jones was a bust. Dion Dawkins is a JAG OT. Allen was easily the most flawed QB prospect taken in the first round, and his improvement has been modest. Edmunds has improved somewhat but he's maybe an average MLB. To put it plainly, Ford has struggled. Maybe McDermott and Beane should stop trying to fit square pegs into round holes. Just because you need help at a particular position doesn't mean that you can find the answer to that personnel issue in a particular draft. In the specialized world of the modern NFL, each position has its own specific skill set. Part of the problem with both Dawkins and Ford is that they both were projected to be OGs in the pros although they played OT in college. Moving collegiate OTs to OG when they come into the NFL is a very common practice since most colleges just play their best OLers at OT. As for Edmunds, he doesn't appear to have the natural instincts needed by a good/great MLB, but he might make a great OLB. In view of the success the Ravens have had by retooling their offense to take advantage of Lamar Jackson's skill set, maybe the Bills should reconsider trying to turn Allen into a game manager QB. It reminds me of Bills HC John Rauch trying to turn OJ Simpson into a pass catcher out of the backfield and making Simpson look like a bust. Thankfully, Lou Saban wasn't as stupid.
  10. I have never been a McDermott fan, and that stems mostly from his similarities to Jauron. That he's a better HC than Jauron -- which would be hard not to be -- doesn't mean that they don't share the same philosophy on how to run a football team. Jauron's approach was a fail a decade ago, and I think that McDermott's approach is doomed in the current NFL.
  11. Why did both have limited talent? Part of it comes from personnel decisions made higher up the food chain than GM or HC. The Bills just seemed to have a policy under Wilson that continued under Brandon that they didn't pay DBs, RBs or WRs. That's almost certainly why Gilmore, Woods, and Goodwin are playing on other teams because they were allowed to walk in FA when McDermott was only a few weeks after being hired. I would argue, though, that they had limited talent because they were not only willing to shed talented players who didn't fit their ideas of how they wanted players to be, but they were, at best, mediocre at assessing talent so their drafts weren't very productive, especially in the first and second round. In his four drafts, Jauron hit big on Marshawn Lynch. Donte Whitner was a good pick but he was probably drafted too high, and Bills fans never forgave him for that. Leodis McKelvin, taken in the top ten in 2008, was a bust for his draft position. Eric Wood was a good pick in 2009 but the Bills got that late first round pick for future All Pro LT Jason Peters, so it was an overall loss for team's talent level. The Bills own 2009 pick, #11, they wasted on an epic bust, Aaron Maybin. a tweener DE/LB who was too small and not agiile enough to be effective as the pass rusher he was drafted to be. Paul Posluszny from the second round in 2007 and Jairus Byrd and Andy Levitre from 2009's second round were solid performers and were all players who left in FA and found success. The second best player drafted in the Jauron era was Kyle Williams, a fifth rounder who developed into one of the best DTs in the league but it took him a while. The plain fact is that under Jauron, the Bills talent dropped significantly, so that the team that Buddy Nix and Chan Gailey inherited was so talent depleted, it was bareliy competitive even with NFL bottom feeders. Three years into the McDermott era, the Bills talent level isn't as good as it was before he was named HC. The list of numerous ex-Bills who exited after McDermott was hired and are contributing to winning teams starts with All Pro Stephon Gilmore. The list of outstanding players that McDermott drafted is very short: Tre White. Milano is decent. Allen and Edmunds are still question marks. Phillips is on IR. The top picks from the 2019 draft, Oliver and Ford, have been underwhelming. Singletary looks promising.
  12. Buffalo was a pariah during this time by Ralph Wilson's actions. After the 2000 season, Wilson fired Wade Phillips in circumstances that resulted in Phillips suing the Bills for the rest of his salary under his contract and winning. In 2005, Wilson fired Tom Donahoe over reasons that remain unknown to the general public, and it seems that he blacklisted Donahoe who has never been hired except as a consultant by another NFL team despite the regular recycle of NFL execs with lesser resumes. Moreover, Wilson and his new protege, Russ Brandon, in charge, they successfully forced Mike Mularkey to resign without having to fire him. Marv Levy was never in charge of anything during his two years (2006-2007) as the Bills GM. He was a figurehead, and that was plain in the 2006 TC when he seemed to wander around chatting and shaking hands but having nothing else to do.
  13. Let me count the ways ... McDermott plays not to lose just like Jauron. Conservative game calling and playing for a break to win on a late FG hasn't been a successful formula for winning in the NFL for a couple of decades at least. McDermott wants a bend not break defense and an offense that plays it safe so it doesn't lose the game. McDermott's clock management, especially at the end of first halves and games, is mediocre at best and frequently inept as it was at the end of the game Sunday. McDermott intersperses his usual conservative game plan with a series or two of stupidly aggressive calls. McDermott favors players who fit his narrow view of "character" over players with significantly more talent who may march to a different drummer. He doesn't seem to have much tolerance for differences. McDermott favors undersized defensive players. McDermott doesn't seem to understand or care about offense, underscored by his poor choice of offensive coaches and the lack of playmakers on the offense.
  14. I think we're seeing the results of "the process" not waiting on them. When you have a play not to lose philosophy that emphasizes bend not break defense and limited risk offense executed by players that have a lot of try but not enough talent, you get a team that can usually beat bottom feeders but seldom better teams. This philosophy was popular a few decades ago, but in the current NFL with its rules that encourage scoring, it's a prescription for losing with regularity,
  15. The Stillers D will feast on the Bills offense. They'll be lucky to avoid a shut out. When you consider that Pegula had to think about firing Phil Housley after the Sabres' ghastly collapse at the end of last season, it doesn't look likely even if they lose out. No. See above. And we all know that the Tennessee Titans are "genetically predisposed" to go 9-7. This ain't Adam Gase's run-for-the-bus Fins from 2018. They're playing above their talent -- and anything is possible with Fitzy when FitzMagic is flowing.
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