26CornerBlitz Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 @bburkeESPN AFC Playoff probabilities. More here http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/19504913/fpi-makes-predictions-2017-nfl-season NFC playoff probabilities. More here http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/19504913/fpi-makes-predictions-2017-nfl-season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Real McClappy Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 (edited) Looks about right to me. 3.2% chance to win the division LOL.... The Eagles are questionable to me though? Edited June 1, 2017 by Real McCoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boyst Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 Inb4 playoffs? Playoffs?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
26CornerBlitz Posted June 1, 2017 Author Share Posted June 1, 2017 ESPN has a lot of time on its hands... This is what analytics guys like Burke do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
teef Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 god the afc east is lousy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Riverside Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 I dont want to just dismiss it....but it would be nice if he could include where he came up with the data for his formula? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stank_Nasty Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 (edited) without seeing the formula from which these rankings came from the initial elephant in the room to me, in the afc, is the ravens.... 5th best shot? really? seems to me they've been trending downward since 2012. i mean, i remember thinking when they were 3-0 last year that they were one of the least impressive 3-0 teams ive seen in a long while and then they only got worse. and color me a homer, but werent we within a game of the playoffs all the way into week 16? and yet the bills are ranked that low? debatable i'd say. Edited June 1, 2017 by Stank_Nasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 So there's a chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Riverside Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 without seeing the formula from which these rankings came from the initial elephant in the room to me, in the afc, is the ravens.... 5th best shot? really? seems to me they've been trending downward since 2012. i mean, i remember thinking when they were 3-0 last year that they were one of the least impressive 3-0 teams ive seen in a long while and then they only got worse. and color me a homer, but werent we within a game of the playoffs all the way into week 16? and yet the bills are ranked that low? debatable i'd say. Like I said I dont want to dismiss it......but I wonder if these formula's incorporate the fact that the defense is about to make a scheme change back to when it was 5th best in the league. I totally understand the veteran losses being incorporated into the formula Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 god the afc east is lousy. I wonder if the Patriots* even bother game-planning for their AFCE opponents. They probably take a day, then start planning for the following week's opponent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stank_Nasty Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 Like I said I dont want to dismiss it......but I wonder if these formula's incorporate the fact that the defense is about to make a scheme change back to when it was 5th best in the league. I totally understand the veteran losses being incorporated into the formula i'm assuming scheduling and other things go into it as well.... regardless. we were in the hunt all the way up until a week 16 loss and the ravens werent scaring anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlottebillsfan2 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 looking at the schedule I think 5% is more realistic. I think after the first 7 games were more likely talking aboutSam Darnold rather then the playoffs. Jets at panthers Broncos at Falcons at bengals Bucs Raiders at Jets saints At Chargers at Chiefs Patriots Colts fins pats fins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
teef Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 I wonder if the Patriots* even bother game-planning for their AFCE opponents. They probably take a day, then start planning for the following week's opponent. they probably just require the guys to show up at the stadium 30 minutes before game time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Riverside Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 looking at the schedule I think 5% is more realistic. I think after the first 7 games were more likely talking about Sam Darnold rather then the playoffs. Jets (you really think we cannot beat this team) at panthers (maybe a loss) Broncos (have not been good...who qbs this team) at Falcons (loss) at bengals (these have always been competative and we beat them last year win) Bucs (they might have accumulated players in the offseason....but they were AWEFUL last year....win) Raiders (Loss) at Jets (win) saints (win) At Chargers at Chiefs Patriots Colts fins pats fins After 7 game im my opinion I think we are actually having hope for the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2o Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 I predict Brian Burke has a 14.5% chance of making it through the next round of pink slips handed out at the ESPN office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heitz Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 I wonder if the formula takes into consideration that literally every team has changed since last year and none have played games this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seasons1992 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 I wonder if the Patriots* even bother game-planning for their AFCE opponents. They probably take a day, then start planning for the following week's opponent. No way. Ernie Adams is probably in a hyperbaric chamber right now resting up for this season's 19-0 run. Minus a redonk catch by a guy who never played another game in Tyree, they'd have that record already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
26CornerBlitz Posted June 1, 2017 Author Share Posted June 1, 2017 I wonder if the formula takes into consideration that literally every team has changed since last year and none have played games this year? Well he could wait until after week 17 and just tell us who's in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 After 7 game im my opinion I think we are actually having hope for the season If you thought the Bucs were awful last year (and they weren't, BTW) what did you think of the Bills? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
row_33 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 they probably just require the guys to show up at the stadium 30 minutes before game time. Belichick and Patricia fill in 35 starting spots with the B-list of itinerant laborers they recruited that week Like I said I dont want to dismiss it......but I wonder if these formula's incorporate the fact that the defense is about to make a scheme change back to when it was 5th best in the league. I totally understand the veteran losses being incorporated into the formula most teams fans would argue that the O, D and special teams are going to revitalize to the best they've been in 3,000 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JM2009 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 I wonder if the Patriots* even bother game-planning for their AFCE opponents. They probably take a day, then start planning for the following week's opponent. NE, except for Denver and sometimes Baltimore, rules the NFL, not just the division. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALF Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 Chiefs 56% is the one to watch for a 1st rd pick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JM2009 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 Chiefs 56% is the one to watch for a 1st rd pick. It's going to be a lower first round pick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4_kidd_4 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 they probably just require the guys to show up at the stadium 30 minutes before game time. They have an AFC East window, 30 mins before the game, til anytime before halftime. Show up after halftime and you only get to score once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Riverside Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 It's going to be a lower first round pick. Injuries happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JM2009 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 Injuries happen KC is a solid team. I doubt they finally have a down year just because Bills fans want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
row_33 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 KC is a solid team. I doubt they finally have a down year just because Bills fans want it. we've had a few threads with people claiming KC hasn't been any good during the Reid era their record and the fact that being 3rd best in the AFC isn't that bad a thing didn't stop them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JM2009 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 we've had a few threads with people claiming KC hasn't been any good during the Reid era their record and the fact that being 3rd best in the AFC isn't that bad a thing didn't stop them They make the playoffs. We don't. Bills fans shouldn't knock a team like KC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
row_33 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 They make the playoffs. We don't. Bills fans shouldn't knock a team like KC. Reid has done a great job in KC as he did in Philly, my complaints about him are correct but easily ignored on his overall achievements he has never had the best AFC team, I can't criticize him for losing to a better team in the playoffs. I don't expect this to change much this year either.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALLEN1QB Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 I had it slightly higher at 14.6% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianFan Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 more like 0.14% to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark Vader Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 They make the playoffs. We don't. Bills fans shouldn't knock a team like KC. Does the same logic apply to Cincinnati? A team that constantly makes the playoffs, but has a record of 0-7 during that time of said playoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
row_33 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 Does the same logic apply to Cincinnati? A team that constantly makes the playoffs, but has a record of 0-7 during that time of said playoffs. They haven't pulled off a Buster Douglas yet, and I have never expected them to. Maybe someday they can cash in on the Pats getting hurt or a huge upset paving the way for them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaBillsFanSince1973 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 ESPN, now there is a source I would rely on...pffffffft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heitz Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 Well he could wait until after week 17 and just tell us who's in. Just The Facts Ma'n Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JM2009 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 Does the same logic apply to Cincinnati? A team that constantly makes the playoffs, but has a record of 0-7 during that time of said playoffs. Yes it does. We don't even get that far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
row_33 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 so they've kinda figured out that the Pats are winning the division, and that's the crumbs for the rest of the teams hoping to eke out a WC. okay, so that's what it looks like... geez... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPS Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 I did my part to end the playoffs jinx. At the first home game of the 1999 season, the last year they made the playoffs, they handed out a commemorative coin. I have been using that coin as my golf ball marker ever since, and the Bills have not returned to the playoffs since then. On Tuesday, at the end of my league round, I ceremoniously tossed he coin into the 18th hole pond at Arrowhead GC. The Bills will now beat the odds and make the playoffs this year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaBillsFanSince1973 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 Yes it does. We don't even get that far. I have to ask, is that all you can do is post negativity? I understand, 17 years. a real good excuse to be constantly negative but doesn't it wear on you after a while? doom and gloom seems to be about 95% of your posts and threads. don't mean to pick on you but with a new staff and season ahead it could be a whole hell of a lot better than your negative outlook? 10-6 and a wildcard, I bet that would surprise the hell out of you and all the doom and gloom crowd and that is what I see coming. call me a homer, a nut case, whatever you want but I think they're on the road, finally, to success? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JM2009 Posted June 1, 2017 Share Posted June 1, 2017 I have to ask, is that all you can do is post negativity? I understand, 17 years. a real good excuse to be constantly negative but doesn't it wear on you after a while? doom and gloom seems to be about 95% of your posts and threads. don't mean to pick on you but with a new staff and season ahead it could be a whole hell of a lot better than your negative outlook? 10-6 and a wildcard, I bet that would surprise the hell out of you and all the doom and gloom crowd and that is what I see coming. call me a homer, a nut case, whatever you want but I think they're on the road, finally, to success? I've posted numerous times that I like all of the hirings. However this roster is maybe average at best without good depth. Lots of work to do. And yes , I place a team that has made the playoffs numerous times, despite losing every playoff game, ahead of us. How could you not? I'll stick with my 7-9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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